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DraftKings Daily Fantasy Basketball Picks (11/8/21): NBA DFS Lineups

Welcome, RotoBallers. There is plenty of injury news to monitor today as we move closer to lock: LeBron James is out, Anthony Davis is questionable, Joel Embiid, Tobias Harris, Matisse Thybulle, and Isaiah Joe are out, Brandon Ingram and Herbert Jones are questionable, D'Angelo Russell is questionable, and Michael Porter Jr. has been ruled out. Taking a quick peak at the K-Rate models, the Hornets-Lakers and Suns-Kings games look to be the best environments to target for DFS production as they project to be high-scoring, fast-paced, and lacking defense. The Wolves-Grizzlies game is also appealing as there are plenty of value options available on each side, and a few studs to consider in Ant and KAT. The Heat-Nuggets game looks like a brutal one to target, but I'll never talk anyone off of Nikola Jokic and a few Nuggets could stand to benefit from MPJ's absence.

This article will provide you with my daily fantasy basketball lineup picks for DraftKings on 11/8/21. You can also check out today's FanDuel lineup picks. Remember to monitor injury news as the slate can completely change before lineups lock.

 

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DraftKings Overview - NBA DFS Matchups

This is how the games, teams, and positional matchups shake out for tonight's slate. "K-Rate" is a metric that includes implied totals, projected pace, fantasy points against, and defensive ratings. The higher the number - the more attackable the game/opponent is for DFS purposes.

 

DraftKings Guards - NBA DFS Lineup Picks

LaMelo Ball - PG, CHA vs. LAL ($9,000)

Hornets' PG's have the top positional advantage on the board tonight against the shorthanded Lakers. The Lakers are allowing the most FPPG to opposing PG's and the eighth-most FPPG to opposing SG's. Most teams have played 10 or 11 games, so we're close to not being able to use the "small sample size" counter-argument any longer. Ball has had a bit of an issue with foul trouble and that has held him back from being a consistent DFS stud, but he has exceeded what he'd need for 5x value tonight in three of his last five games (including at least 52 DK points in two of those games). He holds a team-leading 27.9% usage rate and 1.41 FPTS/min this season with P.J. Washington off the floor, and again, the matchup literally can't get any better than it is tonight.

Note: if Anthony Davis is ruled out, fire up all of the Russell Westbrook.

Anthony Edwards - SG, MIN vs. MEM ($8,000)

There are plenty of Memphis pieces that are appealing at their DraftKings prices tonight, but what about the runback options on Minnesota? The Grizzlies were just leapfrogged by the Hornets but they still hold the second-worst defensive rating in the NBA, and as we can see by the "Positional K-Rate" model above, they're very susceptible to giving up fantasy production at the SF spot. Edwards plays a bit of a hybrid SG/SF and he leads the team in usage rate (30.5%) with the second-highest FPTS/min rate (1.14). This play becomes even more interesting if D'Angelo Russell were to be ruled out - Ant's rates jump to a 33.3% usage rate and 1.18 FPTS/min in those scenarios this season.

Kelly Oubre Jr. - SG/SF, CHA vs. LAL ($4,400)

Oubre's minutes and production have been all over the place in the early goings - he's playing anywhere from 13 minutes to 43 minutes and has ranged from 1.75 DK points to 48.75 DK points. However, he played 28 minutes and scored 27.5 DK points last time out, and P.J. Washington missing another game sets up Oubre for another value-smashing opportunity tonight. He holds a 20.2% usage rate and 0.86 FPTS/min rate overall this season and he's going to be valuable as long as he gets minutes in the upper-20's again tonight.

Others to consider: Alex Caruso ($4,200), Ja Morant ($9,100), Bones Hyland ($3,000), Joe Harris ($4,200), Cameron Payne ($3,000), Cody Martin ($3,600), Furkan Korkmaz ($4,900)

 

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DraftKings Forwards - NBA DFS Lineup Picks

Jaren Jackson Jr. - PF/C, MEM vs. MIN ($5,800)

He's going to be chalky, but there's no getting past the fact that JJJ is underpriced and in a great spot to produce tonight. As you can tell from the "Positional K-Rate" chart above, Grizzlies' PF's are one of the top matchup spots to attack on this slate as the Wolves have (again) been among the league's worst at defending bigs. Jackson hasn't been dominant this season as he's averaging just 1.07 FPTS/min this year, but he holds a high 25.3% usage rate and he gets the aforementioned matchup boost tonight.

Frank Kaminsky - PF/C, PHO vs. SAC ($4,300)

Frank the Tank doesn't have the most secure minutes projection in the world, but he's still priced in the value range and can definitely be useful in lineups tonight. He has crushed value in the last two games without center Deandre Ayton, going for 32 and 35.25 DK points and clocking over 28 minutes in both games. There's no reason we shouldn't be expecting 25 minutes or more tonight against the Kings, a team that's allowing the second-most FPPG to opposing centers this season. The Suns haven't generally run Kaminsky and McGee in the same lineups together, so when he's out there, he's serving as the team's de-facto center. JaVale McGee is worth a look for the same reasons.

Kristaps Porzingis - PF, DAL vs. NOP ($6,700)

This is just too cheap for KP in this spot and he makes for a great mid-range option tonight. He put up 38.25 DK points in just 28 minutes in his return to action on Saturday, and that was against a Celtics team that ranks 12th in defensive rating overall. The Pelicans rank third-to-last in the same metric. While this doesn't project as a high-scoring game and both teams slow the pace down quite a bit, the lack of defense and Porz's recent form and current price have me on the Unicorn tonight.

Others to consider: Mikal Bridges ($5,200), Kyle Anderson ($4,700), Jaden McDaniels ($3,100), Duncan Robinson ($3,800), Jeff Green ($3,000), Moe Harkless ($3,300), Paul Reed ($3,300), Danny Green ($3,800)

 

DraftKings Centers - NBA DFS Lineup Picks

Andre Drummond - C, PHI vs. NYK ($5,700)

This isn't an extremely appealing game environment as it has a low implied total, slow projected pace, and solid defenses on both sides. That being said, we can still pick out pieces from this game as both Tobias Harris and Joel Embiid have been ruled out. Drummond has notoriously crushed in spot starts so far this season, most recently going for 56.75 DK points over 34 minutes against the Blazers on 11/1. He holds a team-leading 1.36 FPTS/min rate with the two stars off the floor, and his usage rate shoots up to 20.3%. He certainly won't be the only Sixer to consider tonight, but he's probably the safest, the easiest to project, and holds the highest ceiling.

Others to consider: Steven Adams ($4,500), Jonas Valanciunas ($8,500), Richaun Holmes ($7,200), Mason Plumlee ($5,200)

 



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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Jahmyr Gibbs

Scores Three Times on Thursday Night Football
Josh Jacobs

Remains Limited with Knee Injury
CeeDee Lamb

Suffers Concussion in Week 14 Against Detroit
Jhostynxon Garcia

Pirates Acquire Jhostynxon Garcia From Red Sox
Draymond Green

Won't Return on Thursday Night
Kenneth Walker III

Remains Limited on Thursday
Kyren Williams

Limited Again with Ankle Injury
Davante Adams

Limited in Practice on Thursday
Cody Bellinger

Yankees Pushing Hard to Re-Sign Cody Bellinger
CFB

Penn State Eyeing Iowa State Coach Matt Campbell For Coaching Vacancy
Alex Bregman

Cubs Have Renewed Interest in Alex Bregman
Quinten Post

Set to Suit Up Versus Philadelphia
Amon-Ra St. Brown

Will Play on Thursday Night
Joel Embiid

Back on Thursday Night
Al Horford

Available on Thursday
Jonathan Kuminga

Cleared for Action on Thursday Night
Jusuf Nurkić

Jusuf Nurkic Out of Action Thursday
Terance Mann

Available Versus Utah
Kirill Marchenko

Returns From Four-Game Absence
De'Anthony Melton

to be Capped at 20 Minutes on Thursday
Carter Verhaeghe

Ready to Return Thursday
Scott Wedgewood

Skips Thursday's Game
Paolo Banchero

Upgraded to Questionable for Friday Night
Danila Yurov

Misses Second Straight Game
CFB

Billy Napier Finalizing Deal to Become James Madison's New Head Coach
Andrei Vasilevskiy

Unavailable Thursday
CFB

Buster Faulkner Set to Become Florida's New Offensive Coordinator
Dereck Lively II

to Seek "Multiple Opinions" on Right Foot Treatment
David Pastrnak

Still Out Thursday
Ryan McDonagh

Lightning Sign Ryan McDonagh to Three-Year Extension
Trayce Jackson-Davis

Set to Suit Up Thursday
Ja Morant

Considered Day-to-Day
Tee Higgins

Ready to Return After Full Practice?
Jimmy Butler III

Sidelined Thursday
Jayden Daniels

Practices in Full on Thursday
Jaylen Brown

Ruled Out Thursday Against the Wizards
Lamar Jackson

Expected to Play Against Steelers
Quentin Grimes

Is Ready to Return on Thursday
Deshaun Watson

Not Expected to Play This Year
Paul George

Will Not Play Against the Warriors
Joel Embiid

Upgraded to Questionable for Thursday
CFB

Joe Sloan Expected to be Kentucky's New Offensive Coordinator
Justin Herbert

Chargers "Really Optimistic" That Justin Herbert Will Play on Monday
Michael Porter Jr.

Will Not Play Thursday
CFB

Lane Kiffin Working to Keep Defensive Coordinator Blake Baker at LSU
Noa Essengue

Out for the Season
Mike Evans

has "Real Chance" to Return in Week 14
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Expected To Miss 2-4 Weeks
Amon-Ra St. Brown

Realistic Expectation is for Amon-Ra St. Brown to Return Next Week
Jalen Carter

Won't Play in Week 14 After Having Shoulder Surgeries
Justin Herbert

Expected to Practice Either Thursday or Friday
Mike Evans

Practicing Again Thursday
Jusuf Nurkić

Jusuf Nurkic Questionable With Rib Contusion
CFB

Brian Daboll a Candidate for Penn State Head-Coaching Job?
Karel Vejmelka

Records Impressive Shutout
JJ Peterka

Rocks Ducks With Four-Point Effort
Cole Caufield

Extends Point Streak With Power-Play Assist
Matvei Michkov

Delivers Two Assists Wednesday
Jake Oettinger

Grabs Fourth Consecutive Victory With Shutout
Ryan Leonard

Tallies Four Points in Wednesday's Win
Cam York

Exits Win Early
Kyren Williams

Expected to Play in Week 14
Davante Adams

Expected to Play Despite Missing Wednesday's Practice
Kyle Tucker

Visits With Blue Jays
Woody Marks

Texans Say Woody Marks Will be Fine
Rasmus Ristolainen

to Miss at Least One More Week
Drew Doughty

Logs Full Practice Wednesday
Emilio Pagán

Reds Bring Back Closer Emilio Pagan on Two-Year Deal
Jeff Skinner

Remains Sidelined Wednesday
Petr Mrazek

Out 2-3 Weeks
Tyler Seguin

Likely Done for the Season
Neal Pionk

Returns to Jets Lineup
J.J. McCarthy

Practices in Full, on Track to Return in Week 14
Cedric Mullins

Rays Agree on One-Year Deal
Freddy Peralta

Brewers Considering Trading Freddy Peralta
Kyle Schwarber

Reds Serious About Adding Kyle Schwarber in Free Agency?
CFB

Brent Key Signing Five-Year Deal to Remain at Georgia Tech
CFB

Brian Hartline Expected to Land USF Head-Coaching Job
CFB

Collin Klein Expected to be Top Target for Kansas State if Head-Coach Job Opens
CFB

Chris Klieman Considering Stepping Down at Kansas State
Alexander Wennberg

a Game-Time Call Wednesday
CFB

D.J. Durkin Staying at Auburn Under Alex Golesh
CFB

Charlie Weis Jr. Permitted to Coach Ole Miss Offense in College Football Playoff
CFB

Five-Star Quarterback Jared Curtis Flips Commitment From Georgia to Vanderbilt
CFB

Florida Hiring Brad White as Defensive Coordinator
Kyle Schwarber

Giants Have Checked in on Kyle Schwarber
Willson Contreras

Willing to Waive his Full No-Trade Clause?
Edwin Díaz

Mets Still Interested in Re-Signing Edwin Diaz
Devin Williams

Agrees to Three-Year Deal With Mets
Cole Ragans

Red Sox Targeting Cole Ragans in a Trade?
CFB

Kentucky Hires Oregon Offensive Coordinator Will Stein As Head Coach
CFB

Kalani Sitake the Top Target for Penn State Coaching Job
CFB

Josh Heupel Says He's Not a Candidate for Penn State Head Coach Job
CFB

Will Stein, Brian Hartline the Top Candidates for Kentucky Job?
CFB

Nebraska Fires Defensive Coordinator John Butler After One Season
CFB

UCLA Expected to Hire Bob Chesney as Next Head Coach
CFB

Lane Kiffin to Make $13 Million Salary, Ties Kirby Smart
Zack Wheeler

Likely to Return in May
Ryan Helsley

Agrees to Two-Year Deal With Orioles

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