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Masyn Winn 2025 Outlook: Decent Surface Stats Mask Poor Hitting Performance
7 mins agoMasyn Winn posted a solid rookie campaign as a 22-year-old, hitting .267/.314/.416 with 15 homers and 11 steals over 637 PAs. It's easy to assume upside considering Winn's age, but he deserved none of his numbers. His .303 BABIP was propped up by a 22% LD% that will probably regress, and his .256 xBA suggests his batting average is due for a 10-point drop even with the extra liners. His Statcast power indicators were awful, especially his 89.3 mph average airborne exit velocity, 3.7% rate of Brls/BBE, and .358 xSLG. Winn has good wheels with a 28.8 ft./sec Statcast Sprint Speed, but 11-for-16 on SB attempts (69% success rate) should earn him a red light moving forward. Winn currently projects as the leadoff man in St. Louis, but it's difficult to imagine him keeping that role with such a limited offensive skill set. Winn's 172.34 ADP isn't too pricey, but a player like this needs everything to go right just to be worth a roster spot. You can do better.
