X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

Fantasy Football Matchups Analysis - Super Bowl LV

Patrick Mahomes - Fantasy Football Rankings, DFS Lineup Picks, NFL Injury News

Fantasy football starts/sits and lineups advice for all 2021 Super Bowl LV matchups. Frank analyzes in-depth matchups via player-by-player breakdowns.

Hey everyone, welcome back! While the season-long fantasy season is over, it's a great time to keep it rolling and try to make some money in DFS. With that in mind, this article will be more DFS-centric for the NFL playoffs.

Welcome to our Super Bowl matchups analysis and start/sit column for fantasy football. We'll be analyzing the Super Bowl slate, helping you optimize your daily fantasy lineups and take down your opponent. Be sure to check back regularly for any updates on player injuries or other pertinent information.

Frank Ammirante will be covering the big game this week. If you have any additional questions, follow him on Twitter @FAmmiranteTFJ and feel free to ask away. Let's help guide you to that DFS victory!

Featured Promo: Get any DFS Premium Bundle for for 30% off using code NEW! Win more with expert advice from proven winners and exclusive DFS tools. Get instant access to RotoBaller's Lineup Optimizers, Research Stations, daily picks and VIP chat rooms across 10 sports! Go Premium, Win More!

 

Matchups Analysis 

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Matchups We Love:

QB Patrick Mahomes ($16,500 FanDuel, $12,000 DraftKings)

Mahomes is in a smash spot against this Bucs pass-funnel defense. Tampa Bay's run defense (3.41 YPC allowed, first in NFL) is the best in football, so teams tend to go with a pass-heavy approach (39 pass attempts allowed, most in NFL). This sets up nicely for a Chiefs offense that loves to air it out (60% passing offense in neutral game scripts, sixth-most in NFL). When these teams met back in Week 12, Mahomes attempted 49 passes and threw for 462 yards. We can project an uptick in passing volume, which gives Mahomes a great chance at reaching his ceiling in this matchup.

WR Tyreek Hill ($14,000 FanDuel, $10,400 DraftKings)

Hill went nuclear against this defense back in Week 12, catching 13-of-15 targets for 269 yards and three touchdowns. The projected increase in passing volume for this Chiefs offense should provide weapons like Hill with opportunities to make splash plays here. While the Chiefs' offensive line is depleted just in time to face off against a strong Bucs pass-rush, Mahomes has shown the ability to evade pass-rushers with a high degree of effectiveness, so this might not hurt the passing game as much as you think. Hill should at least be able to eclipse the century mark in this matchup.

TE Travis Kelce ($14,500 FanDuel, $11,000 DraftKings)

Kelce continued his unprecedented hot streak against the Bills in the AFC Championship Game, catching 13-of-15 targets for 118 yards and two touchdowns. He's now put up 100+ yards in seven of his last 10 games, totaling 86 receptions, 1,192 yards, and nine touchdowns during that span. Those are absolutely absurd numbers and you need to fire up Kelce in the majority of your single-game lineups this week. He has the best combination of floor and ceiling in this matchup.

WR Chris Godwin ($12,000 FanDuel, $8,800 DraftKings)

Godwin is really starting to click with Tom Brady, putting up 75+ yards in four of his last five games. He's the best option in this Bucs passing game. During the postseason, Godwin has led the team with a 26.42% target share. While the Chiefs have been tough against wide receivers (second-fewest fantasy points per game allowed) and just limited Stefon Diggs to six receptions for 77 yards, Godwin remains the top target in a passing game that is firing on all cylinders. Expect Godwin to lead the team in targets in this game.

Matchups We Hate:

RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire ($10,000 FanDuel, $7,000 DraftKings)
RB Darrel Williams ($9,000 FanDuel, $5,200 DraftKings)

The Chiefs will have a tough time running the football against a Bucs defense that ranks first in run DVOA and just got back their elite run-stuffing interior defensive lineman in Vita Vea last game. Williams (63.16% snaps, 14 touches) shared the workload with CEH (49.23% snaps, seven touches) last game. Le'Veon Bell is a non-factor, as he'll likely see very limited action in this game. Williams is the preferred play because it seems like Andy Reid prefers to ride him given the usage we saw against Buffalo, but this is a situation to avoid.

Other Matchups:

WR Sammy Watkins ($7,500 FanDuel, $4,200 DraftKings)
WR Mecole Hardman ($7,500 FanDuel, $5,600 DraftKings)

This game sets up nicely for the Chiefs' ancillary receivers due to the uptick in passing volume and questionable status for Demarcus Robinson, who is currently on the COVID-19 reserve list. Even if Robinson plays, I think it will be in a limited role. Watkins looks likely to return to the lineup, but it remains to be seen how much he'll actually be used in this offense. That makes Hardman one of my favorite value plays on this slate. The only reason that he's not in the love section is that he still sees limited volume, but his big-play ability keeps him firmly on the radar. I'd bet that one of these two wide receivers makes an impact in this game.

QB Tom Brady ($15,000 FanDuel, $10,000 DraftKings)

Brady has a tough matchup against a Chiefs Defense that just limited Josh Allen to a 58% completion rate with only 6.0 yards per attempt, so we need to temper our expectations in this matchup. Brady has also been a bit disappointing during this postseason, completing 60-of-109 passes (55%) for 860 yards (7.9 Y/A), seven touchdowns, and three interceptions. Still, he's obviously worth a look in a game that projects to have a ton of fireworks, but I don't think he's a must-play here.

RB Leonard Fournette ($12,500 FanDuel, $7,800 DraftKings)
RB Ronald Jones II ($8,000 FanDuel, $2,200 DraftKings)

Fournette has been the preferred running back throughout this postseason, particularly in the passing game, but Jones has still seen usage on the ground, putting up only six fewer carries than Fournette in the last two games. The Chiefs ranked 31st in run DVOA this season, so this is a good spot for the Bucs' backfield. The only reason why they aren't in the love section is that it's tough to predict which back has the big game. Jones is severely underpriced on DraftKings, so I would recommend using him there. If the Bucs jump out to an early lead, we could see more usage for Jones. Make sure to have exposure to both of these players in your DFS lineups.

Mike Evans ($11,500 FanDuel, $8,400 DraftKings)
Antonio Brown ($9,500 FanDuel, 6,200 DraftKings)
Scotty Miller ($6,500 FanDuel, $3,400 DraftKings)

Evans is the preferred downfield target with the most touchdown equity on the team, but he's combined for four receptions and 54 yards in the last two games, making him a lukewarm option against a tough Chiefs pass defense. Brown missed the Packers game but he looks good to go for this one. Still, it's unclear how much he'll really be used in this game, making him a risky choice. The good news is that his injury could keep his ownership percentage down. Miller has combined for six targets in three playoff games, but he should continue to some increased usage even if Brown plays since AB is currently banged up.

TE Cameron Brate ($7,000 FanDuel, $4,800 DraftKings)
TE Rob Gronkowski ($6,500 FanDuel, $3,000 DraftKings)

Brate (11 receptions for 149 yards and one touchdown) has been the preferred receiving tight end, out-producing Gronk (two receptions for 43 yards) throughout this postseason. However, Brate is currently dealing with a back injury, putting his status in question for this game. If Brate is OUT, we could see Gronk play more of a role as a receiver. For a player with the second-highest touchdown equity on the team, that bodes well for his outlook. When these two teams met in Week 12, Gronk caught six passes for 106 yards. Keep a close eye on Brate's status.



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy football app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, rankings, starts/sits & more. All free!

More Start/Sit Advice




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Griffin Conine

To Have Shoulder Surgery On Tuesday
Luke Keaschall

Twins Prospect Luke Keaschall Suffers Broken Forearm
Logan Gilbert

Leaves Friday's Start With Forearm Tightness

Vikings Select Tai Felton To Finish Day 2

Seahawks Select Quarterback Jalen Milroe With The 92nd Pick Overall

Browns Select Dillon Gabriel 94th Overall

Packers Pick Savion Williams At No. 87 overall

Steelers Snag Kaleb Johnson In Round 3

Broncos Select Wide Receiver Pat Bryant With The 74th Overall Pick

Texans Select Jaylin Noel With 79th Pick

Lions Select Wide Receiver Isaac TeSlaa With The 70th Overall Pick
Jack Leiter

To Start On Sunday

Patriots Add Wide Receiver Kyle Williams In Round 3

Browns Draft Harold Fannin Jr. With 67th Pick
Garrett Mitchell

Makes Early Exit
Luke Keaschall

Removed Early On Friday
Blake Snell

Likely Avoids Major Injury
Cole Ragans

Dealing With Mild Groin Strain

Broncos Add RJ Harvey To Backfield With 60th Pick

Raiders Select Jack Bech With 58th Pick

Chargers Add Wide Receiver Tre Harris In Round 2
Detroit Lions

Lions Acquire 57th Pick From Broncos

Seahawks Draft Elijah Arroyo 50th Overall
Carolina Panthers

Panthers Acquire 51st Pick From Broncos
Arizona Cardinals

Cardinals Snag Will Johnson At No. 47

Jets Add A Pass-Catcher With Mason Taylor At No. 42

Rams Select Terrance Ferguson With 46th Pick
Houston Texans

Texans Acquire 48th Pick From Raiders, Draft Aireontae Ersery

Saints Snag Tyler Shough At No. 40
Brenton Doyle

Out For Personal Reasons On Friday
Brandin Podziemski

Not On Injury Report For Game 3
Jimmy Butler III

Warriors Optimistic About Jimmy Butler III Playing Saturday
Jae'Sean Tate

To Remain Out Saturday
Jock Landale

Unavailable For Game 3
Terry Rozier

Out On Saturday
Jrue Holiday

Ruled Out For Friday Night's Game 3 Against Orlando
Kevin Love

To Miss Saturday's Game
Jaylen Brown

Available For Friday Night's Game 3 Against Magic
Gary Payton II

Iffy For Saturday's Action
Jayson Tatum

Officially Available On Friday For Game 3 Against Magic
Will Smith

Back From Injury On Friday
Luke Kennard

Questionable For Game 4 On Saturday
Darius Garland

Listed As Questionable For Game 3
Ja Morant

To Miss Game 4 On Saturday
Rui Hachimura

Available For Game 3 In Minnesota
Aaron Ekblad

Available To Return Saturday
Erik Swanson

Ryan Burr Progressing
Daulton Varsho

To Return On Tuesday At The Latest
Max Scherzer

Takes Positive Step On Friday
Aleksander Barkov

Questionable For Saturday
Gabriel Landeskog

Set For Larger Role In Game 4
Calvin Pickard

To Start Game 3 For Oilers
Randy Arozarena

Resting For First Time This Year
Jonas Siegenthaler

To Play Limited Minutes In Game 3
MLB

Red Sox-Guardians Game Postponed On Friday
Luke Hughes

Remains Out On Friday
MLB

Tigers-Orioles Postponed On Friday
Patrik Laine

A Game-Time Decision Friday
Yainer Diaz

Out On Friday Against Royals
Iván Herrera

Ivan Herrera Hopes To Start Rehab Assignment Next Week
Salvador Perez

Sitting Out For First Time This Season
Jaylen Brown

Questionable For Game 3 On Friday
Brendan Donovan

Back In Action On Friday
Jimmy Butler III

Could Miss Game 3 On Saturday
Coby Mayo

Getting On A Roll At Triple-A
Carlos Prates

Looks To Remain Undefeated In The UFC
Ian Machado Garry

Set For UFC Kansas City Main Event
Cade Cunningham

Collects Double-Double In Loss
Jalen Brunson

Drops 30 Points In Game 3
Karl-Anthony Towns

Leads All Scorers In Game 3 Victory
Zhang Mingyang

Scheduled For Co-Main Event
Anthony Smith

Set For His Final UFC Bout
David Onama

Set For Featherweight Bout
Giga Chikadze

Looks To Bounce Back
Abus Magomedov

Looks For His Third Consecutive Win
Michel Pereira

Returns To Action At UFC Kansas City
Nicolas Dalby

An Underdog At UFC Kansas City
Randy Brown

A Favorite At UFC Kansas City
Andre Muniz

Set To Open Up UFC Kansas City Main Card
Ikram Aliskerov

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Sergei Bobrovsky

Shuts Out Lightning In Game 2
Cam Fowler

Finishes Thursday's Win With Five Points
Robert Thomas

Posts Four Assists In Game 3 Win
Pavel Buchnevich

Celebrates Hat Trick During Four-Point Performance
Dylan DeMelo

Battling An Illness
Marcus Johansson

Exits Early Thursday
Aleksander Barkov

Hurt In Game 2
Jrue Holiday

Tagged As Questionable For Friday
Jayson Tatum

Likely Out Again On Friday
Anthony Cirelli

Good To Go Thursday
Andrei Vasilevskiy

Looks To Bounce Back In Game 2
Rasmus Ristolainen

To Miss Training Camp
Jonas Siegenthaler

Returns To Practice
Aliaksei Protas

Traveling With Capitals
Gabriel Vilardi

Still Out On Thursday
Max Pacioretty

Set To Join Maple Leafs Lineup For Game 3
Cam Davis

Looking For Better Fortunes At TPC Louisiana
Adam Svensson

Making Third Apperence At Zurich Classic
Max Greyserman

Aiming For Similar Success At TPC Louisiana
Lee Hodges

A High-Upside Player In New Orleans
PGA

Nico Echavarria Looks To Ride Off Of Elite Putting In New Orleans
Gary Woodland

A Player Worth Watching In New Orleans
Max McGreevy

Returns To The Zurich Classic Of New Orleans
Rasmus Hojgaard

In Search Of Consistency Ahead Of Zurich Classic
Sam Stevens

A Boom-Or-Bust Candidate In New Orleans
Nicolai Hojgaard

Looking To Turn Season Around At Zurich Classic
Christiaan Bezuidenhout

Looks To Sway A Hot Putter In Teams Favor At Zurich Classic
Akshay Bhatia

Looking To Bounce Back At TPC Louisiana
Carson Young

Looks To Turn Things Around At TPC Louisiana
Erik Van Rooyen

Looking For Momentum In Louisiana
Andrew Novak

Making Start At TPC Louisiana After Near Miss At Harbour Town
Ben Griffin

Making Third Career Start At Zurich Classic
Taylor Moore

Competing With A New Teammate In New Orleans
Wyndham Clark

Making Return To New Orleans
Kurt Kitayama

Teeing It Up Again In New Orleans
Collin Morikawa

Back At Zurich Classic For Fifth Time
Thomas Detry

Making Third Appearance At New Orleans Team Event
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF