🖥 TAP TO SAVE 50% WITH CODE THANKS
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

Three-Man Weave: Fantasy Basketball's Alphas

Wei Sallas takes a look at three fantasy basketball stars with high usage rates for Week 13. What are their fantasy basketball outlooks going forward?

In a game when there is only one ball and 10 players, the most coveted player in fantasy basketball is the player who wants the ball the most. Sometimes this can be a really bad thing (See: Bryant, Kobe - 2015-16), most of the time these players consistently are found at the top of fantasy basketball's rankings. They are Fantasy Basketball's Alphas.

The easiest way to decipher who these players are is to look at advanced metrics and pinpoint those players  who have high usage rates. Usage rate calculates what percentage of team plays a player was involved in while he was on the floor, provided that the play ends in one of the three true results: field-goal attempt, free-throw attempt or turnover.

In other words, the higher the usage rate the more involved that player is in the offense. The more involved, the better probability he will add to his fantasy value.

Featured Promo: Get any Props Premium Pass for 50% off using code THANKS. Win more with our two new Props Optimizer tools -- one for PrizePicks Props, and one for Sportsbook Betting Props. Find optimal prop bets and get our recommended picks daily! Go Premium, Win More!

 

James Harden

When the Rockets "traded" for Chris Paul this off-season there was uncertainty on how it would affect Harden. The guard was coming off the most prolific year of his career. Harden led the league in assists per game (11.2) and was second in points per game (29.1). Most assumed Paul would take on the role of facilitator in head coach Mike D'Antoni's high powered "seven seconds or less" offense.

Thanks to an early Paul injury, nothing has much changed in Harden's output this season. He's second in assists per game (9.1) while leading the league in scoring (32.3).  Interestingly enough, Harden's usage rate has gone up with ball-dominant point guard Paul now serving as his back court mate.

Hard to know how Harden and Paul will work together after the all-star break when both are presumably healthy. At this point, though, the rate at which Harden has a direct influence on the end result of a play is at a historically high level.

 

Russell Westbrook

The reigning king of usage rate has even more weapons at his disposal this season, but it has only minimally affected his overall fantasy value. Both Carmelo Anthony and Paul George were added to Oklahoma City to give Westbrook a better chance of advancing in the playoffs. Despite more mouths to feed, Westbrook 0.4 rebounds away from averaging a triple-double for the second straight season. His usage rate is still at an elite level and he leads the league in assists.

There were of course, growing pains. Playing with two top-tier talents made Westbrook hesitate on how his game would adapt, which obviously affected his performance.

"I think early on, I was just trying to figure it out, man," said Westbrook. "I was trying to make sure that everybody was comfortable, everybody was doing exactly what needed to be done.

OKC is starting to figure it out, which should frighten NBA opponents and delight Westbrook fantasy owners. He is taking less shots, less ill-advised threes. The Thunder's more open game has increased drives to the rim, and more opportunities to attack.

As long as Westbrook's usage rate continues to hover in the 30s, expect more of the same from one of the most feared playmakers in all of basketball. Once George and Anthony figure out their role as well, it can lead to only better times for all three in fantasy basketball and their standing in the NBA's Western Conference.

 

Kristaps Porzingis

With Anthony gone, the question of how well Porzingis would adapt into the role of Alpha was unknown. Would he fold under the New York lights? Or would he seize the opportunity. Head Coach Jeff Hornacek has some-what taken it out of the Latvian's hand by funneling almost everything through him. His usage rate as of January 8, 2018 was 32.5. That's almost twice the average.

Porzingis is averaging career highs in points, field goal and free throw attempts as well as blocks. While his usage percentage has leapt from eight points. New York's big men have reaped the rewards as well, Enes Kanter and Kyle O'Quinn are having career years, and Courtney Lee is scoring at a career high 13.5 points per game.

The burden seems to be taking its toll on Porzingis however. Since Christmas, he’s averaging 19 points on 40 percent shooting from the field and only 26 percent from three. The Knicks are committed to making Porzingis their main attraction, and only time will tell if Porzingis can live up to the billing and deliver. While one's usage rate signifies how much affect they have on the outcome of a particular play, that's not always a good thing. The positive is players like Porzingis and other Alphas will have more opportunities than others.

 

More Fantasy Basketball Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Matthew Stafford

Racks Up Highest Yardage Total in Over a Decade
Puka Nacua

Delivers Career-Best Performance on Thursday Night Football
Michael King

Padres Bring Michael King Back on Three-Year Deal
Anthony Edwards

on the Injury Report Again for Friday Night
Joel Embiid

on the Injury Report for Friday Due to an Illness
Logan Webb

Will Pitch for Team USA in World Baseball Classic
Tarik Skubal

Joins Team USA for World Baseball Classic
Anthony Davis

Cleared to Play Versus Detroit
Jakobi Meyers

Jaguars Agree to Three-Year Extension With Jakobi Meyers
Davante Adams

Officially Out on Thursday Night
LaMelo Ball

Available Against Atlanta
Trae Young

on a Minutes Restriction on Thursday
Michael Kesselring

Available After 14-Game Absence
Tyrese Maxey

Off the Injury Report for Friday Night
Peyton Krebs

Good to Go Thursday
Norman Powell

Good to Go Against Brooklyn
Jake Bean

Set for Surgery, Out Indefinitely
Mike Matheson

Misses Second Straight Game Thursday
Mitchell Robinson

Won't Suit Up Against Indiana
Andrei Vasilevskiy

Back for Lightning Thursday
Josh Hart

Sidelined on Thursday Evening
Ryan McDonagh

Available Thursday
OG Anunoby

Available Against Indiana
Karl-Anthony Towns

Out on Thursday Night
Artemi Panarin

a Game-Time Call Thursday
Devin Neal

Placed on Injured Reserve, Will Not Return in 2025
CFB

Will Muschamp Becoming Next Texas Defensive Coordinator
Norman Powell

Upgraded to Probable
Lauri Markkanen

Ruled Out Thursday
LaMelo Ball

Upgraded to Probable for Thursday
Trae Young

Will Play Thursday Against the Hornets
Christian Watson

Questionable for Week 16
Gabe Vincent

Will Miss at Least a Week
Josh Jacobs

Listed as Questionable for Saturday Night
T.J. Watt

Unlikely to Play in Week 16
D'Andre Swift

Questionable to Face the Packers
Rome Odunze

Ruled Out for Week 16
Jawhar Jordan

Could be in for Significant Workload Against Raiders
Rome Odunze

Expected to Miss Third Straight Game
CFB

Beau Pribula Set to Enter Transfer Portal
Josh Jacobs

Expected to Play in Week 16
Sebastian Aho

Leads Hurricanes to Victory With Three-Point Period
Joel Hofer

Notches Third Shutout of the Season
Jordan Martinook

Sustains Lower-Body Injury
Puka Nacua

Brother Charged With Stealing NBA Player's SUV
Jonathan Marchessault

Exits Early Wednesday
Evan Rodrigues

Suffers Lower-Body Injury Wednesday
Lars Eller

to Miss at Least Three More Weeks
Thomas Chabot

Remains Out Thursday
Jrue Holiday

Remains Out Thursday
Khris Middleton

Unavailable Against Spurs
Bilal Coulibaly

Back From Four-Game Absence Thursday
Collin Sexton

Out on Thursday
Tari Eason

Remains Questionable on Injury Report
Bo Bichette

Willing to Make the Move to Second Base
Davante Adams

Doubtful to Play Thursday Night
Matthew Tkachuk

Status Uncertain for Winter Classic
Tyson Foerster

Ruled Out for Five Months
Quinton Byfield

Back From One-Game Absence Wednesday
Gustav Forsling

Available Against Kings
Pavel Dorofeyev

Good to Go Wednesday
Shea Theodore

Out Against Devils
Jack Eichel

Misses First Game of the Season Wednesday
Devin Neal

Ruled Out for Sunday
Christian Watson

"Should be Good" to Face the Bears on Saturday
Geno Smith

has "a Good Chance" to Return in Week 16
Saquon Barkley

Back at Practice on Wednesday
Brady Cook

Will Start Again in Week 16
Patrick Mahomes

Rehabbing ACL, LCL Tears
CFB

Jeremiyah Love Officially Heading to NFL Draft
CFB

Jake Merklinger Leaving Tennessee for Transfer Portal
Mike Trout

Angels Open to Mike Trout Playing Center Field in 2026
CFB

Kansas State's Jayce Brown Intends to Transfer
CFB

Nation's Leading Passer Drew Mestemaker to Enter Transfer Portal
Justin Crawford

Phillies Planning to Start Justin Crawford in Center Field
CFB

Jayden Maiava Signs New Deal to Return to USC
CFB

Aidan Mizell Won't Return to Florida, Entering Transfer Portal
CFB

East Carolina Targeting Jordan Davis as Next Offensive Coordinator
CFB

Michigan QB Jadyn Davis Set to Enter Transfer Portal
CFB

Travis Williams Joining Texas A&M Defensive Staff
CFB

Dylan Raiola Entering His Name into Transfer Portal
CFB

Cincinnati's Brendan Sorsby Plans to Transfer When Portal Opens
Adolis García

Adolis Garcia, Phillies Finalizing One-Year Deal on Monday
Brandon Royval

Suffers First-Round TKO Loss
CFB

Baylor, LSU, Miami Among Potential Suitors for DJ Lagway
CFB

Aidan Chiles Will Enter Transfer Portal
Manel Kape

Shines At UFC Vegas 112
Kevin Vallejos

Gets Second-Round Knockout Win
Giga Chikadze

Suffers His First Career Knockout Loss
CFB

Quarterback DJ Lagway Entering Transfer Portal
Cesar Almeida

Gets Dominated
Cezary Oleksiejczuk

Wins Sixth Fight In A Row
Morgan Charrière

Morgan Charriere Suffers First-Round Knockout Loss
Melquizael Costa

Gets First-Round Knockout Win
Marcus Buchecha

Still Winless In The UFC
Kennedy Nzechukwu

And Marcus Buchecha Fight To Draw
Lance Gibson jr

Lance Gibson Jr. Drops Decision In His UFC Debut
King Green

Gets Back In The Win Column
Kenley Jansen

Agrees to One-Year Deal With Tigers
Merrill Kelly

Returns to Diamondbacks on Two-Year Deal
Jorge Polanco

Agrees to Two-Year Deal With Mets
CFB

LaNorris Sellers to Return to South Carolina in 2026

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP