X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

EPL Betting Picks (7/7/20) - English Premier League Soccer Wagers

Jamie Steed recommends betting picks for the EPL slate on 7/7/2020. He breaks down the top English Premier League wagers, bets and picks for the soccer games.

With one game left on Monday, the weekend slate treated us well. Four correct picks from six on Saturday (including a +300 winner) and only denied a clean swipe by the woodwork and a sitter missed. Sunday saw us bag two from three (with a void bet and a +525 correct score pick) and miss out on the sweep with Manchester inexplicably unable to score despite 26 shots and 74% possession. The week ahead sees all twenty teams play across three days again so there's plenty more action to get our teeth into. Each game I'll be giving you the intel to find value bets, offering my pick to bet on and predicting the correct score. Here's how we have started off:

  • Picks total - 19 out of 36
  • Picks last slate - 6 out of 9 (one game remaining)
  • Parlays - 3 out of 11

Before you read on, remember these important things: Betting on sports should be fun. If you aren't having fun with it, stop. Never bet what you can't afford to lose. And if you don't agree with my picks, don't bet on it. I'm far from being a professional gambler and just enjoy a flutter on the soccer. All I'm doing is looking at stats to try and find potential value in the likelier outcomes. I'll predict the score of each game and will just be picking the bet I think offers the best value so it'll be down to you what you bet on and how. Feel free to parlay any picks too.

Teams have now played three or four games each so we have a better understanding of what the 3-month hiatus has had on the teams. Playing games without any fans in the stadium is still something of an anomaly that impacts teams differently so it's a wise move to take things slower and more sensible until the end of the season. Feel free to reach me on Twitter @Baseball_Jimbo for any info, have a pop for any duds and (hopefully) pats on the back for winners. All odds are taken from Pinnacle or Draftkings Sportsbooks and were correct at the time of writing.

Featured Promo: Get any Props Premium Pass for 30% off using code NEW. Win more with our two new Props Optimizer tools -- one for PrizePicks Props, and one for Sportsbook Betting Props. Find optimal prop bets and get our recommended picks daily! Go Premium, Win More!

 

Norwich City @ Watford - 1:00 pm ET

Norwich City 20th - 21 pts
Watford 17th - 28 pts

The first game of the midweek slate offers Watford a great chance to put some daylight between themselves and the relegation zone. They lost 3-0 at Chelsea on Saturday and in truth, appeared to be playing as if they knew they wouldn't get anything from the game with an eye on this one. The loss did make it three defeats on the bounce and they only have a solitary point to show for things since the restart with only two goals scored. In fact, they have won only one in eleven league games, a remarkable 3-0 victory against Liverpool being the lone win.

Norwich lost for the fourth straight time in the league since the restart and have failed to score in each of the four league games. They've now only scored four times in their last 13 league games and you need to go back to December since they scored twice in a league game. You need to go back even farther for their last and only away league win this season (at Everton on November 23rd). They looked completely despondent at full-time against Brighton on Saturday as if they finally realized their stay in the Premier League is coming to an end after one season.

Watford won the reverse fixture 2-0 and their home form hasn't been too bad with just two defeats in their last nine home league games. Both defeats saw them concede three goals and I don't see Norwich scoring three or even two. Outside of those defeats, Watford has conceded two in those nine games and kept five clean sheets. That'll be their best way to winning here. I don't like backing a team to fail to score for a sixth straight league game especially after they've hit the woodwork in their last two games and wouldn't be surprised if it ended 2-1 instead, but I think Watford win in a pretty nervy and dull game

Score prediction: Watford 1 - 0 Norwich (Pinnacle odds +600)

Betting Pick:

  • Single-game parlay - Watford to win and total under 3.5 match goals @ +128 (Draftkings)

 

Chelsea @ Crystal Palace - 1:00 pm ET

Chelsea 4th - 57 pts
Crystal Palace 14th - 42 pts

Chelsea cruised through their 3-0 win against Watford to erase the memories of their shock loss at West Ham. They were never really tested at the weekend but should face a tougher examination at Crystal Palace. As I alluded to on the weekend write-up, Chelsea has been winning games mainly due to the form of Pulisic and Willian (who scored again on Saturday). Chelsea's away form isn't what they need it to be if they are to keep up their top-4 hopes as they've won just once in their last six away league games, with three draws and two losses. Only one of those games came against a top-half side so they can't say it's been a difficult run of away games either.

For Crystal Palace, it looks like their season will just peter out into obscurity but they'll still be competitive and I expect them to really test Chelsea here. They've lost their last three games but if we look at their league form in 2020, they appear to like going on mini-streaks. Since New Year's Day, they drew four, then lost three, then won four, then lost three. I'm not expecting them to go on a four-game win streak but I do fancy them to get something out of this game.

Chelsea still doesn't seem capable of dealing with corners effectively and defensively looks vulnerable very game as Crystal Palace will seek to exploit those deficiencies. And while Crystal Palace conceded two against each of the other top-4 teams at home, I think they frustrate Chelsea enough to get a point.

Score prediction: Crystal Palace 1 - 1 Chelsea (Pinnacle odds +725)

Betting Pick:

  • Game Lines or Game Props - Crystal Palace to win or draw @ +180 (Pinnacle & Draftkings)

You can also consider taking Crystal Palace Draw No Bet at +500, which pays out at +500 with a Crystal Palace win or returns your stake with a draw.

 

Leicester City @ Arsenal - 3:15 pm ET

Arsenal 7th - 49 pts
Leicester City 3rd - 58 pts

Despite sitting in 7th place and looking like a complete shambles off the back of two defeats to start the league resumption, Arsenal now has eyes on a top-5 finish and potential Champions League spot. I still think that's too big of an ask but considering a top-10 finish looked unlikely a fortnight ago, it shows how much can change within a few games. On the back of four straight wins, Arsenal looks like a new side and first-year Head Coach Mikel Arteta seems like he's getting the team on the right track. In fact, in 2020 only Liverpool has won more points than Arsenal, only Manchester United has conceded fewer league goals and only the top-2 has scored more goals. If the Premier League started on January 01st, Arsenal would be 3rd and nine points better off than Leicester City.

Leicester won their first game since the restart on Saturday with a 3-0 victory, although it wasn't as convincing as the scoreline suggests. The game was 0-0 at half-time and only a goalkeeping blunder put Leicester in front before a defensive blunder followed later for Leicester to add a second and seal the game. While the win would have helped confidence and Arsenal aren't exactly blunder-free themselves, I'm not sure Leicester will be able to win their first away league game since January 01st at Arsenal.

Since Leicester's return to the Premier League, they've failed to pick up a point at Arsenal in five games and while they are normally close games (four of the five losses were by one goal), Arsenal looks more than capable of winning again here and making it six from six.

Score prediction: Arsenal 3 - 1 Leicester City (Pinnacle odds +1750)

Betting Pick:

  • Money Line Match - Arsenal to win @ +132 (Pinnacle)

 

Parlay

You can parlay all three picks or play it a bit safer with the following;

  • Watford to win (-150)
  • Crystal Palace handicap +1.5 (-162)
  • Arsenal draw no bet (-150)

This will give combined odds of +449.

The three picks are all plus odds so can be split into doubles and the 3-game parlay from each of the picks would give combined odds of +1481 if you're feeling lucky.

 

Good luck with those EPL bets and remember to bet responsibly! Check back for more EPL betting picks this week!

More EPL and DFS Analysis

POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Griffin Conine

To Have Shoulder Surgery On Tuesday
Luke Keaschall

Twins Prospect Luke Keaschall Suffers Broken Forearm
Logan Gilbert

Leaves Friday's Start With Forearm Tightness

Vikings Select Tai Felton To Finish Day 2

Seahawks Select Quarterback Jalen Milroe With The 92nd Pick Overall

Browns Select Dillon Gabriel 94th Overall

Packers Pick Savion Williams At No. 87 overall

Steelers Snag Kaleb Johnson In Round 3

Broncos Select Wide Receiver Pat Bryant With The 74th Overall Pick

Texans Select Jaylin Noel With 79th Pick

Lions Select Wide Receiver Isaac TeSlaa With The 70th Overall Pick
Jack Leiter

To Start On Sunday

Patriots Add Wide Receiver Kyle Williams In Round 3

Browns Draft Harold Fannin Jr. With 67th Pick
Garrett Mitchell

Makes Early Exit
Luke Keaschall

Removed Early On Friday
Blake Snell

Likely Avoids Major Injury
Cole Ragans

Dealing With Mild Groin Strain

Broncos Add RJ Harvey To Backfield With 60th Pick

Raiders Select Jack Bech With 58th Pick

Chargers Add Wide Receiver Tre Harris In Round 2
Detroit Lions

Lions Acquire 57th Pick From Broncos

Seahawks Draft Elijah Arroyo 50th Overall
Carolina Panthers

Panthers Acquire 51st Pick From Broncos
Arizona Cardinals

Cardinals Snag Will Johnson At No. 47

Jets Add A Pass-Catcher With Mason Taylor At No. 42

Rams Select Terrance Ferguson With 46th Pick
Houston Texans

Texans Acquire 48th Pick From Raiders, Draft Aireontae Ersery

Saints Snag Tyler Shough At No. 40
Brenton Doyle

Out For Personal Reasons On Friday
Brandin Podziemski

Not On Injury Report For Game 3
Jimmy Butler III

Warriors Optimistic About Jimmy Butler III Playing Saturday
Jae'Sean Tate

To Remain Out Saturday
Jock Landale

Unavailable For Game 3
Terry Rozier

Out On Saturday
Jrue Holiday

Ruled Out For Friday Night's Game 3 Against Orlando
Kevin Love

To Miss Saturday's Game
Jaylen Brown

Available For Friday Night's Game 3 Against Magic
Gary Payton II

Iffy For Saturday's Action
Jayson Tatum

Officially Available On Friday For Game 3 Against Magic
Will Smith

Back From Injury On Friday
Luke Kennard

Questionable For Game 4 On Saturday
Darius Garland

Listed As Questionable For Game 3
Ja Morant

To Miss Game 4 On Saturday
Rui Hachimura

Available For Game 3 In Minnesota
Aaron Ekblad

Available To Return Saturday
Erik Swanson

Ryan Burr Progressing
Daulton Varsho

To Return On Tuesday At The Latest
Max Scherzer

Takes Positive Step On Friday
Aleksander Barkov

Questionable For Saturday
Gabriel Landeskog

Set For Larger Role In Game 4
Calvin Pickard

To Start Game 3 For Oilers
Randy Arozarena

Resting For First Time This Year
Jonas Siegenthaler

To Play Limited Minutes In Game 3
MLB

Red Sox-Guardians Game Postponed On Friday
Luke Hughes

Remains Out On Friday
MLB

Tigers-Orioles Postponed On Friday
Patrik Laine

A Game-Time Decision Friday
Yainer Diaz

Out On Friday Against Royals
Iván Herrera

Ivan Herrera Hopes To Start Rehab Assignment Next Week
Salvador Perez

Sitting Out For First Time This Season
Jaylen Brown

Questionable For Game 3 On Friday
Brendan Donovan

Back In Action On Friday
Jimmy Butler III

Could Miss Game 3 On Saturday
Coby Mayo

Getting On A Roll At Triple-A
Carlos Prates

Looks To Remain Undefeated In The UFC
Ian Machado Garry

Set For UFC Kansas City Main Event
Cade Cunningham

Collects Double-Double In Loss
Jalen Brunson

Drops 30 Points In Game 3
Karl-Anthony Towns

Leads All Scorers In Game 3 Victory
Zhang Mingyang

Scheduled For Co-Main Event
Anthony Smith

Set For His Final UFC Bout
David Onama

Set For Featherweight Bout
Giga Chikadze

Looks To Bounce Back
Abus Magomedov

Looks For His Third Consecutive Win
Michel Pereira

Returns To Action At UFC Kansas City
Nicolas Dalby

An Underdog At UFC Kansas City
Randy Brown

A Favorite At UFC Kansas City
Andre Muniz

Set To Open Up UFC Kansas City Main Card
Ikram Aliskerov

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Sergei Bobrovsky

Shuts Out Lightning In Game 2
Cam Fowler

Finishes Thursday's Win With Five Points
Robert Thomas

Posts Four Assists In Game 3 Win
Pavel Buchnevich

Celebrates Hat Trick During Four-Point Performance
Dylan DeMelo

Battling An Illness
Marcus Johansson

Exits Early Thursday
Aleksander Barkov

Hurt In Game 2
Jrue Holiday

Tagged As Questionable For Friday
Jayson Tatum

Likely Out Again On Friday
Anthony Cirelli

Good To Go Thursday
Andrei Vasilevskiy

Looks To Bounce Back In Game 2
Rasmus Ristolainen

To Miss Training Camp
Jonas Siegenthaler

Returns To Practice
Aliaksei Protas

Traveling With Capitals
Gabriel Vilardi

Still Out On Thursday
Max Pacioretty

Set To Join Maple Leafs Lineup For Game 3
Cam Davis

Looking For Better Fortunes At TPC Louisiana
Adam Svensson

Making Third Apperence At Zurich Classic
Max Greyserman

Aiming For Similar Success At TPC Louisiana
Lee Hodges

A High-Upside Player In New Orleans
PGA

Nico Echavarria Looks To Ride Off Of Elite Putting In New Orleans
Gary Woodland

A Player Worth Watching In New Orleans
Max McGreevy

Returns To The Zurich Classic Of New Orleans
Rasmus Hojgaard

In Search Of Consistency Ahead Of Zurich Classic
Sam Stevens

A Boom-Or-Bust Candidate In New Orleans
Nicolai Hojgaard

Looking To Turn Season Around At Zurich Classic
Christiaan Bezuidenhout

Looks To Sway A Hot Putter In Teams Favor At Zurich Classic
Akshay Bhatia

Looking To Bounce Back At TPC Louisiana
Carson Young

Looks To Turn Things Around At TPC Louisiana
Erik Van Rooyen

Looking For Momentum In Louisiana
Andrew Novak

Making Start At TPC Louisiana After Near Miss At Harbour Town
Ben Griffin

Making Third Career Start At Zurich Classic
Taylor Moore

Competing With A New Teammate In New Orleans
Wyndham Clark

Making Return To New Orleans
Kurt Kitayama

Teeing It Up Again In New Orleans
Collin Morikawa

Back At Zurich Classic For Fifth Time
Thomas Detry

Making Third Appearance At New Orleans Team Event
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF