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This week, the NASCAR Xfinity Series heads to Charlotte.
We've got qualifying this week, so you'll need to make sure you double-check everything before lock, just in case there's a driver with a surprisingly bad qualifying run who suddenly gets a lot of place differential upside, or a driver who would normally have that PD upside who winds up starting too far towards the front.
Here at RotoBaller, we want to help you make informed decisions about your DFS lineups, which is why I'll be breaking down the slates for the Xfinity Series. Let's look at some NASCAR Xfinity DFS lineup picks for the Alsco Uniforms 300 on DraftKings. Be sure to also check out our NASCAR Premium Tools for Xfinity Series including our DFS Lineup Optimizer and powerful Research Station.
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Xfinity DFS Lineup Picks - DraftKings
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Ty Gibbs #54 ($10,800)
Some of the highest-priced plays on this slate are Cup drivers dipping down into cars that don't usually have a ton of speed. Chase Briscoe in the 99. Tyler Reddick in the 31. If I'm taking a swing at a non-full time driver, I'd much rather go with Gibbs, even if he's not a Cup driver.
Gibbs is averaging 59.1 fantasy points per race. He has four top fives in five races, including one win. His experience in ARCA on tracks between one and two miles in length goes like this: seven starts, with five wins and six top fives. We know the 54 car is always going to have speed. We also know that Gibbs has had success at this track type. The price here is really high, so if Gibbs can start on the front row and get some laps led points, great. If he starts below 10th and has some place differential upside, great too. If he starts between, say, third and ninth, I might pivot off of him.
Austin Cindric #22 ($10,500)
Cindric has an average finish of 9.3 here, including a third-place run here last year that saw him lead 30 laps.
He also won three times on this track type last season, including a win at Kentucky where he led 130 laps. Cindric's a really good intermediate driver and one of the best picks you could make if you're looking for someone who can lead a ton of laps.
The downside with Cindric is that he'll have a great qualifying run, which is going to put him in a position where he'll need to dominate to end up scoring a ton of fantasy points.
This is where Reddick and Briscoe come into play. Poor qualifying runs for those two could set them up for a ton of place differential points. Both are good pivots if you don't feel comfortable with where Gibbs and Cindric are starting.
Jeb Burton #10 ($8,400)
JEB!
Seventh in 2019 in his most recent Xfinity race here, Burton has had some solid runs this season, with seven top 10s in 11 races.
There are some solid drivers in this price range, but I think Burton might have the best consistency of them. I could pay $300 less for Michael Annett, but I don't trust him to have the same race speed. I could pay $7,900 for teammate Justin Haley, but Haley is likely to qualify higher than Burton, which would lead to less PD upside.
We'll have to see how qualifying goes before locking Burton in, but I'm tentatively high on him.
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Ty Dillon #23 ($8,200)
Dillon's season hasn't gone well, as he's only averaging 4.9 fantasy points per game. Yikes.
Still, Dillon is one of the most experienced drivers in this race. He has 165 Cup Series starts, plus 150 Xfinity starts. In Xfinity, he has five top 10s at this track.
He's in the Our Motorsports 23 car this week, which doesn't have the same speed that the 54 he's been running in has. Still, that could be good, as it's likely that Dillon won't start up front, giving him some solid upside in terms of place differential.
Look, this is a risky play based on how he's been running, but I trust Dillon is better than his results suggest. He's just had a ton of bad luck!
Brandon Gdovic #26 ($7,500)
Gdovic averages 32.5 fantasy points per race. He's only run three races so far, but he's back in the 26 this week.
After some struggles at Darlington, Gdovic's stock is a little down. But he was 17th at Martinsville!
The 26 has finished below 30th in three consecutive races, but in the first eight races of the season, the team had seven top 20s. Qualifying will determine some things here, but if Gdovic starts 25th or worse, then I think there's a lot of upside.
If he qualifies well, some possible pivots are Myatt Snider, Brandon Brown, and Brett Moffitt, depending on which one has the most place differential upside.
Ryan Vargas #4 ($4,500)
The cheapest play on this slate, if Vargas makes the race -- and I think the 4 car should have enough owner points to make it, since the team is 20th in those standings -- then I think there's enough upside to make him a great play.
The results haven't been there for Vargas yet, but he's shown solid in-race speed at times. He just needs to put together a run that doesn't end before the race itself ends. At $4,500, Vargas allows you to do so much stuff across your lineup. It's a pretty punty punt play, but if he winds up starting sub-30th like expected, then there could be a ton of value coming here. Vargas is a better driver than the numbers suggest.
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