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Mark Vientos 2025 Outlook: Plenty of Power Despite Projected Regression
2 days agoMark Vientos burst onto the fantasy radar in 2024, slashing .266/.322/.516 with 27 homers in 454 PAs. He wasn't quite that good per Statcast's expected metrics, which pegged him for a .248 average and .475 slugging percentage. That means we should expect regression from his .324 BABIP and 26.5% HR/FB, but "regress" doesn't mean "useless." The 25-year-old has light tower power with his 113.2 mph max exit velocity, 96 mph average airborne exit velocity, and 14.1% rate of Brls/BBE all well above league average. His 21.6% Pull% should help his HR/FB as well, with even more homers if he can improve his 36% FB%. Vientos is also expected to hit third in the Mets lineup, giving him bountiful RBI opportunities behind Francisco Lindor and Juan Soto. There's tons of swing-and-miss here as evidenced by Vientos's 29.7% K% and 15.9% SwStr%, but fantasy managers can overlook that for premium power production. Vientos should produce at a 30 HR pace with a .250ish average in the heart of the Mets lineup, making him a good choice at his ADP of 94.64.
