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Free MLB Player Props - Today's Prop Betting Picks for Hitters and Pitchers (6/4/23)

While Sunday is often regarded as a day of rest, there's simply "no rest for the wicked" as my work is never done! My job is to bring you the best player props for today's games and today...I have a bunch! I'll share my top three pitching props and two favorite hitter props with you here and if you want more -- you know where to find me!

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In this article, I'll provide my favorite prop bets for MLB games on Sunday, June 4, 2023. If you ever want to chat about strikeout props or any other MLB bets, you can find me on Twitter @ThunderDanDFS. Good luck today and let's cash some bets!

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MLB Pitcher Prop Bets - Today's Betting Picks

Tyler Wells OVER 5.5 strikeouts (-125 DraftKings)

Wells is a guy who often flies under the radar, but this year he's taken a big step towards being a really darn good major league pitcher. He's leading the league in WHIP with a tiny 0.83 mark through the first two months and he's really turned it up in the strikeout department as he's now up over 25% on the year after striking out 7-8 hitters in each of his last four starts.

Wells has a good matchup here against the Giants, who strike out 25% of the time against righties and their most recent two-week trend has been even higher up around 28%. This Giants team has had to play a lot of young guys lately and right now LaMonte Wade Jr. is the only player in the projected lineup with a strikeout rate under 22% against RHP. I look for Wells to keep his strong streak going here. While he's our biggest number today, he also comes with the best odds of the three picks as well.

Taj Bradley OVER 4.5 strikeouts (-140 DraftKings)

If you've read my content before, you probably know that I am a pretty big believer in Bradley. He went down the minors after his first three MLB starts in April and a lot was made of how he struggled at Triple-A after pitching effectively at the big league level. But a lot of that really had more to do with this tinkering with his pitches and working on some things than it had to do with his actual talent or stuff.

The kid can pitch and I think he's proven that since coming back up for his second stint in mid-May. He's still not pitching deep into games, but Bradley has seven and eight strikeouts in his last two starts, raising his K% to 34.4% on the season (best on the board today).

Earlier in the year, we were avoiding the Red Sox for strikeouts as they had a very low K%, but that trend has been evolving and Boston is actually striking out 24% of the time against righties over the last two weeks -- a significant increase from their early-season average.

I look for Bradley to pitch well here and get 5+ relatively easily. While the Sox can throw a bunch of lefties at him, Bradley has actually been better against lefties (38% K%) than righties (31% K%) this year. The top four hitters from Boston are a hard group to whiff. From 5-9 in the lineup, we have guys with 25-30% strikeout rates. Bradley should get it done today I think.

Ben Lively OVER 4.5 strikeouts (-155 DraftKings)

Lively has been a nice surprise for the Reds, who have had to dig into their reserves for starters with some unfortunate early injuries in their rotation. Since entering the rotation, Lively has made three very effective starts against some good teams (Yankees, Cardinals, Red Sox) and struck out eight, six, and six hitters in those three starts.

Now, a 10% SwStr% suggests that he's probably more of a 22-23% strikeout rate guy than his current 27%. Even with some regression to the norm today, I think we can count on at least five against the strikeout-prone Brewers. While I usually want lefties against Milwaukee as they are one of the worst teams against LHP, they're also trending up in strikeout rate against righties, too, as their most recent two-week sample is several ticks higher than their season average.

I can't say I know a lot about Lively or have seen him pitch much, but the results have been there. Because there's enough skepticism around his ability to keep it up, we get him at a low 4.5 number for at least one more start.

 

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MLB Hitter Prop Bets - Today's Betting Picks

Paul Goldschmidt OVER 1.5 total bases (-120 DraftKings)

If I am recommending two hitters today, I get to use the BvP on at least one of them, right? Goldy has some silly numbers against Rich Hill in his career. He's hitting .522 against Hill with three home runs and has struck out just twice across 26 plate appearances. We know the big first baseman loves to hit off lefties by his excellent career splits and Hill has been very boom/bust this year with a big bust coming most recently against the Giants.

I can't imagine that Hill wants to try to throw too many fastballs to Goldy, so he will probably get a healthy dose of the big curveball, a pitch that Hill throws over 40% of the time to righties. Goldy simply smashes that pitch with an average exit velocity of 95 mph against it and only an 18% whiff rate. In other words, I think Paul is going to make contact with some baseballs today and that when he hits them, they're probably going to be hit hard.

Nolan Jones OVER 1.5 hits + runs + RBI (+115 DraftKings)

Jones was demolishing the baseball at Triple-A and finally got the call to the big league team last week. He's hitting .308 since arriving in Colorado and has a hit in all but one game. I wanted his total bases prop, but it was set at only 0.5, so I am going to go with his HR/RBI prop instead as we can get it at plus money. The Rockies get Brady Singer on the hill for KC today. He's been tortured by lefties in his career and has been struggling this season altogether.

I love what Jones brings to the table in this matchup. He's hit this prop in three of his last four games and I think the Rockies will put up enough offense today in this spot to where Jones has opportunities to score or drive in some runs. He's an emerging young talent and at some point, he's going to make a case for getting moved up in the lineup, too.

Good luck, RotoBallers, let's have some fun today and make some money!



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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Griffin Conine

To Have Shoulder Surgery On Tuesday
Luke Keaschall

Twins Prospect Luke Keaschall Suffers Broken Forearm
Logan Gilbert

Leaves Friday's Start With Forearm Tightness

Vikings Select Tai Felton To Finish Day 2

Seahawks Select Quarterback Jalen Milroe With The 92nd Pick Overall

Browns Select Dillon Gabriel 94th Overall

Packers Pick Savion Williams At No. 87 overall

Steelers Snag Kaleb Johnson In Round 3

Broncos Select Wide Receiver Pat Bryant With The 74th Overall Pick

Texans Select Jaylin Noel With 79th Pick

Lions Select Wide Receiver Isaac TeSlaa With The 70th Overall Pick
Jack Leiter

To Start On Sunday

Patriots Add Wide Receiver Kyle Williams In Round 3

Browns Draft Harold Fannin Jr. With 67th Pick
Garrett Mitchell

Makes Early Exit
Luke Keaschall

Removed Early On Friday
Blake Snell

Likely Avoids Major Injury
Cole Ragans

Dealing With Mild Groin Strain

Broncos Add RJ Harvey To Backfield With 60th Pick

Raiders Select Jack Bech With 58th Pick

Chargers Add Wide Receiver Tre Harris In Round 2
Detroit Lions

Lions Acquire 57th Pick From Broncos

Seahawks Draft Elijah Arroyo 50th Overall
Carolina Panthers

Panthers Acquire 51st Pick From Broncos
Arizona Cardinals

Cardinals Snag Will Johnson At No. 47

Jets Add A Pass-Catcher With Mason Taylor At No. 42

Rams Select Terrance Ferguson With 46th Pick
Houston Texans

Texans Acquire 48th Pick From Raiders, Draft Aireontae Ersery

Saints Snag Tyler Shough At No. 40
Brenton Doyle

Out For Personal Reasons On Friday
Brandin Podziemski

Not On Injury Report For Game 3
Jimmy Butler III

Warriors Optimistic About Jimmy Butler III Playing Saturday
Jae'Sean Tate

To Remain Out Saturday
Jock Landale

Unavailable For Game 3
Terry Rozier

Out On Saturday
Jrue Holiday

Ruled Out For Friday Night's Game 3 Against Orlando
Kevin Love

To Miss Saturday's Game
Jaylen Brown

Available For Friday Night's Game 3 Against Magic
Gary Payton II

Iffy For Saturday's Action
Jayson Tatum

Officially Available On Friday For Game 3 Against Magic
Will Smith

Back From Injury On Friday
Luke Kennard

Questionable For Game 4 On Saturday
Darius Garland

Listed As Questionable For Game 3
Ja Morant

To Miss Game 4 On Saturday
Rui Hachimura

Available For Game 3 In Minnesota
Aaron Ekblad

Available To Return Saturday
Erik Swanson

Ryan Burr Progressing
Daulton Varsho

To Return On Tuesday At The Latest
Max Scherzer

Takes Positive Step On Friday
Aleksander Barkov

Questionable For Saturday
Gabriel Landeskog

Set For Larger Role In Game 4
Calvin Pickard

To Start Game 3 For Oilers
Randy Arozarena

Resting For First Time This Year
Jonas Siegenthaler

To Play Limited Minutes In Game 3
MLB

Red Sox-Guardians Game Postponed On Friday
Luke Hughes

Remains Out On Friday
MLB

Tigers-Orioles Postponed On Friday
Patrik Laine

A Game-Time Decision Friday
Yainer Diaz

Out On Friday Against Royals
Iván Herrera

Ivan Herrera Hopes To Start Rehab Assignment Next Week
Salvador Perez

Sitting Out For First Time This Season
Jaylen Brown

Questionable For Game 3 On Friday
Brendan Donovan

Back In Action On Friday
Jimmy Butler III

Could Miss Game 3 On Saturday
Coby Mayo

Getting On A Roll At Triple-A
Carlos Prates

Looks To Remain Undefeated In The UFC
Ian Machado Garry

Set For UFC Kansas City Main Event
Cade Cunningham

Collects Double-Double In Loss
Jalen Brunson

Drops 30 Points In Game 3
Karl-Anthony Towns

Leads All Scorers In Game 3 Victory
Zhang Mingyang

Scheduled For Co-Main Event
Anthony Smith

Set For His Final UFC Bout
David Onama

Set For Featherweight Bout
Giga Chikadze

Looks To Bounce Back
Abus Magomedov

Looks For His Third Consecutive Win
Michel Pereira

Returns To Action At UFC Kansas City
Nicolas Dalby

An Underdog At UFC Kansas City
Randy Brown

A Favorite At UFC Kansas City
Andre Muniz

Set To Open Up UFC Kansas City Main Card
Ikram Aliskerov

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Sergei Bobrovsky

Shuts Out Lightning In Game 2
Cam Fowler

Finishes Thursday's Win With Five Points
Robert Thomas

Posts Four Assists In Game 3 Win
Pavel Buchnevich

Celebrates Hat Trick During Four-Point Performance
Dylan DeMelo

Battling An Illness
Marcus Johansson

Exits Early Thursday
Aleksander Barkov

Hurt In Game 2
Jrue Holiday

Tagged As Questionable For Friday
Jayson Tatum

Likely Out Again On Friday
Anthony Cirelli

Good To Go Thursday
Andrei Vasilevskiy

Looks To Bounce Back In Game 2
Rasmus Ristolainen

To Miss Training Camp
Jonas Siegenthaler

Returns To Practice
Aliaksei Protas

Traveling With Capitals
Gabriel Vilardi

Still Out On Thursday
Max Pacioretty

Set To Join Maple Leafs Lineup For Game 3
Cam Davis

Looking For Better Fortunes At TPC Louisiana
Adam Svensson

Making Third Apperence At Zurich Classic
Max Greyserman

Aiming For Similar Success At TPC Louisiana
Lee Hodges

A High-Upside Player In New Orleans
PGA

Nico Echavarria Looks To Ride Off Of Elite Putting In New Orleans
Gary Woodland

A Player Worth Watching In New Orleans
Max McGreevy

Returns To The Zurich Classic Of New Orleans
Rasmus Hojgaard

In Search Of Consistency Ahead Of Zurich Classic
Sam Stevens

A Boom-Or-Bust Candidate In New Orleans
Nicolai Hojgaard

Looking To Turn Season Around At Zurich Classic
Christiaan Bezuidenhout

Looks To Sway A Hot Putter In Teams Favor At Zurich Classic
Akshay Bhatia

Looking To Bounce Back At TPC Louisiana
Carson Young

Looks To Turn Things Around At TPC Louisiana
Erik Van Rooyen

Looking For Momentum In Louisiana
Andrew Novak

Making Start At TPC Louisiana After Near Miss At Harbour Town
Ben Griffin

Making Third Career Start At Zurich Classic
Taylor Moore

Competing With A New Teammate In New Orleans
Wyndham Clark

Making Return To New Orleans
Kurt Kitayama

Teeing It Up Again In New Orleans
Collin Morikawa

Back At Zurich Classic For Fifth Time
Thomas Detry

Making Third Appearance At New Orleans Team Event
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