X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Free NBA Betting Picks and Best Bets (1/12/24)

Stephen Curry - NBA DFS Picks, Daily Fantasy Basketball

Josh Wiesel's top NBA betting picks and best bets for today's NBA games on 1/12/24. His free picks against the spread, teasers, parlays, and NBA player props.

After a smaller five-game slate yesterday, we have a larger 10-game slate tonight. There's a lot of opportunity on the board; let's capitalize on it.

In my last article on Wednesday, I went 1-2. The Pacers won the first quarter by two, missing out on the 2.5-point spread. San Antonio easily covered the 1.5-point first-half spread. I tried to change it up and took the Houston Rockets team total under 106.5. That was a loss, and it was a worthwhile experiment, but I'll be sticking to what I've had success with.

In this article, I'll be providing my favorite picks against the spread, game totals, parlays, and teasers for the NBA slate that tips off at 7:00 p.m. EST on Friday, January 12. Follow me on Twitter/X, @Jwiesel13. 

Featured Promo: Get any Props Premium Pass for 30% off using code NEW. Win more with our two new Props Optimizer tools -- one for PrizePicks Props, and one for Sportsbook Betting Props. Find optimal prop bets and get our recommended picks daily! Go Premium, Win More!

 

NBA Betting Picks: ML & Spreads

Indiana Pacers (+5.5) at Atlanta Hawks (252.5 total)

The Pacers are obviously without their best player, Tyrese Haliburton. Indiana still managed to win against the Wizards on Wednesday, but only put up 112 points. In four games without Haliburton, they have scored 144, 112, 109, and 104 points. The 144-point outing in Miami on December 2 saw the Pacers hit 56/85 (66%) field goals and 16/32 (50%) three-pointers. Needless to say, I don't anticipate that happening again tonight.

Atlanta comes into this game off of a 139-132 overtime win at home over the Joel Embiid-less 76ers. Atlanta scored 14 points in the extra five-minute frame but put up 125 points in regulation.

This is a Hawks team that is averaging 125.9 points per game at home while hitting 48.5 percent of their field goals.

I'm taking the Hawks because I'm not sure if the Pacers will be able to keep up with them. Atlanta scored 125 in regulation against a Sixers team that has a 118.4 defensive rating without Joel Embiid this season.

Removing that Heat game, Indiana has only averaged 108.3 points without Tyrese Haliburton. They also have a league-worst 123.2 defensive rating on the road this season. Atlanta scores a lot of points, hits threes, and can get to the foul line.

I don't like a first-quarter or first-half pick in this game, but I think the Hawks have better full-game sustainability and will cover this number.

The Pick: Hawks -5.5 (-110 Caesars)

 

Golden State Warriors (+3) at Chicago Bulls (229.5 total)

The Warriors haven't been playing good ball lately, losing two straight and six out of their last eight games. Meanwhile, Chicago has won three straight and has looked good recently.

In a situation where I can take Stephen Curry and get a point in the first quarter, I'm going to take it. According to EV Analytics, Chicago is only 10-12 ATS in the first quarter at home. Golden State is 9-5-1 ATS in the first quarter on the road this season. The Warriors have been way better at covering first-quarter spreads on the road than at home.

Golden State averages more points and shoots better percentages than the Bulls in the opening 12 minutes of games. They also have better rebounding and assist numbers. Moving the ball and creating open looks is always key in a time crunch of 12 minutes.

The Bulls are giving up 28.4 points in the first quarter, while the Warriors give up 28.6. So I wouldn't give either team a big defensive advantage. If anything, I'd say Zach LaVine and Nikola Vucevic being back for Chicago should only hurt them defensively.

Chicago is giving up a league-high 10.2 three-point attempts in the first quarter. That should be music to Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson's ears.

Dubs early in this one for me.

The Pick: Warriors First Quarter +1.5 (-125 Sports Illustrated Sportsbook)

 

Sports Betting Promo Offers

Featured Promo: Get any Betting Premium Pass for 30% off using code NEW. Win more with exclusive betting picks from proven winners across 9 sports! Find optimal bets with our Betting Picks Tool and Bet Weighting Tool and follow along in our VIP chat rooms! Go Premium, Win More!

 

NBA Betting Picks: ML & Spreads

Sacramento Kings (-1) at Philadelphia 76ers (241 total)

The Philadelphia 76ers are 7-2 this season without Joel Embiid. In those nine games, Philly is averaging 113.4 points, hitting 44.6 percent of their field goals and shooting 32.8 percent from three.

Those averages would put them in the bottom 10 in scoring, the bottom three in field goal percentage, and last in the league in three-point percentage.

They are giving up 118.1 points without Embiid. There were two games where Chicago and Orlando each scored 92 points. Take away those two, and that average goes up to 123.7 points allowed.

Sacramento comes into this game on a two-game winning streak and has won four of its last five. Over those five games, they have put up 125.4 points per game. Notably, Mike Brown's team is hitting 50.3 percent of their field goals and shooting 40.3 percent from deep.

Taking away Embiid also opens up the paint for the Kings. Domantas Sabonis is averaging a career-high 14.5 points in the paint this season and should feast in this matchup. He's shooting 70.2 percent in the restricted area. The Kings are averaging 62.8 PITP over their last five games. Philly has been without Embiid for the last three games and has given up 60 points in the paint on average. That would place them in the bottom five.

Point guard De'Aaron Fox is averaging a career-high 27.9 points and will have the Sixers guards busy trying to cover him.

The Kings aren't so great on defense, but still rank a respectable 17th in defensive rating.

The Pick: Sacramento Kings ML (+100 FanDuel)

 



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy basketball mobile app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, lineup notifications & DFS articles. All free!

NBA DFS News and Injury Alerts




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Kirill Marchenko14 mins ago

Scores Hat Trick On Tuesday
Tage Thompson24 mins ago

Stays Hot On The Scoresheet
Lane Hutson31 mins ago

Dishes Out Three Helpers In Overtime Victory
Alex Ovechkin37 mins ago

Tallies Two Points In Victory
Eugenio Suárez6 hours ago

Eugenio Suarez Hits Go-Ahead Grand Slam Tuesday
A.J. Puk6 hours ago

Earns First Save Of Season Tuesday
Michael King6 hours ago

Fans 11 In Five Shutout Innings Tuesday
Christian Yelich7 hours ago

Hits First Homer Of Season, Steals Base Tuesday
Evan Engram7 hours ago

Sean Payton Excited About Evan Engram In Joker Role
Anthony Bender7 hours ago

Earns First Save Of Season Tuesday
Robert Hassell III7 hours ago

Has Three-Hit Day At Triple-A
Thomas Harrington7 hours ago

Hit Hard In MLB Debut Tuesday
Gunnar Henderson7 hours ago

Hits Solo Homer In Triple-A Rehab Game Tuesday
Marcelo Mayer7 hours ago

Hits First Home Run At Triple-A
Caleb Williams7 hours ago

To Spend More Time Working Under Center
Tom Hoge7 hours ago

Looking To Build Off Strong Performance At The PLAYERS Championship
Zebby Matthews8 hours ago

Twirls Five Shutout Innings At Triple-A
Daniel Jones8 hours ago

Anthony Richardson, Daniel Jones To Split First-Team Reps This Offseason
Terry McLaurin8 hours ago

Commanders Interested In Extending Terry McLaurin
Rashee Rice8 hours ago

Expected To Be Ready For Training Camp
Hurston Waldrep8 hours ago

Fans Seven In Win At Triple-A
Garrett Wilson8 hours ago

Jets Plan To Get Garrett Wilson The Ball "As Much As Possible"
Keaton Mitchell8 hours ago

Ravens Have High Hopes For Keaton Mitchell
Angel Genao8 hours ago

Dealing With Shoulder Injury
Derrick Henry8 hours ago

John Harbaugh Wants Ravens To Extend Derrick Henry
Christian McCaffrey8 hours ago

Is Healthy
Clarke Schmidt9 hours ago

To Return April 15 Or 16
Shane Baz9 hours ago

Strikes Out 10
Mike Tauchman9 hours ago

Begins Rehab Assignment
Wyatt Langford10 hours ago

Launches Another Homer
Nathan Eovaldi10 hours ago

Throws Complete Game Shutout
Michael Petersen10 hours ago

Traded To Atlanta
Matt Fitzpatrick10 hours ago

Looking For Consistency At Valero Texas Open
Corey Conners10 hours ago

Continues Strong Form Ahead Of Valero Texas Open
Patrick Cantlay11 hours ago

Eyeing Victory At Valero Texas Open
Reynaldo López11 hours ago

Reynaldo Lopez To Undergo Right-Shoulder Surgery
Gary Woodland11 hours ago

Showing Great Form Ahead Of Valero Texas Open
Akshay Bhatia11 hours ago

Aiming For Repeat At Valero Texas Open
Alejandro Tosti11 hours ago

A Volatile Choice At TPC San Antonio
NFL11 hours ago

Tush Push Unlikely To Be Banned For 2025 Season
Xavier Legette11 hours ago

Dave Canales Compares Xavier Legette To DK Metcalf
Brett de Geus11 hours ago

Phillies Claim Brett de Geus Off Waivers From Marlins
New York Giants11 hours ago

Ty Summers Re-Signs With New York
Nick Mears11 hours ago

Beginning Rehab Assignment At Triple-A
Sam Ehlinger12 hours ago

Signs One-Year Deal With Denver
Guerschon Yabusele12 hours ago

Out Against Knicks
Karl-Anthony Towns12 hours ago

Sits Out Tuesday's Game
Arizona Cardinals12 hours ago

Calais Campbell Returns To Arizona
Jevon Carter12 hours ago

Ruled Out Tuesday
Dalen Terry12 hours ago

Unavailable Against Raptors
Julian Phillips12 hours ago

Out On Tuesday
Jalen Smith12 hours ago

Available Against Raptors
Lonzo Ball12 hours ago

Still Out On Tuesday
Kevin Huerter13 hours ago

Cleared For Tuesday's Matchup
Josh Giddey13 hours ago

Will Play On Tuesday
Dalano Banton13 hours ago

Starting Against The Hawks
Royce O'Neale13 hours ago

Unavailable Against Bucks
Jerami Grant13 hours ago

Out Again On Tuesday
Bradley Beal13 hours ago

Out On Tuesday
Ron Holland II13 hours ago

Tagged With A One-Game Suspension Tuesday
Anfernee Simons13 hours ago

Ruled Out Versus The Hawks
Trae Young13 hours ago

Officially Available Tuesday
Marcus Sasser13 hours ago

Suspended For One Game On Tuesday
Giannis Antetokounmpo13 hours ago

Will Play On Tuesday
Jimmy Snuggerud13 hours ago

Ready For NHL Debut Tuesday
Isaiah Stewart13 hours ago

Suspended For Two Games On Tuesday
Jacob Trouba13 hours ago

Set To Rejoin Ducks Lineup Tuesday
Jonathan Kuminga13 hours ago

Ruled Out On Tuesday
Troy Terry13 hours ago

On Track To Play Tuesday
Jaylen Brown14 hours ago

Questionable Versus Miami
Jonathan Marchessault14 hours ago

Remains Out Against Blue Jackets
Alex Laferriere14 hours ago

Expected To Return On Tuesday
Luke Schenn14 hours ago

A Game-Time Decision Tuesday
Dante Fabbro14 hours ago

Returns Against Predators
Detroit Lions16 hours ago

Alim McNeill Could Miss Start Of Regular Season
Tennessee Titans16 hours ago

Justin Hardee Sr. Returning To Titans
Washington Commanders17 hours ago

Brandon Coleman Moving To Right Tackle For Commanders
Raheem Blackshear17 hours ago

Returning To Carolina
Kirk Cousins17 hours ago

Not Expected To Attend Voluntary Offseason Training
NFL17 hours ago

NFL Ownership Votes To Move Kickoff Touchbacks To 35-Yard Line
Olli Määttä17 hours ago

Olli Maatta A Game-Time Call On Tuesday
Jordan Greenway17 hours ago

Remains Sidelined On Tuesday
Dallas Cowboys17 hours ago

Cowboys Willing To Make Micah Parsons The Highest-Paid Non-QB
Jordan Staal17 hours ago

Doubtful For Wednesday
Matt Roy17 hours ago

Not Traveling With Team
Josh Norris18 hours ago

Not Traveling With The Team On Tuesday
Brady Tkachuk18 hours ago

Not Playing On Tuesday
Jordan Spieth19 hours ago

Needs To Find Consistency At TPC San Antonio
Jake Knapp20 hours ago

Making First Appearance At Valero Texas Open
Michael Kim20 hours ago

Looking To Find The Magic Again In San Antonio
Tommy Fleetwood20 hours ago

Is Nearly A Must-Play At Valero Texas Open
Tony Finau20 hours ago

Hoping For Better Approach Play In San Antonio
Eric Cole20 hours ago

Trending In Right Direction Ahead Of Valero
Casey DeSmith24 hours ago

Sharp In Monday's Victory
Mason Marchment1 day ago

Tallies Two Helpers On Monday
Adam Klapka1 day ago

Tallies Two Points In Shootout Victory
Ivan Fedotov1 day ago

Sharp Against Nashville
Sam Stevens1 day ago

Enjoys Nice Result In Houston
PGA1 day ago

J.T. Poston Seeks To Contend At Valero Texas Open
Denny McCarthy1 day ago

Keeps Making Cuts But Needs To Make More Putts
Brian Harman1 day ago

Off To A Subpar 2025 So Far
Ryan Preece2 days ago

Has Three Straight Top-10 Finishes For First Time In His Career
NASCAR2 days ago

Bubba Wallace After Third-Place Finish At Martinsville: "What a Great Day"
Todd Gilliland2 days ago

Has Mistake-Free Day At Martinsville, Grabs Another Top-10 Finish
Brandon Moreno2 days ago

Wins Back-To-Back Fights
Steve Erceg2 days ago

Losses Third Consecutive Fight
Drew Dober2 days ago

Gets Knocked Out At UFC Mexico City
Manuel Torres2 days ago

Gets Back In The Win Column
Harry Hall2 days ago

Bounces Back In Houston Last Week
CJ Vergara2 days ago

Gets Submitted
Ryan Fox2 days ago

Showing Improvement Heading Into The Valero Texas Open
Édgar Cháirez2 days ago

Edgar Chairez Gets Submission Win At UFC Mexico City
Vince Morales2 days ago

Drops Decision At UFC Mexico City
Raul Rosas Jr.2 days ago

Gets Decision Win At UFC Mexico City
Saimon Oliveira2 days ago

Still Winless In The UFC
David Martinez2 days ago

Wins His UFC Debut
Kevin Borjas2 days ago

Earns His First UFC Win
Ronaldo Rodríguez2 days ago

Ronaldo Rodriguez Suffers His First UFC Loss
Joel Dahmen2 days ago

Scores Top-20 Finish At Texas Children's Houston Open
Jacob Bridgeman2 days ago

Had Some Rest Heading Into The Valero
Christopher Bell2 days ago

Powers His Way To A Second-Place Finish At Martinsville
Chase Elliott2 days ago

Strong Martinsville Performance Ends With A Top-Five Finish
Kyle Larson2 days ago

Collects A Top-Five Finish At Martinsville
William Byron2 days ago

Places 22nd After Struggles At Martinsville
Joey Logano2 days ago

Claims His First 2025 Top-10 Finish After Up-And-Down Performance
Tyler Reddick2 days ago

Fails To Place In The Top 10 At Martinsville
Denny Hamlin2 days ago

Silences Doubters After Crew-Chief Change
Ty Gibbs2 days ago

Earns Best 2025 Finish At Martinsville Despite Failing Cool Suit
Ross Chastain2 days ago

Has A Great Day At Martinsville
Chase Briscoe2 days ago

Has Solid Run At Martinsville
Erik Jones2 days ago

Disqualified At Martinsville For Weight Violation
Josh Berry3 days ago

Has Top-10 Upside At Martinsville
Joey Logano3 days ago

Don't Overlook Joey Logano This Weekend
Ryan Preece3 days ago

Could Get First Three-Race Top-10 Streak Of His Career
Chase Elliott3 days ago

Looking To Continue Great Runs At Martinsville
Christopher Bell3 days ago

Wins Pole At Martinsville, But Can He Stay Up There?
Ryan Blaney3 days ago

Fast In Practice But Skeptical About Car
Denny Hamlin3 days ago

New Crew Chief Has Terrible Martinsville Record
Steve Erceg5 days ago

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Brandon Moreno5 days ago

A Favorite At UFC Mexico City
Manuel Torres5 days ago

Set For Co-Main Event
Drew Dober5 days ago

An Underdog At UFC Mexico City
Joe Pyfer5 days ago

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Kelvin Gastelum5 days ago

Set For Middleweight Matchup
Vince Morales5 days ago

In Dire Need Of Victory
Raul Rosas Jr.5 days ago

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Saimon Oliveira5 days ago

Looks For His First UFC Win
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF