X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Five Breakout Outfielders For Fantasy Baseball Drafts - NL Edition (2024)

Jordan Walker - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, MLB Prospects

Eric Cross discusses five outfielders in the National League that he expects to breakout this season and provide plenty of value for fantasy baseball.

The term "breakout" always gets the juices flowing, so to speak, in our fantasy baseball world. Everyone loves a good breakout. So much in fact, that we decided to do two whole articles on breakout outfielders here on RotoBaller.

Today I'll be discussing five National League outfielders that I'm expecting to break out offensively this season. Finding players that can provide a positive return on investment is always crucial during draft season, and these five all have the chance to return great value at their respective ADPs.

If you missed the American League version of this article, you can check that out here. And as I mentioned last time, I wouldn't advise drafting a ton of breakout candidates in your drafts, but grabbing a name here and there is a fine strategy.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball lineup tools and resources:

 

Five Breakout Outfielders in the National League for 2024

Jordan Walker, St. Louis Cardinals

When I was putting names together for this article, Jordan Walker's name was the first that popped to mind. And how could it not be? It seems that some of the air in the Walker hype balloon has been deflated after a rookie season where he was good but didn't dominate. However, I'm still as high on him now as I was last March when I saw him crank two mammoth home runs in person during a spring training game when attending Baseball HQ's First Pitch Florida event.

Overall, Walker slashed a respectable .276/.342/.445 in 465 plate appearances with 16 home runs and seven steals. But how he finished the season, along with his immense upside, should have everyone excited to see what he's going to do in 2024. Over his final 30 games, Walker slashed .339/.392/.545 with five home runs and a 19.2% strikeout rate. Overall, Walker recorded a 7.5% barrel rate, 89.4 mph AVG EV, and 42.5% hard-hit rate. While all above-average, those metrics don't stand out, but Walker is capable of increasing all three of those by a decent amount in 2024.

Getting Walker around pick 125 in drafts this spring feels like phenomenal value. The upside remains for him to be a Top 25 overall player who hits for a solid AVG and provides at least 30 homers annually.

 

Seiya Suzuki, Chicago Cubs

It seems to have flown under the radar to some degree just how good Seiya Suzuki was to close out the 2023 season. After a pinch-hit strikeout on August 7, Suzuki's season slash line sunk to .249/.327/.388. Not exactly what fantasy managers were expecting after a solid debut in 2022. However, over his final 198 plate appearances, Suzuki was a force to be reckoned with, slashing .356/.414/.672 with 30 extra-base hits and 11 home runs. He ranked in the top four over the final two months of the season in AVG, SLG, ISO, wOBA, and wRC+, and also ranked 9th in OBP.

Honestly, I'm shocked that Suzuki's ADP is outside the Top 100 right now given how he ended the season and his metrics across the board. In 2023, Suzuki recorded a 10.5% barrel rate, 91.4 mph AVG EV, and a 48% hard-hit rate with an 84.2% zone contact rate and 78.7% overall contact rate. He was one of just eight hitters to have a contact rate above 78% and a barrel rate north of 10%.

Given his blend of contact, approach, and quality of contact, I'm expecting Suzuki to have his best season yet in 2024 with a realistic shot at 100 runs, 30 home runs, 100 RBI to pair with a good AVG and OBP.

 

Jarred Kelenic, Atlanta Braves

Never thought I'd go back to this well, but including Jarred Kelenic in an article like this makes sense. While it's not an excuse for the inconsistent and often poor performance in his time with the Seattle Mariners, Kelenic seemed to be in his own head too much due to the pressure put on him as a top prospect who was supposed to save the franchise to some degree. Now in Atlanta, Kelenic gets a fresh start and a chance to start regularly in an absolutely loaded Braves lineup where even hitters in the bottom third of the order can accrue plenty of counting stats.

When you look at Kelenic's metrics from last season, there's definitely some positive to pull from in addition to a few concerns that remain. His quality of contact metrics were above average with a 9.5% barrel rate, 90.9 mph AVG EV, and 45.5% hard-hit rate, and Kelenic also had a nice 69th percentile sprint speed. But on the flip side, he also posted a 31.7% strikeout rate, 77.3% zone contact rate, and 66.2% contact rate.

The contact and strikeout concerns are probably always going to be there, so I'm not expecting Kelenic to ever hit more than .250-.260 or so. However, over a full season in Atlanta's lineup, 25 home runs and 10-15 steals are within reach with a decent amount of runs and RBI as well. If you're getting that past pick 200, you're going to be incredibly pleased with your investment.

 

Sal Frelick, Milwaukee Brewers

These last two selections are a bit further down ADP from the first three, but both are intriguing in their own way. Both are from the same outfield too. After being drafted 15th overall back in 2021, Sal Frelick quickly proved to be one of the best pure hitters in the minor leagues, hitting .329 in 35 games after the draft and followed that up with a .331 AVG in 119 games in 2022. In both seasons, Frelick added an OBP over .400 while showing plus speed as well.

That's the Frelick we should expect in the Major Leagues, not the one that hit .252 in 43 games last season before his promotion and .246 in 57 games after being called up. He was also dealing with thumb and hamstring issues last season that could've played a roll in the production slipping. What we can expect from Frelick is a high AVG and OBP, plenty of runs scored as a top of the order type of hitter, and at least 20 steals annually over a full season. The power upside isn't overly high here, but 10-15 homers annually are in play.

The profile isn't quite as sexy as the names above, but there's definitely some breakout appeal here with Frelick. The Brewers also appear to be giving him some reps in the infield and Frelick was working with former all-star second baseman Dustin Pedroia on his infield defense.

 

Garrett Mitchell, Milwaukee Brewers

When it comes to Garrett Mitchell, his profile couldn't be more different from Frelick's. At least at the plate. Both are plus runners and solid defenders, but Mitchell doesn't have the contact skills or AVG upside that Frelick does. However, Mitchell has more power/speed upside than Frelick and has shown that in his brief stints with Milwaukee over the last two seasons. In 2023, Mitchell posted a 10% barrel rate and 94th percentile sprint speed along with a 9.6% walk rate. And over his two seasons so far, his 650 plate appearance power/speed pace equates to 23 home runs and 41 stolen bases.

If everything clicks at the plate and Mitchell is able to improve his contact and strikeout rates, the upside is a player that flirts with 20/40. That's easier said than done though. Mitchell struck out 35.6% of the time in 2023 with a 67.7% zone contact rate and 60.3% overall contact rate. Those metrics simply aren't going to cut the mustard in the Major Leagues and his breakout fully depends on improvements being made in those areas. But given his ADP close to pick 400, the potential reward vastly outweighs the risk.

For more from Eric, including his prospect and dynasty rankings, check out his Toolshed Fantasy Patreon.



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy baseball app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, sleepers, prospects & more. All free!



More Fantasy Baseball Advice




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Austin Gomber23 mins ago

Scratched From Rehab Start With Shoulder Inflammation
Zack Wheeler34 mins ago

Records 10 Strikeouts
36 mins ago

Matthew Golden Making Pre-Draft Visit To Steelers
Cincinnati Bengals42 mins ago

Trey Hendrickson Not Looking For Short-Term Deal
Aroldis Chapman48 mins ago

Earns First Save Of The Season
Garrett Crochet56 mins ago

Works Eight Strong Innings
Tutu Atwell59 mins ago

Rams Plan To Give Tutu Atwell A Bigger Role In 2025
Rafael Devers1 hour ago

Finally Delivers At The Plate
Tampa Bay Buccaneers1 hour ago

Bucs Restructure Antoine Winfield's Deal To Free Up Cap Space
Xavier Edwards1 hour ago

Collects Four Hits
Pete Alonso1 hour ago

Comes Up Clutch
Jackson Merrill3 hours ago

Goes Deep After Inking Nine-Year Extension
Jrue Holiday3 hours ago

Won't Play Against Miami
New York Jets3 hours ago

Xavier Newman-Johnson Re-Signs With New York
Luis Castillo3 hours ago

Finally Beats The Tigers On Wednesday
Al Horford3 hours ago

Sidelined Versus Heat
Seiya Suzuki3 hours ago

Carries Cubs Offense With Two Homers, Five RBI
Kristaps Porzingis3 hours ago

Ruled Out On Wednesday
Fred VanVleet4 hours ago

Out Versus Utah
Dennis Santana4 hours ago

Picks Up First Save Of The Year
Evan Phillips4 hours ago

Tony Gonsolin, Evan Phillips Starting Rehab Assignments
Dean Wade4 hours ago

Sidelined On Wednesday
George Springer4 hours ago

Hits First Homer In Win Over Nationals
Alex Bregman4 hours ago

Considering Using Torpedo Bat
Trae Young4 hours ago

Expected To Suit Up On Wednesday
Freddie Freeman4 hours ago

Remains Out On Wednesday
Ozzie Albies4 hours ago

Moving To Leadoff Spot On Wednesday
Joel Embiid5 hours ago

Will Undergo Arthroscopic Surgery On His Left Knee
Evgeni Malkin5 hours ago

Joins Penguins For Road Trip
Freddy Peralta5 hours ago

Dazzles In No-Decision Against Royals
Filip Chytil5 hours ago

Could Miss Rest Of Season
Jackson Chourio5 hours ago

Picks Up Three Hits, First Homer In Extra-Innings Win
Declan Chisholm5 hours ago

Back In Action Against Rangers
Michael Harris II5 hours ago

Sitting Against Lefty On Wednesday
Keaton Wallace5 hours ago

Sidelined Again On Wednesday
Samuel Girard5 hours ago

Exits Avalanche Lineup Wednesday
Gunnar Henderson5 hours ago

To Make Another Rehab Appearance On Wednesday
Joel Kiviranta5 hours ago

Returning Against Blackhawks
Paul Skenes5 hours ago

Wins His First Game Of The Season
Eeli Tolvanen5 hours ago

Misses First Game Of The Season
Jaden Schwartz5 hours ago

Unavailable Against Canucks
7 hours ago

Kyle McCord Rising Up Draft Boards?
7 hours ago

Ashton Jeanty To Raiders Continues To Gain Steam
7 hours ago

Emeka Egbuka To Fall To Round 2?
Los Angeles Rams7 hours ago

Rob Havenstein Expected To Be Ready For Training Camp
Cleveland Browns9 hours ago

Mike Hall Likely To Miss Offseason Program After Having Knee Surgery
New England Patriots9 hours ago

Christian Barmore Expected To Be Ready For Offseason Workouts
9 hours ago

Saints Expected To Visit With Quinn Ewers
Jake Moody9 hours ago

49ers To Bring In Competition For Jake Moody
Pittsburgh Steelers9 hours ago

Steelers In Play To Draft A Running Back
Green Bay Packers11 hours ago

Packers Not Ruling Out Jaire Alexander Returning
Tennessee Titans12 hours ago

No. 1 Overall Pick Might Not Be For Sale
Kenny Pickett12 hours ago

Browns Feel Good About QB Situation, Kenny Pickett
Cleveland Browns12 hours ago

Browns Unlikely To Trade Up To No. 1 Overall For Cam Ward
Cincinnati Bengals12 hours ago

Bengals Still Working On Contract Extension With Trey Hendrickson
Dyami Brown12 hours ago

Jaguars Intrigued By Dyami Brown's Potential
Pittsburgh Steelers13 hours ago

All Options On The Table For Steelers At Quarterback
Bennedict Mathurin13 hours ago

Iffy For Wednesday
Myles Turner13 hours ago

May Miss Another Game Wednesday
Al Horford13 hours ago

Considered Doubtful Wednesday
Jrue Holiday13 hours ago

Questionable For Wednesday's Game
Kristaps Porzingis14 hours ago

Listed As Questionable For Wednesday
Jaylen Brown14 hours ago

Could Remain On The Shelf Wednesday
Cade Cunningham14 hours ago

Likely Out For Fifth Straight Game
Anthony Davis14 hours ago

Probable Wednesday
Evan Bouchard15 hours ago

Tallies Two Assists In Victory
Jake Guentzel15 hours ago

Tallies Goal, Assist In Victory
Kirill Marchenko16 hours ago

Scores Hat Trick On Tuesday
Tage Thompson16 hours ago

Stays Hot On The Scoresheet
Lane Hutson16 hours ago

Dishes Out Three Helpers In Overtime Victory
Alex Ovechkin16 hours ago

Tallies Two Points In Victory
Cameron Young21 hours ago

A Player To Avoid At Valero Texas Open
Kurt Kitayama21 hours ago

In Search Of Consistency At Valero Texas Open
Si Woo Kim21 hours ago

Looking To Bounce Back At Valero Texas Open
Tom Hoge23 hours ago

Looking To Build Off Strong Performance At The PLAYERS Championship
Matt Fitzpatrick1 day ago

Looking For Consistency At Valero Texas Open
Corey Conners1 day ago

Continues Strong Form Ahead Of Valero Texas Open
Patrick Cantlay1 day ago

Eyeing Victory At Valero Texas Open
Gary Woodland1 day ago

Showing Great Form Ahead Of Valero Texas Open
Akshay Bhatia1 day ago

Aiming For Repeat At Valero Texas Open
Alejandro Tosti1 day ago

A Volatile Choice At TPC San Antonio
Guerschon Yabusele1 day ago

Out Against Knicks
Karl-Anthony Towns1 day ago

Sits Out Tuesday's Game
Jevon Carter1 day ago

Ruled Out Tuesday
Dalen Terry1 day ago

Unavailable Against Raptors
Julian Phillips1 day ago

Out On Tuesday
Jimmy Snuggerud1 day ago

Ready For NHL Debut Tuesday
Jacob Trouba1 day ago

Set To Rejoin Ducks Lineup Tuesday
Troy Terry1 day ago

On Track To Play Tuesday
Jonathan Marchessault1 day ago

Remains Out Against Blue Jackets
Alex Laferriere1 day ago

Expected To Return On Tuesday
Luke Schenn1 day ago

A Game-Time Decision Tuesday
Dante Fabbro1 day ago

Returns Against Predators
Olli Määttä1 day ago

Olli Maatta A Game-Time Call On Tuesday
Jordan Spieth1 day ago

Needs To Find Consistency At TPC San Antonio
Jake Knapp1 day ago

Making First Appearance At Valero Texas Open
Michael Kim1 day ago

Looking To Find The Magic Again In San Antonio
Tommy Fleetwood1 day ago

Is Nearly A Must-Play At Valero Texas Open
Tony Finau1 day ago

Hoping For Better Approach Play In San Antonio
Eric Cole1 day ago

Trending In Right Direction Ahead Of Valero
Sam Stevens2 days ago

Enjoys Nice Result In Houston
PGA2 days ago

J.T. Poston Seeks To Contend At Valero Texas Open
Denny McCarthy2 days ago

Keeps Making Cuts But Needs To Make More Putts
Brian Harman2 days ago

Off To A Subpar 2025 So Far
Ryan Preece2 days ago

Has Three Straight Top-10 Finishes For First Time In His Career
NASCAR2 days ago

Bubba Wallace After Third-Place Finish At Martinsville: "What a Great Day"
Todd Gilliland2 days ago

Has Mistake-Free Day At Martinsville, Grabs Another Top-10 Finish
Brandon Moreno2 days ago

Wins Back-To-Back Fights
Steve Erceg2 days ago

Losses Third Consecutive Fight
Drew Dober2 days ago

Gets Knocked Out At UFC Mexico City
Manuel Torres2 days ago

Gets Back In The Win Column
Harry Hall2 days ago

Bounces Back In Houston Last Week
CJ Vergara2 days ago

Gets Submitted
Édgar Cháirez2 days ago

Edgar Chairez Gets Submission Win At UFC Mexico City
Vince Morales2 days ago

Drops Decision At UFC Mexico City
Raul Rosas Jr.2 days ago

Gets Decision Win At UFC Mexico City
Saimon Oliveira2 days ago

Still Winless In The UFC
David Martinez2 days ago

Wins His UFC Debut
Kevin Borjas2 days ago

Earns His First UFC Win
Ronaldo Rodríguez2 days ago

Ronaldo Rodriguez Suffers His First UFC Loss
Christopher Bell2 days ago

Powers His Way To A Second-Place Finish At Martinsville
Chase Elliott2 days ago

Strong Martinsville Performance Ends With A Top-Five Finish
Kyle Larson2 days ago

Collects A Top-Five Finish At Martinsville
William Byron2 days ago

Places 22nd After Struggles At Martinsville
Joey Logano3 days ago

Claims His First 2025 Top-10 Finish After Up-And-Down Performance
Tyler Reddick3 days ago

Fails To Place In The Top 10 At Martinsville
Denny Hamlin3 days ago

Silences Doubters After Crew-Chief Change
Ty Gibbs3 days ago

Earns Best 2025 Finish At Martinsville Despite Failing Cool Suit
Ross Chastain3 days ago

Has A Great Day At Martinsville
Chase Briscoe3 days ago

Has Solid Run At Martinsville
Erik Jones3 days ago

Disqualified At Martinsville For Weight Violation
Josh Berry4 days ago

Has Top-10 Upside At Martinsville
Joey Logano4 days ago

Don't Overlook Joey Logano This Weekend
Ryan Preece4 days ago

Could Get First Three-Race Top-10 Streak Of His Career
Chase Elliott4 days ago

Looking To Continue Great Runs At Martinsville
Christopher Bell4 days ago

Wins Pole At Martinsville, But Can He Stay Up There?
Ryan Blaney4 days ago

Fast In Practice But Skeptical About Car
Denny Hamlin4 days ago

New Crew Chief Has Terrible Martinsville Record
Steve Erceg5 days ago

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Brandon Moreno5 days ago

A Favorite At UFC Mexico City
Manuel Torres5 days ago

Set For Co-Main Event
Drew Dober5 days ago

An Underdog At UFC Mexico City
Joe Pyfer5 days ago

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Kelvin Gastelum5 days ago

Set For Middleweight Matchup
Vince Morales5 days ago

In Dire Need Of Victory
Raul Rosas Jr.5 days ago

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Saimon Oliveira5 days ago

Looks For His First UFC Win
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF

MORE RECENT ARTICLES

 
UFL RANKINGS, FANTASY FOOTBALL,

UFL Fantasy Football Rankings for Week 2: QB, RB, WR, TE Rankings and Analysis (2025)

Week 2 of the UFL season is just around the corner. This week will feature one game on Friday, one game on Saturday, and two on Sunday. Birmingham and Michigan will play at 8:00 p.m. EDT on Friday, followed by Memphis-D.C. on Saturday at 8:00 p.m. EDT. Sunday's game pits the 1-0 Renegades against the […]


Calvin Ridley - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL DFS Picks, Draft Sleepers

Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings: Overvalued, Undervalued Players (2025)

Dynasty fantasy football rankings constantly shift, especially as we inch closer to the new season and fantasy drafts. Dynasty managers know the importance of finding those underrated players who could be steals in drafts or trades. They also know some players are overhyped due to unsustainable trends or past production. I'll break down two overvalued […]


Justin Fields - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Best Fantasy Football Moves During 2025 NFL Free Agency

It has been a wild offseason so far in the NFL. Plenty of players have switched teams in free agency, and some stars were even traded. Deebo Samuel Sr. was dealt to the Washington Commanders, Geno Smith was traded to the Las Vegas Raiders, and DK Metcalf has a new home with the Pittsburgh Steelers. These […]


Tyreek Hill - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Three Aging Fantasy Football Players To Sell In Dynasty Leagues

It's hard to always know when to sell off your aging fantasy football players. Often, it's also difficult to accept that it's better to move on from a player when he's coming off a productive season and still has a lot left in the tank. But I believe it's better to be a year early […]


J.J. McCarthy - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Draft Sleepers

Five Fantasy Football Superflex Quarterback Breakouts, Draft Targets (2025)

If you’ve ever played in a Superflex fantasy football league, then you know how important quarterbacks are in this format. The ability to start multiple stud quarterbacks can carry you to a Superflex title. Unfortunately, finding two such players isn’t so easy. All the top signal-callers come off draft boards first, and that makes it […]


Omarion Hampton - College Football Rankings, NCAA CFB DFS Lineup Picks - NFL Draft

Ideal Landing Spots For The Top 12 Fantasy Football Rookies - 2025 NFL Draft

Then, the NFL Draft continues to inch closer and closer. This is a very interesting class, with a handful of players who could be stars in the NFL and reshape fantasy football leagues going forward. Here are the ideal landing spots for the top 12 fantasy football rookies. These picks exist in conversation with each […]


Jalen Coker - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Eight Best Ball Late Round Value Fantasy Football Players To Target For 2025

Fantasy football is the most popular game in all of sports. It has gone from a paper-and-pen game to a multi-million dollar-a-year one. While redraft leagues are the most popular form of fantasy football, best ball leagues are quickly gaining steam. The best part of best ball leagues is the ability to draft thousands of […]


Abdul Carter - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

2025 NFL Draft Rankings: Top 10 Fantasy Football Edge Rusher Prospects

Edge rusher is the most important, most coveted, and most highly-paid position on defense in the NFL. It stands to reason that the most important position in the entire game being quarterback, and by a wide margin, means the most important position on defense are the players that are tasked with disrupting opposing QBs as […]


Brock Purdy - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Picks

Brock Purdy Dynasty Fantasy Football Outlook and Trade Value

Despite becoming the all-time leading passer for the Iowa State Cyclones, Brock Purdy wasn't a highly touted prospect due to his perceived lack of athleticism. The 49ers picked him with the final pick of the 2022 NFL Draft, but Mr. Irrelevant quickly proved everyone wrong. In his first two years, he started in back-to-back NFC […]


Michael Florio's Football Show - Podcast RotoBaller Network

Florio's Football Show: Scouting NFL Draft Prospects!

Michael F Florio goes over some of the top prospects from this years NFL Draft. Florio talks about what he looks for when watching prospect tape and explains what traits translate best to the NFL level. Be sure to also tune into RotoBaller Radio on SiriusXM (SiriusXM channel 87) on Sundays from 6-7 am. You can […]


Najee Harris - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Dynasty Fantasy Football Buy or Sell: Najee Harris, Rico Dowdle, Jordan Mason

One year ago, we discussed the futures of Josh Jacobs, Derrick Henry, Saquon Barkley, and Aaron Jones as those free agents found new homes. This year's headliners are Najee Harris, Rico Dowdle, and Jordan Mason. Not quite the same. Still, with every transaction come implications for dynasty fantasy football rosters across the globe. Below, we […]


Romeo Doubs - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Early 2025 Fantasy Football Sleepers: Undervalued NFC Draft Targets

While the 2025 fantasy football redraft season is still several months away, there is no such thing as being too prepared for your fantasy draft. Fantasy football is year-round, even for those who only play in redraft leagues. The landscape of fantasy football will change between today and the start of redraft season, with the […]


Detroit Lions Defense, Aidan Hutchinson - Fantasy Football DST Rankings, Streamers, IDP Sleepers

2025 Fantasy Football IDP Sleepers: Five Draft Targets

It's notably difficult to identify sleepers in fantasy football IDP leagues. The skill of the players in question is very important, but situation also plays a large factor, as does a recent history of injuries. Rather than bucketing them into groups, it's better to analyze each one individually, look at where they are in terms […]