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RotoBaller PGA: One And Done Staff Picks - Arnold Palmer Invitational

The PGA RotoBaller staff digs into their One and Done selections for the Arnold Palmer Invitational. Here are some under the radar plays and picks for this week's event.

Here at RotoBaller, we are always searching for ways to give our readers the best fantasy sports content possible. With that goal in mind, we are very proud to announce the weekly PGA “One and Done” column will be back for a second season. In this feature, our golf staff of Joe Nicely, Spencer Aguiar and Josh Bennett will provide their weekly golf picks every Wednesday. The purpose of this article is to present you with alternative options to consider and hopefully make your selection a much easier process weekly. With that plan in mind, let's get started!

It was a solid Honda Classic for both Joe and myself, netting nearly a half-million dollars from Tommy Fleetwood's third-place finish. And while you can never complain too much when you secure a payday of that kind, I'm sure Joe felt the same way as I did that we left a little money on the table after Fleetwood's ball found the water on the final hole.

These contests can be decided by a shot here and there, and you better believe it is still anyone's game with all three of us currently within one million dollars of one another. The next month will be our version of Super Tuesday, and we should have a better idea of who the favorite is after the Masters concludes in April. However, before we jump that far, let's first find out who the guys will be taking at the Arnold Palmer this weekend.

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For an in-depth breakdown of the top DraftKings and FanDuel plays, check out Joe Nicely's weekly Horse For The Course that highlights the best fits for the week's course. And you can also find out who the smart money is on by checking out Spencer Aguiar's PGA DFS: Vegas Report every week. Be sure to also read all of our other top-notch weekly PGA DFS and betting articles to help you win big!

 

One and Done Selections

Joe Nicely - Rory McIlroy

Alternate - Byeong Hun An

Ok, we’re back on track after a solid third-place finish from Tommy Fleetwood at the Honda Classic last week! I want to keep the momentum going for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, so I’m deploying a weapon of mass destruction this week with Rory McIlroy.

Rory is the best golfer in the world at the moment and I can’t remember the last tournament he finished outside of the top five. Sure, you could make a strong argument for “saving” McIlroy until one of the majors in OAD contests, but this week’s API is exactly the type of event where I love rolling out Rory...it’s very high profile, the Bay Hill layout fits his game perfectly, and it doesn’t carry the extraordinary pressure of a major championship.

McIlroy heads into this week feeling extremely confident in his game and will tee it up on a course where he’s won previously. This event is big, but not “too big”...which is Rory’s true sweet spot. I expect him to be comfortable and in contention to win on Sunday at Bay Hill. - Joe Nicely

Yearly Earnings - $1,881,218

Yearly Cuts Made - 7/9

 

Spencer Aguiar - Tony Finau

Alternate - Bryson DeChambeau

I feel like I have pigeon-holed myself for the Arnold Palmer Invitational. A lot of the options I would have considered using are staples for me in later events down the road, and I don't want to necessarily implode my gameplan to salvage one week.

I think Bryson DeChambeau is a cop-out choice for those that are struggling to make a decision, and I would have considered going down that route if the American didn't draw the bad end of the tee-off times on Thursday. There is some heavy wind expected in the forecast mid-day of the opening round, and I am not so sure I trust DeChambeau to save his performance if the conditions go against him early.

That leaves me slightly empty-handed and searching for a last-minute fill-in choice. There are other places I would have considered playing Finau and will have to make a few minor adjustments to account for this move, but I've decided to take a swing for the fence with someone that has as much talent as practically any player in the world. In a week where I am looking to limit the damage to whoever Joe and Josh decide to play, I don't mind taking one of the most consistent players to get that job done for me. -Spencer Aguiar

Yearly Earnings - $2,723,331

Yearly Cuts Made - 9/9

 

Josh Bennett - Xander Schauffele

Alternate - Collin Morikawa

Time to get back on track this week after a couple of brutal weeks. A couple weeks ago I preached not over-thinking picks and then I go against that last week by picking a volatile guy in a volatile event. Anyway, this week I’m landing on Xander Schauffele, and while many will say this isn’t his style because it’s a full field event with a cut, I think that’s a narrative that’s overblown and this is a course and a tournament that will really suit his game.

Xander tends to step his game up when he finds himself in fields or events that are high profile, and although this field doesn’t scream that it’s stacked, the event itself is held in high regard by the players on the Tour which I think will elevate the serious-ness of it. I have no doubt he shows up ready to take this event down, and this is a course that will show off his strengths and mitigate the parts of his game where he’s weak. Xander is well known to be a powerful player off the tee with great ball-striking ability. That will suit him extremely well as he has to navigate tee shots and approaches around all the water and bunkers. He has the length to score on all the par 5’s and his iron play should give him birdie looks on other holes that a lot of the field won’t get. What we know is weak about Xander’s game is his short game and his putting. Luckily, the greens at Bay Hill are very large, so he likely won’t miss as many greens as he might typically miss on other courses which puts less stress on those wedges around the green. The greens are also lightning fast, which benefits poor putters because shorter back swings do not allow for as much manipulation of the putter face during the stroke (easier for them to hit the ball on the line they chose). Xander on a ball-strikers course where his short-game and putting will be less of an issue is a no brainer here. – Josh Bennett

Yearly Earnings - $2,275,112

Yearly Cuts Made - 7/9

 

Running Totals

Joe Nicely Spencer Aguiar Josh Bennett
Sony Open Webb Simpson $455,400 Abraham Ancer $27,390 Webb Simpson $455,400
American Express Sungjae Im $162,475 Paul Casey $63,399 Sungjae Im $162,475
Farmers Insurance Tiger Woods $181,875 Hideki Matsuyama $22,950 Jon Rahm $817,500
Waste Management Jon Rahm $170,768 Webb Simpson $1,314,000 Hideki Matsuyama $97,212
Pebble Beach Jason Day $382,200 Patrick Cantlay $181,350 Jason Day $382,200
Genesis Invitational Bubba Watson $0 Dustin Johnson $234,825 Dustin Johnson $234,825
WGC Mexico Dustin Johnson $45,500 Justin Thomas $320,667 Tommy Fleetwood $125,500
Puerto Rico Open Alex Noren $0 Jhonattan Vegas $75,750 Alex Noren $0
Honda Classic Tommy Fleetwood $483,000 Tommy Fleetwood $483,000 Louis Oosthuizen $0

 

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