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Steve Janik recommends betting picks for the KBO slate on 6/7/2020. He breaks down each team's roster and suggests the top picks on moneylines, totals, and runlines.
Saturday was salt in the wound. While the NC under wasn't a great call, LG blew a seventh inning 4-0 lead before eventually losing 5-4. Then SK gave up two runs to Samsung in the top of the ninth to flop on the under pick. Bad beat central and really a heartbreaking day when we had it so close. A bit of regression was to be expected so please tread lightly if you feel like tailing and be responsible.
- Saturday, June 6: 0-3
- 2020 KBO Season: 50-22 (69%)
I can't stress it enough that if you're reading my analysis to make the best decision for you and not just blindly tail. If you don't feel comfortable with one of my picks, why would you take it? For new and old readers, just assume that every pick is one unit. Not only is this league volatile, but the game of baseball is incredibly volatile. Bankroll management is key.
Today, I'll be bringing you my KBO analysis, advice, and best bets for games on Sunday, June 7th starting at 4:00 am EST. If you haven’t already, check out www.mykbostats.com; it’s is a fantastic one-stop-shop for us in America to get our KBO fix. You can also check out our KBO DFS lineup picks article after this one. Also, feel free to hit me up on Twitter @RotoStevieJ to talk shop or chew me out if a pick loses.
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NC Dinos (-230) at Hanwha Eagles
O/U: 11.5
Probable Pitchers
NC: Jae-hak Lee (2-1, 6.08 ERA)
Hanwha: Yi-hwan Kim (1-2, 6.00 ERA)
NC has scored 45 runs in their last four games, reached double digits in four of their last six, and scored at least eight in all of the previous six. I overthought this on Saturday but there's no reason to in series finale. It's been a total merry-go-round for the Dinos against Hanwha, as Sung Bum Na, Aaron Altherr, and Jin-sung Kang have had their way with the Eagles' staff.
Jae-hak Lee got run out of his last start in the fourth inning after allowing seven runs on nine hits. However, in his four previous starts, he hadn't allowed more than four runs or eight hits. His control is suspect, but the righty is in a great bounceback spot as the Dinos go for a series sweep.
Hanwha will throw out Yi-hwan Kim Sunday to try and minimize damage against NC. The 19-year-old has been horrendous through 21 innings, allowing 14 runs on 23 hits and carries a 15/14 K/BB. He's allowed two home runs in each of his last two appearances (one start, one relief). The control issues along with giving up hard contact makes him a very easy target for NC.
Hanwha has now lost 13 straight but interestingly enough their last win was against the Dinos on May 22. The Eagles have averaged just 3.3 runs per game across the losing skid, and of the four runs they've score against NC this time around, Jin-hang Choi has driven in three of them thanks to two home runs.
I've been burned by NC a few times this year, but this is the chalkiest play on the board for good reason. I don't love Lee as a pitcher, but he's in a good spot and should get enough run support to be safe against the lowly Eagles. There is some juice to it but not compared to games one and two, so there is still some value here.
Pick: NC -1.5 (-144, Fanduel Sportsbook)
KT Wiz (-240) at Lotte Giants
O/U: 10
Probable Pitchers
KT: Odrisamer Despaigne (2-1, 3.89 ERA)
Lotte: Se-woong Park (0-4, 6.38 ERA)
KT was shutout for the second time this season on Saturday, thanks to a gem from Dan Straily. The Wiz also lost third baseman Jae-Gyun Hwang (hand), and while there's no indication how long he'll actually be out, he'll likely receive Sunday off before the league-wide off day Monday. Lotte's Sunday starter is no Dan Straily, but more on him later. Mel Rojas Jr. has been on a tear recently, hitting five homers with 14 RBI over the last six games, while Min-hyuck Kim is starting to heat up at the plate and Yong-ho Jo is maintaining his .380 average but they're looking for more RBI opportunities for him. KT averages about 5.6 runs per game on the road and with just four total this series, they'll look to boost the scoreboard in the finale.
Lotte trots out Se-woong Park on Sunday and the 24-year-old is coming off three-straight starts of allowing four or more runs, including serving up four home runs total in his last two outings. In two home starts against Samsung and Doosan, he has a 4.82 ERA over just 9.1 innings. However, his 6.00 FIP and .338 BABIP against aren't good peripherals.
KT is in must-win spot here to salvage something of the series. With Odrisamer Despaigne going, they have a distinct starting pitching advantage but their offense is the unit that really has to show up. The Wiz's lineup is better than Lotte, even when missing two big starting bats but I think they're .288 average against right-handers gets a nice boost after a big performance Sunday.
Pick: KT Team Total Over 5.5 Runs (-133 FoxBet)
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