X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

EPL Betting Picks for Matchweek 16: English Premier League

Jamie Steed previews EPL Matchweek 16 of the 2021/22 season, starting on 12/10/2021. He breaks down the top English Premier League wagers, bets and picks for the soccer games

Never did a profitable week feel as hollow as last weekend. We bagged a small profit on Newcastle beating Burnley, a good profit on Aston Villa beating Leicester City and a decent profit on the parlays. But the Southampton versus Brighton game brought us heartbreak. Brighton's 98th (yes, 98th) minute equalizer denied us from having doubled our money on the weekend. Instead, we were left with a 104.46% ROI. Thems is the breaks, but we go again. Just a heads up that covid is once again impacting teams with two outbreaks among EPL squads already this week.

Before you read on, remember these important things: Betting on sports should be fun. If you aren't having fun with it, stop. Never bet what you can't afford to lose. And if you don't agree with my picks, don't bet on them. I'm far from being a professional gambler and just enjoy a flutter on soccer. All I'm doing is looking at stats to try and find potential value in the likelier outcomes. I'll predict the score of each game I look at (although these are notoriously difficult to pick so I'm not suggesting you bet on these significantly) and will be picking the bets I think offers the best value so it'll be down to you what you bet on and how.

We've been cranking up the soccer content this year at RotoBaller too. We'll be bringing you DFS and Fantasy Premier League content, on top of the weekly betting content. Follow the team on Twitter (@vdray5@RichKingFF@LucidMediaDFS@PhilOfSports, @EuanOrYouOut and yours truly @Baseball_Jimbo) and reach out to any of us if you ever have any soccer questions or need advice on any of this.

Featured Promo: Get any Props Premium Pass for 50% off using code SUMMER. Win more with our two new Props Optimizer tools -- one for PrizePicks Props, and one for Sportsbook Betting Props. Find optimal prop bets and get our recommended picks daily! Go Premium, Win More!

 

2021-22 EPL Betting Picks

  • Total picks: 60-92-11 (-0.47 U)
  • Match results: 19-18

 

Friday, December 10th, 2021

Watford (+263) at Brentford (+120) - 3:00 pm ET

Watford continued their slide down the league table with a 3-1 defeat against Manchester City last weekend. In truth, Manchester City didn't really need to be at their best and were comfortable winners, condemning Watford to a third straight league defeat and a fifth loss in six games.

Brentford was denied a second win in three games after Leeds United equalized in the 95th minute against them last weekend, leaving Brentford with just one win in their last eight league games. They are also going to have to do without top scorer Ivan Toney through illness, although he did miss last weekend's game in which Brentford scored twice.

Watford has been dismal most of the season and if it wasn't for Manchester United's pathetic performance against them (Ole Gunnar Solskjaer's last game in charge), they may be coming into this game on the back of six straight defeats. Their only other win since matchweek 5 came against Everton when they scored four goals in the final twelve minutes to win 5-2.

It appears as though Watford's only route to a victory is if their opponents are in complete shambles and implode in the blink of an eye. That's not something I foresee happening with Brentford and I expect the home team to beat Watford, something they did in the Championship last season in the same fixture (2-0).

Watford's 29 goals conceded is third-most in the league and they are yet to keep a clean sheet this season. After keeping clean sheets in their first two games of the season, Brentford has just two since then and just one in their last ten games. I don't see either team keeping one here.

Both teams have a fairly even split of goals in both halves. Brentford games have seen 22 first-half goals (eight at home) and 18 second-half goals (nine at home). Watford games have seen 24 first-half goals (12 away) and 25 second-half goals (ten away). It's a good shout for there to be a goal in both halves of this one.

Score prediction: Brentford 2 - 1 Watford

Betting Picks:

  • Moneyline - Brentford (+120) 1 unit
  • A goal in both halves - Yes (-120) 1.5 units
  • Both teams to score - Yes (-132) 1.5 units
  • Both teams to score/total goals - Yes and over 2.5 (+138) 1 unit

 

Sunday, December 12th, 2021

Newcastle United (+390) at Leicester City (-132) - 9:00 am ET

At the time of writing, there are reports out of Leicester City that they are experiencing a covid outbreak so monitor this game before wagering on it. Seven players will miss their Europa League game on Thursday for different reasons (some covid related) but it's unclear who so I'm analyzing this game as if they have a fully fit squad.

Newcastle got their first league win of the season last weekend (as we predicted) and they now have just one defeat in their last five games. Their 1-0 victory against Burnley was also their first clean sheet of the season as Callum Wilson scored in back-to-back games after going four games without a goal.

Prior to that mini goal drought, Wilson had scored in three consecutive games and found the back of the net in four of his first five games of the season. As the team's penalty taker, he has a good route to a goal this weekend as well.

Leicester lost at Aston Villa last weekend (something we also predicted) and conceded two or more goals for the fourth game running. They haven't kept a clean sheet since the opening weekend and have conceded at least two in each of their last five home games.

Leicester has an even 3-1-3 record at home and has been really inconsistent. They failed to score three times but have scored four in two of those games. I've seen nothing to suggest they will suddenly turn things around defensively and expect them to concede again here but continue to find goals themselves.

Newcastle's new Head Coach, Eddie Howe, had a reputation for attacking football which produced high scoring games when in charge of Bournemouth and he will no doubt look to target Leicester's defensive frailties. No team has conceded more goals from set-pieces than Leicester this season and the winning goal last weekend came via a header from a corner. That looks like a good route for Newcastle and I'm sure it's something they will seek to exploit.

Newcastle will have renewed confidence and shouldn't fear Leicester. This fixture saw Newcastle win 4-2 last season and I wouldn't be surprised to see that again. I'm expecting goals and although I'm not convinced the away team causes an upset, the odds for Leicester City to win aren't appealing especially given their porous defense and any potential absentees will just add to those woes.

Score prediction: Leicester City 2 - 2 Newcastle United

Betting Picks:

  • Moneyline - Newcastle United (+390) 0.5 units
  • Draw no bet - Newcastle United (+270) 0.5 units
  • To score anytime - Callum Wilson (+150) 1 unit
  • Both players to score - Jamie Vardy & Callum Wilson (+330) 0.5 units *only if both players are starting
  • Both teams to score in both halves - Yes (+700) 0.5 units
  • Both teams to score/total goals - Yes and over 2.5 (-102) 1 unit

Good luck with those EPL bets and remember to bet responsibly!

More Betting and DFS Picks

POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Cody Ware

is Not A Top Recommendation for Sonoma Lineups
Travis Etienne Jr.

Needs to Bounce Back in 2025
Wan'Dale Robinson

Wants More Downfield Opportunities this Season
Quinshon Judkins

Arrested on Saturday for Battery and Domestic Violence
Terry McLaurin

Could be a Holdout at Training Camp
Roger McCreary

a Candidate for a Contract Extension?
Max Fried

Exits Start With Blister
Mike Evans

Buccaneers Could Have Difficult Time Retaining Mike Evans
Charles Cross

Could Sign Extension Before Training Camp
Xavier Restrepo

One to Watch Going into Training Camp
Calvin Ridley

Appears Re-Energized
Mark Andrews

Still a Key Piece in Ravens Offense
Ndamukong Suh

Officially Announces his Retirement
Jaylen Waddle

Motivated After Disappointing Season
Tre Harris

Still Unsigned
Hunter Dobbins

to Miss Rest of Season With Torn ACL
Nolan Arenado

Held Out of Lineup on Saturday
Alexandre Sarr

Plays Well in Summer League Loss to Phoenix
Yang Hansen

Looks Good on Friday Night
Carlos Correa

Sitting on Saturday
Austin Riley

Placed on 10-Day Injured List
Nolan Arenado

Exits Friday's Contest With Sprained Finger
Jake Burger

Expects to Play on Saturday
Erik Karlsson

Open to Move Away From Pittsburgh
Zach Hyman

Hopes to be Ready for Start of Next Season
SJ

Jeff Skinner Joins Sharks on One-Year Contract
Wyatt Langford

Records Four-Hit Night
Cal Raleigh

Homers Twice, Drives in Five
Cody Bellinger

Swats Three Homers in Victory
Jake Burger

Leaves With Quad Discomfort on Friday
Carlos Correa

Exits Game With Mild Ankle Sprain
Edward Cabrera

Dealing with Posterior Elbow Discomfort
Austin Riley

Leaves Game Early on Friday With Abdominal Tightness
Kon Knueppel

Struggles in Summer League Win
Rafael Devers

Dealing With Back Inflammation
Walter Clayton Jr.

Plays Well on Friday Night
Cody Williams

Scores 21 Points in Summer League Loss
Kyle Filipowski

Leads the Way on Friday Night
Teoscar Hernández

Teoscar Hernandez Returning on Friday
Sauce Gardner

Wants to be Highest-Paid Cornerback
Rhamondre Stevenson

Heading into an Important Season
Minnesota Vikings

Josh Metellus, Vikings Have Mutual Interest in Extension
Tua Tagovailoa

2025 Could be Tua Tagovailoa's Last Season in Miami
Rashawn Slater

has "Full Confidence" a Deal Will Get Done
Byron Buxton

Returns on Friday
Isaiah Jackson

Signs Three-Year Extension
Jake Meyers

Placed on 10-Day Injured List With Calf Strain
Brandon Lowe

Placed on 10-Day Injured List With Oblique Tightness
Kodai Senga

Reinstated to Start on Friday
Alex Bregman

Officially Activated and Starting on Friday
Marvin Bagley III

Joining the Wizards
Herbert Jones

Signing Extension with Pelicans
Jacob Toppin

Returning to Hawks
Chicago Bears

Bears Extend General Manager Ryan Poles
Dalton Knecht

Avoids Serious Injury
MarShawn Lloyd

in a "Much Better Spot" Heading Into Training Camp
Javon Small

Signs Two-Way Deal
Dustin Hopkins

Browns Still Counting on Dustin Hopkins
Ryan Reaves

Traded to Sharks
Vladislav Kolyachonok

Moves to Dallas
Matt Dumba

Lands in Pittsburgh
Mackie Samoskevich

Re-Signs with Panthers on One-Year Deal
Josh Manson

Inks Two-Year Extension with Avalanche
EDM

Isaac Howard Signs Three-Year, Entry-Level Contract With Oilers
Tallison Teixeira

Set For His First UFC Main Event
Derrick Lewis

Set To Headline UFC Nashville
Gabriel Bonfim

Looks For His Third UFC Win
Stephen Thompson

Returns At UFC Nashville
Steve Garcia

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Calvin Kattar

In Dire Need Of Victory
Morgan Charrière

Morgan Charriere A Favorite At UFC Nashville
Nate Landwehr

Aims To Bounce Back
MMA

Austen Lane Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Vitor Petrino

Set For His Heavyweight Debut
Tuco Tokkos

Set To Open Up UFC Nashville Main Card
Junior Tafa

Set For Light-Heavyweight Bout
Jalen Williams

Signs Contract Extension With Thunder
Alijah Martin

Agrees to Two-Way Deal With Raptors
Tristan Vukcevic

Set to Return to Washington
Anfernee Simons

Celtics Are "Actively Trying to Trade" Anfernee Simons
NBA

Alex Ducas Heading to Australia
Dominick Barlow

Inks Two-Way Deal With 76ers
Jordan McLaughlin

Spurs Re-Sign Jordan McLaughlin to One-Year Deal
Dylan Harper

Out Thursday, Expected to Play Saturday
VJ Edgecombe

Diagnosed with a Sprained Thumb
Gary Woodland

Looking to Find Rhythm at Scottish Open
Aaron Rai

Brings Consistent Play to Scottish Open
Maverick McNealy

a Solid Value Play at Scottish Open
Aldrich Potgieter

Making Scottish Open Debut
Tom Kim

Looks to Rebound at Scottish Open
Brian Harman

a Safe Option at Scottish Open
Luke Clanton

a Sneaky Value Play at Scottish Open
Sam Burns

Looking to Stay Hot at Scottish Open
Nicolai Hojgaard

May Feel More at Home in Europe
Harry Hall

Showing Fine Form Heading to Scotland
Ryan Fox

Playing Well Since Early Spring Struggles
Max Greyserman

has Solid History at the Genesis Scottish Open
Harris English

Aims High for Scotland Next
Corey Conners

Primed for the Genesis Scottish Open
Daniel Brown

Attempts the Scottish Swing Again
Jacob Bridgeman

Needs Putter to Work at Genesis Scottish Open
Scottie Scheffler

Headlines Field at Genesis Scottish Open
Rory McIlroy

a Smart Play for Scottish Open
Adam Scott

Looking to Build on History at The Renaissance Club
NASCAR

Sepp Straka Not Likely to Find Momentum at Scottish Open
Justin Rose

Hopes Month Hiatus Helps Him Bounce Back at Scottish Open
NHL

Tyler Johnson Retires After 13 NHL Seasons
Jack McBain

Inks New Five-Year Deal with Mammoth
Cam York

Re-Signs with Flyers for Five Years
Jake Knapp

Fits the Mold for Success at The Renaissance Club
Ty Gibbs

Finishes Second at Chicago and Advances in In-Season Challenge
Alex Bowman

Defeats Bubba Wallace in In-Season Challenge, but Not Without Controversy
Alex Bowman

Bubba Wallace Wrecked by Alex Bowman Again, Putting Playoffs in Doubt
Michael McDowell

Throttle Failure Ends Michael McDowell's Chances to Win at Chicago
Austin Hill

Earns First NASCAR Cup Series Top Ten at Chicago
Tyler Reddick

Scores a Strong Third-Place Run at Chicago
Kyle Busch

Matches his Best Career Finish At Chicago on Sunday
Denny Hamlin

Fights his Way to a Top-5 Finish at Chicago
William Byron

has his Worst Weekend of the Season at Chicago
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF