🖥 TAP TO SAVE 50% WITH CODE THANKS
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

Three-Man Weave: Fantasy Basketball's Illusionists

Do you remember Jerome James?

James was a 7-1, center who averaged 4.9 points and 3.5 rebounds a game. Yet, in the first round of the 2005 NBA playoffs, James was able to turn a 17.2 points and 9.4 rebounds average into a 5-year, $30 million contract.

Thanks Isiah Thomas.

Holiday Special! Save 50% on any Premium Pass using discount code THANKS. Win more with our DFS, Betting and Season-Long Premium Pass, get expert tools and advice from proven winners! GAIN ACCESS

 

The Illusionists

James became a cautionary tale. The contract-year "illusionist." A player who has underperformed throughout his career, but would put enough games together to catch a general manager's eye and get the one big contract. Only to go back to being the same subpar player once he started to cash those checks.

The contract-year player isn't the only one who can mislead. There's the prime-time performer as well.

Rajon Rondo seemed to be the biggest abuser of this in recent memory. Rondo would consistently perform better in nationally televised games. Prime-time games were also where Rondo frequently visited the triple-double.

Ever since Ice Cube rapped, "Last week messed around and got a triple-double," on the seminal rap single "It Was A Good Day," what was painfully obvious before now became legendary. Getting a triple-double--whether it was in a pick-up game after eating "breakfast with no hog" or on an NBA court--could thrust you into legendary status.

This was certainly true last year when Russell Westbrook broke what was thought to be an untouchable Oscar Robertson record. Westbrook finished the year with 42 triple-doubles, averaging 31.6 points, 10.7 rebounds and 10.4 assists. Despite a phenomenal year, many accused Westbrook of stat chasing, attempting to devalue his historic season because his Thunder team managed just 47 wins. The only problem with this theory was...everything. The Thunder won more times than not when Westbrook hit a triple-double. He also led the league in box plus/minus (BPM) and value over replacement player (VORP). There was no illusion. Westbrook had one of the greatest seasons ever.

There are certain names we trust. Players who have performed at a high enough level, with consistent stats yearly that we start unconsciously on our fantasy team. You need to be aware of a certain group, however. "The illusionist" can have a negative affect on a team's performance. As more and more franchises rely on analytics to help mold player-personnel, you want to make sure you have the right players like Westbrook, and not those that may lose playing time--or value--based on poor advanced metrics.

For this exercise, we will focus players who negatively affect their team. As a fantasy owner, you should be aware that this could also be very bad for your squad in the future.

 

Carmelo Anthony

Anthony has always been hailed as a scorer. Someone who could get buckets from any position on the court, with or without the ball. With Oklahoma City this season his numbers reflect the worst start to a season in his career.

Carmelo's numbers are down in every statistical category. He is averaging 26.8 points, 9.6 rebounds, 1.2 steals and 2.3 assists per 100 possessions. He's not only down, outside of rebounds, his numbers are the worst they've been in his entire career.

Despite those stats, it has not affected Melo's outlook or aggressiveness.

Anthony is still in the top-25 in shot attempts and still gets a little over 33 minutes per game. Both are good for fantasy owners.

Where it could get dicey is if OKC chooses to make some adjustments based on analytics. Anthony has a -3.4 BPM and -0.3 VORP. To put it into layman's terms, Anthony affects the Thunder negatively when on the court. Leaving every Anthony fantasy owner feeling a little bit like Lala Anthony.

 

 

Hassan Whiteside

All owners are probably holding on to Whiteside as he recovers from the most extended absence due to a bruised knee in the history of the NBA (that may be a little hyperbolic). Whiteside's numbers are really good--when healthy. In the 15 games he's played, the big man has averaged 28 points and 23.9 rebounds per 100 possessions. The rebound mark is the most for anyone who has played more than one game this season. Whiteside has and will continue to be a top-30 player.

There is some cause for concern, however.

Whiteside is signed through the 2020 season after inking a monstrous contract in 2016. As the cornerstone of the organization, it makes sense for the Heat to limit his minutes going forward. So far this year he's gone from 32 minutes in 2016-17 to 26 minutes this season. His BPM (-2.2) and VORP (o.o) are also down this season.

Knees and 7-footers are a tricky subject. While Whiteside will be chasing stats and bringing in numbers while he's on the court. How long he's there may be the real question fantasy owners will have to answer.

 

Andrew Wiggins

It seemed like this was the year the former number one pick was going to finally make the leap to superstardom. In Wiggins' first three years in the league his points per 100 possessions jumped from 23.8 to 29.7 to 32.2 last season. So far this season, Wiggins has taken a step back scoring only 24.8 points per 100 possessions.

One might point to Jimmy Butler's addition as the main cause for his decline, but that's not the case. His field goal percentage has dropped from 45 percent last year to 43 percent this year, while his three point percentage has dropped from 35 to 30.

Luckily for owners, Wiggins' minutes have not dropped. He is consistently producing points, but at what cost?

Much like the two stars referenced above, his advanced metric stats are worrisome. Wiggins BPM (-2.7) and VORP (-0.2) are bad--like really bad.

Despite those numbers, Wiggins is still a primary option on a good Minnesota team. The Butler, Karl-Anthony Towns, Jeff Teague, Wiggins nucleus have the potential to be explosive and very dangerous. The pressure is on head coach Tom Thibodeau to find a way to get there.

At the end of the day, it's not the numbers that lie, but the players.

 

More Fantasy Basketball Analysis

 

NBA DFS Premium Subscription

Get a free trial of our powerful NBA Premium Tools. Our famous DFS Cheat Sheets, and NBA Lineup Optimizer & Generator with daily matchup projections.

Win more. Try the most advanced lineup optimizer in daily fantasy basketball.

Sign Up Now!




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

CFB

Jeremiyah Love Officially Heading to NFL Draft
Quinn Ewers

Making First Career Start in Week 16
Tua Tagovailoa

Being Benched by Dolphins
CFB

Jake Merklinger Leaving Tennessee for Transfer Portal
Jeremy Ruckert

Jets, Jeremy Ruckert Agree to a Two-Year Extension
Thatcher Demko

Shuts Out Rangers With 23 Saves
Macklin Celebrini

Notches Four Points in Tuesday's Win
Leon Draisaitl

Reaches Special Milestone During Four-Point Night
Shea Theodore

Questionable for Wednesday Night
Jack Eichel

Battling Illness
Darcy Kuemper

Placed on Injured Reserve
Brandon Montour

Hurt on Tuesday
Sam Merrill

Remains on Shelf Wednesday
Max Strus

Still Out Wednesday
Ayo Dosunmu

May Miss Another Game Wednesday
Brandon Clarke

Upgraded to Questionable on Injury Report
Cam Spencer

Unavailable Wednesday
Mike Conley

Remains Sidelined Wednesday
Zach LaVine

to Be Re-Evaluated in One Week
Mike Trout

Angels Open to Mike Trout Playing Center Field in 2026
Victor Wembanyama

Coming off the Bench on Tuesday Night
Rudy Gobert

Not on the Injury Report for Wednesday
Anthony Edwards

on the Injury Report Again for Wednesday Night
Ja Morant

Questionable for Wednesday's Meeting With Timberwolves
Saquon Barkley

Misses Practice With Stinger
RJ Harvey

Dealing With Rib Injury
Josh Jacobs

Intends to Play Against Bears on Saturday
Zach Bogosian

Misses Tuesday's Game
Marcus Johansson

Unavailable Tuesday
Artyom Levshunov

Scratched for Tuesday
Mathew Barzal

a Game-Time Call Tuesday
Joseph Woll

Returns to Action Tuesday
Mike Matheson

Won't Play on Tuesday
Rasmus Ristolainen

Makes Season Debut Tuesday
Bam Knight

Cardinals Place Bam Knight on Injured Reserve
CFB

Kansas State's Jayce Brown Intends to Transfer
CFB

Nation's Leading Passer Drew Mestemaker to Enter Transfer Portal
Justin Crawford

Phillies Planning to Start Justin Crawford in Center Field
CFB

Jayden Maiava Signs New Deal to Return to USC
CFB

Aidan Mizell Won't Return to Florida, Entering Transfer Portal
CFB

East Carolina Targeting Jordan Davis as Next Offensive Coordinator
Patrick Mahomes

Targeting Week 1 Return in 2026
Cutter Gauthier

Scores Twice at MSG
CFB

Michigan QB Jadyn Davis Set to Enter Transfer Portal
CFB

Travis Williams Joining Texas A&M Defensive Staff
Tim Stützle

Tim Stutzle Records Three Assists in Dramatic Win
Filip Forsberg

Nets 11th Career Hat Trick
Sam Reinhart

Pots Two Goals Against Lightning
Darcy Kuemper

Hurt Versus Stars
Gustav Forsling

Injured in Monday's Win
Brandon Hagel

Makes Early Exit Monday
Cooper Flagg

Becomes Youngest 40-Point Scorer in NBA History
Victor Wembanyama

May Come Off the Bench Again Tuesday
Nikola Jović

Nikola Jovic to Undergo MRI Tuesday
Sam Hauser

Tweaks Left Ankle Monday
Peyton Watson

Not Expected to Be Out Long-Term
Ja Morant

Injures Ankle in Monday's Win
Darren Waller

Hauls in Two Touchdowns in Monday Night Loss
Brandon Clarke

Still Out Monday
Rome Odunze

Considered Week-to-Week With Foot Injury
James Harden

Officially Active on Monday Night
Ja Morant

to Remain Under Minutes Restriction Monday
James Harden

a Game-Time Call Monday
Davante Adams

Considered Week-to-Week With Hamstring Injury
Jaylen Warren

to Play Through Illness on Monday Night
Bhayshul Tuten

to Miss a Few Weeks With Finger Injury
Joe Burrow

Will Start the Rest of the Season
Jayden Daniels

to be Shut Down for Final Three Games
Philip Rivers

Will Start Again in Week 16
Drake London

Falcons "Very Hopeful" Drake London Can Return in Week 16
CFB

Dylan Raiola Entering His Name into Transfer Portal
Micah Parsons

MRI Confirms Torn ACL for Micah Parsons
CFB

Cincinnati's Brendan Sorsby Plans to Transfer When Portal Opens
Adolis García

Adolis Garcia, Phillies Finalizing One-Year Deal on Monday
Jaylen Warren

Questionable for Monday Night Due to Illness
Bam Knight

has "Bad Sprain," Unlikely to Play in Week 16
Brandon Royval

Suffers First-Round TKO Loss
CFB

Baylor, LSU, Miami Among Potential Suitors for DJ Lagway
CFB

Aidan Chiles Will Enter Transfer Portal
Manel Kape

Shines At UFC Vegas 112
New York Jets

Jets Fire Defensive Coordinator Steve Wilks
Kevin Vallejos

Gets Second-Round Knockout Win
Giga Chikadze

Suffers His First Career Knockout Loss
CFB

Quarterback DJ Lagway Entering Transfer Portal
Cesar Almeida

Gets Dominated
Cezary Oleksiejczuk

Wins Sixth Fight In A Row
Morgan Charrière

Morgan Charriere Suffers First-Round Knockout Loss
Melquizael Costa

Gets First-Round Knockout Win
Marcus Buchecha

Still Winless In The UFC
Kennedy Nzechukwu

And Marcus Buchecha Fight To Draw
Lance Gibson jr

Lance Gibson Jr. Drops Decision In His UFC Debut
King Green

Gets Back In The Win Column
Kenley Jansen

Agrees to One-Year Deal With Tigers
Merrill Kelly

Returns to Diamondbacks on Two-Year Deal
Jorge Polanco

Agrees to Two-Year Deal With Mets
CFB

LaNorris Sellers to Return to South Carolina in 2026
CFB

Washington State Expected to Hire Kirby Moore as Next Head Coach
CFB

Kyle Whittingham Stepping Down as Utah Head Coach
Manel Kape

Set For UFC Vegas 112 Main Event
Brandon Royval

An Underdog At UFC Vegas 112
Kevin Vallejos

Set For His Third UFC Fight
Giga Chikadze

In Dire Need Of Victory
Cesar Almeida

Set To Welcome Cezary Oleksiejczuk To The UFC
Cezary Oleksiejczuk

Set To Make His UFC Debut
Maikel Garcia

Royals Agree on Five-Year Extension
Melquizael Costa

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Morgan Charrière

Morgan Charriere Looks to Win Second Consecutive Fights
Marcus Buchecha

Looks To Bounce Back
CFB

Sherrone Moore Charged with Home Invasion, Among Other Charges
CFB

Freddie Kitchens Fired from North Carolina Coaching Staff
CFB

Bryce Underwood Could Leave Michigan Without Buyout
Fernando Tatis Jr.

Padres Not Considering Trading Fernando Tatis Jr.
Tarik Skubal

Tigers Engaged in "Serious Talks" Around Trading Tarik Skubal at the Winter Meetings
CFB

Chris Brazzell II Declaring for NFL Draft
Raisel Iglesias

to Remain the Braves Closer
Robert Suarez

Agrees on Three-Year Deal With Braves

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP