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Free NBA Betting Picks - Today's Best Bets, Expert Predictions, Odds (3/1/23)

Josh Wiesel's top NBA betting picks and best bets for today's NBA games on 3/1/23. His free picks against the spread, teasers, parlays, and NBA player props.

Hey RotoBallers! My name's Josh Wiesel. I'll be helping contribute to this section and am excited to hopefully bring some good picks. The format will be staying relatively the same as we pick a variety of games against the spread, game totals, parlays, and teasers. I have added an underdog parlay at the end with two road dogs that would provide a nice payout.

There's a decent amount of games on the slate with nine this Wednesday evening. I'll be targeting two teams in revenge spots against opponents they lost to last time out. Another squad I have my eye on is a plummeting Western Conference team in a great bounce-back spot. Looking for a 3-0 start and a hot run toward the NBA playoffs.

In this article, I'll be providing my favorite picks against the spread and a money line parlay for NBA games that tip-off at 7:00 PM EST on Wednesday, March 1.

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NBA Betting Picks: Against the Spread

Brooklyn Nets (+7) @ New York Knicks (221.5 total)

The battle of New York heats up Wednesday night with the Nets taking the short trip to face the Knicks at MSG. Brooklyn covering against the Knicks is my favorite spot of the night. New York is rolling right now, winners of six straight and a perfect 3-0 since returning from the All-Star break. The play of Julius Randle has been the story for the Knicks as he's averaging 32.3 points in that post-All-Star stretch. There's been a lot of love for the Knicks recently and it's well deserved. I'm here to bring them a little back down to earth.

The last time these teams played, the Knicks won 124-106 on their home floor, covering the 3.5-point spread. Brooklyn hung tough in the first half and held a 61-58 lead going into halftime. It was a tale of two halves as the Knicks would outscore the Nets 66-45 in the second half, leading to the big win. Point guard Jalen Brunson would score 17 of his 40 points in the third quarter and the Nets had no answer for him. Tightening up their game plan, the Nets should be more prepared defensively in this contest.

Since that Knicks game, Brooklyn picked up a nice home win against the Miami Heat, got embarrassed by the Chicago Bulls on the road, became victims of a Trae Young buzzer-beater, and lost by 14 to the Milwaukee Bucks. They are kind of a mixed bag right now, which makes them an interesting team to back.

I like the Nets in this game due to the revenge factor (tacky, I know). When these teams faced off, it was only the second game since Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving got traded. This team has had more time to gel and certainly has enough wildcard scoring to keep it interesting. Players like Mikal Bridges, Spencer Dinwiddie, and Nic Claxton should be extra motivated to keep it close against their cross-town rivals. All signs point toward the streaking Knicks, which makes me favor the Nets even more.

New York is one of the best teams against the spread this season with a record of 34-26-3 (56.7%). When playing in MSG, this record drops to 14-16-1. Brooklyn is on the second night of a back-to-back but this game is the one they had their eye on. It's a lot of points to play with in what should be a close game.

The Pick: Nets +7 (-110)

 

Philadelphia 76ers (-2) @ Miami Heat (215.5 total)

After the Miami Heat beat the Sixers in Philly on Monday, Philadelphia returns the favor in South Beach. Small road favorites, the Sixers enter an even 13-13 ATS on the road but are 15-11 straight up. Losers of two straight, Philadelphia needs to get back to their winning ways in order to have a chance to move up the standings. Philly is also 11-9 ATS after a loss this season and 9-7 as away favorites. This line is basically a pick'em, I look more at the 15-11 record than the 13-13 here, giving Philly a slight edge. Miami's record of 8-19-2 ATS at home is the worst in the NBA.

The previous matchup was a 101-99 slugfest that saw the Sixers erase an 11-point deficit in the fourth quarter. Philly would take a 99-98 lead with 1:10 left but that was the last time they scored. Jimmy Butler hit a clutch layup and foul shot in the final minute. James Harden missed a three in the final seconds that would have won it. It was an ugly game between two teams in the bottom five for possessions per game.

Miami shot 15/37 (40%) from three which was uncharacteristic for a team that is bottom five in the NBA in three-point percentage at 33.3 percent. Philadelphia has done a great job defending the three-point line this season. They rank in the top five in lowest opponent three-point percentage makes. The Heat needed a really hot shooting night to narrowly win by two. Due for a regression, if Miami doesn't shoot above average, the Sixers should handle business.

Joel Embiid & co. escape the cold in Philly and pick up a nice road win in sunny Miami.

The pick: Sixers -2 (-110)

 

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New Orleans Pelicans (+1.5) @ Portland Trail Blazers (232.5 total)

Remember when the Pelicans were a top-three seed in the Western Conference? What was once looking like an incredibly promising season, has turned disappointing. Brandon Ingram missed time earlier in the season while Zion was playing great. Now, Ingram is back while Williamson is shelved once again. On a four-game losing streak, I like the Pelicans to get back on track tonight.

The Trail Blazers start and end with Damian Lillard. Especially with Anfernee Simons out, there will be even more defensive focus will be on the dynamic point guard. Shouldering such a heavy offensive load can wear on players and the Pelicans have good defensive players to throw at him. Dame is so unbelievable it's becoming hard to put it into words but he'll need his teammates to step up. In terms of pure talent between the two rosters, I believe the Pelicans have better players.

Portland gets a slight bump in the spread because they are at home, a place they've covered 17 of 31 games (54.8%). New Orleans is just 11-19-1 against the spread on the road but I don't think that is an accurate representation of this team. In nine February games, Pelicans forward Brandon Ingram averaged 28.3 points in 34.9 minutes on 49/41.7/87.7 shooting splits. He's fully returned back to form and will present problems for a Blazers defense that has been bottom three in defensive rating in their last ten games. Add in CJ McCollum returning back to Portland where he will look to have a big game and lead his team to a victory.

Keep the small points, the Pelicans win outright in this Western Conference affair.

The Pick: Pelicans ML (+105)

 

NBA Betting Picks: ML & Underdog Parlay

Favorite Money Line Parlay: PHI + NO + PHO (+327 DK)

Favorite Underdog Parlay: CLE + NO (+463 DK) 

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Griffin Conine

To Have Shoulder Surgery On Tuesday
Luke Keaschall

Twins Prospect Luke Keaschall Suffers Broken Forearm
Logan Gilbert

Leaves Friday's Start With Forearm Tightness

Vikings Select Tai Felton To Finish Day 2

Seahawks Select Quarterback Jalen Milroe With The 92nd Pick Overall

Browns Select Dillon Gabriel 94th Overall

Packers Pick Savion Williams At No. 87 overall

Steelers Snag Kaleb Johnson In Round 3

Broncos Select Wide Receiver Pat Bryant With The 74th Overall Pick

Texans Select Jaylin Noel With 79th Pick

Lions Select Wide Receiver Isaac TeSlaa With The 70th Overall Pick
Jack Leiter

To Start On Sunday

Patriots Add Wide Receiver Kyle Williams In Round 3

Browns Draft Harold Fannin Jr. With 67th Pick
Garrett Mitchell

Makes Early Exit
Luke Keaschall

Removed Early On Friday
Blake Snell

Likely Avoids Major Injury
Cole Ragans

Dealing With Mild Groin Strain

Broncos Add RJ Harvey To Backfield With 60th Pick

Raiders Select Jack Bech With 58th Pick

Chargers Add Wide Receiver Tre Harris In Round 2
Detroit Lions

Lions Acquire 57th Pick From Broncos

Seahawks Draft Elijah Arroyo 50th Overall
Carolina Panthers

Panthers Acquire 51st Pick From Broncos
Arizona Cardinals

Cardinals Snag Will Johnson At No. 47

Jets Add A Pass-Catcher With Mason Taylor At No. 42

Rams Select Terrance Ferguson With 46th Pick
Houston Texans

Texans Acquire 48th Pick From Raiders, Draft Aireontae Ersery

Saints Snag Tyler Shough At No. 40
Brenton Doyle

Out For Personal Reasons On Friday
Brandin Podziemski

Not On Injury Report For Game 3
Jimmy Butler III

Warriors Optimistic About Jimmy Butler III Playing Saturday
Jae'Sean Tate

To Remain Out Saturday
Jock Landale

Unavailable For Game 3
Terry Rozier

Out On Saturday
Jrue Holiday

Ruled Out For Friday Night's Game 3 Against Orlando
Kevin Love

To Miss Saturday's Game
Jaylen Brown

Available For Friday Night's Game 3 Against Magic
Gary Payton II

Iffy For Saturday's Action
Jayson Tatum

Officially Available On Friday For Game 3 Against Magic
Will Smith

Back From Injury On Friday
Luke Kennard

Questionable For Game 4 On Saturday
Darius Garland

Listed As Questionable For Game 3
Ja Morant

To Miss Game 4 On Saturday
Rui Hachimura

Available For Game 3 In Minnesota
Aaron Ekblad

Available To Return Saturday
Erik Swanson

Ryan Burr Progressing
Daulton Varsho

To Return On Tuesday At The Latest
Max Scherzer

Takes Positive Step On Friday
Aleksander Barkov

Questionable For Saturday
Gabriel Landeskog

Set For Larger Role In Game 4
Calvin Pickard

To Start Game 3 For Oilers
Randy Arozarena

Resting For First Time This Year
Jonas Siegenthaler

To Play Limited Minutes In Game 3
MLB

Red Sox-Guardians Game Postponed On Friday
Luke Hughes

Remains Out On Friday
MLB

Tigers-Orioles Postponed On Friday
Patrik Laine

A Game-Time Decision Friday
Yainer Diaz

Out On Friday Against Royals
Iván Herrera

Ivan Herrera Hopes To Start Rehab Assignment Next Week
Salvador Perez

Sitting Out For First Time This Season
Jaylen Brown

Questionable For Game 3 On Friday
Brendan Donovan

Back In Action On Friday
Jimmy Butler III

Could Miss Game 3 On Saturday
Coby Mayo

Getting On A Roll At Triple-A
Carlos Prates

Looks To Remain Undefeated In The UFC
Ian Machado Garry

Set For UFC Kansas City Main Event
Cade Cunningham

Collects Double-Double In Loss
Jalen Brunson

Drops 30 Points In Game 3
Karl-Anthony Towns

Leads All Scorers In Game 3 Victory
Zhang Mingyang

Scheduled For Co-Main Event
Anthony Smith

Set For His Final UFC Bout
David Onama

Set For Featherweight Bout
Giga Chikadze

Looks To Bounce Back
Abus Magomedov

Looks For His Third Consecutive Win
Michel Pereira

Returns To Action At UFC Kansas City
Nicolas Dalby

An Underdog At UFC Kansas City
Randy Brown

A Favorite At UFC Kansas City
Andre Muniz

Set To Open Up UFC Kansas City Main Card
Ikram Aliskerov

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Sergei Bobrovsky

Shuts Out Lightning In Game 2
Cam Fowler

Finishes Thursday's Win With Five Points
Robert Thomas

Posts Four Assists In Game 3 Win
Pavel Buchnevich

Celebrates Hat Trick During Four-Point Performance
Dylan DeMelo

Battling An Illness
Marcus Johansson

Exits Early Thursday
Aleksander Barkov

Hurt In Game 2
Jrue Holiday

Tagged As Questionable For Friday
Jayson Tatum

Likely Out Again On Friday
Anthony Cirelli

Good To Go Thursday
Andrei Vasilevskiy

Looks To Bounce Back In Game 2
Rasmus Ristolainen

To Miss Training Camp
Jonas Siegenthaler

Returns To Practice
Aliaksei Protas

Traveling With Capitals
Gabriel Vilardi

Still Out On Thursday
Max Pacioretty

Set To Join Maple Leafs Lineup For Game 3
Cam Davis

Looking For Better Fortunes At TPC Louisiana
Adam Svensson

Making Third Apperence At Zurich Classic
Max Greyserman

Aiming For Similar Success At TPC Louisiana
Lee Hodges

A High-Upside Player In New Orleans
PGA

Nico Echavarria Looks To Ride Off Of Elite Putting In New Orleans
Gary Woodland

A Player Worth Watching In New Orleans
Max McGreevy

Returns To The Zurich Classic Of New Orleans
Rasmus Hojgaard

In Search Of Consistency Ahead Of Zurich Classic
Sam Stevens

A Boom-Or-Bust Candidate In New Orleans
Nicolai Hojgaard

Looking To Turn Season Around At Zurich Classic
Christiaan Bezuidenhout

Looks To Sway A Hot Putter In Teams Favor At Zurich Classic
Akshay Bhatia

Looking To Bounce Back At TPC Louisiana
Carson Young

Looks To Turn Things Around At TPC Louisiana
Erik Van Rooyen

Looking For Momentum In Louisiana
Andrew Novak

Making Start At TPC Louisiana After Near Miss At Harbour Town
Ben Griffin

Making Third Career Start At Zurich Classic
Taylor Moore

Competing With A New Teammate In New Orleans
Wyndham Clark

Making Return To New Orleans
Kurt Kitayama

Teeing It Up Again In New Orleans
Collin Morikawa

Back At Zurich Classic For Fifth Time
Thomas Detry

Making Third Appearance At New Orleans Team Event
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