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KBO Betting Picks (5/15/20) - Moneylines, Totals, and Runlines

Steve Janik recommends betting picks for the KBO slate on 5/15/2020. He breaks down each team's roster and suggests the top picks on moneylines, totals, and runlines.

We go from and 0-fer to a sweep. It was a great day and I'm happy to get back to winning ways, but I just want to say that nothing really changed in my decision making from Wednesday to Thursday. I'm not a sharp and I certainly don't have some crazy algorithm that makes my decisions for me. I run through the lines (which by the way come through really late compared to other sports), find what I see to be value and get to my research.

This league is certainly built for excitement and I'm glad that I'm not an absolute diehard fan of any of these teams, because so far we've seen no lead is safe past the sixth inning. You could say the same for just about any baseball game, but from what we've witnessed through just a week of games, the KBO is truly an experience that any sports fan should give a chance.

Today, I'll be bringing you my KBO analysis, advice, and best bets for Friday, May 15th at 5:30am EST. If you haven’t already, check out www.mykbostats.com; it’s is a fantastic one-stop-shop for us in America to get our KBO fix. You can also check out our KBO DFS lineup picks article after this one. Also, feel free to hit me up on Twitter @RotoStevieJ to talk shop or chew me out if a pick loses.

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Doosan Bears (-174) at Kia Tigers

O/U: 10.5 | ESPN2 at 5:30am EST

Probable Pitchers
Doosan: Hui-kwan Yu (0-1, 11.25 ERA)
Kia: Gi-yeong Im (0-1, 8.31 ERA)

The Bears offense is a juggernaut through eight games, hosting a .330 team average, .902 OPS, 59 runs scored, and 32 extra base hits. If that didn’t get my point across, the only counting stat that a Doosan Bear isn’t ranked first in is tripled and stolen bases. The southpaw Hui-kwan Yu is coming off a career year, and now age 33, Yu is still a big piece of the Bears rotation. He had a 2.49 ERA in five starts against Kia a year ago, and over 13 road starts, he carried a 2.85 ERA.

Kia is one of the hardest teams to gauge through the early going. While they have a -16 run differential, they’ve managed to hold a 4-5 record and just took a series against Hanwha. They’ve plated just 33 runs and their .712 OPS is either fifth best, or fifth worst, depending on your mindset. Gi-yeong Im is an interesting thrower of baseballs. He’s in his seventh KBO season but has appeared in just 106 games, making only 47 starts, including eight from 2019. He took the loss against Samsung on May 9, surrendering four runs in 4.1 innings, but did strike out six while only walking one. That’s boom or bust stuff against a dangerous lineup.

Early on I was leaning the over here, but looking at Yu’s success on the road (and against Kia) last year, I look for Doosan to hop on early and stay on top. However, keep in mind the Bears bullpen has struggled MIGHTILY so far, accumulating an 8.79 ERA. Let’s hope they can hold it down on Friday.

Pick: Doosan -1.5

 

Kiwoom Heroes (-124) at LG Twins

O/U: 9

Probable Pitchers
Kiwoom: Hyun-hee Han (1-0, 4.50 ERA)
LG: Chan-heon Jeong (0-1, 6.75 ERA)

At 6-3, Kiwoom has started off on the right foot and that's with their offense being one of the league's worst. A .230 average and .690 OPS hasn't hindered them from scoring 43 runs, but it's their pitching staff that has carried them. They lead the KBO with 3.38 ERA, five saves, and 61 strikeouts, but the most important thing is that they've issued just 17 walks. Hyun-hee Han returns to the mound after earning a win on May 9, after allowing three runs over six innings. After starting 58 games between 2015-18, Han made 61 relief appearances a year ago but is now working his way back into the rotation. Offensively, this lineup is bound to breakout anytime now. They scored 780 runs last year and while they lost Jerry Sands, they still have Byung-ho Park, Jung-loo Lee, and Ha-seong Kim to do the dirty work.

The LG Twins are riding a four game win streak and are working their way into a nice groove through the first two weeks. So their starter for Friday is an interesting one in Chan-heon Jeong. The 30-year-old has started done game in his career (May 7) after serving as either full-time or part-time closer since 2017. He's held down a 19.8 K% in that span, but also a 9.7 BB%. He only lasted four innings in his first start, so he's likely still building up stamina which doesn't bode well for him to last long enough to get in a groove. As a team, LG is hitting 71 points higher than Kiwoom an their 1-through-5 spot in the order is dangerous on any given day.

Jeong still working his way into starting throws me off of LG, despite their recent performance. Both teams have solid bullpens but I see the Heroes offense busting out of it's shell early against Jeong, allowing Han to go to work and earn a win.

Pick: Kiwoom -124

 

Samsung Lions at KT Wiz (-150)

O/U: 9.5 

Probable Pitchers
Samsung: Tae-in Won (1-0, 3.00 ERA)
KT: Hyeong-jun So (1-0, 3.60 ERA)

Samsung was able to scratch out back-to-back wins over Kiwoom to win the series. Now they get a floundering KT Wiz team that houses one of the bets hitters in the league. Tae-in Won is just 20 years old but has a full season of starting under his belt. He went 4-8 with a 4.82 ERA in 2019, but his 14 K% and 8 BB% is very worrisome. It's one thing to pitch to contact effectively, but it's another thing to rely on it, and it seems thats what Won does. Samsung's offense is far and away the worst in the league, but dropping 13 runs on Kiwoom over the last two games was a nice pick-me-up for the Lions. Dong-yub Kim and Sung-gyu Lee each have a pair of homers with sox or more RBI, but the Lions will need more from guys like Tyler Saladino and Won-seok Lee.

One beautiful thing about the KBO is they throw 18-year-old kids out on the mound against grown men, and they do pretty well too; Hyeong-jun So is that kid for the Wiz. He churned out five innings of two-run ball on May 8 to earn his first win. He also scattered five hits, struck out two, and walked one. We won't know much more about him until he gets more starts under his belt. KT's offense hasn't been a problem thus far, but it hasn't been a solution either. After scoring 25 runs in two games against Doosan, they scored just 10 in the last three against NC, including a game three shutout. As a squad, they're hitting .285 with a .768 OPS, and while Baek-ho Kang and Sung-woo Jang have produced, they'll need American Mel Rojas Jr. to add a little more beef to the lineup.

We have two kids on the mound in this one, and while both have given small glimpses of ability, I'm going to side with professional hitters in these situations almost every time. Both lineups have solid talent with experience that should be bale to pick these two apart. It also helps Samsung's case that KT's bullpen has an 8.48 ERA.

Pick: Over 9.5

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Griffin Conine

To Have Shoulder Surgery On Tuesday
Luke Keaschall

Twins Prospect Luke Keaschall Suffers Broken Forearm
Logan Gilbert

Leaves Friday's Start With Forearm Tightness

Vikings Select Tai Felton To Finish Day 2

Seahawks Select Quarterback Jalen Milroe With The 92nd Pick Overall

Browns Select Dillon Gabriel 94th Overall

Packers Pick Savion Williams At No. 87 overall

Steelers Snag Kaleb Johnson In Round 3

Broncos Select Wide Receiver Pat Bryant With The 74th Overall Pick

Texans Select Jaylin Noel With 79th Pick

Lions Select Wide Receiver Isaac TeSlaa With The 70th Overall Pick
Jack Leiter

To Start On Sunday

Patriots Add Wide Receiver Kyle Williams In Round 3

Browns Draft Harold Fannin Jr. With 67th Pick
Garrett Mitchell

Makes Early Exit
Luke Keaschall

Removed Early On Friday
Blake Snell

Likely Avoids Major Injury
Cole Ragans

Dealing With Mild Groin Strain

Broncos Add RJ Harvey To Backfield With 60th Pick

Raiders Select Jack Bech With 58th Pick

Chargers Add Wide Receiver Tre Harris In Round 2
Detroit Lions

Lions Acquire 57th Pick From Broncos

Seahawks Draft Elijah Arroyo 50th Overall
Carolina Panthers

Panthers Acquire 51st Pick From Broncos
Arizona Cardinals

Cardinals Snag Will Johnson At No. 47

Jets Add A Pass-Catcher With Mason Taylor At No. 42

Rams Select Terrance Ferguson With 46th Pick
Houston Texans

Texans Acquire 48th Pick From Raiders, Draft Aireontae Ersery

Saints Snag Tyler Shough At No. 40
Brenton Doyle

Out For Personal Reasons On Friday
Brandin Podziemski

Not On Injury Report For Game 3
Jimmy Butler III

Warriors Optimistic About Jimmy Butler III Playing Saturday
Jae'Sean Tate

To Remain Out Saturday
Jock Landale

Unavailable For Game 3
Terry Rozier

Out On Saturday
Jrue Holiday

Ruled Out For Friday Night's Game 3 Against Orlando
Kevin Love

To Miss Saturday's Game
Jaylen Brown

Available For Friday Night's Game 3 Against Magic
Gary Payton II

Iffy For Saturday's Action
Jayson Tatum

Officially Available On Friday For Game 3 Against Magic
Will Smith

Back From Injury On Friday
Luke Kennard

Questionable For Game 4 On Saturday
Darius Garland

Listed As Questionable For Game 3
Ja Morant

To Miss Game 4 On Saturday
Rui Hachimura

Available For Game 3 In Minnesota
Aaron Ekblad

Available To Return Saturday
Erik Swanson

Ryan Burr Progressing
Daulton Varsho

To Return On Tuesday At The Latest
Max Scherzer

Takes Positive Step On Friday
Aleksander Barkov

Questionable For Saturday
Gabriel Landeskog

Set For Larger Role In Game 4
Calvin Pickard

To Start Game 3 For Oilers
Randy Arozarena

Resting For First Time This Year
Jonas Siegenthaler

To Play Limited Minutes In Game 3
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Red Sox-Guardians Game Postponed On Friday
Luke Hughes

Remains Out On Friday
MLB

Tigers-Orioles Postponed On Friday
Patrik Laine

A Game-Time Decision Friday
Yainer Diaz

Out On Friday Against Royals
Iván Herrera

Ivan Herrera Hopes To Start Rehab Assignment Next Week
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Sitting Out For First Time This Season
Jaylen Brown

Questionable For Game 3 On Friday
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Back In Action On Friday
Jimmy Butler III

Could Miss Game 3 On Saturday
Coby Mayo

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Carlos Prates

Looks To Remain Undefeated In The UFC
Ian Machado Garry

Set For UFC Kansas City Main Event
Cade Cunningham

Collects Double-Double In Loss
Jalen Brunson

Drops 30 Points In Game 3
Karl-Anthony Towns

Leads All Scorers In Game 3 Victory
Zhang Mingyang

Scheduled For Co-Main Event
Anthony Smith

Set For His Final UFC Bout
David Onama

Set For Featherweight Bout
Giga Chikadze

Looks To Bounce Back
Abus Magomedov

Looks For His Third Consecutive Win
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Returns To Action At UFC Kansas City
Nicolas Dalby

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Randy Brown

A Favorite At UFC Kansas City
Andre Muniz

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Ikram Aliskerov

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Sergei Bobrovsky

Shuts Out Lightning In Game 2
Cam Fowler

Finishes Thursday's Win With Five Points
Robert Thomas

Posts Four Assists In Game 3 Win
Pavel Buchnevich

Celebrates Hat Trick During Four-Point Performance
Dylan DeMelo

Battling An Illness
Marcus Johansson

Exits Early Thursday
Aleksander Barkov

Hurt In Game 2
Jrue Holiday

Tagged As Questionable For Friday
Jayson Tatum

Likely Out Again On Friday
Anthony Cirelli

Good To Go Thursday
Andrei Vasilevskiy

Looks To Bounce Back In Game 2
Rasmus Ristolainen

To Miss Training Camp
Jonas Siegenthaler

Returns To Practice
Aliaksei Protas

Traveling With Capitals
Gabriel Vilardi

Still Out On Thursday
Max Pacioretty

Set To Join Maple Leafs Lineup For Game 3
Cam Davis

Looking For Better Fortunes At TPC Louisiana
Adam Svensson

Making Third Apperence At Zurich Classic
Max Greyserman

Aiming For Similar Success At TPC Louisiana
Lee Hodges

A High-Upside Player In New Orleans
PGA

Nico Echavarria Looks To Ride Off Of Elite Putting In New Orleans
Gary Woodland

A Player Worth Watching In New Orleans
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Returns To The Zurich Classic Of New Orleans
Rasmus Hojgaard

In Search Of Consistency Ahead Of Zurich Classic
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A Boom-Or-Bust Candidate In New Orleans
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Looking To Turn Season Around At Zurich Classic
Christiaan Bezuidenhout

Looks To Sway A Hot Putter In Teams Favor At Zurich Classic
Akshay Bhatia

Looking To Bounce Back At TPC Louisiana
Carson Young

Looks To Turn Things Around At TPC Louisiana
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Looking For Momentum In Louisiana
Andrew Novak

Making Start At TPC Louisiana After Near Miss At Harbour Town
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Making Third Career Start At Zurich Classic
Taylor Moore

Competing With A New Teammate In New Orleans
Wyndham Clark

Making Return To New Orleans
Kurt Kitayama

Teeing It Up Again In New Orleans
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Back At Zurich Classic For Fifth Time
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Making Third Appearance At New Orleans Team Event
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