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Joe Williams' MLB betting picks for 7/30/19. He analyzes Vegas lines and recommends the top expert bets for today's MLB slate including money-lines, spreads and totals.
Welcome to the Tuesday, July 30th edition of RotoBaller's MLB Betting Picks. I will be serving up some of my top options on today's 15 game slate.
- Saturday's Picks: 4-0 (100.0%) +400
- Year-to-Date: 28-18 (60.9%) +857
In this article, we will dive into the numbers and pick out my top recommended betting picks for today's slate. Feel free to contact me on Twitter @JoeWilliamsVI if you have any questions or if you'd like additional content and occasional gambling notes and tidbits.
Here are my picks for Tuesday, July 30th. Be sure to check out all the MLB Vegas Odds and MLB Park Factors for today's slate. Good luck!
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Atlanta Braves (+155) @ Washington Nationals
O/U: 9.5
The Braves dropped the series opener against the Nationals on Monday night. Don't expect it to happen again. As such, the Braves are a tremendous value at moderate plus-money, especially in a favorable pitching matchup of RHP Julio Teheran against RHP Erick Fedde.
Atlanta has posted a 7-3 record in the past 10 in Game 2 of a series, while going 11-5 in the past 16 following a loss. Teheran is the man to get things back on track, too, as the Braves are 6-1 in his past seven starts inside the National League East, while going 4-1 in his past five road outings and 4-1 in his past five starts overall. The Braves are also 5-2 in his past seven appearances against the Nationals.
On the flip side, the Nats are 3-9 in Fedde's past 12 home starts, including 1-6 in his past seven at Nationals Park against a team with a winning overall mark.
My Pick: Braves (+155)
Minnesota Twins (-155) @ Miami Marlins
O/U: 8
The Twins have a very favorable pitching matchup in this interleague series opener. Minnesota has posted a 5-2 mark over their past seven road outings while going 5-2 in the past seven road games against a right-handed starting pitcher. They're also 13-4 in RHP Jake Odorizzi's last 17 starts overall while going 6-2 in his past eight outings on the road. They're also 13-3 in his past 16 against teams with a losing overall mark.
Fort he Marlins, they're 4-0 in the past four vs. RHP, while going 5-1 in the past six interleague battles. While that's all well and good, they're just 1-4 in RHP Zac Gallen's past five appearances, 1-4 in the past five interleague home battles and 14-39 in the past 53 against teams with an overall winning percentage over .600.
My Pick: Twins (-155)
Chicago Cubs @ St. Louis Cardinals (+110)
O/U: 9
The Cardinals have been red-hot lately, registering five consecutive wins inside the National League Central, and they're 4-0 in the past four series openers, too. In addition, the Cards have cashed in 12 of the past 16 games overall, while going 6-1 in the past seven games against a right-handed starting pitcher. They're also 5-2 in the past seven at Busch Stadium II against a righty.
With RHP Adam Wainwright on the hill, the Cards have won 45 of the past 65 home outings, and they're 41-20 in his past 61 inside the NL Central. They have won each of Waino's past four starts overall, too, while going 6-1 in Wainwright's past seven home outings against the Cubbies.
Chicago has managed just one victory in their past seven trips to the Gateway City, while going 8-20 in their past 28 road outings, including 4-9 in the past 13 away from home against winning teams. They have also cashed just once in the past six starts by RHP Yu Darvish.
My Pick: Cardinals (+110)
