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NASCAR DFS Prop Picks for 10/3 - PrizePicks

Hello once again everyone!  We hit the Talladega Superspeedway one last time from Talladega Motor Speedway this week and another edition of NASCAR DFS on PrizePicks. Now, that means our new friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win. As for the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.

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PrizePicks and NASCAR focus on Fantasy Score which has a scoring system where 1st nets 40 points, 2nd is worth 39, 3rd is worth 38, and so on. Every lap led equals an extra 0.01 points. For NASCAR, we are going to try and focus on the main board's Fantasy Score and see which players may go over or under their projected point totals. Let's see what the board offers today!

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Fantasy Score Point Totals

Kyle Busch Under 31.5 Points. This is the week we flip the script and run a lot of unders.  The younger Busch has not had much success at Talladega lately. Take the UNDER here as a crash is very possible on Sunday. His last top-nine result was the Spring race in 2017. That is more than four years ago. Ninth place would be worth 32 points and the over by the way. It is hard to believe the No. 18 won't try too hard at some point and get himself into trouble. Again, is a DNF a possibility? Very much so. He only has two in his last eight races but he has led less than ten laps in his last eight appearances. Think less and take the under.

Denny Hamlin Over 34.5 Points. The risk is extremely high here but Hamlin has five top six results in his last eight appearances. The great news for Hamlin is that he has already advanced to the Round of 8. That is not enough for Hamlin who went winless during the regular season but has two wins in the first four playoff races. The No. 11 car performs well at Talladega and often carries a lot of speed but sometimes too much downforce. It is a concern. However, that will allow Hamlin to hold his lines and positioning a bit longer. Take the over here in what should be a nip-and-tuck battle to stay in the top five.

Ryan Blaney Over 33.5 Points. The idea is great with the Penske having a chance at taking at least two or three of the top five spots on Sunday. It is still a risk only because even though Blaney has won this race recently, that does not mean something else would happen. Again, Talladega just seems to have a curse just when one figures things out. It's just one of those tracks that have its magic. Blaney has a first, first, and ninth in three of his last four races. In those two wins, he led a combined 98 laps. Taking the over is at least worth a try.

Kyle Larson Under 32.5 Points. The bad thing is that the superspeedway knocks Larson's prop down by several points. It makes this a far closer prop than it probably should be. However, the No. 5 car may not be good again to lead some laps and nab a podium finish. There is a chance that Larson winds up with a ton of issues yet again. Larson has four DNF's in his last five appearances at Talladega. Furthermore, he does not have a top ten since the Fall race of 2016. The most likely one is Kyle Larson finishing just around or outside the top ten.

Martin Truex Jr. Under 30.5 Points. This is nuts, right? Wrong! It is close on the surface and yet Truex Jr. could finish far worse. He has so many outside the top-20 results at Talladega. The problem was most prop sites could go too low with the Joe Gibbs Racing driver but most would have understood why. It is the 2.66-mile track and the package that just is not a fit here. Expect Truex Jr. to gradually fade and never fully recover on Sunday. He will not lead any laps barring something unforeseen and a top-ten is fairly unlikely. He may not even finish in the top-15.

Some other drivers to look at:  

Chris Buescher (not ranked) -- If one can find a top ten prop somewhere else, bet on it. Buescher is quite good on this superspeedway.

Aric Almirola  (over 31 points) -- Almirola is a top ten magnet of potential here. Again, think about those winning chances.

Matt DiBenedetto (over 29.5 points) -- Sorry everyone again. DiBenedetto loves the superspeedway and finished fifth in the Spring.

Christopher Bell (under 29 points) -- Feast or famine pick here. Either he surprises or flops out of the top-20. We lean more towards the latter.

Play the NASCAR Fantasy Score Now on PrizePicks

NASCAR DFS News and Driver Outlooks

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The Keys to Weekly NASCAR Success

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Max Muncy

Exits With Apparent Knee Injury
Christian Moore

Exits Early with Thumb Irritation
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Larry Nance Jr. Headed Back to Cavaliers
Josh Naylor

Returning to Diamondbacks Lineup
Eric Gordon

Remaining with 76ers
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Deandre Ayton Joining Lakers
Oronde Gadsden

an Active Pass-Catcher This Offseason
Brashard Smith

Speed Could be Put to Use
Emil Heineman

Signs Two-Year Deal with Islanders
Pat Bryant

Off to a Good Start
Simon Holmstrom

Re-Signs With Islanders for Two Years
Cody Barton

Quickly Becoming a Leader With his New Team
UTA

Nate Schmidt Signs Three-Year Deal With Mammoth
Montaric Brown

has Worked With Starters
UTA

Brandon Tanev Moves to Utah on Three-Year Contract
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Evgenii Dadonov Joins Devils on One-Year Deal
BUF

Sabres Snap Up Alex Lyon on Two-Year Contract
Dallas Mavericks

Dante Exum Returning to Dallas
Ryan McLeod

Inks Four-Year Extension with Sabres
NAS

Predators Bring in Nick Perbix on Two-Year Deal
Jaren Jackson Jr.

Has Surgery to Repair a Turf Toe Injury
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Cody Ceci Moves to Los Angeles
DET

James van Riemsdyk Joins Red Wings on One-Year Contract
Viktor Arvidsson

Traded to Boston
Charlotte Hornets

Spencer Dinwiddie Lands With Charlotte
Josh Jung

Sent to Triple-A
Jurickson Profar

Officially Reinstated and Hitting in Five-Hole on Wednesday
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Maxwell Hairston

Facing Sexual-Assault Lawsuit
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Rookie Season Likely to be Spent on Special Teams
LeQuint Allen Jr.

to Have Receiving Role for Jaguars?
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Turning Heads Going into Rookie Season
Bud Cauley

in Great Form Ahead of John Deere Classic
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a Player to Avoid at John Deere Classic
Jake Knapp

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Establishing Himself as Reliable Option
Grayson Murphy

Could Provide Rotational Pass-Rush Depth
Joe Andreessen

in a Good Position to Compete for Backup Job
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Sungjae Im Looking for Consistency at John Deere Classic
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a Solid Option at John Deere Classic
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Needs to Improve Pass Protection
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a Volatile Option at John Deere Classic
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Ben Kohles

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Attempts to Stop Roller-Coaster Ride
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Harry Higgs

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Nick Dunlap

Keeps Plugging Through Tough 2025 Season
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Dan Vladar Links Up With Flyers on Two-Year Deal
EDM

Andrew Mangiapane Signs Two-Year Pact With Oilers
SEA

Ryan Lindgren Joins Kraken on Four-Year Contract
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Christian Dvorak Heads to Philadelphia
Logan Stankoven

Signs Long-Term Extension with Hurricanes
NYI

Jonathan Drouin Joins Islanders on Two-Year Contract
NJ

Devils Hand Connor Brown a Four-Year Contract
SJ

John Klingberg Lands in San Jose
William Eklund

Signs Three-Year Extension with Sharks
Will Cuylle

Agrees to Two-Year Contract with Rangers
Zac Gallen

Fans 10 in Tuesday's Win
Hunter Goodman

Hits Two More Homers Tuesday
Josh Hader

Stays Perfect In Save Conversion On Tuesday
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Fans 11 Against Athletics
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Strikes Out 10 in Scoreless Outing
Jeff Green

Signs One-Year Deal to Remain in Houston
T.J. Watt

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George Springer

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Joshua Palmer

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Jake LaRavia Lands with Lakers
Laviska Shenault Jr.

on the Bubble
Orlando Magic

Tyus Jones Signs One-Year Deal With Magic
Raheem Blackshear

to Work Mostly As Special-Teamer
Golden State Warriors

Kevon Looney Heads to New Orleans
Rico Dowdle

Trevor Etienne to Split Carries?
Chuba Hubbard

Should See Majority of Touches in 2025
Milwaukee Bucks

Jericho Sims Staying in Milwaukee
Denver Nuggets

Tim Hardaway Jr. Joins Nuggets
Willson Contreras

Avoids Structural Damage on Hand After HBP
Detroit Pistons

Duncan Robinson Lands With Detroit
Charlotte Hornets

Tre Mann Remaining in Charlotte
Josh Naylor

Scratched From Tuesday's Lineup Against Giants
Kevin Yu

a Near Must-Play at TPC Deere Run
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Back in Action on Tuesday
Yordan Alvarez

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Thriston Lawrence

a Decent Fit For John Deere Classic
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Not Finding Much to be Happy About Ahead of John Deere Classic
Nolan Arenado

Dealing with Finger Sprain
Jacob Wilson

Scratched With Hamstring Soreness
Milwaukee Bucks

Gary Harris Inks Deal With Bucks
Charlotte Hornets

Mason Plumlee Heading Back to Charlotte
Si Woo Kim

is a Prohibitive Fade at John Deere Classic
Jakob Poeltl

Agrees to a Contract Extension With Raptors
Ben Griffin

is the Appropriate Favorite at TPC Deere Run
Vasilije Micić

Vasilije Micic Dealt to Bucks on Tuesday
Daniel Suarez

and Trackhouse Racing Parting Ways After 2025 Season
Pat Connaughton

Traded to Hornets
Atlanta Hawks

Luke Kennard Lands in Atlanta
Breece Hall

Aiming to Prove He is "Still One of the Best in the League"
T.J. Watt

Steelers Not Planning to Trade T.J. Watt
Ilia Topuria

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Charles Oliveira

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Kai Kara-France

Alexandre Pantoja Submits Kai Kara-France
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Joshua Van

Extends His Win Streak
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Competitive Run Ends With Third-Place Finish at Atlanta
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Ty Dillon

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Kyle Larson

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Christopher Bell

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Brad Keselowski

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RANKINGS
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