X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Free NBA Betting Picks - Today's Best Bets, Expert Predictions, Odds (2/8/22)

Chris Paul

Thunder Dan's top NBA betting picks and best bets for today's NBA games on 2/8/22. His free picks against the spread, teasers, parlays, and NBA player prop.

We are on a heater, folks! Yesterday's picks went 4-0 to follow up on undefeated picks from Sunday and Friday. It feels good to be getting stuff right and the hot streak has been a boon to my overall season record and bankroll - and hopefully to yours as well!

It's tempting to go and make a bunch of picks on a big slate like we have tonight, but I'm really just honing in on a few spots that I absolutely love to try to keep the winning percentage and profits high. You'll notice I haven't been betting game totals as much lately and that's really because of how the recent surge in scoring has confused my model after we had some below-average offense for much of the first two months of the season. The spread bets and prop bets have been buttering our bread so that's where I'm going again today.

It's a long season and I would strongly encourage everyone to bet responsibly and sustainably so you don't have to sit out at any point if your discretionary funds dry up. Definitely follow me on Twitter @ThunderDanDFS as I toss out some picks and player props to the public when I get a chance. In this article, I'll be providing my favorite picks against the spread, game totals, parlays, teasers, and player props for NBA games on Tuesday, February 8th, 2022. I would highly encourage you to join our RotoBaller premium slack group by signing up for a premium pass!

Featured Promo: Get any Props Premium Pass for 30% off using code NEW. Win more with our two new Props Optimizer tools -- one for PrizePicks Props, and one for Sportsbook Betting Props. Find optimal prop bets and get our recommended picks daily! Go Premium, Win More!

 

Thunder Dan's NBA Best Bets for Today

  • Season Record 80-71
  • Against the Spread 49-38
  • Over/Under 21-29
  • Other/Props 10-4
  • Teasers/Parlays are not included in the overall record

I am NOT including any picks I give out on Twitter on days that this article doesn't run, just as an FYI. But I usually do put out my model on Tuesdays and Thursdays too.

I am not tracking units with these picks. If you're wondering how many units to bet on each pick, just assume I'm betting one unit on each spread, total, or prop and likely only a half unit at most on each parlay or teaser. Here is today's model, which now includes my personal spread calculation. I highlighted spots in yellow where my odds are significantly different from Vegas and a few of those are going to end up as official picks, while the others you can bet at your own leisure.

One thing you may notice is that I added an AVG +/- column and an ATS margin column. These columns track the season-long trends of the margin by which teams are covering (or not covering) the spread as well as the margin by which they have been going over or under their totals.

(click to enlarge)

 

NBA Betting Picks Against the Spread

Phoenix Suns (+1) @ Philadelphia 76ers (217 total)

The Suns are probably the only real live underdog on the slate and I'm jumping on them at these odds while I still can. I saw they opened up at +2 last night and put a little on them while I could and this line has already moved a full point in their favor.

Phoenix is fully healthy and they are reminding everyone just how good they are. They had an epic 18-game winning streak earlier this season and then another 11-game winning streak in January that was just snapped when they lost to Atlanta last week. Last night they were in full control of the game against Chicago on the road throughout, despite only winning by three points.

The back-to-back shouldn't scare us too much here, as the Suns only had one player (Devin Booker) log more than 35 minutes last night and they have a deep, talented bench unit who can step up and play bigger minutes when needed. That's one of their biggest edges in this game as the Sixers bench is pretty weak and has been missing its best scorer with Shake Milton out.

The Suns are a better team than the Sixers, even if Philly does have the best player in the game with Joel Embiid going full beast mode lately. I'll take the balance that Phoenix has here and I think Philly will have a hard time stopping all of the Suns options on offense. Phoenix is the better defensive team, too.

Let's roll with the Suns are slight road dogs here. Hit this bet ASAP because I think they may even be favored by the time that this game tips tonight.

The Pick: Suns ML (-105 DK Sportsbook)

 

Minnesota Timberwolves (-4) @ Sacramento Kings (233.5 total)

I don't want to oversimplify this too much, but Minnesota is a good team and the Kings just simply are not. While Minnesota does have a few guys currently questionable (D'Angelo Russell, Taurean Prince, and Patrick Beverley) they still have a much more talented roster than the Kings, who have been struggling badly without their best player De'Aaron Fox (also questionable for this game, but hasn't played since January 19th).

Minnesota is 8-3 in their last 11 games with those three losses coming to good teams (Atlanta, Golden State, and Phoenix). They've been beating up on bad teams when given the opportunity and have won their last three by an average margin of 13 points. Over the last two weeks, Minnesota has impressive 6.6 net rating. Meanwhile, the Kings are 2-8 over their last ten and simply don't have the firepower to keep up with Minnesota. Haliburton is a good young player and Harrison Barnes has stepped up with Fox out, but they get destroyed by big men inside so Karl-Anthony Towns should be able to do whatever he wants.

I'll take the Wolves here and lay the points, hoping that they can get out in front early and put some distance between themselves and the Kings. I've been burned in the past by Minnesota not covering in wins, but this feels like too good of a matchup to pass up.

The Pick: Wolves -4 (-110 DK Sportsbook)

 

Player Prop Betting Picks

There aren't too many props out this early today, but one guy I have circled already is Brandon Ingram. The Pelicans have a rematch with the Rockets today and Ingram just dropped a 33-3-12 line on these guys in the New Orleans win. That makes two games in a row with 12 assists as it seems Ingram has taken over more of the play-making role for this offense lately.

Houston bleeds points to everyone, but they've been especially bad against wings lately. Ingram's number is 36.5 on DraftKings and I wouldn't be surprised to see that number jump or the juice increase here as he could be a popular pick. I'm locking him in now and will be tempted to bet it higher, too, this is a great spot for him and this Pelicans offense.

The Pick: Brandon Ingram over 36.5 PRA (-115 DK Sportsbook)

Note: This has moved all the way to 39.5 with the trade that shipped out Josh Hart today. It's still bettable there, but not the same value he had this morning.

 

Reggie Bullock has been simply awesome for Dallas since entering the starting lineup. He's been the third scoring option for the Mavs behind Luka Doncic and Jalen Brunson and has been on fire from deep, making 4.7 threes over his last six games. There is a lot of juice on this bet at o/2.5 right now but I wouldn't mind grabbing it at o/3.5 later today, too. Detroit gives up a ton of threes and opposing shooters are shooting over 2% better from behind the arc than league average.

The Pick: Bullock over 2.5 threes (-160 DK Sportsbook)

 

NBA Teaser/Parlay Betting Picks

I might be a bit emboldened after hitting a few of these ML parlays in a row now, including a four-legger and a five-legger yesterday with all the favorites winning. But here goes nothing! Let's try another five-leg favorite parlay today.

The Pick:  Boston/Atlanta/Memphis/New Orleans/Dallas ML Parlay (+218 DK Sportsbook)

 

NBA Betting Picks: Team Stats Matrix

(click to enlarge)

I use this chart when making player prop bets! I hope you find this information useful when making your bets as well.

Thanks for checking this new column out and check back every Monday, Wednesday, and Friday for the rest of the NBA season! Good luck and bet responsibly!



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy basketball mobile app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, lineup notifications & DFS articles. All free!

NBA DFS News and Injury Alerts

More DFS Lineup Picks and Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Griffin Conine

To Have Shoulder Surgery On Tuesday
Luke Keaschall

Twins Prospect Luke Keaschall Suffers Broken Forearm
Logan Gilbert

Leaves Friday's Start With Forearm Tightness

Vikings Select Tai Felton To Finish Day 2

Seahawks Select Quarterback Jalen Milroe With The 92nd Pick Overall

Browns Select Dillon Gabriel 94th Overall

Packers Pick Savion Williams At No. 87 overall

Steelers Snag Kaleb Johnson In Round 3

Broncos Select Wide Receiver Pat Bryant With The 74th Overall Pick

Texans Select Jaylin Noel With 79th Pick

Lions Select Wide Receiver Isaac TeSlaa With The 70th Overall Pick
Jack Leiter

To Start On Sunday

Patriots Add Wide Receiver Kyle Williams In Round 3

Browns Draft Harold Fannin Jr. With 67th Pick
Garrett Mitchell

Makes Early Exit
Luke Keaschall

Removed Early On Friday
Blake Snell

Likely Avoids Major Injury
Cole Ragans

Dealing With Mild Groin Strain

Broncos Add RJ Harvey To Backfield With 60th Pick

Raiders Select Jack Bech With 58th Pick

Chargers Add Wide Receiver Tre Harris In Round 2
Detroit Lions

Lions Acquire 57th Pick From Broncos

Seahawks Draft Elijah Arroyo 50th Overall
Carolina Panthers

Panthers Acquire 51st Pick From Broncos
Arizona Cardinals

Cardinals Snag Will Johnson At No. 47

Jets Add A Pass-Catcher With Mason Taylor At No. 42

Rams Select Terrance Ferguson With 46th Pick
Houston Texans

Texans Acquire 48th Pick From Raiders, Draft Aireontae Ersery

Saints Snag Tyler Shough At No. 40
Brenton Doyle

Out For Personal Reasons On Friday
Brandin Podziemski

Not On Injury Report For Game 3
Jimmy Butler III

Warriors Optimistic About Jimmy Butler III Playing Saturday
Jae'Sean Tate

To Remain Out Saturday
Jock Landale

Unavailable For Game 3
Terry Rozier

Out On Saturday
Jrue Holiday

Ruled Out For Friday Night's Game 3 Against Orlando
Kevin Love

To Miss Saturday's Game
Jaylen Brown

Available For Friday Night's Game 3 Against Magic
Gary Payton II

Iffy For Saturday's Action
Jayson Tatum

Officially Available On Friday For Game 3 Against Magic
Will Smith

Back From Injury On Friday
Luke Kennard

Questionable For Game 4 On Saturday
Darius Garland

Listed As Questionable For Game 3
Ja Morant

To Miss Game 4 On Saturday
Rui Hachimura

Available For Game 3 In Minnesota
Aaron Ekblad

Available To Return Saturday
Erik Swanson

Ryan Burr Progressing
Daulton Varsho

To Return On Tuesday At The Latest
Max Scherzer

Takes Positive Step On Friday
Aleksander Barkov

Questionable For Saturday
Gabriel Landeskog

Set For Larger Role In Game 4
Calvin Pickard

To Start Game 3 For Oilers
Randy Arozarena

Resting For First Time This Year
Jonas Siegenthaler

To Play Limited Minutes In Game 3
MLB

Red Sox-Guardians Game Postponed On Friday
Luke Hughes

Remains Out On Friday
MLB

Tigers-Orioles Postponed On Friday
Patrik Laine

A Game-Time Decision Friday
Yainer Diaz

Out On Friday Against Royals
Iván Herrera

Ivan Herrera Hopes To Start Rehab Assignment Next Week
Salvador Perez

Sitting Out For First Time This Season
Jaylen Brown

Questionable For Game 3 On Friday
Brendan Donovan

Back In Action On Friday
Jimmy Butler III

Could Miss Game 3 On Saturday
Coby Mayo

Getting On A Roll At Triple-A
Carlos Prates

Looks To Remain Undefeated In The UFC
Ian Machado Garry

Set For UFC Kansas City Main Event
Cade Cunningham

Collects Double-Double In Loss
Jalen Brunson

Drops 30 Points In Game 3
Karl-Anthony Towns

Leads All Scorers In Game 3 Victory
Zhang Mingyang

Scheduled For Co-Main Event
Anthony Smith

Set For His Final UFC Bout
David Onama

Set For Featherweight Bout
Giga Chikadze

Looks To Bounce Back
Abus Magomedov

Looks For His Third Consecutive Win
Michel Pereira

Returns To Action At UFC Kansas City
Nicolas Dalby

An Underdog At UFC Kansas City
Randy Brown

A Favorite At UFC Kansas City
Andre Muniz

Set To Open Up UFC Kansas City Main Card
Ikram Aliskerov

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Sergei Bobrovsky

Shuts Out Lightning In Game 2
Cam Fowler

Finishes Thursday's Win With Five Points
Robert Thomas

Posts Four Assists In Game 3 Win
Pavel Buchnevich

Celebrates Hat Trick During Four-Point Performance
Dylan DeMelo

Battling An Illness
Marcus Johansson

Exits Early Thursday
Aleksander Barkov

Hurt In Game 2
Jrue Holiday

Tagged As Questionable For Friday
Jayson Tatum

Likely Out Again On Friday
Anthony Cirelli

Good To Go Thursday
Andrei Vasilevskiy

Looks To Bounce Back In Game 2
Rasmus Ristolainen

To Miss Training Camp
Jonas Siegenthaler

Returns To Practice
Aliaksei Protas

Traveling With Capitals
Gabriel Vilardi

Still Out On Thursday
Max Pacioretty

Set To Join Maple Leafs Lineup For Game 3
Cam Davis

Looking For Better Fortunes At TPC Louisiana
Adam Svensson

Making Third Apperence At Zurich Classic
Max Greyserman

Aiming For Similar Success At TPC Louisiana
Lee Hodges

A High-Upside Player In New Orleans
PGA

Nico Echavarria Looks To Ride Off Of Elite Putting In New Orleans
Gary Woodland

A Player Worth Watching In New Orleans
Max McGreevy

Returns To The Zurich Classic Of New Orleans
Rasmus Hojgaard

In Search Of Consistency Ahead Of Zurich Classic
Sam Stevens

A Boom-Or-Bust Candidate In New Orleans
Nicolai Hojgaard

Looking To Turn Season Around At Zurich Classic
Christiaan Bezuidenhout

Looks To Sway A Hot Putter In Teams Favor At Zurich Classic
Akshay Bhatia

Looking To Bounce Back At TPC Louisiana
Carson Young

Looks To Turn Things Around At TPC Louisiana
Erik Van Rooyen

Looking For Momentum In Louisiana
Andrew Novak

Making Start At TPC Louisiana After Near Miss At Harbour Town
Ben Griffin

Making Third Career Start At Zurich Classic
Taylor Moore

Competing With A New Teammate In New Orleans
Wyndham Clark

Making Return To New Orleans
Kurt Kitayama

Teeing It Up Again In New Orleans
Collin Morikawa

Back At Zurich Classic For Fifth Time
Thomas Detry

Making Third Appearance At New Orleans Team Event
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF