🖥 TAP TO SAVE 50% WITH CODE THANKS
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

Three-Man Weave: Fantasy Basketball's Alphas

Wei Sallas takes a look at three fantasy basketball stars with high usage rates for Week 13. What are their fantasy basketball outlooks going forward?

In a game when there is only one ball and 10 players, the most coveted player in fantasy basketball is the player who wants the ball the most. Sometimes this can be a really bad thing (See: Bryant, Kobe - 2015-16), most of the time these players consistently are found at the top of fantasy basketball's rankings. They are Fantasy Basketball's Alphas.

The easiest way to decipher who these players are is to look at advanced metrics and pinpoint those players  who have high usage rates. Usage rate calculates what percentage of team plays a player was involved in while he was on the floor, provided that the play ends in one of the three true results: field-goal attempt, free-throw attempt or turnover.

In other words, the higher the usage rate the more involved that player is in the offense. The more involved, the better probability he will add to his fantasy value.

Featured Promo: Get any Props Premium Pass for 50% off using code THANKS. Win more with our two new Props Optimizer tools -- one for PrizePicks Props, and one for Sportsbook Betting Props. Find optimal prop bets and get our recommended picks daily! Go Premium, Win More!

 

James Harden

When the Rockets "traded" for Chris Paul this off-season there was uncertainty on how it would affect Harden. The guard was coming off the most prolific year of his career. Harden led the league in assists per game (11.2) and was second in points per game (29.1). Most assumed Paul would take on the role of facilitator in head coach Mike D'Antoni's high powered "seven seconds or less" offense.

Thanks to an early Paul injury, nothing has much changed in Harden's output this season. He's second in assists per game (9.1) while leading the league in scoring (32.3).  Interestingly enough, Harden's usage rate has gone up with ball-dominant point guard Paul now serving as his back court mate.

Hard to know how Harden and Paul will work together after the all-star break when both are presumably healthy. At this point, though, the rate at which Harden has a direct influence on the end result of a play is at a historically high level.

 

Russell Westbrook

The reigning king of usage rate has even more weapons at his disposal this season, but it has only minimally affected his overall fantasy value. Both Carmelo Anthony and Paul George were added to Oklahoma City to give Westbrook a better chance of advancing in the playoffs. Despite more mouths to feed, Westbrook 0.4 rebounds away from averaging a triple-double for the second straight season. His usage rate is still at an elite level and he leads the league in assists.

There were of course, growing pains. Playing with two top-tier talents made Westbrook hesitate on how his game would adapt, which obviously affected his performance.

"I think early on, I was just trying to figure it out, man," said Westbrook. "I was trying to make sure that everybody was comfortable, everybody was doing exactly what needed to be done.

OKC is starting to figure it out, which should frighten NBA opponents and delight Westbrook fantasy owners. He is taking less shots, less ill-advised threes. The Thunder's more open game has increased drives to the rim, and more opportunities to attack.

As long as Westbrook's usage rate continues to hover in the 30s, expect more of the same from one of the most feared playmakers in all of basketball. Once George and Anthony figure out their role as well, it can lead to only better times for all three in fantasy basketball and their standing in the NBA's Western Conference.

 

Kristaps Porzingis

With Anthony gone, the question of how well Porzingis would adapt into the role of Alpha was unknown. Would he fold under the New York lights? Or would he seize the opportunity. Head Coach Jeff Hornacek has some-what taken it out of the Latvian's hand by funneling almost everything through him. His usage rate as of January 8, 2018 was 32.5. That's almost twice the average.

Porzingis is averaging career highs in points, field goal and free throw attempts as well as blocks. While his usage percentage has leapt from eight points. New York's big men have reaped the rewards as well, Enes Kanter and Kyle O'Quinn are having career years, and Courtney Lee is scoring at a career high 13.5 points per game.

The burden seems to be taking its toll on Porzingis however. Since Christmas, he’s averaging 19 points on 40 percent shooting from the field and only 26 percent from three. The Knicks are committed to making Porzingis their main attraction, and only time will tell if Porzingis can live up to the billing and deliver. While one's usage rate signifies how much affect they have on the outcome of a particular play, that's not always a good thing. The positive is players like Porzingis and other Alphas will have more opportunities than others.

 

More Fantasy Basketball Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Si Woo Kim

Closes 2025 With Strong Finish Among Putting Woes
Akshay Bhatia

Looks to Rebound in 2026 After Down Year Off the Tee
Brian Harman

2025 Season a Step Back Despite Spring Win
Sam Burns

' Elite Putting Headlines a Solid 2025 Season
Sepp Straka

Ends Stellar 2025 Campaign on a High Note
Robert MacIntyre

Closes Out a Steady 2025 Campaign
CFB

Chip Kelly Interviews for Georgia Tech Offensive Coordinator Job
CFB

Louisville Receiver Chris Bell has a Torn ACL
Davante Adams

in Good Spot for Week 15 Despite Hamstring Soreness
Devin Booker

Won't Play Against OKC
Jordan Poole

Considered Questionable for Thursday
Maxi Kleber

Sidelined for Wednesday's Matchup With Spurs
Dakota Mermis

to Miss a Month
Jake Evans

to Miss Thursday's Matchup
Elias Pettersson

Unlikely to Play Thursday
Min Woo Lee

Breaks Through to Win in Texas This Year
Nick Bjugstad

to Miss at Least Three Games
PGA

Alex Noren Wins Twice on European Tour This Year
Connor Hellebuyck

Returns to Practice
Pelle Larsson

Sidelined at Least One Week
John Carlson

Could Return Thursday
Andrei Kuzmenko

Sits as Healthy Scratch Wednesday
Wyndham Clark

has Up-and-Down 2025 Golf Season
CFB

Michigan Fires Head Coach Sherrone Moore
Dereck Lively II

to Undergo Season-Ending Foot Surgery
Corey Conners

Comes Close to Winning Again in Very Good 2025
Justin Rose

Turns Back the Clock in 2025
Mike Evans

Officially Questionable for Thursday Night Game
Geno Smith

Unlikely to Play in Week 15
CFB

Jim Knowles Expected to be Hired as Tennessee's Defensive Coordinator
Tyrone Tracy Jr.

"Good to Go" for Week 15
Harris English

Enjoys Solid Finish at Hero World Challenge
CeeDee Lamb

has "One or Two" Things Left to the Clear Concussion Protocol
Jayden Daniels

Commanders Not Shutting Down Jayden Daniels for the Year
CFB

Defensive Coordinator Jim Knowles Not Being Retained at Penn State
CFB

Indiana's Stephen Daley Done for Season After Post-Game Injury
Kyle Pitts Sr.

Carries Momentum and a Questionable Tag into TNF
Drake London

Won't Play on Thursday Night
Tyrone Tracy Jr.

Practicing Coming Out of the Bye Week
Garrett Wilson

Practice Window Still Hasn't Opened
Breece Hall

Out on Wednesday With Knee Soreness
Pete Alonso

Orioles Finalizing Five-Year Deal
Jayden Daniels

Ruled Out for Week 15
Cade Otton

Considered Doubtful for Thursday Night
Trey Benson

Will Not Be Activated in Week 15, Will Not Return in 2025
Mike Evans

has "Shown Everything he Needed to Show" to Return in Week 15
Nick Bjugstad

Injured Tuesday
Zach Ertz

Officially Placed on Injured Reserve
Frank Vatrano

Makes Early Exit Against Penguins
Colten Ellis

Enters Concussion Protocol
George Pickens

Cowboys Not Worried About George Pickens' Effort Level
Scott Wedgewood

Hurt During Shootout
Victor Hedman

Suffers New Injury Blow
Bobby McMann

Suspended for One Game
Jordan McLaughlin

Listed as Questionable for Wednesday
Maxi Kleber

Questionable Wednesday
Marcus Smart

Ready to Face Spurs Wednesday
Luguentz Dort

Returns From Three-Game Absence Wednesday
Alex Caruso

Set to Return Wednesday
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Available Wednesday
Isaiah Joe

Out for Third Consecutive Game
Isaiah Hartenstein

Not Ready to Return Wednesday
Devin Booker

Listed as Questionable for Wednesday
Victor Wembanyama

Remains Out Wednesday
Kyle Finnegan

Tigers, Kyle Finnegan Agree on Two-Year Deal
Bo Bichette

Red Sox Out on Bo Bichette For Now
Karl-Anthony Towns

Back in Action Against Toronto
Philip Rivers

has a "Very Real Chance" to Start in Week 15
Jason Zucker

Added to Injured Reserve
David Pastrnak

Set to Return Tuesday
Scott Wedgewood

Back Between the Pipes Tuesday
Evgeni Malkin

Lands on Injured Reserve
Jamal Shead

Available on Tuesday, Entering the Starting Lineup
Jordan Kyrou

Out Week-to-Week
Immanuel Quickley

Ruled Out on Tuesday Night
Thomas Harley

Returns to Stars Lineup Tuesday
Martin Necas

a Game-Time Call Tuesday
Jean-Gabriel Pageau

Available Tuesday
Philadelphia Phillies

Phillies Extend Manager Rob Thomson Through 2027 Season
Paolo Banchero

Remaining on a Minutes Limit Tuesday
Michael King

the Mets' Top Rotation Target?
Dru Smith

Will Be Available Tuesday
Pelle Larsson

Will Be Available Against Orlando
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Could Move Back to Leadoff Spot
CFB

Florida, Wisconsin Among Suitors for QB Transfer Kenny Minchey
DK Metcalf

"Moving in the Right Direction" for Week 15
CFB

Bryan Harsin, Justin Wilcox Candidates for Washington State Head Coach Job?
Edwin Díaz

Edwin Diaz Agrees to Deal With the Dodgers
Kyle Schwarber

Returning to Phillies on Five-Year Deal
Riley Leonard

Diagnosed With Grade 1 PCL Sprain
CFB

Ole Miss Hiring John David Baker as Offensive Coordinator
CFB

Ty Howle the Top Target for Virginia Tech Offensive Coordinator Job
A.J. Brown

Continues Dominant Stretch With 100 Yards in Monday Night Loss
Shohei Ohtani

to be Used More as Traditional Starting Pitcher Next Year
Yordan Alvarez

to Become Full-Time DH in 2026?
Mason Miller

Padres Plan to Keep Mason Miller in the Bullpen
Ranger Suárez

Orioles Interested in Signing Ranger Suarez
Anthony Volpe

Yankees Don't Expect Anthony Volpe to be Ready in April
Gerrit Cole

Targeting a Return in May/June
CFB

Heisman Trophy Finalists Announced on Monday
CFB

Anthony Hill Jr. Declaring for 2026 NFL Draft
CFB

Ryan Walters a Candidate for Tennessee Defensive Coordinator Job?
Rory McIlroy

Ends 2025 as the Year's Most Unburdened Player
Aaron Rai

Needs to Figure Out Putting Woes This Offseason
Jordan Spieth

Plays Better on Paper in 2025 Than Results Show
PGA

Chris Gotterup Needs to Find Better Touch and Consistency This Offseason
Hideki Matsuyama

Ends 2025 Season With a Bookend Victory
CFB

Tennessee Fires Defensive Coordinator Tim Banks
Scottie Scheffler

Comes Up Just Shy of Hero World Challenge Victory
Merab Dvalishvili

Drops A Decision At UFC 323
Petr Yan

Reclaims Bantamweight Title
Alexandre Pantoja

Era Ends With Gruesome Injury
Joshua Van

Becomes Second-Youngest UFC Champion
Brandon Moreno

Suffers His First TKO Loss
Brandon Moreno

Tatsuro Taira Becomes First Fighter To Finish Brandon Moreno
Henry Cejudo

Payton Talbott Retires Henry Cejudo
Henry Cejudo

Retires After UFC 323 Loss
Jan Blachowicz

Bogdan Guskov Vs. Jan Blachowicz Ends In A Majority Draw
Jan Blachowicz

And Bogdan Guskov Fight To Majority Draw
CFB

Texas RB CJ Baxter Entering Transfer Portal
San Francisco Giants

Jeff Kent Elected to Baseball Hall of Fame
Ketel Marte

Red Sox Interested in Trading for Ketel Marte
Kyle Schwarber

Pirates Make Four-Year Offer to Kyle Schwarber
CFB

Mississippi State, Rice Accept Bowl Bids as 5-7 Teams
CFB

Auburn, Florida State, Baylor Among Teams to Decline Bowl Bids
CFB

Rob Aurich Set to Become Nebraska's Defensive Coordinator
CFB

Notre Dame Opting Out of Postseason Amid College Football Playoff Exclusion
CFB

Kendal Briles a Candidate for South Carolina Offensive Coordinator Job
CFB

James Madison Playoff-Bound After Duke Wins ACC Title?
Jose A. Ferrer

Mariners Acquire Jose A. Ferrer from the Nationals
Harry Ford

Traded to the Nationals
Cody Bellinger

Drawing Interest From the Phillies
MacKenzie Gore

Will the Nationals Trade MacKenzie Gore?
Petr Yan

Looks To Reclaim Bantamweight Belt
Merab Dvalishvili

Set For His Fourth Title Defense
Joshua Van

Can Become The New Flyweight Champion
Alexandre Pantoja

Set For Fifth Title Defense At UFC 323
Tatsuro Taira

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Brandon Moreno

Searches For His Third Win In A Row
Payton Talbott

A Favorite At UFC 323
Henry Cejudo

Set For His Retirement Fight
Jan Blachowicz

Set To Open Up UFC 323 Main Card
Bogdan Guskov

Looks To Extend His Win Streak

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP