X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

DraftKings MMA, UFC DFS Lineup Picks - Vettori vs. Holland (UFC Vegas 23)

DraftKings MMA, UFC DFS lineup picks for UFC Vegas 23: Holland vs. Vettori on 04/10/21. MMA DFS analysis to build winning daily fantasy UFC lineups.

After getting to watch Stipe Miocic and Francis Ngannou going against each other for the second time in their careers, with the HW belt on the line, we knew we would need to relax and drop our expectations a bit when it came to what was coming next. You don't get to experience such a war weekly, and in fact, that UFC 260 was so great that good Dana White gave us a two-week period to process what happened and rest a bit.

That downtime is over now, folks, and we're into this thing for a run of seven more consecutive events all the way up to May 22, when we'll hit another bump in the road in the shape of another two-week hiatus (if everything holds, obviously). This weekend event will be headlined by Kevin Holland and Marvin Vettori after Darren Till got injured and was forced out last week, making way for Holland to fight Vettori on super-short, 9-day notice. Talk about a careless, ruthless dude.

In this article, I will be providing you with my fantasy MMA value picks for UFC Vegas 23: Vettori vs. Holland on 04/10/21. You can check out our DraftKings/FanDuel MMA DFS overall-lineup picks as well, in which we take all fighters into consideration. These DFS value picks, though, are focused on lower-priced fighters on both FanDuel and DraftKings pools of fighters. Give me a follow on Twitter @chapulana. Good luck!

Featured Promo: Get any DFS Premium Bundle for for 30% off using code NEW! Win more with expert advice from proven winners and exclusive DFS tools. Get instant access to RotoBaller's Lineup Optimizers, Research Stations, daily picks and VIP chat rooms across 10 sports! Go Premium, Win More!

 

DraftKings MMA Middleweight - UFC DFS Lineup Picks 

Kevin Holland, $6600 - vs. Marvin Vettori

Is the short preparation period (Kevin is fighting on a nine-day notice) going to affect Holland in this fight against Vettori? Maybe. Is that going to keep him from snatching the W? I'm not convinced that'd be the case. Holland dropped his last one back in March against Derek Brunson, but he was able to go the distance (five rounds) while he had won four of five fights in 2020, three of them via KO and the other one with the submission of Charlie Ontiveros.

Vettori, on the other hand, is on a three-fight winning streak that spans from July 2019 to June 2020 with no fights since then, meaning he's been off the octagon for almost a full year. Vettori is way less of a finisher--yes, he subbed his last foe, but he hadn't done so in six straight after debuting with a first-round submission in Aug. 2016.

Call me crazy, but for the absolutely crazy discount Holland represents, and his past, I'm betting on him even stepping into this thing just nine days before the bout takes place. Vettori is the mega-favorite, and it's not that you find dogs as doggy as Holland is here, but that's where I'm leading this Saturday. Watch Vettori kick 2021 off with an L.

 

DraftKings MMA Featherweight - UFC DFS Lineup Picks

Sodiq Yusuff, $8500 - vs. Arnold Allen

Dawg. Oh, dawg. Do you know how many times have these two fought under the UFC banner? 11 times, that is. Do you know how many times have they ended on the winning side of things? Also 11 times. That's right. Neither Allen nor Yusuff have been defeated since they entered the circuit, with Allen sitting at 7-0 and Yusuff at 4-0. Allen is the mat-worker with two submissions to his name (the first one in 2015, though) while Yusuff is the cold knock-outer with two KOs in his career (from Dec. 2018 on).

These two are close in terms of salaries this weekend, and both have chances to get the W. That's a stupid breakdown, but it is what it is. The projections paint Yusuff as the winner, though the distance is nothing crazy. The thing moving the balance Yusuff's way, though, is his KO prowess and how he dropped two of his four opponents in less than five minutes each.

 

DraftKings MMA Middleweight - UFC DFS Lineup Picks

Aliaskhab Khizriev, $8200 - vs. Kyle Daukaus

If you think the fight above was close, peep at this one. Both fighters come with a 50-to-55 percent chance of winning, their MLs are as close as they come, their salaries on DK are separated by a measly $200, rendering that difference almost nil, and the only thing clearly putting them at opposite sides of the spectrum are their DKFP projections (80 for Khizriev and just 67 for Daukaus).

Khizriev is making his "official" UFC debut (either in a Fight Night or "numbered" event) while Daukas has been around for a couple of outings already, dropping the first one and winning the last time out, both times hitting decision-time. But man, Aliaskhab enters this one with a 4-0 record prior to hitting the UFC and defeated his last foe (already under the UFC banner) in less than a minute via submission. True menace with finishing prowess, this Khrizriev.

 

DraftKings MMA Middleweight - UFC DFS Lineup Picks 

Julian Marquez, $9000 - vs. Sam Alvey

Talk about experience. Difference in experience, I mean. Sam Alvey has fought as many as 19 times in the UFC, going all the way back to August 2014. Julian Marquez, already 30 years of age, has fought a couple of times--the first one in Dec. 2017 and the last one just two months ago in February of this very year. The results? 9-9-1 for Alvey, 2-0 for Marquez.

Looking at these two records you wouldn't hesitate to pick Marquez here. I mean, don't hesitate to pick Marquez here. Alvey had lost four straight prior to closing his last fight on a draw facing Da Un Jung. He has not won a fight since a decision back in June 2018. He just doesn't have it anymore, folks. Marquez, while winning two bouts in the massive span of three-plus years, still is 2-0 and subbed Pitolo only two months ago. Neither of these two is a boom play, sure, but if you're forced to choose one all odds are for Julian to get away with the victory.

 

DraftKings MMA Women's Strawweight - UFC DFS Lineup Picks 

Mackenzie Dern, $7900 - vs. Nina Ansaroff

Both Nina and Mackenzie have fought more than a few times in the UFC already. Both of them have found themselves inside an octagon six times since the start of 2016 (Nina has one more bout, taking place in 2014), but Dern is the "freshest" fighter as her four last fights all took place from Oct. 2019 on compared to Nina's only one fight in 2019 (June against Tatiana Suarez).

While she debuted with back-to-back wins, Dern has alternated Ws and Ls from her second outing to the last one. Nina lost her last bout, yes, but he had four wins prior to that. Dern has submitted opponents in two of her last three wins while losing just once via submission herself. With a 2-1 record in 2020, I'm betting on Dern to get a second win in a row for the second time in her career.

 

More MMA Analysis

More DFS Analysis & Lineup Picks




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Griffin Conine

To Have Shoulder Surgery On Tuesday
Luke Keaschall

Twins Prospect Luke Keaschall Suffers Broken Forearm
Logan Gilbert

Leaves Friday's Start With Forearm Tightness

Vikings Select Tai Felton To Finish Day 2

Seahawks Select Quarterback Jalen Milroe With The 92nd Pick Overall

Browns Select Dillon Gabriel 94th Overall

Packers Pick Savion Williams At No. 87 overall

Steelers Snag Kaleb Johnson In Round 3

Broncos Select Wide Receiver Pat Bryant With The 74th Overall Pick

Texans Select Jaylin Noel With 79th Pick

Lions Select Wide Receiver Isaac TeSlaa With The 70th Overall Pick
Jack Leiter

To Start On Sunday

Patriots Add Wide Receiver Kyle Williams In Round 3

Browns Draft Harold Fannin Jr. With 67th Pick
Garrett Mitchell

Makes Early Exit
Luke Keaschall

Removed Early On Friday
Blake Snell

Likely Avoids Major Injury
Cole Ragans

Dealing With Mild Groin Strain

Broncos Add RJ Harvey To Backfield With 60th Pick

Raiders Select Jack Bech With 58th Pick

Chargers Add Wide Receiver Tre Harris In Round 2
Detroit Lions

Lions Acquire 57th Pick From Broncos

Seahawks Draft Elijah Arroyo 50th Overall
Carolina Panthers

Panthers Acquire 51st Pick From Broncos
Arizona Cardinals

Cardinals Snag Will Johnson At No. 47

Jets Add A Pass-Catcher With Mason Taylor At No. 42

Rams Select Terrance Ferguson With 46th Pick
Houston Texans

Texans Acquire 48th Pick From Raiders, Draft Aireontae Ersery

Saints Snag Tyler Shough At No. 40
Brenton Doyle

Out For Personal Reasons On Friday
Brandin Podziemski

Not On Injury Report For Game 3
Jimmy Butler III

Warriors Optimistic About Jimmy Butler III Playing Saturday
Jae'Sean Tate

To Remain Out Saturday
Jock Landale

Unavailable For Game 3
Terry Rozier

Out On Saturday
Jrue Holiday

Ruled Out For Friday Night's Game 3 Against Orlando
Kevin Love

To Miss Saturday's Game
Jaylen Brown

Available For Friday Night's Game 3 Against Magic
Gary Payton II

Iffy For Saturday's Action
Jayson Tatum

Officially Available On Friday For Game 3 Against Magic
Will Smith

Back From Injury On Friday
Luke Kennard

Questionable For Game 4 On Saturday
Darius Garland

Listed As Questionable For Game 3
Ja Morant

To Miss Game 4 On Saturday
Rui Hachimura

Available For Game 3 In Minnesota
Aaron Ekblad

Available To Return Saturday
Erik Swanson

Ryan Burr Progressing
Daulton Varsho

To Return On Tuesday At The Latest
Max Scherzer

Takes Positive Step On Friday
Aleksander Barkov

Questionable For Saturday
Gabriel Landeskog

Set For Larger Role In Game 4
Calvin Pickard

To Start Game 3 For Oilers
Randy Arozarena

Resting For First Time This Year
Jonas Siegenthaler

To Play Limited Minutes In Game 3
MLB

Red Sox-Guardians Game Postponed On Friday
Luke Hughes

Remains Out On Friday
MLB

Tigers-Orioles Postponed On Friday
Patrik Laine

A Game-Time Decision Friday
Yainer Diaz

Out On Friday Against Royals
Iván Herrera

Ivan Herrera Hopes To Start Rehab Assignment Next Week
Salvador Perez

Sitting Out For First Time This Season
Jaylen Brown

Questionable For Game 3 On Friday
Brendan Donovan

Back In Action On Friday
Jimmy Butler III

Could Miss Game 3 On Saturday
Coby Mayo

Getting On A Roll At Triple-A
Carlos Prates

Looks To Remain Undefeated In The UFC
Ian Machado Garry

Set For UFC Kansas City Main Event
Cade Cunningham

Collects Double-Double In Loss
Jalen Brunson

Drops 30 Points In Game 3
Karl-Anthony Towns

Leads All Scorers In Game 3 Victory
Zhang Mingyang

Scheduled For Co-Main Event
Anthony Smith

Set For His Final UFC Bout
David Onama

Set For Featherweight Bout
Giga Chikadze

Looks To Bounce Back
Abus Magomedov

Looks For His Third Consecutive Win
Michel Pereira

Returns To Action At UFC Kansas City
Nicolas Dalby

An Underdog At UFC Kansas City
Randy Brown

A Favorite At UFC Kansas City
Andre Muniz

Set To Open Up UFC Kansas City Main Card
Ikram Aliskerov

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Sergei Bobrovsky

Shuts Out Lightning In Game 2
Cam Fowler

Finishes Thursday's Win With Five Points
Robert Thomas

Posts Four Assists In Game 3 Win
Pavel Buchnevich

Celebrates Hat Trick During Four-Point Performance
Dylan DeMelo

Battling An Illness
Marcus Johansson

Exits Early Thursday
Aleksander Barkov

Hurt In Game 2
Jrue Holiday

Tagged As Questionable For Friday
Jayson Tatum

Likely Out Again On Friday
Anthony Cirelli

Good To Go Thursday
Andrei Vasilevskiy

Looks To Bounce Back In Game 2
Rasmus Ristolainen

To Miss Training Camp
Jonas Siegenthaler

Returns To Practice
Aliaksei Protas

Traveling With Capitals
Gabriel Vilardi

Still Out On Thursday
Max Pacioretty

Set To Join Maple Leafs Lineup For Game 3
Cam Davis

Looking For Better Fortunes At TPC Louisiana
Adam Svensson

Making Third Apperence At Zurich Classic
Max Greyserman

Aiming For Similar Success At TPC Louisiana
Lee Hodges

A High-Upside Player In New Orleans
PGA

Nico Echavarria Looks To Ride Off Of Elite Putting In New Orleans
Gary Woodland

A Player Worth Watching In New Orleans
Max McGreevy

Returns To The Zurich Classic Of New Orleans
Rasmus Hojgaard

In Search Of Consistency Ahead Of Zurich Classic
Sam Stevens

A Boom-Or-Bust Candidate In New Orleans
Nicolai Hojgaard

Looking To Turn Season Around At Zurich Classic
Christiaan Bezuidenhout

Looks To Sway A Hot Putter In Teams Favor At Zurich Classic
Akshay Bhatia

Looking To Bounce Back At TPC Louisiana
Carson Young

Looks To Turn Things Around At TPC Louisiana
Erik Van Rooyen

Looking For Momentum In Louisiana
Andrew Novak

Making Start At TPC Louisiana After Near Miss At Harbour Town
Ben Griffin

Making Third Career Start At Zurich Classic
Taylor Moore

Competing With A New Teammate In New Orleans
Wyndham Clark

Making Return To New Orleans
Kurt Kitayama

Teeing It Up Again In New Orleans
Collin Morikawa

Back At Zurich Classic For Fifth Time
Thomas Detry

Making Third Appearance At New Orleans Team Event
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF