X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

KBO Betting Picks (7/3/2020) - Moneylines, Totals, Runlines

Steve Janik recommends betting picks for the KBO slate on 7/3/2020. He breaks down each team's roster and suggests the top picks on moneylines, totals, and runlines.

On Thursday we saw Doosan took care of business early, scoring seven runs on Kiwoom before blowing their late-game lead. KT and LG going under was a disappointment, as the Wiz scattered 15 hits but could only muster four runs. Now we head into the weekend and begin a new set of series some interesting matchups and also some one-sided matchups. Let's get after it!

I can't stress it enough that if you're reading my analysis to make the best decision for you and not just blindly tail. If you don't feel comfortable with one of my picks, why would you take it? I'm not a professional, nor have I said to be one, I just value stats and information to make educated decisions. For new and old readers, just assume that every pick is one unit. Not only is this league volatile, but the game of baseball is incredibly volatile. Bankroll management is key.

Today, I'll be bringing you my KBO analysis, advice, and best bets for games on Friday, July 3rd starting at 5:30 am EST. If you haven’t already, check out www.mykbostats.com; it’s is a fantastic one-stop-shop for us in America to get our KBO fix. You can also check out our KBO DFS lineup picks article after this one. Also, feel free to hit me up on Twitter @RotoStevieJ to talk shop or chew me out if a pick loses.

Featured Promo: Get any Props Premium Pass for 30% off using code NEW. Win more with our two new Props Optimizer tools -- one for PrizePicks Props, and one for Sportsbook Betting Props. Find optimal prop bets and get our recommended picks daily! Go Premium, Win More!

 

Kiwoom Heroes (-162) at KT Wiz

O/U: 9.5

Probable Pitchers
Kiwoom: Eric Jokisch (7-2, 1.42 ERA)
KT: Odrisamer Despaigne (4-4, 4.64 ERA)

Kiwoom is making their best case for being best team the KBO. Winners of eight of their last 10, they've averaged 6.3 runs per game with a +20 run differential. It's not like their last three opponents were scrubs either, winning series' against LG, Kia, and Doosan. They're now back on the road where the Heroes have been quite solid, averaging over six runs per game, hitting .276, and clubbing 1.3 home runs per game. Byung-ho Park snapped out of his little cold streak Thursday, hitting two bombs, meanwhile Dong-won Park and Ha-seong Kim have continued to be run producers in the heart of the order.

Odrisamer Despaigne has really come back down to earth following his impressive start. Since shutting out Kia over eight inning son May 27, he's allowed 28 runs over six starts (4.6 runs allowed per start), but if anything he's been consistent (below). His worst start was against Doosan by far, but he's also allowed a home run in five of those six starts, and consider there are outings against SK, Hanhwa, Lotte, and Samsung in there; those are some of the worst offenses in the league. His home road splits are oddly identical, so that shouldn't factor into much, but he'll definitely have his hands full with Kiwoom.

I'm shocked to see the juice (-148) on Kiwoom to score less than 5.5 runs here. I don't see why? Despaigne is at best league average and the arms backing him up in the bullpen are the worst in the KBO. This Heroes offense is thriving right now. Sure, you could look at Kiwoom runline, but their bullpen has been used an abused the last few days, so it's not worth the risk of trusting them to pick up Jokisch.

Pick: Kiwoom Team Total Over 5.5 (+112, Draftkings Sportbook)

 

Kia Tigers (-113) at NC Dinos (-113)

O/U: 9.5

Probable Pitchers
Kia: Drew Gagnon (4-3, 3.88 ERA)
NC: Sung-young  Choi (0-0, 5.94 ERA)

Kia got just three games at home before jumping back on the road to face the NC Dinos. This isn't great news for the Tigers, as they average just 3.7 runs per game as guests. In their last road series against Kiwoom, they scored eight runs in game one only to not score a run over the next 18 innings of play. Preston Tucker has been ice cold, recording just two hits in his last seven, while 36-year-old Hyung-woo Choi continues to stand the test of time hitting .323. Ji-hwan Na and Min-sang Yoo have been so hit-or-miss that their contributions haven't made much of a difference. They'll face a lefty on Friday which could complicate their run-scoring problems even more since they hit LHP at a paltry .242 clip.

Drew Gagnon has been going through some strange starts but has put up very solid numbers regardless. Over four June starts, he's allowed more than three runs just once, has allowed more than five hits just once, and he also hasn't served up a home run since his first start on May 8. The 30-year-old's 2.90 FIP is among the league's best and his 62% strand is due for some serious positive regression. He also apparently prefers to not pitch at home, as his 3.28 ERA on the road two whole points better than when at home, though he does have 20 more innings pitched on the road.

The NC Dinos had to step their game up over the last two series' against Doosan and Lotte, but they managed, going 4-2 and scoring 40 runs. Infielder Min-woo Park (hamstring) just got placed on the injured list Wednesday, so he's a hole in their lineup. However, guys like Aaron Altherr, Sung-bum Na, and Eui-ji Yang are there to lead the league's top team. The Dinos average 6.5 rpg at home and .305 as a team, so missing just one guy shouldn't be too much of a problem.

NC gets another look at southpaw Sung-young Choi on Friday, and the 23-year-old isn't exactly an ace, or even average. His last start was the first time he finished more than 3.2 innings and he's given up three-or-more in every start. However, consider each of his last two outings were against Doosan. You also don't have to look very far to see that he's given up a home run in all four of his appearances and that his control is very shaky. His 9 BB% is actually better than his 2019 mark of 13%, but his current 7.47 FIP means that we can expect to see even worse outings from Choi.

Good pitching beats good hitting in this league, so Kia certainly has an advantage in that department, but that's where it stops. NC's offense is potent and even if they can tag Gagnon for a few runs, it will be enough. Kia will likely tag Choi a bit, but they're bad against LHP so he is in a good spot to quiet the Tigers on the road where they also struggle. Overall, NC is the much better team and there is plenty of value to be had here.

Pick: Under 9.5 (-102, Fanduel Sportsbook) and NC ML -113 (Draftkings Sportsbook)

More Fantasy Baseball Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Luis Rengifo5 hours ago

Injures His Hamstring On Friday
Ketel Marte6 hours ago

Likely To Land On The Injured List
Eury Pérez6 hours ago

Eury Perez Throws Bullpen On Friday
Edward Cabrera7 hours ago

To Make Second Rehab Start On Sunday
Matt Brash7 hours ago

On Track To Return In Late April
Ketel Marte7 hours ago

Dealing With Strained Hamstring
Jordan Romano7 hours ago

Shaky While Recording Save Against Dodgers
Julio Rodríguez7 hours ago

Julio Rodriguez Posts Three-Hit Performance
Corbin Carroll7 hours ago

Blasts Two Homers
Tylor Megill8 hours ago

Looks Sharp In Home Opener
Wilyer Abreu8 hours ago

Collects Three Hits
Shota Imanaga8 hours ago

Impressive In Win
Ryan Burr9 hours ago

Could Throw Bullpen Next Week
Brad Lord9 hours ago

Could Make A Start On Sunday
Patrick Corbin9 hours ago

Jack Leiter Placed On Injured List, Patrick Corbin Promoted
Vidal Bruján9 hours ago

Vidal Brujan's Rehab Stalls
Jud Fabian9 hours ago

Showing Power At Triple-A
Javier Assad9 hours ago

Getting Close To Rehab Assignment
Kutter Crawford9 hours ago

Not Cleared To Face Hitters
Michael McGreevy9 hours ago

Rebounds In Second Start
Liam Hendriks9 hours ago

To Throw Bullpen Session This Weekend
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP
10
10
11
11
12
19
13
22
14
24
15
25
16
29
17
39
18
40
19
41

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
1
1
2
3
3
7
4
11
6
14
7
15
8
18
9
19
10
20

MORE RECENT ARTICLES

 
UFL DFS PICKS, FANTASY FOOTBALL, DRAFTKINGS, FANDUEL

UFL DFS Lineup Picks: DraftKings Daily Fantasy Fantasy Advice for Week 2

Welcome to Week 2 of the inaugural UFL season, RotoBallers! We already have one week in the books, with the XFL teams off to a hot start at 3-1 while the USFL conference went 1-3. We have Houston squaring off against Arlington in the early game and San Antonio versus St. Louis in the later […]


Michael Florio's Football Show - Podcast RotoBaller Network

Florio's Football Show: NFL Draft QB Scouting Report!

Michael F. Florio gives his scouting report for the 2025 NFL Draft QB class. Do Cam Ward and Shedeur Sanders live up the hype? Should you be excited about Jaxson Dart and Jalen Milroe? Plus, he goes over the deeper options in this class! Be sure to also tune into RotoBaller Radio on SiriusXM (SiriusXM channel […]


UFL RANKINGS, FANTASY FOOTBALL,

UFL Best Bets: Week 2 Picks

Well, the opening week is always full of curveballs, and 2025 was no exception. We actually saw the Birmingham Stallions lose a game, looking bad in the process. Overall, I went 3-3-1 on spreads and over/unders last week, so a bit inconvenient that neither parlay worked out. It is a short season, so the pressure […]


Isaiah Bond - College Football Rankings, NCAA CFB DFS Lineup Picks - NFL Draft

Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Sleepers: 5 Undervalued Draft Targets

We all know at this point who the top names are heading into the 2025 NFL Draft. Ashton Jeanty will be the dynasty rookie RB1. Tetairoa McMillan will be the rookie WR1. But fantasy leagues aren't won just by getting a top-2 or three rookie pick and grabbing the best guys. Rookie drafts are also […]


Ja'Marr Chase fantasy football rankings NFL DFS lineup picks

Two-Round Start-Up Dynasty Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12-Team, Single Quarterback

The players you select in the early rounds of dynasty fantasy football start-up drafts have a massive impact on the chances of your team winning for many seasons after the first one. So it's crucial to nail these picks, and there are a few ways you can do that. Obviously, no one's being selected in […]


Tetairoa McMillan - College Football DFS Lineup Picks, NCAA CFB, NFL Draft Prospect

2025 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Mock Draft: 12-Team, Single-QB

Thankfully, fans and fantasy football players only have to wait a few more weeks for the 2025 NFL Draft. That means dynasty fantasy rookie mock drafts are right around the corner. While dynasty fantasy outlooks for the NFL Draft prospects will change between today and the end of April, it’s time for another dynasty rookie […]


Davante Adams - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Fantasy Football Outlooks For Wide Receivers On New Teams: Davante Adams, DK Metcalf, Stefon Diggs, Cooper Kupp, Christian Kirk, and more

The 2025 NFL offseason has been full of breaking news alerts. Last year, all the action was at the running back position, with Saquon Barkley, Derrick Henry, and Josh Jacobs changing teams. However, all the action has been at the wide receiver position this offseason. Some big-name wide receivers remained with their current teams. Tee […]


Bijan Robinson - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Rookies, Draft Sleepers

Fantasy Football Running Back Preview: Targets & Sleepers For 2025 Drafts

While the NFL is in the middle of its offseason, the fantasy football world never takes a break. Much in the fantasy world will change between now and the start of the regular season. Yet, let’s take an early look at the running back position for 2025 fantasy football drafts. Below are three early-round studs, […]


Russell Wilson - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL DFS Picks

Fantasy Football Outlooks For QBs On New Teams: Russell Wilson, Justin Fields, Sam Darnold, Geno Smith, more

The NFL quarterback carousel gets to spin every offseason, and plenty of QBs have already found new homes ahead of the 2025 NFL season. For fantasy football, a player's surrounding team is extremely important, so it's worth looking into each of their outlooks with their new squads. There are still a few unsigned QBs, but […]


Shedeur Sanders - College Football Rankings, NCAA CFB DFS Lineup Picks

2025 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Mock Draft: 12-Team, Superflex/Two-QB

The 2025 NFL Draft is still less than 30 days away. Therefore, dynasty fantasy rookie mock drafts are nearly here. Much will change between now and the NFL Draft. However, it’s time for another dynasty rookie mock draft. This rookie mock draft is a two-round, 12-team, and two-quarterbacks. For a deeper dive into dynasty strategy, […]


Deshaun Watson - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

2025 NFL Offseason Team Needs: Bengals, Browns, Ravens, Steelers

The AFC North, comprised of the Baltimore Ravens, Cincinnati Bengals, Cleveland Browns, and Pittsburgh Steelers, sent two teams to the playoffs in 2024 and had one on the cusp of a playoff berth. The Ravens have the best roster of the four teams by a long shot. The Steelers have a solid defensive group, and […]


UFL RANKINGS, FANTASY FOOTBALL,

UFL Fantasy Football Rankings for Week 2: QB, RB, WR, TE Rankings and Analysis (2025)

Week 2 of the UFL season is just around the corner. This week will feature one game on Friday, one game on Saturday, and two on Sunday. Birmingham and Michigan will play at 8:00 p.m. EDT on Friday, followed by Memphis-D.C. on Saturday at 8:00 p.m. EDT. Sunday's game pits the 1-0 Renegades against the […]


Calvin Ridley - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL DFS Picks, Draft Sleepers

Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings: Overvalued, Undervalued Players (2025)

Dynasty fantasy football rankings constantly shift, especially as we inch closer to the new season and fantasy drafts. Dynasty managers know the importance of finding those underrated players who could be steals in drafts or trades. They also know some players are overhyped due to unsustainable trends or past production. I'll break down two overvalued […]