TAP FOR 6 MONTHS OF PREMIUM FREE 💰
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

Three-Man Weave: Fantasy Basketball's Illusionists

Do you remember Jerome James?

James was a 7-1, center who averaged 4.9 points and 3.5 rebounds a game. Yet, in the first round of the 2005 NBA playoffs, James was able to turn a 17.2 points and 9.4 rebounds average into a 5-year, $30 million contract.

Thanks Isiah Thomas.

Featured Promo: New Novig users get a $25 purchase match (50% discount up to $25) on your first Novig deposit, and 6 free months of RotoBaller's "Big-4" Premium Pass (NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL) which includes exclusive tools for Betting, Props, DFS and more! CLAIM IT NOW

 

The Illusionists

James became a cautionary tale. The contract-year "illusionist." A player who has underperformed throughout his career, but would put enough games together to catch a general manager's eye and get the one big contract. Only to go back to being the same subpar player once he started to cash those checks.

The contract-year player isn't the only one who can mislead. There's the prime-time performer as well.

Rajon Rondo seemed to be the biggest abuser of this in recent memory. Rondo would consistently perform better in nationally televised games. Prime-time games were also where Rondo frequently visited the triple-double.

Ever since Ice Cube rapped, "Last week messed around and got a triple-double," on the seminal rap single "It Was A Good Day," what was painfully obvious before now became legendary. Getting a triple-double--whether it was in a pick-up game after eating "breakfast with no hog" or on an NBA court--could thrust you into legendary status.

This was certainly true last year when Russell Westbrook broke what was thought to be an untouchable Oscar Robertson record. Westbrook finished the year with 42 triple-doubles, averaging 31.6 points, 10.7 rebounds and 10.4 assists. Despite a phenomenal year, many accused Westbrook of stat chasing, attempting to devalue his historic season because his Thunder team managed just 47 wins. The only problem with this theory was...everything. The Thunder won more times than not when Westbrook hit a triple-double. He also led the league in box plus/minus (BPM) and value over replacement player (VORP). There was no illusion. Westbrook had one of the greatest seasons ever.

There are certain names we trust. Players who have performed at a high enough level, with consistent stats yearly that we start unconsciously on our fantasy team. You need to be aware of a certain group, however. "The illusionist" can have a negative affect on a team's performance. As more and more franchises rely on analytics to help mold player-personnel, you want to make sure you have the right players like Westbrook, and not those that may lose playing time--or value--based on poor advanced metrics.

For this exercise, we will focus players who negatively affect their team. As a fantasy owner, you should be aware that this could also be very bad for your squad in the future.

 

Carmelo Anthony

Anthony has always been hailed as a scorer. Someone who could get buckets from any position on the court, with or without the ball. With Oklahoma City this season his numbers reflect the worst start to a season in his career.

Carmelo's numbers are down in every statistical category. He is averaging 26.8 points, 9.6 rebounds, 1.2 steals and 2.3 assists per 100 possessions. He's not only down, outside of rebounds, his numbers are the worst they've been in his entire career.

Despite those stats, it has not affected Melo's outlook or aggressiveness.

Anthony is still in the top-25 in shot attempts and still gets a little over 33 minutes per game. Both are good for fantasy owners.

Where it could get dicey is if OKC chooses to make some adjustments based on analytics. Anthony has a -3.4 BPM and -0.3 VORP. To put it into layman's terms, Anthony affects the Thunder negatively when on the court. Leaving every Anthony fantasy owner feeling a little bit like Lala Anthony.

 

 

Hassan Whiteside

All owners are probably holding on to Whiteside as he recovers from the most extended absence due to a bruised knee in the history of the NBA (that may be a little hyperbolic). Whiteside's numbers are really good--when healthy. In the 15 games he's played, the big man has averaged 28 points and 23.9 rebounds per 100 possessions. The rebound mark is the most for anyone who has played more than one game this season. Whiteside has and will continue to be a top-30 player.

There is some cause for concern, however.

Whiteside is signed through the 2020 season after inking a monstrous contract in 2016. As the cornerstone of the organization, it makes sense for the Heat to limit his minutes going forward. So far this year he's gone from 32 minutes in 2016-17 to 26 minutes this season. His BPM (-2.2) and VORP (o.o) are also down this season.

Knees and 7-footers are a tricky subject. While Whiteside will be chasing stats and bringing in numbers while he's on the court. How long he's there may be the real question fantasy owners will have to answer.

 

Andrew Wiggins

It seemed like this was the year the former number one pick was going to finally make the leap to superstardom. In Wiggins' first three years in the league his points per 100 possessions jumped from 23.8 to 29.7 to 32.2 last season. So far this season, Wiggins has taken a step back scoring only 24.8 points per 100 possessions.

One might point to Jimmy Butler's addition as the main cause for his decline, but that's not the case. His field goal percentage has dropped from 45 percent last year to 43 percent this year, while his three point percentage has dropped from 35 to 30.

Luckily for owners, Wiggins' minutes have not dropped. He is consistently producing points, but at what cost?

Much like the two stars referenced above, his advanced metric stats are worrisome. Wiggins BPM (-2.7) and VORP (-0.2) are bad--like really bad.

Despite those numbers, Wiggins is still a primary option on a good Minnesota team. The Butler, Karl-Anthony Towns, Jeff Teague, Wiggins nucleus have the potential to be explosive and very dangerous. The pressure is on head coach Tom Thibodeau to find a way to get there.

At the end of the day, it's not the numbers that lie, but the players.

 

More Fantasy Basketball Analysis

 

NBA DFS Premium Subscription

Get a free trial of our powerful NBA Premium Tools. Our famous DFS Cheat Sheets, and NBA Lineup Optimizer & Generator with daily matchup projections.

Win more. Try the most advanced lineup optimizer in daily fantasy basketball.

Sign Up Now!




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Arizona Diamondbacks

Diamondbacks Acquire Infielder Jose Mejia From Baltimore
Arizona Diamondbacks

Wellington Aracena Traded to Diamondbacks
Javier Báez

Javier Baez Suspended From WBC After Positive Marijuana Test
Matthew Stafford

Named 2025 NFL MVP, Will Return in 2026
Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Takes Home Offensive Player of the Year Honors
Brendan Rodgers

Red Sox Sign Brendan Rodgers to Minor-League Deal
Michael Harris II

Remains an Everyday Contributor After Joining 20/20 Club
Hunter Goodman

Carries Plenty of Momentum Into 2026 Season
Austin Riley

Productivity Continues to Trend Downward
Bryce Harper

Fantasy Managers Hoping Bryce Harper Bounces Back
Christian McCaffrey

Named Comeback Player of the Year
Bobby Portis

Questionable to Play Friday
Tetairoa McMillan

Named Offensive Rookie of the Year
Myles Garrett

Unanimously Wins Defensive Player of the Year Award
Nikola Vučević

Nikola Vucevic Set for Celtics Debut Friday
Joel Embiid

Good to Go Against Lakers
Andrew Nembhard

Ready to Return Friday
George Lombard Jr.

Yankees Invite George Lombard Jr. to Spring Training
Pascal Siakam

Available Friday
David Bañuelos

Twins Sign David Banuelos to Minor-League Deal
Ty Jerome

to Sit Out Friday's Action
Deni Avdija

Considered Questionable for Friday's Matchup
Cole Carrigg

Rockies Invite Cole Carrigg to Spring Training
De'Anthony Melton

Will Play Against Suns
Charlie Condon

Invited to Big-League Spring Training
Jalen Duren

Exits Early Thursday
Emmanuel Clase

Accused of Rigging Pitches in 48 Games
Darius Garland

Unavailable Friday Night
Domantas Sabonis

Iffy for Friday
Josh Okogie

Tari Eason Out Thursday
Kelly Olynyk

Luke Kornet Out, Kelly Olynyk In Thursday
Julius Randle

Still Dealing With Thumb Issue, Questionable for Friday
OG Anunoby

Listed as Probable for Friday
Marvin Bagley III

Not Available Thursday for Dallas
Dylan Harper

Cleared to Play Thursday
Dylan Cardwell

Earns Four-Year Contract With Sacramento
Jock Landale

Makes Hawks Debut as Starter
Jordan Lawlar

to Mostly Work in the Outfield
Brandon Williams

Unavailable Thursday
Daniel Gafford

Set to Play vs. San Antonio
Brad Marchand

Evan Rodrigues Among Panthers Absentees Thursday
Calum Ritchie

Rejoins Islanders Lineup as Second-Line Center
Zach Benson

Sits Out Second Straight Game
Pierre-Luc Dubois

Available Against Predators
Rickard Rakell

Out Thursday
Brayden Point

Won't Play in Olympics
Jonathan Huberdeau

to Have Season-Ending Hip Surgery
Kade Strowd

Diamondbacks Pick Up Kade Strowd, Two Minor-Leaguers
Blaze Alexander

Orioles Acquire Blaze Alexander From Diamondbacks
Osvaldo Bido

Yankees Claim Osvaldo Bido Off Waivers From Angels
Ken Waldichuk

Nationals Claim Ken Waldichuk Off Waivers From Rays
Tarik Skubal

Wins Arbitration Case, to Make $32 Million in 2026
Colt Emerson

to Begin the Year in the Minors?
Cole Young

Appears to be the Favorite to Start at Second Base
CFB

Houston, Vanderbilt, Tennessee Land Top-Three QBs in 2026 Class
Joe Mixon

Committed to Playing in 2026
CFB

Michigan Signs Top-15 Recruiting Class Despite Coaching Change
CFB

USC Finishes with No. 1 Signing Class in 2026
Valeri Nichushkin

Sets Up Three Goals Wednesday
CFB

Trinidad Chambliss Denied Medical Redshirt Waiver By NCAA
Ryan O'Reilly

Delivers Three Assists in Overtime Loss
Matt Boldy

Records Historically Fast Hat Trick Wednesday
Jet Greaves

Gives Blue Jackets Second Straight Shutout
Wyatt Kaiser

Hurt Against Blue Jackets
Sandis Vilmanis

Injured in Wednesday's Win
Jack Hughes

Out Thursday
Marcus Foligno

Out Wednesday Against Predators
Kiefer Sherwood

Set for Sharks Debut on First Line
Martin Necas

Misses Third Consecutive Game
Kirill Marchenko

a Game-Time Call Wednesday
Sam Bennett

Anton Lundell Available for Panthers Wednesday
Nick Bjugstad

Devils Add Nick Bjugstad in Trade
Artemi Panarin

Traded to Kings, Signs Two-Year Extension
CFB

Sam Leavitt to be Limited In Spring Practice
Jordan Love

Avoids Offseason Surgery
Matt Fitzpatrick

Back in Action at WM Phoenix Open
Sahith Theegala

Riding Hot Start Into WM Phoenix Open
J.J. Spaun

Looks to Regain Form at WM Phoenix Open
Viktor Hovland

a Volatile Option at WM Phoenix Open
Rasmus Hojgaard

Aims to Build on Solid Start to 2026
Brian Harman

Looks to Find Form at WM Phoenix Open
Daniel Berger

Has the Tools to Go One Step Higher at Scottsdale
Max Greyserman

Searching for Consistency at WM Phoenix Open
Jake Knapp

Wants Revenge at WM Phoenix Open
CFB

Joey Aguilar Granted Temporary Restraining Order Against NCAA
Joel Dahmen

Carrying Momentum Into WM Phoenix Open
Corey Conners

Unlikely to Contend at Scottsdale
Sepp Straka

Seeks a Rebound After The American Express
Jordan Spieth

Healthy Heading to WM Phoenix Open
Keith Mitchell

Building Momentum for Event in Scottsdale
Tom Hoge

The Tom Hoge Roller Coaster Heads to Scottsdale for WM Phoenix Open
Rickie Fowler

Worth a Look at WM Phoenix Open
Xander Schauffele

Making Second Appearance at Phoenix Open
Collin Morikawa

Needs a Bounce-Back at Waste Management Phoenix Open
Hideki Matsuyama

Has a Shot to Challenge at the Waste Management Phoenix Open
Max Homa

Playing Well Heading to Waste Management Phoenix Open
Ben Griffin

Will Need to Find Approach Game to Compete in Phoenix
Michael Penix Jr.

Matt Ryan Not Committing to Michael Penix Jr. as the Starting QB
NASCAR

Billy Horschel Unlikely to Right the Ship in Phoenix
Matthew Stafford

Doesn't Need Offseason Back Surgery
CFB

Joey Aguilar Files New Lawsuit Against NCAA Seeking Sixth Year of Eligibility
Davante Adams

Expected to Return to Rams in 2026
Los Angeles Rams

Rams Sign Sean McVay, Les Snead to Contract Extensions
Diego Lopes

Outclassed At UFC 325
Alexander Volkanovski

Dominates Diego Lopes
Dan Hooker

Stopped In The Second Round
Benoît Saint Denis

Benoit Saint Denis Extends His Win Streak
Rafael Fiziev

Suffers Second-Round TKO Loss
MMA

Maurício Ruffy Gets Back In The Win Column
San Francisco 49ers

49ers Set to Name Raheem Morris Their Defensive Coordinator
Las Vegas Raiders

Raiders Close to Naming Klint Kubiak the Next Head Coach
Arizona Cardinals

Cardinals Finalizing Deal to Make Mike LaFleur the Next Head Coach
CFB

Gus Malzahn Retiring from Coaching
Breece Hall

Jets Want to Re-Sign Breece Hall, Could Use Franchise Tag
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF