X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Round 2 PGA DFS Showdown Slate Picks - 2024 Farmers Insurance Open

Byron's Round 2 PGA DFS showdown slate picks for the 2024 Farmers Insurance Open. His top in-tournament DFS lineup picks and rankings for DraftKings, FanDuel.

Kevin Yu are the round 1 leader of the Farmers Insurance Open and lead the seven other golfers T4 or better who all played on the North course in R1. On the South side, the two guys with all the tricks are both Nicks. Nicolai Hojgaard and Nick Hardy blistered the South course, shooting -5 and gaining the second-most strokes of the day to end up T9. Nick Hardy gained 5 strokes ball striking, while Hojgaard played the course blind as rain and a Wednesday start only saw him playing 9 holes of pretournament golf on the North course after travelling from Dubai on Sunday. Just a casual 12-hour time difference.

Some really big names played really poorly, with about 4/5 of my outright card unlikely to make the cut, never mind win. Some honorable mentions to have lost a stroke or more today: Sepp Straka, Sahith Theegala, Jason Day, Keegan Bradley, Sungjae Im and Will Zalatoris. Some of them head to redemption on the North course looking for a low one, while others head South, with their hopes and dreams of weekend golf heading the same direction.

The general logic to showdown has been to target golfers who played well the day before and particularly those who hit their irons well. This makes sense as you want to roster players who are playing good golf right now. These players will be higher-owned and chalkier than golfers in the same price range who had an off day, particularly with their irons. These are the golfers I am gravitating towards, as they could very easily bounce the following day at half the ownership.

Featured Promo: Get any Props Premium Pass for 30% off using code NEW. Win more with our two new Props Optimizer tools -- one for PrizePicks Props, and one for Sportsbook Betting Props. Find optimal prop bets and get our recommended picks daily! Go Premium, Win More!

 

Round 1 Analysis

Winning Lineup - All Northerners

Round 1 DK Points Leaders - LoL 

Round 1 Ownership Leaders - LOOOOOL

 

 

Weather, Course Conditions & Tee Times

Breathless and cool. Course is still rather wet from the heavy rains earlier in the week, so golfers will be flag hunting in soft conditions. No tee time edge to exploit really as the entire field is going off both courses and off both tees simultaneously.

 

Round 2 Strategy

Below are the number of times a score lower than 67 has been shot on either course. 62s and 63s are non-existent on the South Course, and 64s occur at roughly triple the rate on the North course. As a result of this significant advantage between courses we are going to have find a few golfers who are low owned on the North course, while also constructing our roster by leaving some $$$ remaining so that if a lineup does get a little high owned, we can try avoid duplicates if it does well.

We are going to be playing most golfers playing the North Course as trying to predict which golfer will play well on the South, is just too random and even if they have a good round at low ownership, somebody on the North course in the same salary range is likely gaining less strokes but scoring more DFS points because of the 2 shot difference in difficulty. Of course, Collin immediately debunks our theory here as he has played the South Course incredibly well in the past.

 

Did you know RotoBaller has a Premium DFS PGA subscription?

Like what you read today? You can show your support for Byron by using the discount code MANIAC when purchasing a PGA Premium Pass. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer! You also get access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting minds in the industry. Spencer absolutely crushed it in 2022!

 

Showdown Model

Below are the power rankings of the golfers who we have our eye on for Round 2. The full-field model is available to premium subscribers HERE. It includes ownership projections, pre-event rankings, round-specific scoring averages, birdie percentages, weighted approach ratings, projected points, and GPP/Cash Ratings for tomorrow's showdown slate.

***Full disclosure: The ownership numbers are based on the $1 20 ENTRY MAX, which is important to note as ownership in showdown can vary from contest to contest depending on field size and entry fee. However, it should provide you with a guide to who will be the most owned and how those around them shake out.

 

$10,000+

Xander Schauffele is the only golfer priced in the $10,000 range that is playing the North course. However, in the 7 rounds he has played on the easier course, he has yet to gain more than 1.3 strokes on the field. He is playing really good golf, and with Collin and Cantlay playing the South, he could eclipse 50% tomorrow depending on contest.

He could also overcome his poor form on this course, but in seven of seven trips around here, he has yet to have a showdown winning round for his price tag and ownership. If we brace for impact and fade him tomorrow, we could eliminate 50% of the field if history repeats itself for the eighth time. If he plays well, we are still competing against the other 50% of the field and the other guys who are going to be playing our favorite play in the $9k range.

Dabble a little: Collin Morikawa is going to come in around 7% on the South course and he has the best all time strokes gained average on the South Course in this field, by half a shot over Xander who is in 2nd. Collin is playing incredible golf right now and if anyone can go ridiculously low by hitting loads of fairways and greens in soft conditions, its him. I'll be throwing him into about 20% of my lineups.

 

$9,000+

Favorite play: Fading the two highest priced golfers on the North course is a little too aggressive for my liking, so we are going to roll out Max Homa with half of the field. Homa typically gets off to a bit of a slow start in R1, but is R2 strokes gained average is much more desirable and is one of the best in the North field. He also has a significantly better track record on the North course than his $10k playing partner. It's going to be a little gross playing Max at this ownership, but we are going to either play him with Morikawa or leave some $$$ on the table.

Other options: Tony Finau and Jason Day

 

$8,000+

Favorite play: Christiaan Bezuidenhout heads to some Bentgrass greens which we grew up playing most of our golf on in South Africa as juniors coming through the ranks. I can proudly say that I beat him in match play back in our junior days. He was -2 heading into the 14th hole on the South course and then bogeyed three of the next four, tossing a birdie in there on 16 and then parring the par 5 18th. If he can continue to rep out birdies like he did at the AMEX a week ago and play like he did for the first 13 holes, his $8,000 price tag will help squeeze a few more better quality golfers into our lineups.

Other options: Lots of $6k golfers especially when playing Homa Kawa combos.

 

$7,000+

Favorite play: Taylor Moore is averaging just shy of a stroke gained when combining his North course history and R2 SG average. At $7,400 and after a really impressive -4 under 32 on his final nine (the front side) gaining 3.5 strokes over that stint, we are looking to keep riding that momentum with him. Taylor also grades out really well on approach and spike putting, which we are hoping to have Moore of on a course Taylored for him in R2.

Other options: Stephan Jaeger, Adam Svensson, Tom Hoge

 

$6,000+

Favorite play: Chan Kim came off a really solid performance at the AMEX and has a really impressive R2 SG average. He lost -4.5 strokes putting today but we are going pretend like that never happened on the tougher South course with Poa greens. His easy scoring average splits are much more appealing than his medium and difficult ones. With eight rounds of 66 or better on the North course in R1, if Kim can be one of those in R2 and hopefully roll them in for the Chan Gang on the Bentgrass greens, we will be delighted.

Other options: Alexander Bjork, Francesco Molinari, Jacob Bridgeman, Ben Martin, Norman Xiong, Erik Barnes, Roger Sloan, Mac Meissner

 

Showdown Optimizer

The optimizer works nicely with the projected ownership from the model. If you are unsure how to work it, at the top of the "PGA Lineup Optimizer" page, there is a video on how to get my projected ownership and/or projected points into your optimizer.

Good luck and may the odds be ever in your favor.

  Win More With RotoBaller

Win more with expert tools and advice from proven winners! RotoBaller's PGA Premium Packages feature several savvy analysts and proven winners for DFS and betting.

Our very own Joe Nicely took down a big DraftKings DFS tournament for the Travelers Championship. And as an encore, RotoBaller subscriber @tenndolly2 won $100K on FanDuel with the help of Joe and the rest of our Premium PGA team: Between all the incredible Premium PGA DFS and Betting content and tools we put out each week, and our Premium Slack Community where we chat with our subscribers before lineups lock, RotoBaller PGA subscribers are armed with the tools, analysis, and advice to win more.

Golf DFS News and Player Outlooks

More PGA Analysis and DFS Lineup Picks

POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS


Texans Select Jaylin Noel With 79th Pick

Lions Select Wide Receiver Isaac TeSlaa With The 70th Overall Pick
Jack Leiter

To Start On Sunday

Patriots Add Wide Receiver Kyle Williams In Round 3

Browns Draft Harold Fannin Jr. With 67th Pick
Garrett Mitchell

Makes Early Exit
Luke Keaschall

Removed Early On Friday
Blake Snell

Likely Avoids Major Injury
Cole Ragans

Dealing With Mild Groin Strain

Broncos Add RJ Harvey To Backfield With 60th Pick

Raiders Select Jack Bech With 58th Pick

Chargers Add Wide Receiver Tre Harris In Round 2
Detroit Lions

Lions Acquire 57th Pick From Broncos

Seahawks Draft Elijah Arroyo 50th Overall
Carolina Panthers

Panthers Acquire 51st Pick From Broncos
Arizona Cardinals

Cardinals Snag Will Johnson At No. 47

Jets Add A Pass-Catcher With Mason Taylor At No. 42

Rams Select Terrance Ferguson With 46th Pick
Houston Texans

Texans Acquire 48th Pick From Raiders, Draft Aireontae Ersery

Saints Snag Tyler Shough At No. 40
Brenton Doyle

Out For Personal Reasons On Friday

Bears Draft Luther Burden In Round 2
Buffalo Bills

Bills Move Up To 41st Pick In Trade With Bears

Patriots Add TreVeyon Henderson To The Backfield At Pick No. 38
Miami Dolphins

Dolphins Acquire 37th Pick From Raiders, Draft Jonah Savaiinaea

Browns Add Quinshon Judkins To Backfield With 36th Pick
Seattle Seahawks

Seahawks Acquire 35th Pick From Titans, Select Nick Emmanwori
Brandin Podziemski

Not On Injury Report For Game 3
Jimmy Butler III

Warriors Optimistic About Jimmy Butler III Playing Saturday
Jae'Sean Tate

To Remain Out Saturday
Jock Landale

Unavailable For Game 3
Terry Rozier

Out On Saturday
Jrue Holiday

Ruled Out For Friday Night's Game 3 Against Orlando
Kevin Love

To Miss Saturday's Game
Jaylen Brown

Available For Friday Night's Game 3 Against Magic
Gary Payton II

Iffy For Saturday's Action
Jayson Tatum

Officially Available On Friday For Game 3 Against Magic
Will Smith

Back From Injury On Friday
Luke Kennard

Questionable For Game 4 On Saturday
Darius Garland

Listed As Questionable For Game 3
Ja Morant

To Miss Game 4 On Saturday
Rui Hachimura

Available For Game 3 In Minnesota
Aaron Ekblad

Available To Return Saturday
Erik Swanson

Ryan Burr Progressing
Daulton Varsho

To Return On Tuesday At The Latest
Max Scherzer

Takes Positive Step On Friday
Aleksander Barkov

Questionable For Saturday
Gabriel Landeskog

Set For Larger Role In Game 4
Calvin Pickard

To Start Game 3 For Oilers
Randy Arozarena

Resting For First Time This Year
Jonas Siegenthaler

To Play Limited Minutes In Game 3
MLB

Red Sox-Guardians Game Postponed On Friday
Luke Hughes

Remains Out On Friday
MLB

Tigers-Orioles Postponed On Friday
Patrik Laine

A Game-Time Decision Friday
Yainer Diaz

Out On Friday Against Royals
Iván Herrera

Ivan Herrera Hopes To Start Rehab Assignment Next Week
Salvador Perez

Sitting Out For First Time This Season
Jaylen Brown

Questionable For Game 3 On Friday
Brendan Donovan

Back In Action On Friday
Jimmy Butler III

Could Miss Game 3 On Saturday
Coby Mayo

Getting On A Roll At Triple-A
Moises Ballesteros

Riding An 11-Game Hit Streak
Victor Mesa Jr.

Starting Rehab Assignment On Saturday
Ryan Weathers

To Begin Rehab Assignment On Sunday
Carlos Prates

Looks To Remain Undefeated In The UFC
Ian Machado Garry

Set For UFC Kansas City Main Event
Cade Cunningham

Collects Double-Double In Loss
Jalen Brunson

Drops 30 Points In Game 3
Karl-Anthony Towns

Leads All Scorers In Game 3 Victory
Zhang Mingyang

Scheduled For Co-Main Event
Anthony Smith

Set For His Final UFC Bout
David Onama

Set For Featherweight Bout
Giga Chikadze

Looks To Bounce Back
Abus Magomedov

Looks For His Third Consecutive Win
Michel Pereira

Returns To Action At UFC Kansas City
Nicolas Dalby

An Underdog At UFC Kansas City
Randy Brown

A Favorite At UFC Kansas City
Andre Muniz

Set To Open Up UFC Kansas City Main Card
Ikram Aliskerov

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Sergei Bobrovsky

Shuts Out Lightning In Game 2
Cam Fowler

Finishes Thursday's Win With Five Points
Robert Thomas

Posts Four Assists In Game 3 Win
Pavel Buchnevich

Celebrates Hat Trick During Four-Point Performance
Dylan DeMelo

Battling An Illness
Marcus Johansson

Exits Early Thursday
Aleksander Barkov

Hurt In Game 2
Jrue Holiday

Tagged As Questionable For Friday
Jayson Tatum

Likely Out Again On Friday
Anthony Cirelli

Good To Go Thursday
Andrei Vasilevskiy

Looks To Bounce Back In Game 2
Rasmus Ristolainen

To Miss Training Camp
Jonas Siegenthaler

Returns To Practice
Aliaksei Protas

Traveling With Capitals
Gabriel Vilardi

Still Out On Thursday
Max Pacioretty

Set To Join Maple Leafs Lineup For Game 3
Cam Davis

Looking For Better Fortunes At TPC Louisiana
Adam Svensson

Making Third Apperence At Zurich Classic
Max Greyserman

Aiming For Similar Success At TPC Louisiana
Lee Hodges

A High-Upside Player In New Orleans
PGA

Nico Echavarria Looks To Ride Off Of Elite Putting In New Orleans
Gary Woodland

A Player Worth Watching In New Orleans
Max McGreevy

Returns To The Zurich Classic Of New Orleans
Rasmus Hojgaard

In Search Of Consistency Ahead Of Zurich Classic
Sam Stevens

A Boom-Or-Bust Candidate In New Orleans
Nicolai Hojgaard

Looking To Turn Season Around At Zurich Classic
Christiaan Bezuidenhout

Looks To Sway A Hot Putter In Teams Favor At Zurich Classic
Akshay Bhatia

Looking To Bounce Back At TPC Louisiana
Carson Young

Looks To Turn Things Around At TPC Louisiana
Erik Van Rooyen

Looking For Momentum In Louisiana
Andrew Novak

Making Start At TPC Louisiana After Near Miss At Harbour Town
Ben Griffin

Making Third Career Start At Zurich Classic
Taylor Moore

Competing With A New Teammate In New Orleans
Wyndham Clark

Making Return To New Orleans
Kurt Kitayama

Teeing It Up Again In New Orleans
Collin Morikawa

Back At Zurich Classic For Fifth Time
Thomas Detry

Making Third Appearance At New Orleans Team Event
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF