X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Advanced MLB DFS Strategy: Pitchers Due For Regression

The month of May is halfway over and most MLB teams have now played at least 40 games or 25% of their regular-season schedule. What that means to me is we are starting to get a larger and more reliable sample of data for the 2021 season.

This time of year is a great time to take a look at pitchers and look for some guys whose surface stats don't match up with their advanced stats. I am doing this primarily through an MLB DFS lens, but if you are a season-long player then you are constantly trying to re-evaluate players during the season and assess their future value as well.

This article is a follow-up to one that I wrote here earlier this spring for our MLB DFS strategy guide. If you ever want to chat with me about MLB, DFS, or fantasy sports in general, hit me up on Twitter @ThunderDanDFS.

Featured Promo: Get any DFS Premium Bundle for for 30% off using code NEW! Win more with expert advice from proven winners and exclusive DFS tools. Get instant access to RotoBaller's Lineup Optimizers, Research Stations, daily picks and VIP chat rooms across 10 sports! Go Premium, Win More!

 

Review of Stats Used

Stacking against a pitcher who is coming into their start with a 6.00 ERA and has allowed 10 homers in 8 starts is easy. It's almost too easy, meaning the opposing offense is going to be an obvious stack for tournaments (and perhaps still the right one). But some of those pitchers with bad stats may have positive regression coming, too, meaning a chalky stack against them might be a bad idea.

One of the best ways to differentiate your lineups is to find pitchers whose surface numbers don't look bad, but whose advanced statistics suggest that negative regression is coming. Here are some of the stats that I look at when trying to identify those pitchers on a daily basis.

  1. ERA estimators - SIERA and xFIP: These are both better indicators of a pitcher's performance than ERA, which is an inherently flawed statistic. SIERA stands for "Skill-Independent Earned Run Average" and XFIP stands for "Expected Fielding Independent Pitching." Both metrics give a more comprehensive look into how a pitcher performed than just how many runs they allowed and factor in variables that ERA doesn't (such as luck, defense, park factors, etc...)
  2. BABIP (Batting Average on Balls in Play): This stat can be used for hitters and pitchers, but can help in determining how lucky or unlucky a pitcher has been with how often they get outs on their pitches that are put into play by hitters.
  3. WHIP (Walks + Hits Allowed per Inning Pitched): This lets us know how many baserunners a pitcher is allowing on a per-inning basis.
  4. LOB% (Left On Base Percentage): This is often known as a "strand rate" and refers to how often pitchers strand runners on base to end an inning (they have to be runners that they allowed on base, not inherited runners).
  5. HR/FB rate (Homerun to Fly Ball ratio): This simply tells us how often a pitcher gives a home run on a fly ball (not all home runs are captured by this statistic as some are line drives).

 

2021 Negative Regression Candidates

Using 2021 data only, I did some stat dives this weekend to try to identify some of the pitchers whose ERAs aren't supported by the rest of the numbers. I pulled the data on all starters who have pitched at least 30 innings so far this season. Here's our first chart, the top-12 pitchers sorted by the difference between their ERA and SIERA.

Note: The data displayed here was generated BEFORE Sunday's games and doesn't reflect Matt Boyd's or Marcus Stroman's most recent starts.

At first glance, you'll a lot of pretty solid pitchers and there are definitely some guys here who are capable of keeping up their strong starts, too. The three main stats that I analyzed were LOB%, BABIP, and HR/FB% and I compared every starters' current rates to the league averages to find the difference.

In my mind, these are stats that are all bound to regress towards the average over the course of the season and are largely outside of the pitchers' control. There is perhaps an argument that a pitcher with a high LOB% rate could maintain that because they are really good at buckling down and getting that third out in an inning with men on base. But even the most clutch pitchers can't strike everyone out with two outs and men on base and some of those runners are going to score (sorry John Means, but 100% just isn't going to hold up all year).

BABIP is possibly the best stat to look at as far as which pitchers have been lucky or unlucky as far as getting outs when opposing hitters put the ball in play. The league average right now is .278 and by the end of the season, the vast majority of pitchers should have a BABIP within a few points of that number in either direction.

When looking at HR/FB rate, the league average right now is 13.5%. A really low number should concern us the most with fly-ball pitchers like Matthew Boyd and Danny Duffy. When a pitcher is giving up 35-40% fly balls and so few of them are going out of the park it's a major red flag. Of the two, I think Duffy has the best chance of keeping his renaissance season going (and yes, I have been touting Duffy weekly this season) but I also recognize that there's no way he's going to keep being as good as he's been so far.

Boyd is a guy I would stack against in DFS (and I did yesterday) as I think his BABIP and HR/FB are both highly unsustainable. He gave up four earned runs on six hits but did manage to strike out eight Cubs in the process. He didn't get blown up, but I would bet on those home runs coming sooner than later and will keep targeting him with hitters.

Let's briefly discuss some of the guys we shouldn't be panicking about from this list. Trevor Rogers is the real deal and there's no reason to sell high on him or target him in DFS. Lance Lynn is doing what he's done now for a few years in a row and nothing stands out here to me as being that big of an outlier for him. Carlos Rodon finally came back to Earth in his last start and while his BABIP and LOB% should regress a bit, he's still looked great with the added velocity and strikeouts. I already mentioned Duffy as a guy who can still be pretty good going forward even if he gives up a few homers.

The one really good pitcher who stands out here is Means. He's never done anything close to what he's done over his first eight starts. The no-hitter was awesome to see and I've always liked Means and his awesome changeup. But are we really looking at a 28-year old breakout year from Means and Cy Young type numbers? The 100% LOB rate and .182 BABIP really stand out as major outliers and will absolutely regress.

A quick look at his Statcast sliders show that's definitely been good almost across the board, but not 1.21 ERA-level elite as we would need to see. As a guy who throws about 92-93 with his fastball, he doesn't have much margin for error with his pitch location and we can see that he has had some balls hit really hard already this year when you look at those max exit velocity and barrel % numbers. The good news is that even with some regression, Means is still projecting as a really good pitcher - just not a great one.

Now let's look at our poster child for negative regression - John Gant! A few of my fellow Rotoballer MLB writers have been complaining lately about Gant and how he continues to somehow avoid the blow up outing. For those who have been frustrated by stacking against him without getting much in return, take heart! His 1.83 ERA is entirely smoke and mirrors! With a SIERA that is four points higher, he blows away everyone else on our leaderboard.

The crazy thing is that other than the LOB%, none of his other numbers really stand out on my chart. But we are talking about a guy with an 18% K rate this year and a whopping 17% walk rate. He is constantly allowing baserunners but somehow avoiding the bad start, allowing three earned runs or fewer in all seven starts this season. Let's take a closer look at his Statcast data.

Yikes! I think it's safe to say that John Gant is not a good pitcher and that he has the best chance of seeing major negative regression of the guys on our list. Keep stacking against him, he simply can't keep this up!

 

2021 Positive Regression Candidates

Note: This data doesn't include data from Sunday's games and Kyle Hendricks' most recent start.

I want to touch on some of the guys who shouldn't be as bad as they've been, too. I think we can all agree that Luis Castillo is not a 7+ ERA pitcher, that much is obvious. But he's not been good, either and his SIERA suggests that even if he had better luck with stranding runners (that 51% LOB rate is crazy low) or with balls in play (.380 BABIP also really high) he would still be underperforming his preseason expectations.

Dylan Bundy is a guy I wouldn't be bailing on and I expect him to bounce back and have a productive year. His 57% LOB rate has plenty of room for positive regression and nothing else really looks out of place. Andrew Heaney is another guy who has pitched pretty well this year despite a 4.75 ERA. He's a HR-prone pitcher, but a 20% HR/FB ratio suggests he's given up a few too many than he probably should have. Jameson Taillon is another guy who's probably going to be better than his 5+ ERA suggests, but there are no glaring differences here to suggest why he'll improve.

I wouldn't count on Kyle Hendricks morphing back into a top-end starter, but he did throw eight solid innings yesterday (albeit against the Tigers) and has been largely a victim of the home run this season with a massive 28% HR/FB rate. His Statcast numbers are still pretty bleak, but his control and quality offspeed pitches give him at least a fighting chance at being serviceable despite his complete lack of velocity.

The rest of these guys I would lump into the category of "bad pitchers who might not continue to be THAT bad" with Jorge Lopez being the poster child. Lopez has given up a lot of homers this year but has pitched better in his last few starts. I have stacked against him unsuccessfully already a few years and should probably rethink that going forward. Jordan Lyles and Trevor Williams both usually trigger my "must stack against them" reflex, too, but both guys can troll us at any point - they're just not all that terrible.

Matt Shoemaker might have a category of his own - "pitchers who have been horrible and might only be pretty bad." Keep picking on Shoe.

Well, that's all I have for you today! I hope this information helps you make more informed decisions this season and make sure that you continue to follow our MLB DFS strategy articles throughout the season!



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy baseball app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, sleepers, prospects & more. All free!



More Fantasy Baseball Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Randy Arozarena27 mins ago

Smashes Second Homer Of The Season
Luke Raley38 mins ago

Goes Yard In Mariners Loss
Michael Busch47 mins ago

Homers And Picks Up Four RBI On Monday
Cole Anthony55 mins ago

Listed As Questionable For Tuesday
Kyle Tucker57 mins ago

Homers In Third Straight Game
Jerami Grant1 hour ago

Likely To Miss Another Game Tuesday
Carson Kelly1 hour ago

Completes Cycle To Carry Cubs
Anfernee Simons1 hour ago

Iffy For Tuesday's Game
Garrett Crochet1 hour ago

Agrees To Six-Year Extension With The Red Sox
Scoot Henderson1 hour ago

Unavailable Tuesday
Deandre Ayton1 hour ago

Out Against Hawks
AJ Green2 hours ago

May Miss Another Game Tuesday
Thomas Harrington2 hours ago

Making MLB Debut On Tuesday
Kyle Lowry2 hours ago

Picks Up A Questionable Tag
Tyrese Maxey2 hours ago

Remains Out Against Knicks
Quentin Grimes2 hours ago

Good To Go Tuesday
Teoscar Hernández2 hours ago

Teoscar Hernandez Goes Deep On Monday
Gavin Sheets2 hours ago

Tallies Four RBI In Monday's Victory
Wilmer Flores2 hours ago

Hits Home Run, Tallies Four RBI In Victory
Dansby Swanson3 hours ago

Goes Deep Again On Monday
Christian McGowan3 hours ago

Undergoes Tommy John Surgery
Kumar Rocker3 hours ago

Allows Six Runs In Season Debut
Jacob Wilson3 hours ago

Launches First MLB Home Run
Casey DeSmith3 hours ago

Sharp In Monday's Victory
Mason Marchment3 hours ago

Tallies Two Helpers On Monday
Adam Klapka3 hours ago

Tallies Two Points In Shootout Victory
Ivan Fedotov4 hours ago

Sharp Against Nashville
Matvei Michkov4 hours ago

Continues Hot Stretch On Monday
Luke Hughes4 hours ago

Scores Goal, Adds Assist In Victory
Andrés Giménez4 hours ago

Andres Gimenez Homers, Steals A Base On Monday
Lars Nootbaar4 hours ago

Homers On Monday
Brant Hurter4 hours ago

Picks Up Save On Monday
Otto Lopez4 hours ago

Homers In Loss To Mets
James Wood4 hours ago

Homers Monday
David Peterson4 hours ago

Strikes Out Nine In Win Over Marlins
Pete Alonso5 hours ago

Hits A Grand Slam On Monday
Sam Stevens12 hours ago

Enjoys Nice Result In Houston
PGA13 hours ago

J.T. Poston Seeks To Contend At Valero Texas Open
Ochai Agbaji13 hours ago

Resting On Tuesday
RJ Barrett13 hours ago

To Be Rested Tuesday Night
Immanuel Quickley13 hours ago

Returning To Action Against Bulls
Jakob Poeltl13 hours ago

Available On Tuesday
Jonathan Kuminga13 hours ago

Uncertain For Tuesday's Game
Christian Braun13 hours ago

Listed As Probable For Meeting With Timberwolves
Aaron Gordon13 hours ago

Tagged As Questionable For Tuesday
Jamal Murray13 hours ago

Iffy For Tuesday
LeBron James14 hours ago

Ready To Play Against Rockets
Nikola Jokić14 hours ago

Nikola Jokic Expected To Play Against Timberwolves
Trae Young14 hours ago

Likely To Face Portland
Bradley Beal14 hours ago

Could Return On Tuesday
Denny McCarthy14 hours ago

Keeps Making Cuts But Needs To Make More Putts
Brian Harman15 hours ago

Off To A Subpar 2025 So Far
Ilya Samsonov16 hours ago

Nursing An Upper-Body Injury
Tomas Hertl17 hours ago

To Sit Out At Least One More Week
Garnet Hathaway17 hours ago

Rejoins Flyers Lineup
Erik Johnson17 hours ago

Available Monday
Rasmus Ristolainen17 hours ago

Not Expected To Return This Season
Ryan Preece17 hours ago

Has Three Straight Top-10 Finishes For First Time In His Career
Colton Sissons17 hours ago

Likely Out For Rest Of The Season
NASCAR17 hours ago

Bubba Wallace After Third-Place Finish At Martinsville: "What a Great Day"
Jonathan Marchessault17 hours ago

Day-To-Day With Lower-Body Injury
Todd Gilliland17 hours ago

Has Mistake-Free Day At Martinsville, Grabs Another Top-10 Finish
Brandon Moreno17 hours ago

Wins Back-To-Back Fights
Steve Erceg18 hours ago

Losses Third Consecutive Fight
Drew Dober18 hours ago

Gets Knocked Out At UFC Mexico City
Manuel Torres18 hours ago

Gets Back In The Win Column
Harry Hall18 hours ago

Bounces Back In Houston Last Week
Denver Broncos18 hours ago

Denver To Take A Running Back In The Draft
CJ Vergara18 hours ago

Gets Submitted
Ryan Fox18 hours ago

Showing Improvement Heading Into The Valero Texas Open
Édgar Cháirez18 hours ago

Edgar Chairez Gets Submission Win At UFC Mexico City
Courtland Sutton18 hours ago

"No Timeline" On Courtland Sutton Extension
Vince Morales18 hours ago

Drops Decision At UFC Mexico City
Raul Rosas Jr.19 hours ago

Gets Decision Win At UFC Mexico City
New York Jets19 hours ago

Jets To Wait On Contract Extensions For Garrett Wilson, Sauce Gardner
Saimon Oliveira19 hours ago

Still Winless In The UFC
David Martinez19 hours ago

Wins His UFC Debut
Jameson Williams19 hours ago

Detroit To Exercise Jameson Williams' Fifth-Year Option
Kevin Borjas19 hours ago

Earns His First UFC Win
Brandon Aiyuk19 hours ago

49ers Expected To Hold Brandon Aiyuk
Ronaldo Rodríguez19 hours ago

Ronaldo Rodriguez Suffers His First UFC Loss
Joel Dahmen20 hours ago

Scores Top-20 Finish At Texas Children's Houston Open
Jacob Bridgeman20 hours ago

Had Some Rest Heading Into The Valero
Sami Valimaki20 hours ago

Finishes Fourth At Texas Children's Houston Open
Maverick McNealy20 hours ago

Finishes Tied For 32nd At Texas Children’s Houston Open
Tom Kim20 hours ago

Finishes Tied For 36th At Valspar Championship
Rickie Fowler20 hours ago

Finishes Tied For 52nd At Texas Children’s Houston Open
Bud Cauley20 hours ago

Finishes Tied For Fourth At Valspar Championship
Sam Burns20 hours ago

Misses The Cut At Valspar Championship
Daniel Berger20 hours ago

Finishes Tied For 20th At The PLAYERS Championship
Ludvig Aberg20 hours ago

Misses The Cut At The PLAYERS Championship
Treylon Burks22 hours ago

Unlikely To Be Ready For Training Camp
Keenan Allen22 hours ago

Chargers Not Ruling Out Reuniting With Keenan Allen
Breece Hall22 hours ago

Could Be Part Of Committee In 2025
James Cook22 hours ago

Bills Not Close To Extension With James Cook
Tyreek Hill22 hours ago

Dolphins Planning On Tyreek Hill Being Part Of Their Future
Baltimore Ravens22 hours ago

Ravens Expected To Draft A Kicker
Mark Andrews22 hours ago

Ravens Expect Mark Andrews Back In 2025
Lamar Jackson22 hours ago

Ravens Have Had Early Extension Talks With Lamar Jackson
Christopher Bell23 hours ago

Powers His Way To A Second-Place Finish At Martinsville
Chase Elliott23 hours ago

Strong Martinsville Performance Ends With A Top-Five Finish
Kyle Larson23 hours ago

Collects A Top-Five Finish At Martinsville
William Byron24 hours ago

Places 22nd After Struggles At Martinsville
Joey Logano24 hours ago

Claims His First 2025 Top-10 Finish After Up-And-Down Performance
Tyler Reddick1 day ago

Fails To Place In The Top 10 At Martinsville
Joseph Woll1 day ago

Stands Tall On Sunday
UTA1 day ago

Alex Kerfoot Leads The Way In Sunday's Victory
Tristan Jarry1 day ago

Shuts The Door On Ottawa On Sunday
Sebastian Aho1 day ago

Busy In Sunday's Victory
Anze Kopitar1 day ago

Tallies Three Helpers On Sunday
Troy Terry1 day ago

Exits Early On Sunday
Denny Hamlin1 day ago

Silences Doubters After Crew-Chief Change
Ty Gibbs1 day ago

Earns Best 2025 Finish At Martinsville Despite Failing Cool Suit
Ross Chastain1 day ago

Has A Great Day At Martinsville
Chase Briscoe1 day ago

Has Solid Run At Martinsville
Erik Jones1 day ago

Disqualified At Martinsville For Weight Violation
Zach Wilson2 days ago

Still Views Himself As A Starter
New York Giants2 days ago

Victor Dimukeje Signs With Giants
Dallas Cowboys2 days ago

Brian Schottenheimer Optimistic About Deal With Micah Parsons
Lane Hutson2 days ago

Continues Special Campaign With Hat Trick Of Assists
Nick Suzuki2 days ago

Notches Three Points In Sunday's Win
Justin Fields2 days ago

Aaron Glenn Thinks Justin Fields Is Ready To Break Out
Dak Prescott2 days ago

"Doing Great" In Rehab From Hamstring Surgery
Jacksonville Jaguars2 days ago

Fred Johnson Signs With Jacksonville
Tennessee Titans2 days ago

Titans Still Entertaining Calls For No. 1 Overall Pick
Brandon Aiyuk2 days ago

Deadline Coming For Brandon Aiyuk
Josh Berry2 days ago

Has Top-10 Upside At Martinsville
Joey Logano2 days ago

Don't Overlook Joey Logano This Weekend
Ryan Preece2 days ago

Could Get First Three-Race Top-10 Streak Of His Career
Chase Elliott2 days ago

Looking To Continue Great Runs At Martinsville
Christopher Bell2 days ago

Wins Pole At Martinsville, But Can He Stay Up There?
Ryan Blaney2 days ago

Fast In Practice But Skeptical About Car
Denny Hamlin2 days ago

New Crew Chief Has Terrible Martinsville Record
Steve Erceg4 days ago

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Brandon Moreno4 days ago

A Favorite At UFC Mexico City
Manuel Torres4 days ago

Set For Co-Main Event
Drew Dober4 days ago

An Underdog At UFC Mexico City
Joe Pyfer4 days ago

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Kelvin Gastelum4 days ago

Set For Middleweight Matchup
Vince Morales4 days ago

In Dire Need Of Victory
Raul Rosas Jr.4 days ago

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Saimon Oliveira4 days ago

Looks For His First UFC Win
Jhonattan Vegas6 days ago

Not A Good Play At Houston Open
Gary Woodland6 days ago

A Dark-Horse Candidate At Houston Open
Nick Taylor6 days ago

Keep An Eye On Nick Taylor At Houston Open
Mackenzie Hughes6 days ago

Avoid Mackenzie Hughes At Houston Open
Nicolai Hojgaard6 days ago

Looking To Rebound At Houston Open

MORE RECENT ARTICLES

 
Tyreek Hill - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Three Aging Fantasy Football Players To Sell In Dynasty Leagues

It's hard to always know when to sell off your aging fantasy football players. Often, it's also difficult to accept that it's better to move on from a player when he's coming off a productive season and still has a lot left in the tank. But I believe it's better to be a year early […]


J.J. McCarthy - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Draft Sleepers

Five Fantasy Football Superflex Quarterback Breakouts, Draft Targets (2025)

If you’ve ever played in a Superflex fantasy football league, then you know how important quarterbacks are in this format. The ability to start multiple stud quarterbacks can carry you to a Superflex title. Unfortunately, finding two such players isn’t so easy. All the top signal-callers come off draft boards first, and that makes it […]


Omarion Hampton - College Football Rankings, NCAA CFB DFS Lineup Picks - NFL Draft

Ideal Landing Spots For The Top 12 Fantasy Football Rookies - 2025 NFL Draft

Then, the NFL Draft continues to inch closer and closer. This is a very interesting class, with a handful of players who could be stars in the NFL and reshape fantasy football leagues going forward. Here are the ideal landing spots for the top 12 fantasy football rookies. These picks exist in conversation with each […]


Jalen Coker - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Eight Best Ball Late Round Value Fantasy Football Players To Target For 2025

Fantasy football is the most popular game in all of sports. It has gone from a paper-and-pen game to a multi-million dollar-a-year one. While redraft leagues are the most popular form of fantasy football, best ball leagues are quickly gaining steam. The best part of best ball leagues is the ability to draft thousands of […]


Abdul Carter - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

2025 NFL Draft Rankings: Top 10 Fantasy Football Edge Rusher Prospects

Edge rusher is the most important, most coveted, and most highly-paid position on defense in the NFL. It stands to reason that the most important position in the entire game being quarterback, and by a wide margin, means the most important position on defense are the players that are tasked with disrupting opposing QBs as […]


Brock Purdy - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Picks

Brock Purdy Dynasty Fantasy Football Outlook and Trade Value

Despite becoming the all-time leading passer for the Iowa State Cyclones, Brock Purdy wasn't a highly touted prospect due to his perceived lack of athleticism. The 49ers picked him with the final pick of the 2022 NFL Draft, but Mr. Irrelevant quickly proved everyone wrong. In his first two years, he started in back-to-back NFC […]


Michael Florio's Football Show - Podcast RotoBaller Network

Florio's Football Show: Scouting NFL Draft Prospects!

Michael F Florio goes over some of the top prospects from this years NFL Draft. Florio talks about what he looks for when watching prospect tape and explains what traits translate best to the NFL level. Be sure to also tune into RotoBaller Radio on SiriusXM (SiriusXM channel 87) on Sundays from 6-7 am. You can […]


Najee Harris - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Dynasty Fantasy Football Buy or Sell: Najee Harris, Rico Dowdle, Jordan Mason

One year ago, we discussed the futures of Josh Jacobs, Derrick Henry, Saquon Barkley, and Aaron Jones as those free agents found new homes. This year's headliners are Najee Harris, Rico Dowdle, and Jordan Mason. Not quite the same. Still, with every transaction come implications for dynasty fantasy football rosters across the globe. Below, we […]


Romeo Doubs - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Early 2025 Fantasy Football Sleepers: Undervalued NFC Draft Targets

While the 2025 fantasy football redraft season is still several months away, there is no such thing as being too prepared for your fantasy draft. Fantasy football is year-round, even for those who only play in redraft leagues. The landscape of fantasy football will change between today and the start of redraft season, with the […]


Detroit Lions Defense, Aidan Hutchinson - Fantasy Football DST Rankings, Streamers, IDP Sleepers

2025 Fantasy Football IDP Sleepers: Five Draft Targets

It's notably difficult to identify sleepers in fantasy football IDP leagues. The skill of the players in question is very important, but situation also plays a large factor, as does a recent history of injuries. Rather than bucketing them into groups, it's better to analyze each one individually, look at where they are in terms […]


Ashton Jeanty - College Football Rankings, NCAA CFB DFS Lineup Picks

Ashton Jeanty's Top Potential Landing Spots For 2025: Fantasy Football NFL Draft Outlook

Boise State running back Ashton Jeanty will enter the 2025 NFL Draft as one of the best prospects in the class. Jeanty just ran for 2,601 yards and 29 touchdowns across 14 games this past college season. Those 2,601 rush yards were the second-most of all-time in FBS history, only behind Barry Sanders's 2,628 rush yards […]


Bhaysul Tuten - NFL Draft Prospects, Rookie Rankings

2025 Fantasy Football Rookie Mock Draft: 12-Team, Single QB

The 2025 NFL Combine has now been completed, so it's worth doing another mock draft to see where everyone stands after the league's pre-draft testing event. Overall, there were a few surprises, but the order of many players will remain the same. The mental domain of the original rankings, which have been fairly set in […]


Rashid Shaheed - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

2025 Fantasy Football Sleepers: Later-Career Breakout Candidates

Typically, most NFL players break out in the early parts of their careers. Between the ages of 20 and 25 is when you expect to see the majority of players have their first big season. Some waste no time and put together excellent years while they're rookies, while some need more time to develop. These […]