X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

DraftKings Daily Fantasy Golf Picks - The Players Championship PGA DFS Lineup Advice

DraftKings PGA DFS lineup picks daily fantasy golf

Spencer's DraftKings PGA DFS lineup picks for The Players Championship. His under-owned PGA DFS value plays for daily fantasy golf lineups, and golfers to avoid.

Welcome back to my PGA DFS lineup picks for The Players Championship on DraftKings! Many golfers barely miss out on being mentioned here by a fraction of a percent, so if you have any questions about a particular player from a PGA DFS or PGA betting perspective, you can contact me on Twitter @Teeoffsports.

Once you are done reading the article, please check out my weekly spreadsheet in the link below to get started on your research. There you will be able to weigh the categories however you see fit once you make a copy, and I always love hearing the success you have found while using the model.

Thanks again for all the support, and don't miss out on all our top-notch weekly PGA DFS articles produced by the entire RotoBaller squad. 

Featured Promo: Get any DFS Premium Bundle for for 30% off using code NEW! Win more with expert advice from proven winners and exclusive DFS tools. Get instant access to RotoBaller's Lineup Optimizers, Research Stations, daily picks and VIP chat rooms across 10 sports! Go Premium, Win More!

 

PGA DFS Rankings Wizard - The Players Championship

We have a special treat for all you RotoBallers and golf enthusiasts. In addition to this article, be sure to also check out Spencer's PGA DFS Rankings Wizarda powerful and interactive data spreadsheet, allowing user inputs to create custom rankings and models for golf. If you want to create your own spreadsheet, you will need to make a copy under "file." We hope you enjoy!

 

TPC Sawgrass

7,189 Yards - Par 72 - Greens Bermuda (Overseeded Rye - Think of your Bent/Poa mixtures)

TPC Sawgrass has always been a challenging course to handicap. You don't have to look any further than the erratic course history of every golfer in the field to realize the volatility is heightened at the venue, but the move from May to March should provide more predictably since the facility was always best suited to be played in colder weather conditions.

The summer temperature in May gave us a Bermuda surface that was still dormant (but playable) from the winter and created this fiery test that made stopping your irons on these smaller-than-average greens nearly impossible. I want to make it clear that the fast/lightning surface that we have become accustomed to over the years will still be in play (thank you to the SubAir system), but more of where I am going with this is that the Bermuda grass gets overseeded on all parts of the course, creating much softer landing areas that allow shot-shaping and control with your irons from anywhere on the track.

Strokes gained around the green will still be amplified because of the smaller putting surfaces, but it is hard to weigh properly since shaved run-off areas allow multiple options to be considered when attempting to get up and down. There are 17 water hazards and 88 bunkers that are put into place to cause havoc, and while the rough is anything but penal, the Pete Dye nature will cause a handful of forced lay-ups for the field. Golfers that can be creative, salvage par, avoid critical mistakes and control their irons will be most equipped to find success at this grueling test, but it is tough to find quantifiable data that remains pertinent at Sawgrass year-over-year.

 

Let's Look At The Stats

Stat TPC Sawgrass Tour Average
Driving Distance 278 282
Driving Accuracy 62% 62%
GIR Percentage 63% 65%
Scrambling Percentage 53% 57%
Average Three-Putts Per Round 0.63 0.55

 

Key Stats 

  • Weighted Tee-T0-Green (20%)
  • SG Total TPC (7.5%)
  • SG Total Par 72s Under 7,200 Yards (10%)
  • Fast/Lightning Greens (10%)
  • Weighted Scrambling (15%)
  • Par-Five Birdie or Better (15%)
  • Birdie or Better + Bogey Avoidance (10%)
  • Ball-Striking (12.5%)

I will take a deeper dive into what went into these totals later in the week on my podcast. If you aren't doing so already, you can follow Bettor Golf Podcast on Twitter.

 

Fantasy Golf Lineup Picks for DraftKings (PGA DFS)

We have tons of great weekly PGA articles, DFS analysis, tools and DFS advice. Be sure to read our other fantastic articles regarding this week's event.

 

High-Priced DraftKings DFS Players 

This week, there are five players priced above $10,000. Please remember this is always a first look at the field. Opinions might shift slightly as the week goes on, and I am more than happy to discuss anyone further on Twitter.

Jon Rahm ($11,100)

I honestly can't tell if Jon Rahm is about to put it all together and win a title or if we are in the middle of watching a meltdown that will end with him in an insane asylum because of his short game. In his six tournaments on American soil in 2022, Rahm has averaged 8.53 shots to the field with his driver and irons, which might not even be doing him justice when we consider he has produced 10.9 strokes per start over his last three contests. The ball-striking keeps improving. The results are getting progressively worse. Something has to give.

Collin Morikawa ($10,700)

I will be the first to admit that I have been much lower on Collin Morikawa than the rest of the community throughout his career. I don't think that is a bad thing to acknowledge since popularity often equates to reduced price tags in the betting market, but I don't have a massive issue with where Morikawa is located this weekend at TPC Sawgrass. The American ranks inside the top-13 in every statistical category that I attached a weight, and a hypothetical finish of 21st place in 2021 would have been enough to move him into being the top man on my model.

Justin Thomas ($10,400)

There are a handful of trends going against Justin Thomas this weekend. You will hear a million times that nobody has ever defended the Players Championship, but perhaps more problematic than that, of the last 12 winners, only Webb Simpson, who finished 16th here in 2019, has recorded a top-55 result in their next start at Sawgrass. Sure, that isn't ideal when trying to make a case for the 28-year-old to repeat, but as you know by now, trends have never meant much to me when putting together lineups or bets. Thomas ranks first overall in my model from an overall sense and grades as the top player in the field in weighted tee-to-green, weighted scrambling and weighted proximity. We saw what happened last year at the course when the 14-time winner squeaked out 1.6 shots with his flat stick, so while the putter hasn't exactly been ideal as of late, it likely wouldn't take much for him to win if he can get anything going with that aspect of his game.

Other Thoughts: Rory McIlroy and Viktor Hovland are the contrarian pivots of the group. 

 

Did you know RotoBaller has a Premium DFS PGA subscription?

Like what you read today? You can show your support for Spencer by using the discount code TEEOFF when purchasing a PGA Premium Pass. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer! You also get access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting minds in the industry. Spencer is absolutely crushing out of the gate in 2022!

 

Mid-Priced DraftKings DFS Players

$9,000 Range

Dustin Johnson ($9,800)

I think you are dart-throwing the top of the board when you take Dustin Johnson at $9,800, but we have to find ways to get unique and different if we want to succeed at a tournament where ownership is getting pushed to all the same areas. I keep hearing what a popular bet and DFS target Johnson will be this weekend in Florida, but the early returns haven't exactly told that story. Sure, he will be marginally more popular in the outright market, but most gamers seem to be looking elsewhere at his going rate on DraftKings. It is hard to know what we are getting from the big-hitting American after losing with his irons in five of six starts, but it is worth noting that the plurality of vital scoring chances will come with a short iron in hand - a club the former Masters champion has always excelled with during his career.

Xander Schauffele ($9,700)

Xander Schauffele is probably my preferred target in the $9,000 range for a few reasons. Players have talked about playing to the center of these greens because of how small they are in diameter, and if you take that approach with every iron shot, you should give yourself makeable birdie looks. Schauffele is the king of high proximity numbers but outstanding GIR totals because of his safe nature, and I have noticed a trend that he plays better when given smaller greens for the reason I mentioned above.

Other Thoughts: I will be monitoring ownership on Patrick Cantlay ($9,900), Scottie Scheffler ($9,200) and Jordan Spieth ($9,000). 

 

Contrarian DraftKings DFS Players To Consider

$8,900 - $7,100 Range 

Pricing is so soft that it doesn't accomplish anything to write about the same players as everyone else. You don't need to hear for the 1,000th time why Daniel Berger is underpriced. We all can see that with his nearly 20% mark on Monday. Instead, I will try to pinpoint a few golfers where I am much higher than consensus. I think that will help find pivots better than a meaningless article of trendy names.

Webb Simpson ($7,600)

The 2018 winner of the Players Championship rides into the week with minimal fanfare after a quiet finish to last year and a reduced schedule to begin 2022. Simpson hasn't been seen since the Sony Open in January - an event he typically finds success but faltered to a worrisome 61st place result after losing 5.4 strokes with his ball-striking.  I do want to note that the 36-year-old just started hitting balls again last week after going through rehab to fix an issue stemming from a bulging disk in his neck, but sometimes the unknown can be worth a shot in the dark on a golfer that knows a course well. Simpson's upside will always be enticing to me when we can grab him in the $7,000 range, and he ranks inside the top five of this field on rainy/windy courses.

Abraham Ancer ($7,600)

Abraham Ancer leaves something to be desired with his recent form, but the weighted combination of Pete Dye production, strokes gained total in the wind, play at TPC courses and Par 72s under 7,200 yards rates the 31-year-old ninth in this field. If you are curious, the names ahead of him are Dustin Johnson, Webb Simpson, John Rahm, Patrick Cantlay, Justin Thomas, Sungjae Im, Paul Casey and Rory McIlroy.

Russell Henley ($7,400)

Most gamers will see four missed cuts in five starts at the Players for why Russell Henley is priced at $7,400, but there are two top-25 finishes for him if we stretch the data back slightly further. Henley has gained tee-to-green in nine straight starts and ranks inside the top-20 of this field for weighted proximity, GIR percentage, driving accuracy, bogey avoidance, strokes gained at TPC tracks and weighted tee-to-green.

Justin Rose ($7,300)

Losing with all facets of your game like Justin Rose did at the Arnold Palmer is not ideal, but nothing was worse than negative-0.8 shots to the field. I sometimes feel like these can be decent buy-low opportunities when a player isn't as far away as the perception might lead you to believe, and Rose ranks inside the top-25 in weighted proximity of this stacked tournament.

Si Woo Kim ($7,300)

Si Woo Kim was leading the tour in consecutive rounds of shooting par or better before a slip-up at the Genesis, but nine straight made cuts and two top-nine finishes at Sawgrass in his past four attempts will make the South Korean a difficult option to ignore at $7,300. Kim is a Pete Dye specialist that excels on par-fives, and anything around 10 percent isn't high enough for the upside he possesses.

Corey Conners ($7,300)

There is a ton of sharp money that continues to pour in on Corey Conners, who is down to 50/1 at some of the better offshore books out there. Most markets have Conners as more of an $8,000+ golfer when comparing him to the counterparts he is matched against, and while he is going to be popular, it is easy to understand why.

 

$7,000 (Or Less) Options To Consider

We are still early in the week. I will continue to run numbers as more ownership comes in for these $7,000/$6,000 golfers.

Tom Hoge ($7,000),  Brian Harman ($6,900), Keegan Bradly ($6,900), Jhonattan Vegas ($6,800), Sebastian Munoz ($6,700), Aaron Wise ($6,600), K.H. Lee ($6,300), Thomas Pieters ($6,300)

  Win More With RotoBaller

Win more with expert tools and advice from proven winners! RotoBaller's PGA Premium Packages feature several savvy analysts and proven winners for DFS and betting.

Our very own Joe Nicely took down a big DraftKings DFS tournament for the Travelers Championship. And as an encore, RotoBaller subscriber @tenndolly2 won $100K on FanDuel with the help of Joe and the rest of our Premium PGA team:

Between all the incredible Premium PGA DFS and Betting content and tools we put out each week, and our Premium Slack Community where we chat with our subscribers before lineups lock, RotoBaller PGA subscribers are armed with the tools, analysis, and advice to win more.

Golf DFS News and Player Outlooks


More PGA Analysis and DFS Lineup Picks

POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Griffin Conine

To Have Shoulder Surgery On Tuesday
Luke Keaschall

Twins Prospect Luke Keaschall Suffers Broken Forearm
Logan Gilbert

Leaves Friday's Start With Forearm Tightness

Vikings Select Tai Felton To Finish Day 2

Seahawks Select Quarterback Jalen Milroe With The 92nd Pick Overall

Browns Select Dillon Gabriel 94th Overall

Packers Pick Savion Williams At No. 87 overall

Steelers Snag Kaleb Johnson In Round 3

Broncos Select Wide Receiver Pat Bryant With The 74th Overall Pick

Texans Select Jaylin Noel With 79th Pick

Lions Select Wide Receiver Isaac TeSlaa With The 70th Overall Pick
Jack Leiter

To Start On Sunday

Patriots Add Wide Receiver Kyle Williams In Round 3

Browns Draft Harold Fannin Jr. With 67th Pick
Garrett Mitchell

Makes Early Exit
Luke Keaschall

Removed Early On Friday
Blake Snell

Likely Avoids Major Injury
Cole Ragans

Dealing With Mild Groin Strain

Broncos Add RJ Harvey To Backfield With 60th Pick

Raiders Select Jack Bech With 58th Pick

Chargers Add Wide Receiver Tre Harris In Round 2
Detroit Lions

Lions Acquire 57th Pick From Broncos

Seahawks Draft Elijah Arroyo 50th Overall
Carolina Panthers

Panthers Acquire 51st Pick From Broncos
Arizona Cardinals

Cardinals Snag Will Johnson At No. 47

Jets Add A Pass-Catcher With Mason Taylor At No. 42

Rams Select Terrance Ferguson With 46th Pick
Houston Texans

Texans Acquire 48th Pick From Raiders, Draft Aireontae Ersery

Saints Snag Tyler Shough At No. 40
Brenton Doyle

Out For Personal Reasons On Friday
Brandin Podziemski

Not On Injury Report For Game 3
Jimmy Butler III

Warriors Optimistic About Jimmy Butler III Playing Saturday
Jae'Sean Tate

To Remain Out Saturday
Jock Landale

Unavailable For Game 3
Terry Rozier

Out On Saturday
Jrue Holiday

Ruled Out For Friday Night's Game 3 Against Orlando
Kevin Love

To Miss Saturday's Game
Jaylen Brown

Available For Friday Night's Game 3 Against Magic
Gary Payton II

Iffy For Saturday's Action
Jayson Tatum

Officially Available On Friday For Game 3 Against Magic
Will Smith

Back From Injury On Friday
Luke Kennard

Questionable For Game 4 On Saturday
Darius Garland

Listed As Questionable For Game 3
Ja Morant

To Miss Game 4 On Saturday
Rui Hachimura

Available For Game 3 In Minnesota
Aaron Ekblad

Available To Return Saturday
Erik Swanson

Ryan Burr Progressing
Daulton Varsho

To Return On Tuesday At The Latest
Max Scherzer

Takes Positive Step On Friday
Aleksander Barkov

Questionable For Saturday
Gabriel Landeskog

Set For Larger Role In Game 4
Calvin Pickard

To Start Game 3 For Oilers
Randy Arozarena

Resting For First Time This Year
Jonas Siegenthaler

To Play Limited Minutes In Game 3
MLB

Red Sox-Guardians Game Postponed On Friday
Luke Hughes

Remains Out On Friday
MLB

Tigers-Orioles Postponed On Friday
Patrik Laine

A Game-Time Decision Friday
Yainer Diaz

Out On Friday Against Royals
Iván Herrera

Ivan Herrera Hopes To Start Rehab Assignment Next Week
Salvador Perez

Sitting Out For First Time This Season
Jaylen Brown

Questionable For Game 3 On Friday
Brendan Donovan

Back In Action On Friday
Jimmy Butler III

Could Miss Game 3 On Saturday
Coby Mayo

Getting On A Roll At Triple-A
Carlos Prates

Looks To Remain Undefeated In The UFC
Ian Machado Garry

Set For UFC Kansas City Main Event
Cade Cunningham

Collects Double-Double In Loss
Jalen Brunson

Drops 30 Points In Game 3
Karl-Anthony Towns

Leads All Scorers In Game 3 Victory
Zhang Mingyang

Scheduled For Co-Main Event
Anthony Smith

Set For His Final UFC Bout
David Onama

Set For Featherweight Bout
Giga Chikadze

Looks To Bounce Back
Abus Magomedov

Looks For His Third Consecutive Win
Michel Pereira

Returns To Action At UFC Kansas City
Nicolas Dalby

An Underdog At UFC Kansas City
Randy Brown

A Favorite At UFC Kansas City
Andre Muniz

Set To Open Up UFC Kansas City Main Card
Ikram Aliskerov

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Sergei Bobrovsky

Shuts Out Lightning In Game 2
Cam Fowler

Finishes Thursday's Win With Five Points
Robert Thomas

Posts Four Assists In Game 3 Win
Pavel Buchnevich

Celebrates Hat Trick During Four-Point Performance
Dylan DeMelo

Battling An Illness
Marcus Johansson

Exits Early Thursday
Aleksander Barkov

Hurt In Game 2
Jrue Holiday

Tagged As Questionable For Friday
Jayson Tatum

Likely Out Again On Friday
Anthony Cirelli

Good To Go Thursday
Andrei Vasilevskiy

Looks To Bounce Back In Game 2
Rasmus Ristolainen

To Miss Training Camp
Jonas Siegenthaler

Returns To Practice
Aliaksei Protas

Traveling With Capitals
Gabriel Vilardi

Still Out On Thursday
Max Pacioretty

Set To Join Maple Leafs Lineup For Game 3
Cam Davis

Looking For Better Fortunes At TPC Louisiana
Adam Svensson

Making Third Apperence At Zurich Classic
Max Greyserman

Aiming For Similar Success At TPC Louisiana
Lee Hodges

A High-Upside Player In New Orleans
PGA

Nico Echavarria Looks To Ride Off Of Elite Putting In New Orleans
Gary Woodland

A Player Worth Watching In New Orleans
Max McGreevy

Returns To The Zurich Classic Of New Orleans
Rasmus Hojgaard

In Search Of Consistency Ahead Of Zurich Classic
Sam Stevens

A Boom-Or-Bust Candidate In New Orleans
Nicolai Hojgaard

Looking To Turn Season Around At Zurich Classic
Christiaan Bezuidenhout

Looks To Sway A Hot Putter In Teams Favor At Zurich Classic
Akshay Bhatia

Looking To Bounce Back At TPC Louisiana
Carson Young

Looks To Turn Things Around At TPC Louisiana
Erik Van Rooyen

Looking For Momentum In Louisiana
Andrew Novak

Making Start At TPC Louisiana After Near Miss At Harbour Town
Ben Griffin

Making Third Career Start At Zurich Classic
Taylor Moore

Competing With A New Teammate In New Orleans
Wyndham Clark

Making Return To New Orleans
Kurt Kitayama

Teeing It Up Again In New Orleans
Collin Morikawa

Back At Zurich Classic For Fifth Time
Thomas Detry

Making Third Appearance At New Orleans Team Event
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF