👉 TAP TO SAVE 30% WITH CODE NEW
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Three-Man Weave: Fantasy Basketball's Illusionists

Do you remember Jerome James?

James was a 7-1, center who averaged 4.9 points and 3.5 rebounds a game. Yet, in the first round of the 2005 NBA playoffs, James was able to turn a 17.2 points and 9.4 rebounds average into a 5-year, $30 million contract.

Thanks Isiah Thomas.

Featured Promo: New Novig users get a $25 purchase match (50% discount up to $25) on your first Novig deposit, and 6 free months of RotoBaller's "Big-4" Premium Pass (NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL) which includes exclusive tools for Betting, Props, DFS and more! CLAIM IT NOW

 

The Illusionists

James became a cautionary tale. The contract-year "illusionist." A player who has underperformed throughout his career, but would put enough games together to catch a general manager's eye and get the one big contract. Only to go back to being the same subpar player once he started to cash those checks.

The contract-year player isn't the only one who can mislead. There's the prime-time performer as well.

Rajon Rondo seemed to be the biggest abuser of this in recent memory. Rondo would consistently perform better in nationally televised games. Prime-time games were also where Rondo frequently visited the triple-double.

Ever since Ice Cube rapped, "Last week messed around and got a triple-double," on the seminal rap single "It Was A Good Day," what was painfully obvious before now became legendary. Getting a triple-double--whether it was in a pick-up game after eating "breakfast with no hog" or on an NBA court--could thrust you into legendary status.

This was certainly true last year when Russell Westbrook broke what was thought to be an untouchable Oscar Robertson record. Westbrook finished the year with 42 triple-doubles, averaging 31.6 points, 10.7 rebounds and 10.4 assists. Despite a phenomenal year, many accused Westbrook of stat chasing, attempting to devalue his historic season because his Thunder team managed just 47 wins. The only problem with this theory was...everything. The Thunder won more times than not when Westbrook hit a triple-double. He also led the league in box plus/minus (BPM) and value over replacement player (VORP). There was no illusion. Westbrook had one of the greatest seasons ever.

There are certain names we trust. Players who have performed at a high enough level, with consistent stats yearly that we start unconsciously on our fantasy team. You need to be aware of a certain group, however. "The illusionist" can have a negative affect on a team's performance. As more and more franchises rely on analytics to help mold player-personnel, you want to make sure you have the right players like Westbrook, and not those that may lose playing time--or value--based on poor advanced metrics.

For this exercise, we will focus players who negatively affect their team. As a fantasy owner, you should be aware that this could also be very bad for your squad in the future.

 

Carmelo Anthony

Anthony has always been hailed as a scorer. Someone who could get buckets from any position on the court, with or without the ball. With Oklahoma City this season his numbers reflect the worst start to a season in his career.

Carmelo's numbers are down in every statistical category. He is averaging 26.8 points, 9.6 rebounds, 1.2 steals and 2.3 assists per 100 possessions. He's not only down, outside of rebounds, his numbers are the worst they've been in his entire career.

Despite those stats, it has not affected Melo's outlook or aggressiveness.

Anthony is still in the top-25 in shot attempts and still gets a little over 33 minutes per game. Both are good for fantasy owners.

Where it could get dicey is if OKC chooses to make some adjustments based on analytics. Anthony has a -3.4 BPM and -0.3 VORP. To put it into layman's terms, Anthony affects the Thunder negatively when on the court. Leaving every Anthony fantasy owner feeling a little bit like Lala Anthony.

 

 

Hassan Whiteside

All owners are probably holding on to Whiteside as he recovers from the most extended absence due to a bruised knee in the history of the NBA (that may be a little hyperbolic). Whiteside's numbers are really good--when healthy. In the 15 games he's played, the big man has averaged 28 points and 23.9 rebounds per 100 possessions. The rebound mark is the most for anyone who has played more than one game this season. Whiteside has and will continue to be a top-30 player.

There is some cause for concern, however.

Whiteside is signed through the 2020 season after inking a monstrous contract in 2016. As the cornerstone of the organization, it makes sense for the Heat to limit his minutes going forward. So far this year he's gone from 32 minutes in 2016-17 to 26 minutes this season. His BPM (-2.2) and VORP (o.o) are also down this season.

Knees and 7-footers are a tricky subject. While Whiteside will be chasing stats and bringing in numbers while he's on the court. How long he's there may be the real question fantasy owners will have to answer.

 

Andrew Wiggins

It seemed like this was the year the former number one pick was going to finally make the leap to superstardom. In Wiggins' first three years in the league his points per 100 possessions jumped from 23.8 to 29.7 to 32.2 last season. So far this season, Wiggins has taken a step back scoring only 24.8 points per 100 possessions.

One might point to Jimmy Butler's addition as the main cause for his decline, but that's not the case. His field goal percentage has dropped from 45 percent last year to 43 percent this year, while his three point percentage has dropped from 35 to 30.

Luckily for owners, Wiggins' minutes have not dropped. He is consistently producing points, but at what cost?

Much like the two stars referenced above, his advanced metric stats are worrisome. Wiggins BPM (-2.7) and VORP (-0.2) are bad--like really bad.

Despite those numbers, Wiggins is still a primary option on a good Minnesota team. The Butler, Karl-Anthony Towns, Jeff Teague, Wiggins nucleus have the potential to be explosive and very dangerous. The pressure is on head coach Tom Thibodeau to find a way to get there.

At the end of the day, it's not the numbers that lie, but the players.

 

More Fantasy Basketball Analysis

 

NBA DFS Premium Subscription

Get a free trial of our powerful NBA Premium Tools. Our famous DFS Cheat Sheets, and NBA Lineup Optimizer & Generator with daily matchup projections.

Win more. Try the most advanced lineup optimizer in daily fantasy basketball.

Sign Up Now!




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Michael Aswell

Jr. Drops Decision At UFC London
Michael Aswell

Luke Riley Outclasses Michael Aswell Jr.
DeVonta Smith

Wide Range of Possible Outcomes for DeVonta Smith in 2026
Woody Marks

to Serve as Backup in Sophomore Season?
Puka Nacua

Extension for Puka Nacua isn't Expected Soon
Sam Patterson

Suffers Unanimous-Decision Loss
Michael Page

Wins Lackluster Decision
Austen Lane

Suffers First-Round TKO Loss
Joshua Dobbs

Patriots Planning to Release Joshua Dobbs
Spencer Strider

to Start the Season on Injured List
Iwo Baraniewski

Delivers 28-Second TKO
Lawson Crouse

Picks Up Three Points in Overtime Win
Jahmyr Gibbs

in Line for a Career Workload
Filip Forsberg

Takes Predators Past Blackhawks
Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Becomes Highest-Paid Wide Receiver in NFL History
Alex Ovechkin

Scores 1,000th Career Goal
NFL

Eli Stowers' Athleticism Should Not be Overshadowed
Nate Schmidt

Exits Early Due to Illness
NFL

Kenyon Sadiq's Low Production at Odds with His Elite Athleticism
Matt Grzelcyk

to Miss Four-Game Road Trip
Mikko Rantanen

to Return to Full Practice
NFL

Carnell Tate Part of a Loaded Ohio State Rookie Class
A.J. Greer

Handed a Three-Game Suspension
Stephon Castle

Iffy for Monday
Bennedict Mathurin

Remains Out Monday
Isaiah Collier

Still Sidelined Monday
Kyle Kuzma

Iffy for Monday Vs. Clippers
Pascal Siakam

May Miss Monday's Game Vs. Orlando
John Collins

Expected to be Available Monday Vs. Bucks
Tristan Vukcevic

Exits Early With Back Tightness
Jonathan Taylor

Still Headlines Colts Backfield
Troy Terry

Wins it for Anahiem
Tyler Reddick

Overcomes Adversity for Fourth Victory of the Season At Darlington
Brad Keselowski

Falls Short of Darlington Victory Despite Domination
Ryan Blaney

Recovers From Pit-Road Struggles to Score Career-Best Darlington Finish
Carson Hocevar

Rallies to Finish Fourth at Darlington
Kyle Larson

Decent Performance Ends with Technical Issues At Darlington
Ilya Sorokin

Earns Shutout Over Columbus
Jalen Coker

Clock Ticking on Jalen Coker's Buy-Low Window?
DJ Moore

an Appealing Dynasty Target After Trade to Bills?
Keon Coleman

Falling Out of Favor Despite Head-Coaching Change?
George Pickens

Is George Pickens' Rumored Holdout a Concern for Dynasty Managers?
Derrick Henry

Continues to Face Minimal Competition
Bobby Portis

is Cleared for Monday's Game
Jarquez Hunter

Not Close to Having Fantasy Relevance?
Kawhi Leonard

Holds Questionable Tag for Monday
Danny Wolf

Suffers Ankle Injury on Sunday
Killian Hayes

Exits in First Half
Nique Clifford

Exits Early on Sunday
Royce O'Neale

is Ruled Out on Sunday
Kevin Porter Jr.

to Miss Third Straight Game
Collin Murray-Boyles

Remains Out Sunday
Jalen Johnson

Could Miss Second Straight Game
Joel Embiid

Remains Sidelined Monday
Grayson Allen

to Miss Fourth Straight Game
Naz Reid

Back in Action Sunday
Josh Hart

Good to Go Sunday
Jaylen Brown

Available Sunday Against Timberwolves
Ethen Frank

Sustains Lower-Body Injury Sunday
Grayson Rodriguez

to Open Season on Injured List
Brett Pesce

Questionable to Return This Season
Stefan Noesen

Done for the Season
Yan Kuznetsov

Misses Fourth Consecutive Game Sunday
Connor Zary

Out Sunday
Mike Trout

Returns on Sunday
Anthony Duclair

Misses Sunday's Game
Ryan Pulock

Unavailable Sunday
Nick Lodolo

Exits Early With a Blister
Dontayvion Wicks

Still Buried in Crowded Receiver Room?
Feleipe Franks

Panthers Signing Feleipe Franks
Cameron Jordan

Linked to the Chiefs
Chris Rodriguez Jr.

No Clear Frontrunner Between Chris Rodriguez Jr. and Bhayshul Tuten?
Green Bay Packers

Packers Expected to Draft a Running Back?
Jeremy Peña

Astros Not Ruling Out Jeremy Pena for Opening Day
Cristopher Sánchez

Phillies Sign Cristopher Sanchez to a Six-Year Extension
Tyler Reddick

the Clear Favorite at Darlington
Kyle Stowers

Placed on Injured List with Hamstring Strain
Kyle Larson

a High-Risk, High-Reward Driver at Darlington
Ryan Blaney

Is Getting Better at Darlington
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Not Slowing Down at Darlington
Chris Buescher

Should be a Top-10 Contender at Darlington
Austin Cindric

a Sleeper at Darlington
Erik Jones

Quickest in Practice at Darlington
Morgan Geekie

Records Three Assists Against Red Wings
Steven Stamkos

Notches Three Points in Win Over Golden Knights
Cole Caufield

Records Career-High Five Points in Saturday's Win
Denny Hamlin

Qualifies Ninth for this Week's Cup Race at Darlington
Chase Briscoe

Is One of the Top DFS Options of the Week for Darlington
Nikita Kucherov

Takes Over Scoring Lead With Four-Point Effort
Tyler Tucker

Out Week-to-Week
William Byron

Is William Byron A Playable DFS Option for Darlington Lineups?
Christopher Bell

Could Christopher Bell be Considered A Decent DFS Option for Darlington?
Chase Elliott

Is Chase Elliott Worth Rostering At Darlington This Week For DFS?
Joey Logano

May Not Have the Speed to Warrant A Darlington DFS Lineup Spot
Ross Chastain

Should DFS Players Trust Ross Chastain at Darlington?
Kyle Busch

Could Kyle Busch Be A Worthy DFS Option for Darlington?
Brad Keselowski

May be A Contriarian DFS Tournament Option At Darlington
Seiya Suzuki

Won't be Ready for Opening Day
Gleyber Torres

Clear to Return on Monday
Konnor Griffin

Assigned to Minor-League Camp
Gleyber Torres

Scratched From Lineup on Saturday With Lower-Back Tightness
Tanner Bibee

to Take the Ball on Opening Day
Logan Webb

to Start on Opening Day for Giants
Cristopher Sánchez

Cristopher Sanchez to Start on Opening Day for Phillies
Chris Sale

Braves Name Chris Sale as Their Opening Day Starter
Kyle Stowers

Leaves Friday's Game With Hamstring Tightness
Jasson Domínguez

Jasson Dominguez Optioned to Triple-A
Jacob Misiorowski

Named Opening Day Starter
Mike Trout

X-Rays Come Back Negative on Mike Trout's Hand
Dylan Crews

Optioned to Triple-A Rochester
Lerone Murphy

Set For UFC London Main Event
Movsar Evloev

Looks To Remain Unbeaten
Michael Aswell

Jr. An Underdog At UFC London
Luke Riley

Set For UFC London Co-Main Event
Joe Ryan

Named Opening Day Starter for Twins
Sam Patterson

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Michael Page

Set For Welterweight Bout
Austen Lane

In Dire Need Of Victory
Iwo Baraniewski

A Favorite At UFC London
Akshay Bhatia

Withdraws From Valspar Championship
CFB

Alberto Mendoza Drawing Positive Reviews at Georgia Tech
CFB

Anthony Colandrea Impressing in Nebraska's Spring Practices
J.J. Spaun

Offers Upside Despite Poor Course History at Innisbrook
Aaron Rai

Looks to Bounce Back at Valspar Championship
Johnny Keefer

Brings Ball-Striking Upside to Valspar Championship
Billy Horschel

a Volatile Play at Valspar Championship
Ben Griffin

Looks to Rebound at the Valspar Championship
Corey Conners

Brings Elite Ball-Striking to Valspar Championship
Xander Schauffele

Trending In The Right Direction For Valspar Championship
Sahith Theegala

Has Shot to Challenge at Valspar Championship
Mackenzie Hughes

Looking to Bounce Back at Valspar Championship
Nicolai Hojgaard

Finding Rhythm For Valspar Championship
Matt Fitzpatrick

Continues Hot Start to 2026 Heading to Valspar Championship
Pierceson Coody

Heads to Valspar Championship Following Two Missed Cuts
Wyndham Clark

Searching for Momentum at Valspar Championship
Justin Thomas

Is Justin Thomas Back Ahead of This Week's Valspar Championship?
Jordan Spieth

to Bounce Back at Favored Valspar Championship?
Brooks Koepka

is Starting to Find His Groove Again Ahead of Valspar Championship
Viktor Hovland

is One of The Best DFS Plays at Innesbrook
Rasmus Hojgaard

to Get Back on Track at Valspar Championship
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF