X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

MLB Betting Expert Picks (7/27/19): Moneylines, Totals

Joe Williams' MLB betting picks for 7/27/19. He analyzes Vegas lines and recommends the top expert bets for today's MLB slate including money-lines, spreads and totals.

Welcome to the Saturday, July 27th edition of RotoBaller's MLB Betting Picks. I will be serving up some of my top options on today's 15 game slate.

  • Tuesday's Picks: 4-1 (80.0%) +315
  • Year-to-Date: 24-18 (57.1%) +457

In this article, we will dive into the numbers and pick out my top recommended betting picks for today's slate. Feel free to contact me on Twitter @JoeWilliamsVI if you have any questions or if you'd like addition content and occasional gambling notes and tidbits.

Here are my picks for Saturday, July 27th. Be sure to check out all the MLB Vegas Odds and MLB Park Factors for today's slate. Good luck!

Featured Promo: Get any Props Premium Pass for 30% off using code NEW. Win more with our two new Props Optimizer tools -- one for PrizePicks Props, and one for Sportsbook Betting Props. Find optimal prop bets and get our recommended picks daily! Go Premium, Win More!

 

Detroit Tigers @ Seattle Mariners (-145)

O/U: 9

The Tigers and Mariners square off in a southpaw battle at T-Mobile Park in SoDo, with LHP Tyler Alexander and LHP Marco Gonzales locking horns. The Tigers have won just 11 of their past 54 games against American League West foes, while going 1-6 in the past seven against left-handed starting pitchers and 30-68 across the past 98 on the road.

The M's haven't been much better against southpaws, posting a 7-19 record in the past 26 vs. LHP, while going 3-7 in the past 10 at home against lefties. However, they're 6-2 in Gonzales' past eight outings, 5-2 in his past seven against losing teams while going 4-1 in the past five against AL Central foes. Detroit has struggled against everyone, but Seattle has particularly been hard on them. The M's have won five straight in this series, and 16 of the past 21 meetings in the Pacific Northwest.

My Pick: Mariners (-145)

 

Atlanta Braves (-130) @ Philadelphia Phillies

O/U: 10

The Braves roll out LHP Max Fried against Phillies RHP Zach Eflin in Game 2 of this National League East battle. The Braves opened the series with an emphatic 9-2 victory at Citizens Bank Park on Friday night, their highest run total in 16 games dating back to a 12-run outburst against Philadelphia on July 4. In fact, the past three times the Braves have scored nine or more runs have each come against the Phillies, including the last time they faced Eflin.

Eflin is 7-10 with a 4.25 ERA and 1.32 WHIP across 19 starts. The last time he faced Atlanta he coughed up seven runs - six earned - and seven hits with two walks and three strikeouts in just three innings of work, and he is 0-3 with an 11.08 ERA and 1.85 WHIP across 13 innings over his past three outings. The Phillies are 7-3 in Eflin's past 10 home outings, but just 1-10 in his past 11 tries against teams with a winning record, 0-4 in the past four starts overall and 1-5 in his past six home starts against winning clubs.

My Pick: Braves (-130)

 

Cleveland Indians (-225) @ Kansas City Royals

O/U: 9.5

The Indians have closed to within two games of the first-place Minnesota Twins after being down by double-digit games in late June. Cleveland can ill-afford a loss to the lowly Royals, and they'll get it done behind RHP Mike Clevinger.

Cleveland is 7-1 in Clevinger's past eight against teams with a losing record, and 20-7 in his past 27 against AL Central foes. That includes his outing on July 3 in Kansas City when he worked six scoreless innings with four hits, no walks and nine strikeouts in a 4-0 victory. He has recorded three quality starts in four outings since getting lit up for seven runs in just 1 2/3 innings at Baltimore back on June 28. Over the past three outings Clevinger is 2-0 with a 2.50 ERA and 1.11 WHIP with 25 strikeouts in just 18 innings.

RHP Glenn Sparkman tries to give his team a chance to win, but he is just 3-6 with a 4.67 ERA and 43 strikeouts with 20 walks in 79 innings over 11 starts and 19 appearances overall. He faced the Indians in Cleveland last time out, coughing up five runs - four earned - and nine hits in 5 2/3 innings in a loss on July 21, and he also was belted for five earned runs, seven hits and two walks in 5 2/3 innings in a no-decision in Cleveland on June 25. The Royals have won just three of his past 10 appearances, and they won't win this one either. It's hacky to take the Indians, or any other team, at more than -170. Roll with the run line instead.

My Pick: Indians (-1.5, -125)

 

Texas Rangers @ Oakland Athletics (-160)

O/U: 9.5

The Athletics look to stay hot while taking advantage of an ice-cold pitcher on Saturday night.

The Rangers are 0-9 in RHP Adrian Sampson's past nine road outings, while going 0-6 in his past six tries against teams with a winning overall record and 0-6 in his past six on the road against winning teams, too. The Rangers are also 1-4 in the past five on the road vs. RHP, while hitting in just three of their past 12 games overall. Texas has also won just thrice in the past 10 against divisional foes, while winning four of the past 13 inside the American League West Division.

The A's haven't been terribly consistent over the past week, either, going 1-5 in the past six overall while cashing in just one of the past five against winning sides. They're also 0-5 in the past five vs. RHP and 1-4 in the past five inside the division. However, they are 6-2 in the past eight at home, while going 11-3 in the past 14 following a loss. The Rangers have won just seven times in the past 26 trips to Oakland, and the A's will pile up enough early offense against Sampson to cruise to another victory at home.

My Pick: Athletics (-160)

More Fantasy Baseball Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Eugenio Suárez4 hours ago

Eugenio Suarez Hits Go-Ahead Grand Slam Tuesday
A.J. Puk4 hours ago

Earns First Save Of Season Tuesday
Michael King5 hours ago

Fans 11 In Five Shutout Innings Tuesday
Christian Yelich5 hours ago

Hits First Homer Of Season, Steals Base Tuesday
Evan Engram5 hours ago

Sean Payton Excited About Evan Engram In Joker Role
Anthony Bender5 hours ago

Earns First Save Of Season Tuesday
Robert Hassell III5 hours ago

Has Three-Hit Day At Triple-A
Thomas Harrington5 hours ago

Hit Hard In MLB Debut Tuesday
Gunnar Henderson5 hours ago

Hits Solo Homer In Triple-A Rehab Game Tuesday
Marcelo Mayer5 hours ago

Hits First Home Run At Triple-A
Caleb Williams5 hours ago

To Spend More Time Working Under Center
Tom Hoge6 hours ago

Looking To Build Off Strong Performance At The PLAYERS Championship
Zebby Matthews6 hours ago

Twirls Five Shutout Innings At Triple-A
Daniel Jones6 hours ago

Anthony Richardson, Daniel Jones To Split First-Team Reps This Offseason
Terry McLaurin6 hours ago

Commanders Interested In Extending Terry McLaurin
Rashee Rice6 hours ago

Expected To Be Ready For Training Camp
Hurston Waldrep6 hours ago

Fans Seven In Win At Triple-A
Garrett Wilson6 hours ago

Jets Plan To Get Garrett Wilson The Ball "As Much As Possible"
Keaton Mitchell6 hours ago

Ravens Have High Hopes For Keaton Mitchell
Angel Genao6 hours ago

Dealing With Shoulder Injury
Derrick Henry6 hours ago

John Harbaugh Wants Ravens To Extend Derrick Henry
Christian McCaffrey7 hours ago

Is Healthy
Clarke Schmidt7 hours ago

To Return April 15 Or 16
Shane Baz7 hours ago

Strikes Out 10
Mike Tauchman7 hours ago

Begins Rehab Assignment
Wyatt Langford8 hours ago

Launches Another Homer
Nathan Eovaldi8 hours ago

Throws Complete Game Shutout
Michael Petersen8 hours ago

Traded To Atlanta
Matt Fitzpatrick8 hours ago

Looking For Consistency At Valero Texas Open
Corey Conners8 hours ago

Continues Strong Form Ahead Of Valero Texas Open
Patrick Cantlay9 hours ago

Eyeing Victory At Valero Texas Open
Reynaldo López9 hours ago

Reynaldo Lopez To Undergo Right-Shoulder Surgery
Gary Woodland9 hours ago

Showing Great Form Ahead Of Valero Texas Open
Akshay Bhatia9 hours ago

Aiming For Repeat At Valero Texas Open
Alejandro Tosti9 hours ago

A Volatile Choice At TPC San Antonio
NFL9 hours ago

Tush Push Unlikely To Be Banned For 2025 Season
Xavier Legette9 hours ago

Dave Canales Compares Xavier Legette To DK Metcalf
Brett de Geus9 hours ago

Phillies Claim Brett de Geus Off Waivers From Marlins
New York Giants9 hours ago

Ty Summers Re-Signs With New York
Nick Mears10 hours ago

Beginning Rehab Assignment At Triple-A
Sam Ehlinger10 hours ago

Signs One-Year Deal With Denver
Guerschon Yabusele10 hours ago

Out Against Knicks
Karl-Anthony Towns10 hours ago

Sits Out Tuesday's Game
Arizona Cardinals10 hours ago

Calais Campbell Returns To Arizona
Jevon Carter10 hours ago

Ruled Out Tuesday
Dalen Terry10 hours ago

Unavailable Against Raptors
Julian Phillips10 hours ago

Out On Tuesday
Jalen Smith10 hours ago

Available Against Raptors
Lonzo Ball11 hours ago

Still Out On Tuesday
Kevin Huerter11 hours ago

Cleared For Tuesday's Matchup
Josh Giddey11 hours ago

Will Play On Tuesday
Dalano Banton11 hours ago

Starting Against The Hawks
Royce O'Neale11 hours ago

Unavailable Against Bucks
Jerami Grant11 hours ago

Out Again On Tuesday
Bradley Beal11 hours ago

Out On Tuesday
Ron Holland II11 hours ago

Tagged With A One-Game Suspension Tuesday
Anfernee Simons11 hours ago

Ruled Out Versus The Hawks
Trae Young11 hours ago

Officially Available Tuesday
Marcus Sasser11 hours ago

Suspended For One Game On Tuesday
Giannis Antetokounmpo11 hours ago

Will Play On Tuesday
Jimmy Snuggerud11 hours ago

Ready For NHL Debut Tuesday
Isaiah Stewart11 hours ago

Suspended For Two Games On Tuesday
Jacob Trouba11 hours ago

Set To Rejoin Ducks Lineup Tuesday
Jonathan Kuminga12 hours ago

Ruled Out On Tuesday
Troy Terry12 hours ago

On Track To Play Tuesday
Jaylen Brown12 hours ago

Questionable Versus Miami
Jonathan Marchessault12 hours ago

Remains Out Against Blue Jackets
Alex Laferriere12 hours ago

Expected To Return On Tuesday
Luke Schenn12 hours ago

A Game-Time Decision Tuesday
Dante Fabbro12 hours ago

Returns Against Predators
Detroit Lions14 hours ago

Alim McNeill Could Miss Start Of Regular Season
Tennessee Titans15 hours ago

Justin Hardee Sr. Returning To Titans
Washington Commanders15 hours ago

Brandon Coleman Moving To Right Tackle For Commanders
Raheem Blackshear15 hours ago

Returning To Carolina
Kirk Cousins15 hours ago

Not Expected To Attend Voluntary Offseason Training
NFL15 hours ago

NFL Ownership Votes To Move Kickoff Touchbacks To 35-Yard Line
Olli Määttä15 hours ago

Olli Maatta A Game-Time Call On Tuesday
Jordan Greenway15 hours ago

Remains Sidelined On Tuesday
Dallas Cowboys15 hours ago

Cowboys Willing To Make Micah Parsons The Highest-Paid Non-QB
Jordan Staal15 hours ago

Doubtful For Wednesday
Matt Roy16 hours ago

Not Traveling With Team
Josh Norris16 hours ago

Not Traveling With The Team On Tuesday
Brady Tkachuk16 hours ago

Not Playing On Tuesday
Jordan Spieth17 hours ago

Needs To Find Consistency At TPC San Antonio
Jake Knapp18 hours ago

Making First Appearance At Valero Texas Open
Michael Kim18 hours ago

Looking To Find The Magic Again In San Antonio
Tommy Fleetwood18 hours ago

Is Nearly A Must-Play At Valero Texas Open
Tony Finau18 hours ago

Hoping For Better Approach Play In San Antonio
Eric Cole18 hours ago

Trending In Right Direction Ahead Of Valero
Casey DeSmith22 hours ago

Sharp In Monday's Victory
Mason Marchment22 hours ago

Tallies Two Helpers On Monday
Adam Klapka22 hours ago

Tallies Two Points In Shootout Victory
Ivan Fedotov22 hours ago

Sharp Against Nashville
Matvei Michkov23 hours ago

Continues Hot Stretch On Monday
Luke Hughes23 hours ago

Scores Goal, Adds Assist In Victory
Sam Stevens1 day ago

Enjoys Nice Result In Houston
PGA1 day ago

J.T. Poston Seeks To Contend At Valero Texas Open
Denny McCarthy1 day ago

Keeps Making Cuts But Needs To Make More Putts
Brian Harman1 day ago

Off To A Subpar 2025 So Far
Ilya Samsonov1 day ago

Nursing An Upper-Body Injury
Tomas Hertl1 day ago

To Sit Out At Least One More Week
Ryan Preece1 day ago

Has Three Straight Top-10 Finishes For First Time In His Career
NASCAR2 days ago

Bubba Wallace After Third-Place Finish At Martinsville: "What a Great Day"
Todd Gilliland2 days ago

Has Mistake-Free Day At Martinsville, Grabs Another Top-10 Finish
Brandon Moreno2 days ago

Wins Back-To-Back Fights
Steve Erceg2 days ago

Losses Third Consecutive Fight
Drew Dober2 days ago

Gets Knocked Out At UFC Mexico City
Manuel Torres2 days ago

Gets Back In The Win Column
Harry Hall2 days ago

Bounces Back In Houston Last Week
CJ Vergara2 days ago

Gets Submitted
Ryan Fox2 days ago

Showing Improvement Heading Into The Valero Texas Open
Édgar Cháirez2 days ago

Edgar Chairez Gets Submission Win At UFC Mexico City
Vince Morales2 days ago

Drops Decision At UFC Mexico City
Raul Rosas Jr.2 days ago

Gets Decision Win At UFC Mexico City
Saimon Oliveira2 days ago

Still Winless In The UFC
David Martinez2 days ago

Wins His UFC Debut
Kevin Borjas2 days ago

Earns His First UFC Win
Ronaldo Rodríguez2 days ago

Ronaldo Rodriguez Suffers His First UFC Loss
Joel Dahmen2 days ago

Scores Top-20 Finish At Texas Children's Houston Open
Jacob Bridgeman2 days ago

Had Some Rest Heading Into The Valero
Christopher Bell2 days ago

Powers His Way To A Second-Place Finish At Martinsville
Chase Elliott2 days ago

Strong Martinsville Performance Ends With A Top-Five Finish
Kyle Larson2 days ago

Collects A Top-Five Finish At Martinsville
William Byron2 days ago

Places 22nd After Struggles At Martinsville
Joey Logano2 days ago

Claims His First 2025 Top-10 Finish After Up-And-Down Performance
Tyler Reddick2 days ago

Fails To Place In The Top 10 At Martinsville
Denny Hamlin2 days ago

Silences Doubters After Crew-Chief Change
Ty Gibbs2 days ago

Earns Best 2025 Finish At Martinsville Despite Failing Cool Suit
Ross Chastain2 days ago

Has A Great Day At Martinsville
Chase Briscoe2 days ago

Has Solid Run At Martinsville
Erik Jones2 days ago

Disqualified At Martinsville For Weight Violation
Josh Berry3 days ago

Has Top-10 Upside At Martinsville
Joey Logano3 days ago

Don't Overlook Joey Logano This Weekend
Ryan Preece3 days ago

Could Get First Three-Race Top-10 Streak Of His Career
Chase Elliott3 days ago

Looking To Continue Great Runs At Martinsville
Christopher Bell3 days ago

Wins Pole At Martinsville, But Can He Stay Up There?
Ryan Blaney3 days ago

Fast In Practice But Skeptical About Car
Denny Hamlin3 days ago

New Crew Chief Has Terrible Martinsville Record
Steve Erceg5 days ago

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Brandon Moreno5 days ago

A Favorite At UFC Mexico City
Manuel Torres5 days ago

Set For Co-Main Event
Drew Dober5 days ago

An Underdog At UFC Mexico City
Joe Pyfer5 days ago

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Kelvin Gastelum5 days ago

Set For Middleweight Matchup
Vince Morales5 days ago

In Dire Need Of Victory
Raul Rosas Jr.5 days ago

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Saimon Oliveira5 days ago

Looks For His First UFC Win