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Justin Bales analyzes the fantasy prospects of Blazers rookie Zach Collins. See RotoBaller for more NBA and fantasy basketball strategy, rankings, and sleepers.
Position: C
Team: Portland Blazers
Draft Spot: 1.10
Analysis: Collins was expected to go between picks 10-15, so this was not unexpected. Some would argue that he should have fell because of his inability to win a starting role as a freshman at Gonzaga. That is a bit of a crazy analysis, though, as Gonzaga was an extremely deep team and the NBA tends to put more stock in players projection than their college production.
Collins looked elite on a per minute basis, as he had averages of 23.2 points, 13.6 rebounds, 1.0 assist, 1.1 steals, and 4.1 blocks per 40 minutes per game. He was also an ultra-efficient player with averages of 67.2% from two-point range, 47.6% from three-point range, and 74.3% from the free throw line. He's a player that fits the mold of more of a true center, though, as he averaged only 0.5 three-point shots per game, regardless of the elite percentage.
Collins' position on the Blazers is a bit confusing at this point. He will backup Jusuf Nurkic at center, but his minutes will be inconsistent based on foul troubles. He could see minutes at power forward, but he will need to display the ability to be a true stretch four before the Blazers give him real consideration there. He is a player that also needs to add muscle before making a major impact for the Blazers.
Bottom Line: Collins' minutes will be wildly inconsistent this season. He can contribute points, rebounds, and blocks with efficient averages, as well. Overall, he's a risky pick that is the true definition of "boom or bust."
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