🖥 CYBER MONDAY - TAP TO SAVE 50% WITH CODE CYBER
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

Three-Man Weave: Fantasy Basketball's Alphas

Wei Sallas takes a look at three fantasy basketball stars with high usage rates for Week 13. What are their fantasy basketball outlooks going forward?

In a game when there is only one ball and 10 players, the most coveted player in fantasy basketball is the player who wants the ball the most. Sometimes this can be a really bad thing (See: Bryant, Kobe - 2015-16), most of the time these players consistently are found at the top of fantasy basketball's rankings. They are Fantasy Basketball's Alphas.

The easiest way to decipher who these players are is to look at advanced metrics and pinpoint those players  who have high usage rates. Usage rate calculates what percentage of team plays a player was involved in while he was on the floor, provided that the play ends in one of the three true results: field-goal attempt, free-throw attempt or turnover.

In other words, the higher the usage rate the more involved that player is in the offense. The more involved, the better probability he will add to his fantasy value.

Cyber Week Special! Save 50% on any Premium Pass using discount code CYBER. Win more with our DFS, Betting and Season-Long Premium Pass, get expert tools and advice for NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL from proven winners! Dan Palyo leads the team with exclusive picks for DFS picks, Props, betting. Enhance your game with industry-leading tools like our Lineup Optimizers, Team Sync Platform, DFS Cheat Sheets and more. GAIN ACCESS

 

James Harden

When the Rockets "traded" for Chris Paul this off-season there was uncertainty on how it would affect Harden. The guard was coming off the most prolific year of his career. Harden led the league in assists per game (11.2) and was second in points per game (29.1). Most assumed Paul would take on the role of facilitator in head coach Mike D'Antoni's high powered "seven seconds or less" offense.

Thanks to an early Paul injury, nothing has much changed in Harden's output this season. He's second in assists per game (9.1) while leading the league in scoring (32.3).  Interestingly enough, Harden's usage rate has gone up with ball-dominant point guard Paul now serving as his back court mate.

Hard to know how Harden and Paul will work together after the all-star break when both are presumably healthy. At this point, though, the rate at which Harden has a direct influence on the end result of a play is at a historically high level.

 

Russell Westbrook

The reigning king of usage rate has even more weapons at his disposal this season, but it has only minimally affected his overall fantasy value. Both Carmelo Anthony and Paul George were added to Oklahoma City to give Westbrook a better chance of advancing in the playoffs. Despite more mouths to feed, Westbrook 0.4 rebounds away from averaging a triple-double for the second straight season. His usage rate is still at an elite level and he leads the league in assists.

There were of course, growing pains. Playing with two top-tier talents made Westbrook hesitate on how his game would adapt, which obviously affected his performance.

"I think early on, I was just trying to figure it out, man," said Westbrook. "I was trying to make sure that everybody was comfortable, everybody was doing exactly what needed to be done.

OKC is starting to figure it out, which should frighten NBA opponents and delight Westbrook fantasy owners. He is taking less shots, less ill-advised threes. The Thunder's more open game has increased drives to the rim, and more opportunities to attack.

As long as Westbrook's usage rate continues to hover in the 30s, expect more of the same from one of the most feared playmakers in all of basketball. Once George and Anthony figure out their role as well, it can lead to only better times for all three in fantasy basketball and their standing in the NBA's Western Conference.

 

Kristaps Porzingis

With Anthony gone, the question of how well Porzingis would adapt into the role of Alpha was unknown. Would he fold under the New York lights? Or would he seize the opportunity. Head Coach Jeff Hornacek has some-what taken it out of the Latvian's hand by funneling almost everything through him. His usage rate as of January 8, 2018 was 32.5. That's almost twice the average.

Porzingis is averaging career highs in points, field goal and free throw attempts as well as blocks. While his usage percentage has leapt from eight points. New York's big men have reaped the rewards as well, Enes Kanter and Kyle O'Quinn are having career years, and Courtney Lee is scoring at a career high 13.5 points per game.

The burden seems to be taking its toll on Porzingis however. Since Christmas, he’s averaging 19 points on 40 percent shooting from the field and only 26 percent from three. The Knicks are committed to making Porzingis their main attraction, and only time will tell if Porzingis can live up to the billing and deliver. While one's usage rate signifies how much affect they have on the outcome of a particular play, that's not always a good thing. The positive is players like Porzingis and other Alphas will have more opportunities than others.

 

More Fantasy Basketball Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Tyson Foerster

Hurt in Monday's Loss
Trey Murphy III

May Skip Another Game Tuesday
Zion Williamson

Back in Pelicans Lineup Tuesday
Draymond Green

Probable for Tuesday Night
Jimmy Butler III

Questionable to Play Tuesday
Derrick White

Likely Available Tuesday
Paul George

Listed as Questionable for Tuesday
Joel Embiid

Won't Play Against Wizards
Tyrone Tracy Jr.

Carted Off With Hip Injury on Monday Night
Edwin Díaz

Mets Still Interested in Re-Signing Edwin Diaz
Devin Williams

Agrees to Three-Year Deal With Mets
Cole Ragans

Red Sox Targeting Cole Ragans in a Trade?
CFB

Kentucky Hires Oregon Offensive Coordinator Will Stein As Head Coach
Davante Adams

Not Dealing With a Serious Injury
Brandon Miller

Unavailable on Monday
Kyler Murray

Surgery Not on the Table for Kyler Murray
Duncan Robinson

Absent Against Atlanta
Marvin Harrison Jr.

in Danger of Missing Week 14?
Jalen Duren

Back in the Lineup on Monday Evening
Noah Clowney

Cleared to Play Versus Charlotte
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Active On Monday
Danila Yurov

Won't Play on Tuesday
Michael Porter Jr.

Back in Action on Monday
Sam Merrill

Unavailable Versus Pacers
David Pastrnak

to Remain Out Tuesday
Alexandre Sarr

Won't Play Versus Milwaukee
Adam Gaudette

Iffy for Monday
CFB

Kalani Sitake the Top Target for Penn State Coaching Job
Logan Cooley

a Game-Time Decision Monday
Josh Norris

Available Monday
Neal Pionk

Remains Out Monday
Lonzo Ball

Ruled Out on Monday
Jimmy Snuggerud

to Miss Six Weeks After Wrist Surgery
Justin Herbert

Having Hand Surgery on Monday
Steven Adams

Out Against Jazz
Kyler Murray

Cardinals Won't Open Kyler Murray's Practice Window This Week
Darius Garland

Unavailable Monday
Sauce Gardner

Not a Candidate to Go on Injured Reserve
Kristaps Porzingis

Out of Action Versus Pistons
Jayden Daniels

Not Cleared for Contact, Decision on Week 14 Status Delayed
Daniel Gafford

Sidelined Again on Monday
CFB

Josh Heupel Says He's Not a Candidate for Penn State Head Coach Job
Trey Hendrickson

Doubtful to Return in Week 14
Tee Higgins

Still in the Concussion Protocol
Drake London

"has a Chance" to Play in Week 14
J.J. McCarthy

in Line to Start in Week 14?
Aaron Jones Sr.

Not Dealing With Serious Shoulder Injury, Likely Day-to-Day
Sam Darnold

Dealing With Ankle Injury, "Should be Good" for Week 14
CFB

Will Stein, Brian Hartline the Top Candidates for Kentucky Job?
CFB

Nebraska Fires Defensive Coordinator John Butler After One Season
CFB

UCLA Expected to Hire Bob Chesney as Next Head Coach
Sauce Gardner

Officially Week-to-Week with Strained Calf
CFB

Lane Kiffin to Make $13 Million Salary, Ties Kirby Smart
CFB

Buster Faulkner, Joey Halzle Candidates for Florida Offensive Coordinator Job?
CFB

Kentucky Officially Fires Mark Stoops
Justin Herbert

Has Metacarpal Fracture in Left Hand
Amon-Ra St. Brown

Week 14 Availability Up in the Air
VEG

Carter Hart Expected to Make Golden Knights Debut Tuesday
Andre Drummond

Leaves Early, Status Now in Question
Pyotr Kochetkov

Remains Without Timeline For Return
Boone Jenner

Close to Returning
Lian Bichsel

Exits With Injury Sunday
Petr Mrazek

Injured in Sunday's Loss
Adam Fox

Placed on Long-Term Injured Reserve
Zach Ertz

Leads Washington in Receiving in Overtime Loss
James Cook

Handles Career-High 32 Carries for 144 Yards in Win
Justin Herbert

Planning to Play Through Broken Bone in Left Hand in Week 14
Sauce Gardner

Likely to Miss a "Couple of Weeks" With Calf Strain
CFB

Lane Kiffin to be Introduced as LSU's Next Head Coach on Monday
CFB

Florida Poised to Land Jon Sumrall as Next Head Coach
CFB

Alex Golesh Taking Over Auburn Head-Coaching Job
CFB

Arkansas Expected to Hire Ryan Silverfield as Next Head Coach
Joel Hofer

Shuts Out Mammoth
Owen Tippett

Amasses Three Points in Saturday's Win
Stuart Skinner

Bounces Back With Shutout
Brock Nelson

Notches Four Points in Big Win
Oliver Ekman-Larsson

Sustains Upper-Body Injury
Logan Cooley

Hurt in Saturday's Loss
Warren Foegele

Not Ready to Return Saturday
Zack Wheeler

Likely to Return in May
Ryan Helsley

Agrees to Two-Year Deal With Orioles
Dylan Cease

Agrees With Blue Jays on Seven-Year, $210 Million Deal
Anthony Rendon

Angels Could Buy Out Final Year of Anthony Rendon's Contract
Josh Hader

Says his Shoulder is "Back to Normal"
Ketel Marte

Diamondbacks "Actively Listening" on Ketel Marte

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP