RADIO
On Saturday, the NASCAR Xfinity Series raced at Homestead-Miami Speedway.
On Sunday, they'll do it again. Will it be as weird as Saturday's race, when Chase Briscoe's car broke on the pace laps, he started six laps down, and then he drove up to a top-10 finish? Will we get an extremely exciting ending like we did Saturday? We'll see!
Here at RotoBaller, we want to help you make informed decisions about your DFS lineups, which is why I'll be breaking down the slates for the Xfinity Series. Let's look at some NASCAR Xfinity DFS lineup picks for the Contender Boats 250 on DraftKings. (And if any other DFS providers want to start doing Xfinity, we'll do those too!) Be sure to also check out our NASCAR Premium Tools for Xfinity Series including our DFS Lineup Optimizer and powerful Research Station. (Also, a note: the short gap between races means that the blurbs in this article won't be as in-depth as usual. Sorry, but it happens when you have this many races in one weekend!)
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Xfinity DFS Lineup Picks - DraftKings
Be sure to also check out all of our other weekly NASCAR DFS articles and analysis to help you set your optimal DFS lineups on DraftKings and FanDuel.
Justin Allgaier #7 ($10,900) - Starting 32nd
Here's your big place differential guy on Sunday. Brake issues, tire issues, and contact with the wall all tanked his day on Saturday, but he's starting from the back in a back-up car for Sunday's race.
Allgaier's history at Homestead isn't encouraging. He's had just two top 10s ever here. But since joining JR Motorsports and not counting whatever yesterday was, he's got four top 15s in four races, so I think some of the concerns about Allgaier at this track are overblown.
Plus, the important thing here: he starts 32nd! Aside from A.J. Allmendinger (who cost too much for me to recommend him today, but pulls off 38th), Allgaier's the only top-level car starting even close to that far back. If we had to rank the place differential upside potential of drivers on this slate, Allgaier would rank second, and we know from yesterday's race that JR Motorsports has a lot of speed here. Play Allgaier for the upside.
Noah Gragson #9 ($10,200) - Starting 13th
If not for a late-race caution, Gragson had Saturday's race won. He led 83 laps, displaying some great long-run speed that allowed him to pull away during the final stage of the race.
The problem was this car didn't have the same speed on short runs, so Harrison Burton was able to take advantage on the final restart and win. But the thing we learned on Saturday that should tell us the most about Sunday: if this race stays green late, something that often happens at Homestead-Miami Speedway, then Gragson should be considered the favorite to win this whole race and get some revenge for Saturday's disappointing third place finish.
Austin Cindric #22 ($10,500) - Starting 14th
Cindric had one of the best cars on Saturday, leading 24 laps and bringing it home in second. This Penske 22 car is always a threat on intermediate tracks, and Cindric's 14th-place starting spot gives him solid place differential upside. I'm not sure this team has the speed to beat Gragson or Chase Briscoe if the race goes green for a long time, but his sixth top-five of the 2020 season seems within his grasp. He ran 17 fastest laps and had an average running position of third on Saturday.
Justin Haley #11 ($6,600) - Starting 3rd
I don't love that Haley is starting so close to the front, but the good news about that is he has the best car of the first two rows on the grid, which means there's a decent chance Haley can get out front and lead some early laps.
This 11 team was likely heading for a top 10 on Saturday before a penalty for an uncontrolled tire led to a pass-through penalty for him (and also for teammate Ross Chastain, as both had the same penalty at the same time). Haley lost a lap at that point and wasn't able to really recover from it. But this is a good race car and Haley's in a good starting spot to help him stay near the front.
Ryan Sieg #39 ($7,300) - Starting 28th
Sieg finished 28th on Saturday, but this team showed some solid speed at times during the race, and used pit strategy to lead 27 laps. He spun out late in the race, hurting his overall finish by a good bit, but for our purposes when it comes to Sunday's contests, that really just means that Sieg gave himself more place differential upside, right? This car should be able to run firmly in the top 20 for most of the day.
B.J. McLeod #6 ($4,500) - Starting 26th
I rarely suggest playing someone as low-priced as McLeod, but he allows you to fit some really expensive drivers in your lineup this week and has four top-20 finishes this season of JD Motorsports. He hasn't been quite so good over the past two races, but if you swallow his lower projection (24 fantasy points) you can afford three drivers with projections of 60 or more points.
