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Steve Janik recommends betting picks for the KBO slate on 6/25/2020. He breaks down each team's roster and suggests the top picks on moneylines, totals, and runlines.
Wednesday was a washout in Korea, except the Samsung/Hanwha game. Samsung needed to walkoff to defeat Hanwha 3-2 which means our Samsung runline pick was a loss. I surely wasn't anticipating the Eagles' starter to throw one of the best games of his career. Regardless of what country it's played in, sports, especially baseball, are quite unpredictable.
- Wednesday, June 24: 0-1
- 2020 KBO Season: 61-37-1 (62%)
I can't stress it enough that if you're reading my analysis to make the best decision for you and not just blindly tail. If you don't feel comfortable with one of my picks, why would you take it? I'm not a professional, nor have I said to be one, I just value stats and information to make educated decisions. For new and old readers, just assume that every pick is one unit. Not only is this league volatile, but the game of baseball is incredibly volatile. Bankroll management is key.
Today, I'll be bringing you my KBO analysis, advice, and best bets for games on Thursday, June 25th starting at 5:30 am EST. If you haven’t already, check out www.mykbostats.com; it’s is a fantastic one-stop-shop for us in America to get our KBO fix. You can also check out our KBO DFS lineup picks article after this one. Also, feel free to hit me up on Twitter @RotoStevieJ to talk shop or chew me out if a pick loses.
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NC Dinos (-196) at KT Wiz
O/U: 10
Probable Pitchers
NC: Mike Wright (5-2, 3.80 ERA)
KT: Je-seong Bae (3-1, 4.02 ERA)
**This will be game one of the doubleheader between NC and NT.**
The Dinos were spared by a Eui-ji Yang two-run homer on Tuesday that ultimately won them the game, 4-3. Odrisamer Despaigne had their number up to hat point so we'll see if the day off gets them back to normal. On the road, they average just under seven runs per game (rpg), however, that might be a bit skewed based off of the 35 runs they scored in three games against Hanwha. Regardless, this offense is still potent. Aaron Altherr has just one long ball but has seven RBI in his L10, while Jing-sung Kang and Myung-gi Lee each have hits in nine of their last 10 games. They haven't really blown the doors off of anyone recently and the last game they score more than 10 runs came on June 9.
KT will look to Je-seong Bae to avenge their game one loss. The 23-year-old has had some spotless efforts this year, including his best so far when he shutout NC over seven innings with a 7/1 K/BB on May 14. However, he hasn't had a game like that since. Sure he's silenced Lotte, Hanwha, and Kia and over his last two he's allowed 12 runs in 8.2 innings with 15 hits and four home runs allowed to go with a 3/5 K/BB. An interesting note is his 4.64 ERA and .307 average against over 21.1 innings at home.
NC hasn't had a big day at the plate in over two weeks and I think that changes Thursday. Even if Bae is able to hold them to a pair through the first few innings, KT's bullpen is the worst in the KBO in terms of ERA.
Pick(s): NC Team Total Over 5.5 (-121, Draftkings Sportsbook)
Doosan Bears (-175) at SK Wyverns
O/U: 10
Probable Pitchers
Doosan: Hee-kwan Yoo (5-1, 3.68 ERA)
SK: Jong-hoon Park (3-2, 4.40 ERA)
**Disclaimer: below is almost a carbon copy of the bet/analysis from Wednesday's slate of games. This will be game one of the double header between Doosan and SK.**
The Doosan Bears jumped ahead early Tuesday, scoring six runs through the first five innings before winning 9-2. Kun-woo Park and Jae-hwan Kim did most of the damage, driving in three and four, respectively, but eight of their starting nine tallied at least one base knock. Kim slugged a home run, but as a team, the Bears actually average 1.4 homers a game, so with a positive matchup Wednesday, it's possible we see more. They're hitting righties at a .274 clip, which you'd expect better of but with top bats Jose Fernandez, Joo-hwan Choi, and Kim batting from the left side, there is still plenty of upside here.
SK got five innings out of Tae-hoon Kim Tuesday but their bullpen still needed to throw almost 90 pitches over four innings. Now they look to Jong-hoon Park to pull them out of their funk, aka a seven-game losing streak. Park has had some solid outings this year, including arguably his best start on the road against Doosan May 26 when he held them to two runs over seven innings with eight strikeouts and one walk. Keep in mind Doosan's home/road splits in this scenario. However, his last two outings have been his worst; allowing nine runs on 12 hits over 11 innings of work but did have a 14/4 K/BB.
Park is much better than who Doosan faced Tuesday, but his last two starts haven't been up-to-par. Doosan's lineup is deadly on the road and just because they're facing a slightly better arm doesn't mean I don't like their chances of scoring more than five runs again.
Pick(s): Doosan Team Total Over 5.5 (-112, Draftkings Sportsbook)
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