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Under-the-Radar Booms/Busts: Week 16

Craig Rondinone analyzes the under-the-radar lineup booms and busts for Week 16 of fantasy football. These players could be upside flex plays or players to sit.

If you are reading this column because you are playing in your fantasy football league’s Super Bowl this weekend, congratulations! If you are reading it because you are hoping to win a few thousand dollars in a DFS league so you can buy bigger holiday presents for your friends and family, even better!

This is the final under-the-radar booms/busts column of the season, fantasy folks! It has been a pleasure serving you up low-priced booms and helping you avoid catastrophic busts throughout the year. This is the most crucial week to find the best booms and sidestep the bad busts, so let’s not waste any more time!

Here are some under-the-radar booms and busts for the 16th week of NFL action to help you set a winning lineup. Good luck RotoBallers!

Be sure to check all of our fantasy football rankings for 2025:

 

Week 16 Under-the-Radar Booms

Sony Michel (RB, NE) vs. BUF

New England’s offense has lost its way over the past month, and so has Michel and the Patriots running attack. The three-game early-season stretch when Michel rushed for 316 yards and four touchdowns feels like it happened eons ago. Michel has averaged a pedestrian 60 yards per game and has failed to score over his past three outings, plus he now has to contend with James White AND a healthy Rex Burkhead taking his touches.

Michel will be running against a top-10 Buffalo run defense that stuffed a Michel-less Pats backfield to the tune of 76 paltry rushing yards earlier this season, but no defense has allowed more touchdowns to running backs the past two months than the Bills have. Am I the only one thinking the Patriots will figure things out this week while the Bills will slump in a meaningless road game and the final score will end up being 40-3? Not only do I see that, I see Michel racking up tons of second-half yards and scoring a couple of touchdowns when the Pats salt the game away late.

Elijah McGuire (RB, NYJ) vs. GB

Bilal Powell and Isaiah Crowell are done for the season with their respective injuries, so McGuire is New York’s top tailback from here on out unless he follows suit in the injury department. He has rushed for 102 yards and two touchdowns and added six receptions for another 52 yards over the past two weeks as the Jets’ uninspired offense has seen a resurgence with rookie signal caller Sam Darnold healthy and appearing like he is getting the hang of being an NFL quarterback.

Green Bay’s decimated defense is missing as many key cogs as any team in the NFL and is ranked 22nd against the run. The Packers have also allowed running backs to score six times over the past five games, including a couple via receptions. McGuire is in line for 15 carries and three-to-five catches and could crack the 100-yard mark and reach the end zone a time or two. McGuire is poised to give fantasy players a happy holiday.

Antonio Callaway (WR, CLE) vs. CIN

Calloway has hurt more fantasy players than he has helped this season. He has no 100-yard games to his credit, but unfortunately, he has had five games where he accounted for 25 receiving yards or less. Callaway golf clubs have been more valuable than Calloway the football player in 2018, by far.

Calloway had his second-best game of the season (4-62-1) against Cincinnati earlier in the year, and the Bengals secondary has gotten worse since then (29th in pass defense in NFL). With Cleveland’s needle pointing up and Cincy’s pointing down as the teams ready for their second “Battle of Ohio” of the campaign, look for Calloway to build off of his 35 yards and a score from this past weekend and provide fantasy owners with even more during their Super Bowls.

 

Week 16 Under-the-Radar Busts

Dede Westbrook (WR, JAX) at MIA

Westbrook has been the one and only Jaguars skilled-position player to keep his fantasy value above water over the past two games as Jacksonville’s offense has died a spectacular death with Cody Kessler at quarterback (did you ever think we’d be begging to bring Blake Bortles back?). Westbrook had seven receptions for 88 yards and a touchdown two weeks ago, and this past week he pulled a Billy “White Shoes” Johnson and returned a punt for a touchdown.

Miami’s 24th-ranked pass defense has no Deion Sanders’ or Ronnie Lotts on the back end, but Jacksonville’s offense is anemic, inept and in no position to take advantage of the Dolphins’ defensive deficiencies. We have watched Jacksonville throw in the towel before (against Tennessee two weeks ago) and the Jags could be ready to do it again. There are better economical options out there in DFS leagues than Westbrook if you are shopping for a bargain-priced receiver.

Theo Riddick (RB, DET) vs. MIN

Riddick is the Duke Johnson of the NFC. You just wish the ball was in both of their hands a lot more than it is, because on the rare occasions they touch the ball, usually something positive happens. At least since Kerryon Johnson has been sidelined with his knee injury, Riddick has been getting some carries to go along with his catches and has been averaging 60 combined yards per game over the past month.

Minnesota has to win out to clinch a wildcard spot. Detroit has nothing to play for except for pride and extra dollars for impending free agents. In his last half-dozen games against his purple division rivals, Riddick has only averaged 38 combined yards per contest and has failed to score any touchdowns. Zach Zenner is also starting to out-touch Riddick as Zenner’s role has surprisingly expanded in the offense. None of this bodes well for Detroit’s underutilized change-of-pace back for this week.

Vance McDonald (TE, PIT) at NO

The better half of Pittsburgh’s tight end twosome (Jesse James is the other half), McDonald has been productive for a low-end tight end in recent weeks. He is averaging 27 yards per game and has two touchdown grabs over Pittsburgh’s past five games. McDonald sounds like the perfect candidate to provide a big bang for little bucks in DFS contests this weekend.

New Orleans is currently 28th in pass defense and has been close to the cellar in the department all season long. But while the Saints are low-ranked and have allowed three tight end touchdowns over the past three contests, they have been a lot stingier overall as they did not allow Carolina’s Cam Newton, Tampa Bay’s Jameis Winston, and Dallas’ Dak Prescott to throw for 250 yards against them during that span. McDonald is too inconsistent to be counted on in a huge fantasy spot. He may muster 30 yards but unless he lucks into a touchdown than he will not be worth much.

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Gabe Vincent

Set to Suit Up Tuesday
C.J. Stroud

Expected to Return in Week 13 Against Colts
C.J. Stroud

to Miss Another Game
Jonathan Kuminga

Remains Out Tuesday
Keegan Murray

Could Make his Season Debut This Week
Caris LeVert

Liston as Out on Tuesday
Tobias Harris

Could Return Thursday
Ausar Thompson

Questionable Again on Tuesday
Joe Mixon

Uncertainty Remains Around Joe Mixon's Return Timeline
Cade Cunningham

is Questionable Tuesday in Atlanta
Jaylen Warren

Mike Tomlin Optimistic About Jaylen Warren's Availability for Week 12
C.J. Stroud

Not Expected to Play on Thursday Night
Aaron Rodgers

Won't Need Surgery on Fractured Wrist, Could Play in Week 12?
Davis Mills

Prepping for Third Straight Start in Week 12?
CFB

Sam Leavitt Set to Enter Transfer Portal?
Mason Rudolph

Could Make His First Start of 2025 in Week 12
Brock Wright

Sets Career-High in Targets; Lined Up for More Work?
Stephon Castle

Out Against Grizzlies
Kimani Vidal

Struggles Again and Faces Role Uncertainty After Bye
Dak Prescott

in Full Command Monday Night With Four Touchdown Passes
Quentin Johnston

Posts Zero Catches During Offensive Collapse
George Pickens

Erupts for 144 Yards, Touchdown in Monday Night Win
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Unlikely to Play Tuesday
CeeDee Lamb

George Pickens Benched for First Drive
LeBron James

Officially Listed as Questionable for Tuesday
Jose Altuve

Undergoes Foot Surgery
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Exits Monday's Game With Groin Injury
Julian Strawther

Out on Monday
Cameron Johnson

Cleared for Action Monday
Nikola Jokić

Nikola Jokic Available Against Bulls
Zaccharie Risacher

Considered Questionable for Tuesday's Game
Onyeka Okongwu

Iffy for Tuesday
Kristaps Porzingis

May Miss Another Game Tuesday
Jalen Suggs

Listed as Questionable for Tuesday
Paolo Banchero

to Remain Out Tuesday
Ayo Dosunmu

Playing on Minutes Restriction Monday
Tre Jones

Still Out Monday
Alex Singleton

Broncos Optimistic Patrick Surtain, Alex Singleton Will Return After the Bye
Trey Hendrickson

Doubtful Again in Week 12
Shedeur Sanders

Expected to Make First Career Start in Week 12
Josh Jacobs

Dealing With Knee Contusion
Mikael Granlund

Unavailable Monday
Alex Bregman

Red Sox Going for Either Alex Bregman or Pete Alonso?
Conor Garland

Misses Monday's Game
Eetu Luostarinen

Out on Monday
Drake London

Considered "Week-to-Week"
Drew Doughty

Listed as Week-to-Week
Ja'Marr Chase

Being Suspended for One Game for Unsportsmanlike Conduct
John Carlson

a Game-Time Call Monday
Viktor Arvidsson

Out Week-to-Week
Charlie McAvoy

Out Against Hurricanes
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James Franklin to be Virginia Tech's Next Head Coach
Brandon Aiyuk

49ers Won't Open Brandon Aiyuk's Practice Window This Week
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Fernando Mendoza the Clear Heisman Trophy Favorite?
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Beau Pribula Has Chance to Face Oklahoma on Saturday
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Logs Two Assists in Overtime Victory
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Limited to Handful of Minutes Sunday
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Agrees to $85 Million Extension With Kings
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Remains Unbeaten
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Carlos Prates Becomes The First Man To Knock Out Leon Edwards
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Suffers Brutal First-Round Knockout Loss
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Benoit Saint Denis Knocks Out Beneil Dariush In 16 Seconds
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Scott Mayfield

Available Sunday
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Max Shabanov Returns From 12-Game Absence Sunday
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Sidelined for 4-6 Weeks
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Good to Go Sunday
Quinn Hughes

Back in Action Sunday
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Jeremiah Smith, Carnell Tate Not Dealing With Long-Term Injuries
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Virginia Tech Close To Naming James Franklin As Head Coach
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Garrett Nussmeier Doubtful vs. Arkansas On Saturday
Edwin Díaz

Blue Jays Interested in Signing Edwin Diaz?
Jacob deGrom

Named AL Comeback Player of the Year
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Wins NL Comeback Player of the Year Award
Aroldis Chapman

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Edwin Díaz

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Justin Thomas

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Islam Makhachev

Set For UFC 322 Main Event
Jack Della Maddalena

Set For His First Title Defense
Zhang Weili

Can Become The New Women's Flyweight Champion
Valentina Shevchenko

Set For UFC 322 Co-Main Event
Michael Morales

Looks To Remain Undefeated
CFB

Mario Craver a Game-Time Decision for Week 12
Sean Brady

Set For Title Eliminator Bout
Carlos Prates

A Favorite At UFC 322
Leon Edwards

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Benoît Saint Denis

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Beneil Dariush

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
CFB

Virginia's Chandler Morris Trending Toward Facing Duke on Saturday
Edwin Díaz

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Shohei Ohtani

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Aaron Judge

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Raisel Iglesias

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Pete Alonso

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Félix Bautista

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Kodai Senga

Attracting Trade Interest, Will the Mets Move him?
Yordan Alvarez

Expected to be Ready for Spring Training
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Could Waive his No-Trade Clause
Paul Skenes

the Unanimous NL Cy Young Winner
Tarik Skubal

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