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DraftKings and FanDuel Daily Fantasy Basketball Picks (3/11/23): NBA DFS Lineups

jayson tatum nba dfs lineup picks daily fantasy basketball NBA injury news

The top daily fantasy basketball lineup picks for DraftKings and FanDuel on March 11th, 2023. Kyle Ringstad provides NBA DFS analysis and sleeper picks for building optimal DFS rosters.

Welcome to the weekend, RotoBallers. We have an unusually-large nine-game slate on tap tonight, highlighted by three games with implied totals north of 236 points. Several stars and important rotational players won't suit up tonight, leaving us to select value options in the wake.

We don't love playing a bunch of Pistons and non-Luka Mavericks, but hitting on the correct value plays is a significant key to this fantasy game we play, and we have to work with what we've got. Let's get to it.

Here is my daily fantasy basketball lineup picks for FanDuel and DraftKings on 3/11/23. Keep an eye on RotoBaller’s NBA injury news and also our full NBA injury report today to stay up to date before lineups are locked.

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DraftKings and FanDuel Guards - NBA DFS Lineup Picks

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, vs. NOP (FD: $10,500, DK: $9,200) DraftKings Preferred

SGA saw a significant price decrease on DraftKings, and he needs just 46 DK points to hit 5x value tonight. He has been right at or well over that number in his last seven games, and 14 of his last 15 games. The matchup doesn't look incredible on paper, as the Pelicans rank eighth in defensive rating and middle-of-the-pack in fantasy points per game allowed (overall and to PGs). SGA also only managed 44.5 DK points against them the last time these teams met, back on 2/13.

However, he went nuclear for a season-high 73.5 DK points against them right before Christmas, scoring 44 points with ten rebounds, six assists, one block, and two steals. The opportunity is still there for the taking as the Pelicans rank dead-last in opponent FG% around the rim (less than five feet), precisely where SGA likes to make his bread.

Via Statmuse.com

Detroit Guards, vs. IND (Killian Hayes, Rodney McGruder, Cory Joseph) DraftKings Preferred

All three players are underpriced relative to their projections, with the Pistons severely shorthanded tonight. Jaden Ivey, Bojan Bogdanovic, Isaiah Stewart, Hamidou Diallo, and Alex Burks have already been ruled out, while Marvin Bagley III is questionable. Minutes and fantasy production are up for grabs, meaning someone or some combination of the remaining guards must step up to fill the void.

Hayes (0.92 FPTS/min) is the best fantasy producer of the trio and projects for the most minutes, but he's also the most expensive, and Detroit has proven to be volatile with their rotations. McGruder (0.60 FPTs/min) is the cheapest and should play minutes in the mid-20s, but he's also the worst per-minute fantasy producer of the three players in question. Joseph is a steady, consistent veteran but unlikely to pop for a ceiling game here. These guys are cheap and will see an elevated role in a premier matchup as the Pacers allow the third-most fantasy points per game to opposing teams and rank 26th in defensive rating.

Also consider: Josh Okogie, R.J. Hampton, Chris Paul, Patrick Beverley, Devin Booker, CJ McCollum, Derrick White, Jaylen Brown

 

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DraftKings and FanDuel Forwards - NBA DFS Lineup Picks

Tim Hardaway Jr., vs. MEM (FD: $5,600, DK: $5,300) If Irving is inactive

Guess who leads the Mavericks in usage rate at 29.2% with Irving, Doncic, and Dinwiddie off the floor this season? If you're reading this column, you have the cognitive ability to read section headers, so you probably guessed it already (technically, Jaden Hardy ranks first at 29.4%, but he won't play enough minutes to be an option on tonight's slate). THJ also averages 0.94 FPTS/min with those three out, and he will see as many minutes as he can handle if Irving is ultimately ruled out. Applying 0.94 FPTS/min to his 37-minute projection gives him 34.78 DK points - a 6.56x value projection that tops the slate. The Grizzlies aren't the most favorable team to face from a fantasy perspective, but they've been (unsurprisingly) worse since Steven Adams has been out with his injury.

Jayson Tatum, vs. ATL (FD: $10,800, DK: $10,600) 

Tatum is my favorite pay-up option on the slate, with Giannis ailing and Curry way overpriced relative to his recent production. Tatum has missed 5x in three of his last five games, but he needs 53 DK points to his 5x value tonight, and he averages 52.3 DK points per game this season. He has also put up at least 60 DK points in four of his last eight games, so whether you're willing to roll the dice on him hitting another ceiling game here is up to you.

You can sign me up for that, as the Celtics are taking on the Hawks tonight and rank #1 out of the 18 teams in my K-Grade model (which incorporates vital metrics to determine the best spots for fantasy production). The Hawks allow the eighth-most fantasy points per game to opposing teams and the second-most fantasy points per game to opposing power forwards. It's a dream spot for one of the NBA's top stars - don't think too hard about this.

Also consider: Torrey Craig, Reggie Bullock, Josh Green, John Collins, Brandon Ingram, DeMar DeRozan

 

DraftKings and FanDuel Centers - NBA DFS Lineup Picks

Christian Wood, vs. MEM (FD: $6,000, DK: $5,400) If Irving is inactive

This is an absurdly low price for Wood, assuming we get the news that Kyrie Irving will join Luka Doncic on the sidelines tonight. His 1.43 FPTS/min rate with the two stars off the floor paces the team by a wide margin, and his 28.1% usage rate is nothing to sneeze at, either. The problem for him has been a lack of playing time, as his minutes fluctuate wildly on a nightly basis as he has played third fiddle to Doncic and Irving. He received 26 minutes last game - with Irving active - and put up a solid 26.5 DK point performance. He'll have to take on an even larger role tonight if Irving is out, and if he comes anywhere close to his 1.46 FPTS/min average, he will smash value against the Grizzlies tonight. Memphis has allowed the second-most fantasy points per game to opposing centers over their last seven and 15 games.

Also consider: Jalen Duren, Mark Williams, James Wiseman, Jonas Valanciunas, Deandre Ayton, Nikola Vucevic



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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Griffin Conine

To Have Shoulder Surgery On Tuesday
Luke Keaschall

Twins Prospect Luke Keaschall Suffers Broken Forearm
Logan Gilbert

Leaves Friday's Start With Forearm Tightness

Vikings Select Tai Felton To Finish Day 2

Seahawks Select Quarterback Jalen Milroe With The 92nd Pick Overall

Browns Select Dillon Gabriel 94th Overall

Packers Pick Savion Williams At No. 87 overall

Steelers Snag Kaleb Johnson In Round 3

Broncos Select Wide Receiver Pat Bryant With The 74th Overall Pick

Texans Select Jaylin Noel With 79th Pick

Lions Select Wide Receiver Isaac TeSlaa With The 70th Overall Pick
Jack Leiter

To Start On Sunday

Patriots Add Wide Receiver Kyle Williams In Round 3

Browns Draft Harold Fannin Jr. With 67th Pick
Garrett Mitchell

Makes Early Exit
Luke Keaschall

Removed Early On Friday
Blake Snell

Likely Avoids Major Injury
Cole Ragans

Dealing With Mild Groin Strain

Broncos Add RJ Harvey To Backfield With 60th Pick

Raiders Select Jack Bech With 58th Pick

Chargers Add Wide Receiver Tre Harris In Round 2
Detroit Lions

Lions Acquire 57th Pick From Broncos

Seahawks Draft Elijah Arroyo 50th Overall
Carolina Panthers

Panthers Acquire 51st Pick From Broncos
Arizona Cardinals

Cardinals Snag Will Johnson At No. 47

Jets Add A Pass-Catcher With Mason Taylor At No. 42

Rams Select Terrance Ferguson With 46th Pick
Houston Texans

Texans Acquire 48th Pick From Raiders, Draft Aireontae Ersery

Saints Snag Tyler Shough At No. 40
Brenton Doyle

Out For Personal Reasons On Friday
Brandin Podziemski

Not On Injury Report For Game 3
Jimmy Butler III

Warriors Optimistic About Jimmy Butler III Playing Saturday
Jae'Sean Tate

To Remain Out Saturday
Jock Landale

Unavailable For Game 3
Terry Rozier

Out On Saturday
Jrue Holiday

Ruled Out For Friday Night's Game 3 Against Orlando
Kevin Love

To Miss Saturday's Game
Jaylen Brown

Available For Friday Night's Game 3 Against Magic
Gary Payton II

Iffy For Saturday's Action
Jayson Tatum

Officially Available On Friday For Game 3 Against Magic
Will Smith

Back From Injury On Friday
Luke Kennard

Questionable For Game 4 On Saturday
Darius Garland

Listed As Questionable For Game 3
Ja Morant

To Miss Game 4 On Saturday
Rui Hachimura

Available For Game 3 In Minnesota
Aaron Ekblad

Available To Return Saturday
Erik Swanson

Ryan Burr Progressing
Daulton Varsho

To Return On Tuesday At The Latest
Max Scherzer

Takes Positive Step On Friday
Aleksander Barkov

Questionable For Saturday
Gabriel Landeskog

Set For Larger Role In Game 4
Calvin Pickard

To Start Game 3 For Oilers
Randy Arozarena

Resting For First Time This Year
Jonas Siegenthaler

To Play Limited Minutes In Game 3
MLB

Red Sox-Guardians Game Postponed On Friday
Luke Hughes

Remains Out On Friday
MLB

Tigers-Orioles Postponed On Friday
Patrik Laine

A Game-Time Decision Friday
Yainer Diaz

Out On Friday Against Royals
Iván Herrera

Ivan Herrera Hopes To Start Rehab Assignment Next Week
Salvador Perez

Sitting Out For First Time This Season
Jaylen Brown

Questionable For Game 3 On Friday
Brendan Donovan

Back In Action On Friday
Jimmy Butler III

Could Miss Game 3 On Saturday
Coby Mayo

Getting On A Roll At Triple-A
Carlos Prates

Looks To Remain Undefeated In The UFC
Ian Machado Garry

Set For UFC Kansas City Main Event
Cade Cunningham

Collects Double-Double In Loss
Jalen Brunson

Drops 30 Points In Game 3
Karl-Anthony Towns

Leads All Scorers In Game 3 Victory
Zhang Mingyang

Scheduled For Co-Main Event
Anthony Smith

Set For His Final UFC Bout
David Onama

Set For Featherweight Bout
Giga Chikadze

Looks To Bounce Back
Abus Magomedov

Looks For His Third Consecutive Win
Michel Pereira

Returns To Action At UFC Kansas City
Nicolas Dalby

An Underdog At UFC Kansas City
Randy Brown

A Favorite At UFC Kansas City
Andre Muniz

Set To Open Up UFC Kansas City Main Card
Ikram Aliskerov

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Sergei Bobrovsky

Shuts Out Lightning In Game 2
Cam Fowler

Finishes Thursday's Win With Five Points
Robert Thomas

Posts Four Assists In Game 3 Win
Pavel Buchnevich

Celebrates Hat Trick During Four-Point Performance
Dylan DeMelo

Battling An Illness
Marcus Johansson

Exits Early Thursday
Aleksander Barkov

Hurt In Game 2
Jrue Holiday

Tagged As Questionable For Friday
Jayson Tatum

Likely Out Again On Friday
Anthony Cirelli

Good To Go Thursday
Andrei Vasilevskiy

Looks To Bounce Back In Game 2
Rasmus Ristolainen

To Miss Training Camp
Jonas Siegenthaler

Returns To Practice
Aliaksei Protas

Traveling With Capitals
Gabriel Vilardi

Still Out On Thursday
Max Pacioretty

Set To Join Maple Leafs Lineup For Game 3
Cam Davis

Looking For Better Fortunes At TPC Louisiana
Adam Svensson

Making Third Apperence At Zurich Classic
Max Greyserman

Aiming For Similar Success At TPC Louisiana
Lee Hodges

A High-Upside Player In New Orleans
PGA

Nico Echavarria Looks To Ride Off Of Elite Putting In New Orleans
Gary Woodland

A Player Worth Watching In New Orleans
Max McGreevy

Returns To The Zurich Classic Of New Orleans
Rasmus Hojgaard

In Search Of Consistency Ahead Of Zurich Classic
Sam Stevens

A Boom-Or-Bust Candidate In New Orleans
Nicolai Hojgaard

Looking To Turn Season Around At Zurich Classic
Christiaan Bezuidenhout

Looks To Sway A Hot Putter In Teams Favor At Zurich Classic
Akshay Bhatia

Looking To Bounce Back At TPC Louisiana
Carson Young

Looks To Turn Things Around At TPC Louisiana
Erik Van Rooyen

Looking For Momentum In Louisiana
Andrew Novak

Making Start At TPC Louisiana After Near Miss At Harbour Town
Ben Griffin

Making Third Career Start At Zurich Classic
Taylor Moore

Competing With A New Teammate In New Orleans
Wyndham Clark

Making Return To New Orleans
Kurt Kitayama

Teeing It Up Again In New Orleans
Collin Morikawa

Back At Zurich Classic For Fifth Time
Thomas Detry

Making Third Appearance At New Orleans Team Event
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