TAP FOR 6 MONTHS OF PREMIUM FREE 💰
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Power Risers and Fallers for Week 18: Buy or Sell?

RotoBaller's Nick Mariano looks at some fantasy baseball bats for week eighteen that are hitting either extremely hot or cold in the power department.

Welcome back to this investigative piece where we examine players who have seen some notable changes in their power profiles -- for better or for worse -- in 2017.

As usual, you don’t need me to tell you that Miguel Sano and Aaron Judge are strong or that Jarrod Dyson and Billy Hamilton are toward the bottom in average exit velocity. We're now in the final third of the fantasy baseball season with only a shade over a week from the traditional mid-August trade deadline for many leagues.

Identifying top power risers and fallers for each week can help you swing the best deals and spot the best pickups before your competition. We'll do the hard work for you, looking at the underlying metrics that influence a hitter's power: fly-ball, pull, hard-hit rates and exit velocity. Consider buying these week 18 power risers and selling these week 18 power fallers.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball draft tools and resources:

 

Power Risers

Maikel Franco - (PHI, 3B):

This is going to surprise some folks, and by that, I mean anyone who can read Franco’s stat line. He’s gone just 8-for-50 over his past two weeks heading into Thursday night, but at least two of those eight hits left the park. His fly-ball rate is sitting near 50 percent and his pull rate is a shade north of 60 percent, but a lowly 22.6 percent hard-hit rate and nonexistent 6.5 percent line-drive rate have continued to hold him back. Still, two out of three key power metrics are trending upward and if he starts getting his timing down with a lifting swing, look out. At this point in the season, taking him on should come with a bargain-bin price tag.

Gerardo Parra - (COL, 1B/OF):

Since the last few days in May, Parra has been verifiably on fire. There was a lengthy injury sprinkled in of course, so it isn’t like he’s been dominant over the past two-plus months, but in 114 plate appearances he’s triple slashing .466/.474/.709 with a .484 BABIP. Sustainability jokes aside, his last two weeks have seen him post a modest fly-ball rate of 31 percent with a 40 percent pull rate and 44 percent hard-hit rate. While the right-field wall is high in Coors Field, a guy who is locked in like this is set to continue producing down the stretch in the regular season’s final two months. It only helps that his line has been strong to-date, but many don’t trust this to hold up in the least and one sight of his BABIP usually leaves owners more than willing to flip him.

Edwin Encarnacion - (CLE, 1B):

Encarnacion has gone 11-for-43 (.256) over the last two weeks, as he actually has more walks (12) than hits. His power hasn’t disappeared -- three doubles and three homers populate his game log over this span -- but we’re talking about a guy who historically hits very well in the summer (well, any time later than April) and has a fly-ball rate of 40.6 percent, hard-hit rate of 46.9 percent and a pull rate of 62.5 percent. Considering his .213 batting average since the All-Star break and his slow start to the season, fantasy owners might be able to grab the bat that produced an .870 OPS and .257 ISO in the second half of 2016 with at a discount.

J.T. Realmuto - (MIA, C):

And just like that, Realmuto has eclipsed his homer tally from 2016 in 174 fewer plate appearances. While he’s on pace to fall short of his 12-steal mark from ’16, his ISO jumping from .126 to .178 has more than made up for it. It might be difficult to pry the Marlin from his owner, but he’s pulling the ball over half of the time (58.8 percent) with a 41.2 percent fly-ball rate and 44.1 percent hard-hit rate.

Unlike many other big swingers, his 20 percent line-drive rate in that window shows that he hasn’t totally sold out for an uppercut and still has his comfortable .300-average swing behind the muscle. Interestingly enough, he’s hitting just .243 on four-seam fastballs compared to .352 last season, but his average and slugging percentage has soared against nearly all forms of the breaking ball. Realmuto has an average greater than .300 and a slugging percentage over .500 against sliders, changeups and curveballs, so I believe he may really be coming into his own down the stretch in Year Two.

 

Power Fallers

Francisco Lindor - (CLE, SS):

Whaaaat? Lindor, a seller? He’s on a 13-game hitting streak in which he’s socked four homers, making for the perfect springboard to sell high if someone wants to unload him. Over that hitting streak, his 25.6 percent soft-contact rate actually outpaces his 23.3 percent hard-hit rate. He’s hitting more grounders (42.5 percent) than fly balls (32.5 percent) and he’s spraying the ball up the middle (35 percent) and the opposite way (39.5 percent) more than he’s pulling the ball (25.5 percent). This HR/FB rate over 25 percent feels like a bit of sham, though this is in no way saying that Lindor is bad or that his batting average isn’t deserved. This is still a guy with solid pop and decent speed from the shortstop position, but perhaps people are envisioning that guy who blew up in April coming back to life here when the metrics just aren’t supporting it.

Corey Dickerson - (TB, OF):

So Dickerson has notched multi-hit games in three of his last four games and is hitting .264 with four homers over his last two weeks of play. Given how well he did in the first two months of the season, this little spurt could be seen by many as a return to form for the 28-year-old. The only thing is, while his 40 percent fly-ball rate and 56 percent pull rate are very healthy, his 21.9 percent hard-hit rate is contributing very little to the cause. The difference between he and Franco is that Franco is coming from the bottom and Dickerson is trending downward but still has value on the season. He’s showing a little life right now with the pop, but his struggles in July (.220 average, no homers before the All-Star break) are simply being masked over. It’s not looking good.

Miguel Sano - (MIN, 1B/3B/OF):

Sano’s 10-for-45 stretch with two homers and 20 strikeouts over the last two weeks has come with a mild 27 percent fly-ball rate, 41 percent pull rate and 36 percent hard-hit rate. For anyone not named Miguel Sano -- one of the league leaders in exit velocity and barrels -- these numbers might be okay, but a hit to his almighty swing means his “three true outcomes” process is severely weakened.

The 24-year-old’s 35 percent strikeout rate remains absurd, but he’s hit between 5-7 homers in each month thus far with steady counting-stat contributions. The thing is, his ISO dipping from .262 across the first half to .200 in the second half (17 games) reflects his rolling average exit velocity falling below 90 mph recently. Simply put, that’s nothing special. There are plenty of Sano purists out there who will pay for his ceiling.

Carlos Gonzalez - (COL, OF):

CarGo may have seen his 11-game hitting streak come to end on Thursday, but let’s look at that streak just to see what it really holds. First of all, he hit three doubles and a homer within that stretch for his only extra-base hits against 10 singles. Second of all, his fly-ball and pull rates are hovering around 26 percent with a hard-hit rate at 28.6 percent. Yup, none of those marks exceeding 30 percent is a problem. The hitting streak may have lulled some folks into feeling like he’s turned a corner here and that a breakout is inevitable, but this just doesn’t look to be the case. His reputation, the streak and his second-half explosion from two years ago might be enough to get a decent piece in return here.

 

More Risers and Fallers




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Kyle Kuzma

Available Versus Spurs
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Active on Thursday
Cooper Flagg

Sidelined Thursday
Ricky Pearsall

Questionable to Play on Saturday Night
Sam Darnold

Questionable With Oblique Injury, Expected to Play
Tobias Harris

Active on Thursday
Isaiah Stewart

Jalen Duran and Isaiah Stewart Set to Return Against Suns
Anthony Edwards

Out Again on Friday Night
Damon Severson

Back for Blue Jackets Thursday
Adin Hill

Available Thursday Night
Darius Garland

Won't Play on Friday Evening
Brandon Montour

Activated From Injured Reserve
Joel Eriksson Ek

Misses Third Straight Game Thursday
Jonas Brodin

Placed on Injured Reserve, Out Week-to-Week
Domantas Sabonis

Might Return on Friday Night
Miro Heiskanen

Misses Second Straight Game
STL

Robert Thomas to Miss at Least Two Weeks
Jerami Grant

Likely to Play Against the Hawks on Thursday
Tom Wilson

Remains Out Thursday
Deni Avdija

Ruled Out Thursday
Jakob Chychrun

Available Thursday
Clayton Kershaw

to Pitch for Team USA in World Baseball Classic
P.J. Washington

Questionable Against the Jazz
Max Christie

Unlikely to Return to Action on Thursday
Mitchell Robinson

Will Sit Out Thursday
Landry Shamet

Could Return Thursday
Jalen Brunson

Out on Thursday Against Golden State
Daniel Gafford

Questionable Thursday Against the Jazz
Patrick Mahomes

Says Rehab Going "Great," Goal is 2026 Week 1 Return
Cooper Flagg

Is Unlikely To Play Thursday Against Utah
Lauri Markkanen

Will Not Be Available Thursday Against Dallas
Davion Mitchell

Ruled Out Thursday
Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Will Not Play Against the Celtics
Nico Collins

a "Long Shot" to Play in Divisional Round
CFB

Auburn, Ohio State the Lead Suitors for Kyle Parker
CFB

Oregon QB Transfer Bryson Beaver Linked to Georgia, Kentucky
CFB

Jake Merklinger Commits to UConn
New York Giants

John Harbaugh Finalizing Deal With Giants
Mackenzie Blackwood

Activated From Injured Reserve
Ben Griffin

Looks To Stay Hot In 2026
Tom Wilson

Cleared for Contact, Could Return Thursday
Neal Pionk

Lands on Injured Reserve, Out Week-to-Week
Jamie Drysdale

Activated From Injured Reserve
Corey Perry

Unavailable Wednesday
Teuvo Teravainen

to Miss at Least One Game
Connor Bedard

Returns to Practice
Alexandre Texier

Canadiens Sign Alexandre Texier to Two-Year Extension
New York Giants

Giants Making "Massive Push" to Hire John Harbaugh on Wednesday
Ranger Suárez

Ranger Suarez Agrees to Five-Year Deal With Red Sox
CFB

Dante Moore Not Entering 2026 NFL Draft, Will Return to Oregon
NFL

Mike Tomlin Doesn't Plan to Coach in 2026
Travis Hunter

Expected to Play More Defense in 2026
CFB

FBS Coaches Unanimously Vote to Expand Redshirt Eligibility to Nine Games
CFB

Ohio State Transfer Mylan Graham Signs with Notre Dame
CFB

Caden Durham Withdraws from Transfer Portal, Will Stay at LSU
Leon Draisaitl

Has Three Points in Tuesday's Loss
Joel Hofer

Controls Hurricanes Tuesday
Jordan Spieth

Perhaps the Most Intriguing Player at Sony Open
Jeremy Swayman

Posts First Shutout of the Season
Zach Werenski

Totals Three Points in Tuesday's Win
Chandler Stephenson

Available Wednesday
Aaron Rai

Looking For Putting Confidence at Waialae Country Club
Collin Morikawa

Isn't The Safe Play He Used to Be Ahead of Sony Open
Kurt Kitayama

Needs His Putting to Turn Around For Success at Year's First Event
Ryan Weathers

Yankees Add Rotation Depth, Acquire Ryan Weathers in Four-Player Deal
Los Angeles Chargers

Chargers Fire Offensive Coordinator Greg Roman
Pittsburgh Steelers

Mike Tomlin Stepping Down as Steelers Head Coach
CFB

Georgia Tech the Favorite to Land Justice Haynes?
Nolan Arenado

Cardinals Trade Nolan Arenado to Diamondbacks
Tom Kim

Desperately Needs a Solid Week at Sony Open
Billy Horschel

Hoping For a Fast Start to New Season at Sony Open
Corey Conners

Looks to Have a Return to Form in 2026
PGA

Chris Gotterup a Decent Play at Sony Open
Gary Woodland

Could Prosper at the Sony Open
Keith Mitchell

Unlikely to Contend at Sony Open
Robert MacIntyre

Looking for a Good Performance at the Sony Open
Michael Kim

Hopes to Start Sony Open Better This Week
Tom Hoge

Tries to Erase Poor 2025 Second Half in Hawaii
Brian Harman

Seeks Fresh Start in Hawaii
Eric Cole

Looks to Last Year for Success at Sony Open
Daniel Berger

Starts Off 2026 at Sony Open
Nico Collins

Suffers Concussion Against Steelers
Nico Collins

Carted to Locker Room for Concussion Evaluation
Kyle Tucker

Mets Meet With Kyle Tucker
Dalton Kincaid

"Should be Fine" for Divisional Round
Brooks Koepka

Officially Returning To PGA Tour
Tucker Kraft

Hopes to be Ready for Week 1 of Next Season
CFB

Georgia Lands Kentucky Transfer Dante Dowdell
Matthew Stafford

has "Little Sprain," Should be "Good to Go"
CFB

Sam Leavitt Expected to Sign with LSU
Green Bay Packers

Packers Expected to Work Out New Deal With Matt LaFleur in the "Coming Days"
CFB

Dylan Raiola Commits to Oregon
CFB

Isaiah Horton Landing with Texas A&M
George Kittle

Suffers Torn Achilles on Sunday
Omarion Hampton

Active for Wild-Card Round Against Patriots
George Kittle

Ruled Out After Non-Contact Achilles Injury
Las Vegas Raiders

Raiders Request Interview With Ejiro Evero
Los Angeles Rams

Mike LaFleur to Interview With Raiders and Cardinals
MacKenzie Gore

Yankees Pursuing Trade for MacKenzie Gore
Alex Bregman

Cubs Sign Alex Bregman to Five-Year, $175 Millon Contract
Freddie Freeman

Withdraws from World Baseball Classic

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP