🦃 BLACK FRIDAY - SAVE 50% WITH CODE THANKS
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

Three-Man Weave: Fantasy Basketball's Alphas

Wei Sallas takes a look at three fantasy basketball stars with high usage rates for Week 13. What are their fantasy basketball outlooks going forward?

In a game when there is only one ball and 10 players, the most coveted player in fantasy basketball is the player who wants the ball the most. Sometimes this can be a really bad thing (See: Bryant, Kobe - 2015-16), most of the time these players consistently are found at the top of fantasy basketball's rankings. They are Fantasy Basketball's Alphas.

The easiest way to decipher who these players are is to look at advanced metrics and pinpoint those players  who have high usage rates. Usage rate calculates what percentage of team plays a player was involved in while he was on the floor, provided that the play ends in one of the three true results: field-goal attempt, free-throw attempt or turnover.

In other words, the higher the usage rate the more involved that player is in the offense. The more involved, the better probability he will add to his fantasy value.

Black Friday Special! Save 50% on any Big-4 Sports Premium Pass using discount code THANKS. Win more with our DFS, Betting and Season-Long Premium Pass, get expert tools and advice for NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL from from proven winners! Dan Palyo leads the team with exclusive picks for DFS picks, Props, betting. Enhance your game with industry-leading tools like our Lineup Optimizers, Team Sync Platform, DFS Cheat Sheets and more. GAIN ACCESS

 

James Harden

When the Rockets "traded" for Chris Paul this off-season there was uncertainty on how it would affect Harden. The guard was coming off the most prolific year of his career. Harden led the league in assists per game (11.2) and was second in points per game (29.1). Most assumed Paul would take on the role of facilitator in head coach Mike D'Antoni's high powered "seven seconds or less" offense.

Thanks to an early Paul injury, nothing has much changed in Harden's output this season. He's second in assists per game (9.1) while leading the league in scoring (32.3).  Interestingly enough, Harden's usage rate has gone up with ball-dominant point guard Paul now serving as his back court mate.

Hard to know how Harden and Paul will work together after the all-star break when both are presumably healthy. At this point, though, the rate at which Harden has a direct influence on the end result of a play is at a historically high level.

 

Russell Westbrook

The reigning king of usage rate has even more weapons at his disposal this season, but it has only minimally affected his overall fantasy value. Both Carmelo Anthony and Paul George were added to Oklahoma City to give Westbrook a better chance of advancing in the playoffs. Despite more mouths to feed, Westbrook 0.4 rebounds away from averaging a triple-double for the second straight season. His usage rate is still at an elite level and he leads the league in assists.

There were of course, growing pains. Playing with two top-tier talents made Westbrook hesitate on how his game would adapt, which obviously affected his performance.

"I think early on, I was just trying to figure it out, man," said Westbrook. "I was trying to make sure that everybody was comfortable, everybody was doing exactly what needed to be done.

OKC is starting to figure it out, which should frighten NBA opponents and delight Westbrook fantasy owners. He is taking less shots, less ill-advised threes. The Thunder's more open game has increased drives to the rim, and more opportunities to attack.

As long as Westbrook's usage rate continues to hover in the 30s, expect more of the same from one of the most feared playmakers in all of basketball. Once George and Anthony figure out their role as well, it can lead to only better times for all three in fantasy basketball and their standing in the NBA's Western Conference.

 

Kristaps Porzingis

With Anthony gone, the question of how well Porzingis would adapt into the role of Alpha was unknown. Would he fold under the New York lights? Or would he seize the opportunity. Head Coach Jeff Hornacek has some-what taken it out of the Latvian's hand by funneling almost everything through him. His usage rate as of January 8, 2018 was 32.5. That's almost twice the average.

Porzingis is averaging career highs in points, field goal and free throw attempts as well as blocks. While his usage percentage has leapt from eight points. New York's big men have reaped the rewards as well, Enes Kanter and Kyle O'Quinn are having career years, and Courtney Lee is scoring at a career high 13.5 points per game.

The burden seems to be taking its toll on Porzingis however. Since Christmas, he’s averaging 19 points on 40 percent shooting from the field and only 26 percent from three. The Knicks are committed to making Porzingis their main attraction, and only time will tell if Porzingis can live up to the billing and deliver. While one's usage rate signifies how much affect they have on the outcome of a particular play, that's not always a good thing. The positive is players like Porzingis and other Alphas will have more opportunities than others.

 

More Fantasy Basketball Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Tagir Ulanbekov

Suffers Third-Round Submission Loss
Anthony Davis

Doubtful With Calf Strain Against Miami
Derrick Henry

Rushes for Two Scores in Week 12 Victory
Kyoji Horiguchi

Makes Triumphant UFC Return
MON

Alexandre Texier Joins Canadiens
Goga Bitadze

a Very Late Scratch on Sunday Night
Rashee Rice

Goes for Nearly 150 Yards in Win Over Colts
Ryan Dunn

Ruled Out with Wrist Sprain
Jason Dickinson

Returns to Action Sunday
Alvin Kamara

Ruled Out With Knee Injury
Elias Lindholm

Activated From Injured Reserve
Mikko Rantanen

Suspended for One Game
Amon-Ra St. Brown

Totals Season-High in Yardage in Week 12
Neal Pionk

Sustains Lower-Body Injury Sunday
Donovan Clingan

Upgraded to Available vs. Thunder
Jean-Gabriel Pageau

Out Week-to-Week
Hunter Henry

Feasts in Win Over Cincinnati
Robert Williams III

Sidelined Against Thunder
Anthony Black

Entering the Starting Lineup Versus Boston
Alexander Romanov

Out 5-6 Months Due to Shoulder Surgery
Emanuel Wilson

Punches in Two Touchdowns Against Minnesota
Goga Bitadze

Getting the Start on Sunday Night
Alvin Kamara

Injures Knee Sunday, Questionable to Return
Bogdan Bogdanović

Bogdan Bogdanovic Remains Out Sunday
Ryan Kalkbrenner

Sidelined on Sunday Evening
Wan'Dale Robinson

Highly Productive as Fill-In Quarterback Explodes
Tre Mann

Returns to Action Sunday
Wendell Carter Jr.

Ruled Out on Sunday Night
Luke Kennard

Misses Sunday's Contest
Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Builds on Superstar Campaign With Two More Touchdowns
Onyeka Okongwu

Good to Go Sunday
Jahmyr Gibbs

Dominates as Multi-Purpose Star on Sunday
Collin Murray-Boyles

Available Against Nets
Egor Demin

Cleared for Sunday
Nicolas Claxton

Available Sunday
Aaron Rodgers

Steelers Expect Aaron Rodgers to Play in Week 13
Tee Higgins

Suffers Concussion, Won't Return in Week 12
Kevin Durant

Will Miss the Next Two Games
Alvin Kamara

Suiting Up Against Falcons in Week 12
Kristaps Porzingis

Taking the Night off on Sunday
Kawhi Leonard

Off the Injury Report, Cleared to Suit Up on Sunday
Brandon Miller

Sitting Out on Sunday Evening
DK Metcalf

D.K. Metcalf Cleared to Return in Week 12 After Injury Scare
DK Metcalf

D.K. Metcalf Questionable to Return With Ankle Injury
LaMelo Ball

Resting Against Atlanta
Drake London

Falcons Could be Cautious With Drake London
Jordan Love

Playing Through Shoulder Injury
Brian Thomas Jr.

Likely to be Back in Week 13?
Brandon Aiyuk

Close to Being Cleared for Return
Xavier Worthy

Active Versus Colts
Kenneth Walker III

Will Play Against Titans in Week 12
Sidney Crosby

Records 500th Multi-Point Game
Mackenzie Blackwood

Posts 35-Save Shutout
Aaron Ekblad

Battling an Illness
Jake McCabe

Suffers Upper-Body Injury
Brayden Point

Makes Early Exit Versus Capitals
Nikita Kucherov

Hurt on Saturday
Nic Dowd

Out Against Lightning
Jake Evans

Good to Go Saturday
Gavin Brindley

to Sit Out at Least Two Games
Thomas Chabot

Available Against Sharks
Roman Josi

Returns From 12-Game Absence
Jake Walman

Out Saturday
J.T. Miller

Won't Play Against Mammoth
Gabriel Vilardi

Has Two Goals in Losing Effort
Adolis García

Rangers Non-Tender Adolis Garcia on Friday
CFB

Beau Pribula Expected to Start Against Oklahoma
Dan Hooker

An Underdog At UFC Qatar
Arman Tsarukyan

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Ian Machado Garry

A Favorite At UFC Qatar
Belal Muhammad

Looks To Bounce Back
Alonzo Menifield

Looks For His Third Consecutive Win
Volkan Oezdemir

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Myktybek Orolbai

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Jack Hermansson

Makes His Welterweight Debut
Kyoji Horiguchi

Returns To The UFC
Tagir Ulanbekov

Set To Open Up UFC Qatar Main Card
Elly De La Cruz

Played Through Partially Torn Quad to End 2025
Tarik Skubal

Tigers "Doubtful" to Trade Tarik Skubal
Raisel Iglesias

Returning to the Braves on One-Year Deal
Sahith Theegala

Looking to Continue Fall Run at RSM Classic
Stephan Jaeger

Looking to Bounce Back at RSM Classic
Tom Hoge

Looking to Regain Form at RSM Classic
Joe Highsmith

Searching for Turnaround at RSM Classic
Adam Hadwin

Looking to Build on T11 Finish in Bermuda
Austin Eckroat

Searching for Momentum at RSM Classic
Joel Dahmen

Trying to Find Form at the RSM Classic
CFB

Garrett Nussmeier Doubtful to Play Against Western Kentucky
Michael Thorbjornsen

Hopes to End 2025 Campaign With Another Solid Finish
Andrew Novak

Looks to End 2025 Season on High Note at RSM Classic
Harry Higgs

Teetering for PGA Tour Card in 2026
PGA

Nico Echavarria has the Potential to Contend at the RSM Classic
Sam Stevens

Finishing Out Year in Georgia
Seamus Power

Playing Better at the Right Time
Beau Hossler

Roller Coaster Comes to Saint Simons Island
Quade Cummins

The Time is Now for Quade Cummins in Georgia
Austin Cook

Needs a Win at the RSM Classic
Cameron Champ

on the PGA Tour Card Bubble
Grayson Rodriguez

Shipped to Angels
Taylor Ward

Orioles Acquire Taylor Ward From Angels
Shota Imanaga

Accepts Cubs Qualifying Offer
Brandon Woodruff

Returning to Milwaukee in 2026
Denny McCarthy

Looking For Another Solid Finish at RSM Classic
Si Woo Kim

Looking To Use Current Momentum to Flip Script at RSM Classic
Mackenzie Hughes

a Good Bounce-Back Candidate at RSM Classic
Harris English

Making 14th Start at This Week's RSM Classic
Konnor Griffin

Could Compete for Starting Shortstop Job in 2026
Gleyber Torres

Accepts Tigers Qualifying Offer
CFB

Sam Leavitt Set to Enter Transfer Portal?
Jose Altuve

Undergoes Foot Surgery

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP