X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

FanDuel Daily Fantasy Baseball Lineup Picks (5/05/17): MLB DFS Advice

The top FanDuel daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for 5/04/17 by Kevin Luchansky. Expert MLB DFS advice, sleepers & player recommendations for FanDuel.

Happy Cinco De Mayo my fellow daily fantasy friends! Let's kick off the weekend with some tequila, strikeouts and dingers. Sounds like a pretty good recipe for fun if you ask me. On deck tonight we have a 13 game Main slate that begins at 7:05, and FanDuel gives us an All Day slate option as well, which includes all 30 teams and begins at 2:20 Eastern. The majority of my picks will focus on the Main slate, but if there are any eye-popping stats among the four teams taking the field under the sun, I'll make mention of those as well.

Before we jump into my player selection analysis and rationale, let's see if we can gather any insights from the early lines Vegas has posted. As of right now, we have two teams featuring incredibly attractive run total projections. It should come as no surprise that these teams are competing at Coors Field today. The Diamondbacks (5.7) and Rockies (5.6) top the list, followed by the Red Sox (4.9), Orioles (4.8) and Reds (4.6). The heaviest moneyline favorites of the day - helping in identifying which cash game pitchers to target and which to fade - are the Nationals (-168), Orioles (-162) and the Indians (-161). Those aren't very big differentials compared to most days, but still something to consider.

In this article, I will be providing you with my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for FanDuel on 5/05/17. The DFS lineup picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options, and of course, value playsLet's get rolling.

 

Offensive Stacks

Baltimore Orioles versus Miguel Gonzalez

Gonzalez hasn't pitcher too poorly this season, but he's in for a rude awakening in this contest. The Orioles are projected with one of the highest run totals of the day (4.8) and Gonzalez, despite not getting blown up too hard just yet in 2017, doesn't have very strong indicating stats that he'd be able to maintain the success he's had. His strikeout numbers are well below average, his WHIP is less than ideal (1.2+) and he's allowed an opponent wOBA over .300 in his last three starts. What is extra attractive about this Orioles lineup is that they can get it done by stringing together hits or leaving the yard in back-to-back swings. They feature quite a few hitters in the top-to-middle of their order with ISO splits far over the league average, starting with Trey Mancini, Mark Trumbo, Adam Jones and Seth Smith.

 

Washington Nationals versus Nick Pivetta 

The Nationals get a nice park upgrade boost tonight and a date with Nick Pivetta. Both of those are positive things, and the Nationals lineup has been nothing but positive as well. Pivetta doesn't really have any major league stats worth throwing out there. In the few innings he's thrown this year, he has been hit very hard, but the sample size is small. What we can gather, though, is that he is going to be quite over-matched against a team that is hitting the ball in a class all my themselves. There are a number of Nationals hitters with great splits, so you'll have your pick of the litter. Personally, my Nationals stack will consist of: Daniel Murphy, Trea Turner, Bryce Harper and Anthony Rendon. Matt Wieters may be worth a share or two as well, depending on the construction of the rest of your lineup.

 

Also Consider: Arizona Diamondbacks versus German Marquez 

 

FanDuel DFS Pitchers

I have good news and bad news for you. Let's start with the good: there are a number of quality pitching options on the board tonight. Now for the bad news - you need to decide on one for cash games, and deciding between a few of these guys is like splitting hairs.

Yu Darvish - SP, at SEA ($10,600)

Determining the "safest" option to roll with today for cash game contests is tough to do. It's a good problem since we're not stuck using risky "tournament type" pitchers and elevating them into cash game roles as we did yesterday, but it can also lead to a lot of second guessing. The top choice for me is Yu, and it has a lot do with the the elite ceiling he possesses. He has been pretty fantastic this year as well, showing great consistency by surpassing his price implied value in three of his last four games. For tonight, he's a moneyline favorite and while the Mariners offense is a solid one, Darvish does get a pitcher's park upgrade with this game taking place in Seattle. He possesses elite strikeout upside (11.4 K/9 this season) and he has been pretty good in limiting base runners (1.1 WHIP). The Mariners run total projection of just 3.6 is pretty great relative to the rest of this Friday slate, and his 52% groundball rate over the last 15 days is attractive as well.

 

Kenta Maeda - SP, at SDP ($8,400)

If tournaments are more your cup of tea, Maeda is in a great spot for you tonight. This season he's shown big strikeout numbers (9.6 K/9) and while he has had some troubling starts (which will keep his ownership percentage at a more opportune number), he has the type of matchup against the Padres that is worth the risk. It's no secret that San Diego's offense has been pretty awful, and its also been pretty publicized that they have a strikeout problem - which is good for you and me rostering Maeda tonight. In fact, the Padres projected lineup tonight has struck out this season in nearly 28% of their at-bats versus right-handed pitching and the fact this game will be played in the super spacious Petco Park is even better for Maeda-backers.

 

Also Consider: Stephen Strasburg - SP, at PHI ($10,400)

 

FanDuel DFS Infielders

Yasmani Grandal - C, vs SDP ($2,700)

Outside of this game taking place in a park with big outfield dimensions, there isn't anything I don't love about the Yasmanian Devil in this matchup. The big catcher hits right in the middle of this potent Dodgers lineup and he's priced as a bargain - especially when you consider he's facing a right-hander and draws most of his power when he's standing on the left side of the plate. This season, he already has very impressive splits to showoff, starting with his .346 wOBA and a .270 ISO.

Also Consider: Manny Pina - C, at PIT ($2,700)

 

Freddie Freeman - 1B, vs STL ($4,500)

Is there anyone in baseball hotter than Freddie right now? He's literally killing it, and even with his price rising, he has still managed to surpass his price implied value in seven of the Braves' last 10 games. Tonight, he's a must play in cash game formats as he's got a good matchup and excellent splits to boot. Against right-handed pitching this season, Freeman has an incredible wOBA/ISO/Slugging% line of .446/.341/.666. The matchup is made a little more attractive thanks to Atlanta's new stadium being hitter friendly and Lance Lynn's terrible road splits.

Also Consider: Trey Mancini - 1B, vs CWS ($3,000)

 

Daniel Murphy - 2B, at PHI ($4,100)

Usually I want some exposure to the teams with the highest projected run totals - especially in cash game formats - and today is no different. The Nationals lineup has been incredible this season in pushing runs across the plate, and a big reason why is Murphy in the heart of their order. The lefty has been up to his usual ways this season, killing right-handed pitching to the tune of a .407 wOBA and a .248 ISO. His opponent, Nick Pivetta, is going to be quite over-matched in this one.

Also Consider: Ryan Schimpf - 2B, vs LAD ($3,100)

 

Jake Lamb - 3B, at COL ($4,600)

A steep price to pay? Sure. But I'm hard pressed finding anything not to love about Mr. Lamb and this Friday night matchup he has in front of him. The Diamondbacks are currently projected for the most runs of the day, Lamb hits in the middle of the order, and this game is taking place at Coors Field. The next wave of persuasion: he's facing a pretty mediocre and inexperienced pitcher in German Marquez and Marquez has allowed a .362 wOBA over the last 15 days. And finally, Lamb's splits are eye-popping: .381 wOBA and a .300 ISO.

Also Consider: Jedd Gyorko - 3B, at ATL ($3,200)

 

Aledmys Diaz - SS, at ATL ($3,000)

I really do love me some Aledmys Diaz. It seems that no matter how hot or cold he gets at the plate, he stays right around the $3k mark, and I dig that. Right now, he's starting to heat up, and he's in an opportune place, hitting in the two-hole for a team that is swinging it well and gets a park upgrade for tonight's contest. For the season, Diaz has shown really good reverse splits, posting a .347 wOBA and a .215 ISO against righties.

Also Consider: Carlos Correa - SS, at LAA ($3,800)

 

FanDuel DFS Outfielders

Cody Bellinger - OF, at SDP ($2,800)

My picks have leaned on the expensive side today, so I wanted to lead with value for my outfield guys. Make no mistake, on a huge contest day such as this, there is value to be had at every position. There just also happens to be really good matchups for some of the elite-priced players, and I'd being do an injustice not to point them out. Now, as for Bellinger, the kid is in a great spot. West coast ball players happen to go overlooked, so I love the leverage I think Bellinger and his teammates will possess tonight in San Diego, especially for tournaments. Bellinger is projected for the two-slot in this loaded lineup and in a short amount of time this season, he's been very strong against right-handed pitching, posting a .450 wOBA and a .350 ISO.

 

Jackie Bradley - OF, at MIN ($3,000)

I think Jackie Bradley could be one of the sneakiest and profitable plays of the evening. Since his return to the lineup, he's been hitting near the bottom of the order and this game is being played in a park - Minnesota - that's more pitcher friendly than the one JBJ plays half of his games in. All the aforementioned sound like minor red flags, but I think Bradley can take advantage of Phil Hughes tonight. Hughes has been pretty kind to opposing hitters, allowing a .361 opponent wOBA thus far and over 3 seconds of average air time on batted balls. Bradley possesses powerful splits against righties as well, showcased by his .253 ISO and .520 slugging percentage marks.

 

Mark Trumbo - OF, vs CWS ($3,200)

Big Mark is due tonight. He's been middling around this price range and just barely hitting value of late, but he's ready to pop. His splits against righties are very attractive - .360 wOBA, .286 ISO - and he's facing a fly ball pitcher that has allowed batted balls to fly an average of more than three second this season. Something has to give, and I think Trumbo busts out of his "slump" here.

 

Also Consider: Adam Jones - OF, vs CWS ($3,000)

 

MLB News & Injury Alerts

 

Full Season MLB & DFS Premium Pass

Get a Premium Pass for the entire MLB season - including the playoffs - for only $49.99.

That's over 200 days of Premium DFS, delivered every single day:

  • DFS lineup picks and cheat sheets for FanDuel, DraftKings and Yahoo - seven days a week
  • Six expert lineups: FanDuel, DraftKings, Yahoo and Stacks of the Day - seven days a week
  • Top DFS value plays, avoids and injury updates - seven days a week
  • Lineup tools: daily premium hitter and pitcher matchup ratings

Sign Up Now!

POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Anthony Santander

Hoping to Hit Soon
Luis Robert Jr.

Returning in Short Order
Alex Bregman

Could Return Later This Week
Ketel Marte

Day-to-Day with Groin Tightness
Ty Gibbs

Finishes Second at Chicago and Advances in In-Season Challenge
Alex Bowman

Defeats Bubba Wallace in In-Season Challenge, but Not Without Controversy
Alex Bowman

Bubba Wallace Wrecked by Alex Bowman Again, Putting Playoffs in Doubt
Michael McDowell

Throttle Failure Ends Michael McDowell's Chances to Win at Chicago
Austin Hill

Earns First NASCAR Cup Series Top Ten at Chicago
Tyler Reddick

Scores a Strong Third-Place Run at Chicago
Kyle Busch

Matches his Best Career Finish At Chicago on Sunday
Denny Hamlin

Fights his Way to a Top-5 Finish at Chicago
William Byron

has his Worst Weekend of the Season at Chicago
Hunter Greene

Suffers Setback on Monday
Philadelphia 76ers

Kyle Lowry Staying With 76ers
Kyle Anderson

Lands in Utah
Kevin Love

Traded to Jazz in 3-Team Swap
Norman Powell

Traded to Miami
John Collins

Dealt to Clippers
J.J. Spaun

Finishes Tied For 14 at Travelers Championship
Xander Schauffele

Finishes Tied For 61 at Travelers Championship
Collin Morikawa

Finishes Tied For Eighth at Rocket Mortgage Classic
Robert MacIntyre

Finishes Tied For 17 at Travelers Championship
Si Woo Kim

Finishes Tied For 11 at John Deere Classic
Viktor Hovland

Withdraws From Travelers Championship
Tommy Fleetwood

Finishes Tied For Second at Travelers Championship
Brian Campbell

Wins John Deere Classic
Bronny James Jr.

Scores 10 Points
Harrison Ingram

Limited on Sunday
Golden State Warriors

Isaiah Mobley Drops 16 Points
Ryan Rollins

Staying with Bucks
T.J. Watt

Pittsburgh Still Not Close on New Contract
Terry McLaurin

Still Not Pleased with Contract Situation
Sonny Milano

on Track to Be Ready for Training Camp
Yu Darvish

to Make Season Debut on Monday
MLB

Nationals Fire Dave Martinez, Mike Rizzo
Jakub Dobes

Signs Two-Year Deal with Canadiens
KaVontae Turpin

Arrested on Two Charges
Cole Ragans

to Begin Throwing on Monday
Theo Johnson

Prioritizing his Health this Offseason
Andrés Giménez

Andres Gimenez Hits 10-Day Injured List
Jermaine Burton

Continues to Show Growth
NHL

Hendrix Lapierre Signs One-Year Deal with Capitals
Carson Hocevar

Should DFS Players Consider Carson Hocevar for Chicago Lineups?
Tye Kartye

Kraken Re-Sign Tye Kartye for Two Years
Ross Chastain

May be A Decent DFS Option for Chicago Lineups
Dmitri Voronkov

Signs Two-Year, $8.35 Million Extension with Blue Jackets
Ryan Preece

Should DFS Players Roster Ryan Preece at Chicago?
Austin Dillon

Is Too Great of A Risk to Add to Chicago Lineups
Zane Smith

Is A Value Play Worth Rostering At Chicago
Austin Hill

is A Favorable Value Option for Chicago DFS Lineups
Ty Dillon

Is Ty Dillon A Decent Driver to Add For NASCAR DFS At Chicago?
William Byron

Qualifying Crash Makes William Byron a Likely DFS Must-Have
Alex Bowman

Should Finish Well, but Probably Costs Too Much for Serious DFS Consideration
Joey Logano

Has Been Relatively Mediocre on Road Courses Lately
Ryan Blaney

Doesn't Really Fit Neatly into Optimal DFS Lineups
Austin Cindric

Remains an Overrated Road Racer
Cam Ward

"Not Expecting" to be handed Starting Job
Chase Claypool

Eager to Get Back on the Field
Wyatt Langford

Activated, Playing on Saturday
Jay Huff

on the Move to Indiana
Cam Whitmore

Wizards Acquire Cam Whitmore from the Rockets
LaJohntay Wester

Stands out on Special Teams
Clarke Schmidt

Likely to Undergo Tommy John Surgery
Nolan Arenado

Scratched from Saturday's Lineup
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Starting on Saturday
Corbin Carroll

Activated from 10-Day Injured List
Cincinnati Bengals

Shemar Stewart, Bengals Continue Contract Talks, No Progress Made
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Potential Giannis Antetokounmpo Trade may not Happen Until "August, September"
Ha-Seong Kim

Removed Early During Season Debut
ARI

Christian Fischer Retires From NHL at 28
NHL

Spencer Martin Moves to Russia
WAS

Anthony Beauvillier Re-Signs With Capitals for Two Years
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Sitting Out With Foot Issue
Isaiah Neyor

Impresses at Minicamp
Jock Landale

Waived by Rockets
Bo Bichette

Back in Blue Jays Lineup
Jonas Valančiūnas

Jonas Valanciunas Considering Returning to Europe
Miles Sanders

Works With Starters During Mandatory Minicamp
Jabari Walker

Signs Two-Way Deal With Sixers
Chimere Dike

Titans Could Move Chimere Dike Inside
Keandre Lambert-Smith

KeAndre Lambert-Smith not Guaranteed Roster Spot
Anthony Bradford

Working Hard to Win Back Starting Job
Byron Young

Still Improving?
Cody Simon

Jonathan Gannon has Been Impressed With Cody Simon
SirVocea Dennis

has Impressive Offseason
Trevor Penning

Could Still Have a Role in New Orleans
Jonathan Kuminga

Warriors Decline Recent Offer for Jonathan Kuminga
Moritz Wagner

Magic Agree to One-Year Deal
Clarke Schmidt

Placed on Injured List
José Soriano

Jose Soriano Throws Gem Against Braves
Robbie Ray

Earns Ninth Win in Complete Game
T.J. Watt

Likely to Reset the Edge-Rush Market
George Springer

Blasts Two Homers, Drives in Four
Bradley Beal

Suns Discussing Potential Buyout
Jaxson Hayes

Staying with the Lakers
NBA

Damian Lillard "Open" to Signing With a Team This Offseason
Pittsburgh Steelers

Omar Khan, Steelers Agree to Three-Year Contract
SJ

Sharks Claim Nick Leddy Off Waivers
SJ

Sharks Sign Dmitry Orlov to Two-Year, $13 Million Contract
CAR

Nikolaj Ehlers Joins Hurricanes on Six-Year Contract
Chau Smith-Wade

Having Stellar Offseason
Ace Bailey

Inks Rookie Contract With Jazz
COL

Brent Burns Inks One-Year Deal with Avalanche
STL

Blues Land Pius Suter on Two-Year Deal
Morgan Frost

Agrees to Two-Year Extension with Flames
WPG

Gustav Nyquist Moves to Winnipeg
Cody Glass

Devils Re-Sign Cody Glass to Two-Year Deal
PIT

Anthony Mantha Joins Penguins
Emil Heineman

Signs Two-Year Deal with Islanders
Simon Holmstrom

Re-Signs with Islanders for Two Years
UTA

Nate Schmidt Signs Three-Year Deal with Mammoth
UTA

Brandon Tanev Moves to Utah on Three-Year Contract
Bud Cauley

in Great Form Ahead of John Deere Classic
Christiaan Bezuidenhout

a Player to Avoid at John Deere Classic
Jake Knapp

Riding Momentum Ahead of John Deere Classic
PGA

Sungjae Im Looking for Consistency at John Deere Classic
Ryan Gerard

a Solid Option at John Deere Classic
Rickie Fowler

Looking to Rebound at John Deere Classic
Cameron Champ

a Volatile Option at John Deere Classic
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF