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Scott Cullen provides his NFL DFS prop picks for September 28th, 2020 on Monkey Knife Fight. Make your DFS picks with his fantasy football advice.
An epic Monday night matchup finishes up Week 3 in the NFL and it provides plenty of opportunities to play props and win with Monkey Knife Fight.
The Baltimore Ravens host the defending Super Bowl champions, the Kansas City Chiefs.
The Chiefs have mostly looked good early in the 2020 campaign, earning a comfortable win against Houston in Week One then rallying to knock off the Los Angeles Chargers in overtime in Week Two. They have such an explosive attack, as they showed in last year’s playoffs, that they can’t be counted out no matter how far behind on the scoreboard.
While the Baltimore Ravens may not seem as explosive, they have also put up 71 points in two comfortable wins to start the season. The Chiefs may be the defending champs but, coming into the 2020 season, the Ravens are as much a Super Bowl contender as any team.
Here are some angles to consider for the NFL Monday night matchup on Monkey Knife Fight:
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KANSAS CITY-BALTIMORE
MORE OR LESS
Patrick Mahomes LESS THAN 295.5 PASSING YARDS
Mahomes is obviously great but this is a big number to cover. In his past 11 games, including the playoffs last season, he has thrown for more than 295 yards just three times. Going against a Ravens Defense that has allowed 210.5 passing yards per game through the first two weeks, it’s tough to just count on Mahomes for nearly 300 yards passing. He could get there but it sure seems more likely that he comes in under.
Lamar Jackson LESS THAN 249.5 PASSING YARDS
Jackson is obviously great and even if this isn’t a big number, it’s pretty big for a typical Jackson performance. In his past 15 games, including playoffs, he has thrown for 250 or more yards twice. Twice. The Chiefs Defense may be a tad vulnerable, allowing 269 passing yards per game but it’s not like Jackson has the premier receiving corps to start airing it out.
Travis Kelce LESS THAN 70.5 RECEIVING YARDS
This number is right in line with Kelce’s recent production. He has 140 receiving yards through the first two games of this season and averaged 69 receiving yards per game last season. But the Ravens pass defense is surely better than average, allowing just 5.2 net yards per attempt (second-best in the league), so it would seem to follow that Kelce should be leaning towards less than his average yardage.
Mark Andrews LESS THAN 60.5 RECEIVING YARDS
As much as Andrews can be a preferred target for Jackson, especially in the red zone, he’s not a high-volume receiver and has gone for more than 60 yards twice in his past 12 games. Kansas City may be a little more vulnerable to a passing attack but they also held Andrews to three catches for 15 yards in Week 3 last season so let’s stay pessimistic, friends.
RAPID FIRE
Travis Kelce -1.5 receptions vs. Tyreek Hill
It’s certainly possible that Hill could have a bigger impact as a downfield threat but he’s not as reliable as Kelce in the passing game. In the first two weeks of the season, Kelce has 15 receptions on 20 targets, averaging 7.5 receptions per game. Hill has 10 catches on 17 targets, averaging 5.0 receptions per game.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire -11.5 rushing yards vs. Mark Ingram
Ingram is something of a commodity with a diminishing value at the moment. He averaged 67.9 rushing yards per game last season but is sitting at just 42 rushing yards per game after the first two games this season. Edwards-Helaire, the Kansas City rookie, rushed for 138 yards in Week One, but just 38 yards in Week Two, as the Chiefs used him more as a receiver than they had the previous week. Given their respective roles right now, though, Edwards-Helaire would seem to have the higher ceiling.
Tyreek Hill -1.5 fantasy points vs. Mark Andrews
While Andrews might be slightly more likely to score a touchdown, he is not targeted as often, nor does he accumulate catches at the same rate as Hill so side with the Chiefs wide receiver in this matchup.
