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Kipp Heisterman presents his expert NFL DFS prop picks for Week 15's Thursday Night Football of the Fantasy Football season. Use these prop picks to win money on Monkey Knife Fight, our partner for all DFS prop picks games.
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As always, I'm here to give you some solid props to take advantage of in tonight's game, so let's get right to the picks!
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49ers @ Seahawks More or Less Contest
Recommended Pick:
Geno Smith more than 242.5 passing yards and Brock Purdy less than 199.5 passing yards
While this may seem like a stretch for Smith, he has gone over this total in his five previous games. The Seahawks could also be without Kenneth Walker III or a limited version of him, which would also lead to more passing by this offense. The Niners have also been somewhat suspect against the pass in recent weeks as they have allowed nearly 260 passing yards per game over the previous four weeks. Seattle is also expected to be trailing in this game, so some extra passing can be expected.
Purdy is capable of throwing for more than 200 passing yards against this Seahawks' defense, but he likely will not have to. Seattle has been atrocious against the run, having allowed an average of over 100 rushing yards per game and nearly 5.4 yards per carry to the running back position over their previous four weeks. This is a perfect spot for San Francisco to take the pressure off of Purdy and run the ball aggressively. The Niners are also 3.5-point favorites in this one, which could lead to some additional running plays as well.
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49ers @ Seahawks More or Less Contest
Recommended Pick:
Christian McCaffrey more than 75.5 rushing yards and D.K. Metcalf more than 65.5 receiving yards
This is a rather high number for CMC as he has only eclipsed this total once in his previous five contests, but the matchup is ripe for a solid game here. The Seahawks have allowed the second-most rushing yards to running backs over the previous four weeks by allowing 522 yards. The Niners are also favored by 3.5 points, which lends to the running game. Add in the fact that the Niners could be on their fourth quarterback this season, Josh Johnson, and you have a recipe for success here.
Metcalf is in a solid spot in this game, having gone over this total in each of his previous four games while earning nearly 11 targets per game over that span. The Niners have struggled quite a bit against some pedestrian receivers over the previous four weeks as well by allowing nearly 200 receiving yards per game to the position. Given that Seattle is likely to be trailing in this one, you could see some additional passes thrown Metcalf's way late in the game.
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