X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Free NBA Betting Picks - Today's Best Bets, Expert Predictions, Odds (3/30/22)

Thunder Dan's top NBA betting picks and best bets for today's NBA games on 3/30/22. His free picks against the spread, teasers, parlays, and NBA player props.

Monday night was a great night for the article and a much-needed bankroll boost for yours truly! I don't even pretend to be someone who wages large sums of money on sports, but no matter the unit size, it's always nice to get a clean sweep as all of the bets in this piece hit with the exception of Tre Mann who didn't play for OKC. I went heavier on props and I mentioned that I might be doing that more often down the stretch as the games get tougher to handicap with so many players out and that may be the case again today, we'll see. With 11 games on the slate, there is no shortage of action it's simply a matter of finding some spots where we have enough data to feel confident in tonight.

Attention fellow sports bettors! We have some exciting news to share as we are now officially partnered with various sportsbooks and have some sweet sports betting promo offers! Get your deposit bonus, as well as a year of free RotoBaller Premium access, when you sign up with a new account today! After you're signed up, use our picks in this article for spreads, totals, and props to win big.

It's a long season and I would strongly encourage everyone to bet responsibly and sustainably so you don't have to sit out at any point if your discretionary funds dry up. Definitely follow me on Twitter @ThunderDanDFS as I toss out some picks and player props to the public when I get a chance. In this article, I'll be providing my favorite picks against the spread, game totals, parlays, teasers, and player props for NBA games on Wednesday, March 30, 2022. I would highly encourage you to join our RotoBaller premium slack group by signing up for a premium pass!

Featured Promo: Get any Props Premium Pass for 30% off using code NEW. Win more with our two new Props Optimizer tools -- one for PrizePicks Props, and one for Sportsbook Betting Props. Find optimal prop bets and get our recommended picks daily! Go Premium, Win More!

 

Thunder Dan's NBA Best Bets for Today

  • Season Record 166-146-2
  • Against the Spread 77-67-2
  • Over/Under 34-43
  • Player Props 55-37
  • Teasers/Parlays are not included in the overall record

I am NOT including any picks I give out on Twitter on days that this article doesn't run, just as an FYI.

I am not tracking units with these picks. If you're wondering how many units to bet on each pick, just assume I'm betting one unit on each spread, total, or prop and likely only a half unit at most on each parlay or teaser. Here is today's model, which now includes my personal spread calculation. I highlighted spots in yellow where my odds are significantly different from Vegas and a few of those are going to end up as official picks, while the others you can bet at your own leisure.

(click to enlarge)

 

NBA Betting Picks

Charlotte Hornets (-2) @ New York Knicks (223 total)

Watch out Charlotte, because the Knicks are surging! I'm sure Knicks fans are thrilled that they waited until the last few weeks of the season to start to gel and maybe it's a fluke, but R.J. Barrett is playing well and the Knickerbockers have reeled off four straight wins including some upsets of Chicago and Miami in that stretch.

The winning streak started with a road win against these Hornets. I rarely trust the Hornets to win games they're supposed to and I believe they were like seven or eight-point favorites in that game as the Knicks didn't have Julius Randle in the lineup that night.

I'm going going to overanalyze this one. New York is at home and should be favored in my opinion based on their strong recent play. Give me the home underdog here. Could this run end for the Knicks tonight? Sure, and I'll have my expectations tempered a bit, but the value here is on New York.

The Pick: Knicks ML (+105) 

 

Orlando Magic (+3) @ Washington Wizards (219 total)

The Wizards are an interesting team to break down. They're definitely among the bottom third of teams in the league in terms of both offense and defense, but they'll occasionally beat a good team - like they did the other night when they upset the Warriors. They're 3-3 over their last six games despite not having Kyle Kuzma and there's been no indication of a rest day for their best player Krisptaps Porizingis (fingers crossed that doesn't change).

Meanwhile, the Magic are without their best player as Wendell Carter Jr. is out tonight. That tips things towards Washington quite a bit for me as Carter is the best rebounder, scorer, and helps facilitate the offense as a passer, too. Washington is on a back-to-back after losing to the Bulls last night, but that hasn't negatively impacted them this year and they play a fairly deep rotation, too.

Washington is 3-0 against Orlando this year and I have a hard time believing the Magic go on the road here and beat them without WCJ. This spread feels very coverable, I'm taking the Wizards here.

The Pick: Wizards -3 (-110)

 

Miami Heat (+5) @ Boston Celtics (214.5 total)

It felt gross, but I ran my initial numbers early this morning and then bet the Celtics -4.5 as they were one of the strongest bets on the board. The line has moved to five points now, but I'm still on Boston, and here's why.

No matter what you (or me) or anyone else think of the Celtics - they keep winning and they continue to defy the odds. Despite not having a superstar (sorry Tatum fans, I put him in the second tier of star players in the league), this team has really come together and plays well as a unit. What they lack in stardom, they make up for with their depth, defense, and teamwork.

Derrick White has added solid depth to the backcourt alongside Payton Pritchard, and Al Horford continues to be a steadying presence on the interior and an excellent glue guy who makes his teammates better. Boston did lose their starting center Robert Williams III, but they'll likely just slide Horford to center and Tatum to PF, which is going to be a matchup problem for opponents.

Since January 29th, this team is 23-4. How is that even possible, right? And their record against the Heat this season? They're 2-0 and have won by an average margin of 23.5 points. Miami has dropped four of their last five and seems to be scuffling at the wrong time. Jimmy Butler is yelling at his coach and Miami is trending in the wrong direction. This game should be a battle, but I like Boston to pull away and cover. Heck, I wouldn't be surprised if they ended up blowing them out. This team is simply firing on all cylinders, playing with confidence, and I'd be backing them home at this point against just about anyone.

The Pick: Celtics -5 (-110)

 

Memphis Grizzlies (-5.5) @ San Antonio Spurs (232.5 total)

The Memphis Grizzlies are absolutely steamrolling the NBA right now. No Ja Morant? No problem! Memphis continues to bully their opponents even without Morant as they're now 18-2 on the season without him and they sport an absurd +18 net rating.

Memphis is an elite team! I'm not sure what else they need to do at this point (other than proving it in the playoffs) but in the last two weeks alone they've beaten the Nets and Bucks, crushed the Warriors, and have now won five straight.

While I love the Spurs, they're simply not on Memphis's level this year. They're 0-3 head-to-head against Memphis so far and have lost those three games by an average of 11.3 points. Jaren Jackson could miss this game, but at this point, it doesn't matter. If the Suns are the NBA Death Star, then Memphis just might be the NBA's version of the first order. You better get the hell out of the way, because they are about to blow your planet up (and here you thought I was done with the Star Wars references!)

The Pick: Grizzlies -5.5 (-110)

 

Attention fellow sports bettors! We have some exciting news to share as we are now officially partnered with various sportsbooks and have some sweet sports betting promo offers! Get your deposit bonus, as well as a year of free RotoBaller Premium access, when you sign up with a new account today! After you're signed up, use our picks in this article for spreads, totals, and props to win big.

 

NBA Prop Bet Picks

Afternoon Update:

Jalen Green over 20.5 points (-110 FanDuel) - Green has 23 or more points in three straight games. With the Rockets shutting down Dennis Schroder, Christian Wood, and Eric Gordon for the season, there is going to be more playing time and shots to go around. Green has one of the best positional matchups on the board today as shooting guards have performed extremely well against Sacto over the last month.

Trey Lyles over 23.5 PRA (-125 DraftKings) - Staying in the same game here, since it should produce a lot of fantasy stats. Houston has been gashed by big men at both the PF and C position, and Lyles is getting consistent playing time down the stretch for the Kings. He's a tad inconsistent but has dominated good matchups as we saw when he had 11-18-3 against Orlando.

Clint Capela over 26.5 points/rebounds (-115 FanDuel) - Capela gets the juiciest matchup on the board for big men against OKC. They give up boards and blocks in droves and Capela has seen his production on the rise with more shots and playing time in the absence of John Collins. Last game when Gallinari and Hunter both also sat out, Capela went 22-15 and posted 19-13 against the Warriors last weekend.

Tomas Satoransky over 5.5 assists (-120 Fanduel) - Sato has hit this in three straight games and is one of the few "pass-first" point guards left in the game. He should get six or more tonight if he continues to play around 28-30 minutes and this is a favorable matchup.

Aaron Gordon over 23.5 PRA (-125 DraftKings) - Gordon has been a beast lately, averaging 19-7-2.5 over his last four games. He hit this number in each game and the Pacers offer little resistance on defense.

Tyus Jones over 5.5 assists (-135 FanDuel) - Tyus continues to play well in Morant's absence and now has six or more assists in six of his last seven starts. The Spurs should compete today, so I worry less about blowout and I think he's safe for 28-30 minutes of run which puts him on pace to clear this number.

Kevin Love over 2.5 threes (+104 FanDuel) - No Mobley or Allen tonight, so Love should start and be chucking. He took 12 three-point attempts last game and hit four. He's a 38.6% shooter from deep so I like his chances of hitting three if he's going to get up that volume from deep. Oh, and Dallas has allowed the second-most made threes to PF over the last week!

I usually post all my favorite props in our RotoBaller premium slack on a nightly basis - if you're not a premium member for NBA content you can change that by signing up here!

We just added a new player prop tool that is available to our NBA premium and betting premium members, too!

 

NBA Teaser/Parlay Betting Picks

This one is just for fun, so don't go overboard but how about a 7-team money line parlay?

The Pick: Wizards/Hawks/Grizzlies/Suns/Pelicans/Nuggets/Celtics ML line parlay (+676 DraftKings Sportsbook)

 

NBA Betting Picks: Team/Player Stats Matrix

(click either chart to enlarge)

I use this chart when making player prop bets! I hope you find this information useful when making your bets as well.

Thanks for checking this new column out and check back every Monday, Wednesday, and Friday for the rest of the NBA season! Good luck and bet responsibly!



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy basketball mobile app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, lineup notifications & DFS articles. All free!

NBA DFS News and Injury Alerts

More DFS Lineup Picks and Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Griffin Conine

To Have Shoulder Surgery On Tuesday
Luke Keaschall

Twins Prospect Luke Keaschall Suffers Broken Forearm
Logan Gilbert

Leaves Friday's Start With Forearm Tightness

Vikings Select Tai Felton To Finish Day 2

Seahawks Select Quarterback Jalen Milroe With The 92nd Pick Overall

Browns Select Dillon Gabriel 94th Overall

Packers Pick Savion Williams At No. 87 overall

Steelers Snag Kaleb Johnson In Round 3

Broncos Select Wide Receiver Pat Bryant With The 74th Overall Pick

Texans Select Jaylin Noel With 79th Pick

Lions Select Wide Receiver Isaac TeSlaa With The 70th Overall Pick
Jack Leiter

To Start On Sunday

Patriots Add Wide Receiver Kyle Williams In Round 3

Browns Draft Harold Fannin Jr. With 67th Pick
Garrett Mitchell

Makes Early Exit
Luke Keaschall

Removed Early On Friday
Blake Snell

Likely Avoids Major Injury
Cole Ragans

Dealing With Mild Groin Strain

Broncos Add RJ Harvey To Backfield With 60th Pick

Raiders Select Jack Bech With 58th Pick

Chargers Add Wide Receiver Tre Harris In Round 2
Detroit Lions

Lions Acquire 57th Pick From Broncos

Seahawks Draft Elijah Arroyo 50th Overall
Carolina Panthers

Panthers Acquire 51st Pick From Broncos
Arizona Cardinals

Cardinals Snag Will Johnson At No. 47

Jets Add A Pass-Catcher With Mason Taylor At No. 42

Rams Select Terrance Ferguson With 46th Pick
Houston Texans

Texans Acquire 48th Pick From Raiders, Draft Aireontae Ersery

Saints Snag Tyler Shough At No. 40
Brenton Doyle

Out For Personal Reasons On Friday
Brandin Podziemski

Not On Injury Report For Game 3
Jimmy Butler III

Warriors Optimistic About Jimmy Butler III Playing Saturday
Jae'Sean Tate

To Remain Out Saturday
Jock Landale

Unavailable For Game 3
Terry Rozier

Out On Saturday
Jrue Holiday

Ruled Out For Friday Night's Game 3 Against Orlando
Kevin Love

To Miss Saturday's Game
Jaylen Brown

Available For Friday Night's Game 3 Against Magic
Gary Payton II

Iffy For Saturday's Action
Jayson Tatum

Officially Available On Friday For Game 3 Against Magic
Will Smith

Back From Injury On Friday
Luke Kennard

Questionable For Game 4 On Saturday
Darius Garland

Listed As Questionable For Game 3
Ja Morant

To Miss Game 4 On Saturday
Rui Hachimura

Available For Game 3 In Minnesota
Aaron Ekblad

Available To Return Saturday
Erik Swanson

Ryan Burr Progressing
Daulton Varsho

To Return On Tuesday At The Latest
Max Scherzer

Takes Positive Step On Friday
Aleksander Barkov

Questionable For Saturday
Gabriel Landeskog

Set For Larger Role In Game 4
Calvin Pickard

To Start Game 3 For Oilers
Randy Arozarena

Resting For First Time This Year
Jonas Siegenthaler

To Play Limited Minutes In Game 3
MLB

Red Sox-Guardians Game Postponed On Friday
Luke Hughes

Remains Out On Friday
MLB

Tigers-Orioles Postponed On Friday
Patrik Laine

A Game-Time Decision Friday
Yainer Diaz

Out On Friday Against Royals
Iván Herrera

Ivan Herrera Hopes To Start Rehab Assignment Next Week
Salvador Perez

Sitting Out For First Time This Season
Jaylen Brown

Questionable For Game 3 On Friday
Brendan Donovan

Back In Action On Friday
Jimmy Butler III

Could Miss Game 3 On Saturday
Coby Mayo

Getting On A Roll At Triple-A
Carlos Prates

Looks To Remain Undefeated In The UFC
Ian Machado Garry

Set For UFC Kansas City Main Event
Cade Cunningham

Collects Double-Double In Loss
Jalen Brunson

Drops 30 Points In Game 3
Karl-Anthony Towns

Leads All Scorers In Game 3 Victory
Zhang Mingyang

Scheduled For Co-Main Event
Anthony Smith

Set For His Final UFC Bout
David Onama

Set For Featherweight Bout
Giga Chikadze

Looks To Bounce Back
Abus Magomedov

Looks For His Third Consecutive Win
Michel Pereira

Returns To Action At UFC Kansas City
Nicolas Dalby

An Underdog At UFC Kansas City
Randy Brown

A Favorite At UFC Kansas City
Andre Muniz

Set To Open Up UFC Kansas City Main Card
Ikram Aliskerov

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Sergei Bobrovsky

Shuts Out Lightning In Game 2
Cam Fowler

Finishes Thursday's Win With Five Points
Robert Thomas

Posts Four Assists In Game 3 Win
Pavel Buchnevich

Celebrates Hat Trick During Four-Point Performance
Dylan DeMelo

Battling An Illness
Marcus Johansson

Exits Early Thursday
Aleksander Barkov

Hurt In Game 2
Jrue Holiday

Tagged As Questionable For Friday
Jayson Tatum

Likely Out Again On Friday
Anthony Cirelli

Good To Go Thursday
Andrei Vasilevskiy

Looks To Bounce Back In Game 2
Rasmus Ristolainen

To Miss Training Camp
Jonas Siegenthaler

Returns To Practice
Aliaksei Protas

Traveling With Capitals
Gabriel Vilardi

Still Out On Thursday
Max Pacioretty

Set To Join Maple Leafs Lineup For Game 3
Cam Davis

Looking For Better Fortunes At TPC Louisiana
Adam Svensson

Making Third Apperence At Zurich Classic
Max Greyserman

Aiming For Similar Success At TPC Louisiana
Lee Hodges

A High-Upside Player In New Orleans
PGA

Nico Echavarria Looks To Ride Off Of Elite Putting In New Orleans
Gary Woodland

A Player Worth Watching In New Orleans
Max McGreevy

Returns To The Zurich Classic Of New Orleans
Rasmus Hojgaard

In Search Of Consistency Ahead Of Zurich Classic
Sam Stevens

A Boom-Or-Bust Candidate In New Orleans
Nicolai Hojgaard

Looking To Turn Season Around At Zurich Classic
Christiaan Bezuidenhout

Looks To Sway A Hot Putter In Teams Favor At Zurich Classic
Akshay Bhatia

Looking To Bounce Back At TPC Louisiana
Carson Young

Looks To Turn Things Around At TPC Louisiana
Erik Van Rooyen

Looking For Momentum In Louisiana
Andrew Novak

Making Start At TPC Louisiana After Near Miss At Harbour Town
Ben Griffin

Making Third Career Start At Zurich Classic
Taylor Moore

Competing With A New Teammate In New Orleans
Wyndham Clark

Making Return To New Orleans
Kurt Kitayama

Teeing It Up Again In New Orleans
Collin Morikawa

Back At Zurich Classic For Fifth Time
Thomas Detry

Making Third Appearance At New Orleans Team Event
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF