👉 TAP TO SAVE 50% WITH CODE SPRING
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


Contact Rate Risers and Fallers - Week 20

Welcome back, RotoBallers! Batting average is just one of many statistics fantasy owners must consider, but contact rate can also be telling of all-around success at the plate. A sudden increase or decrease in contact rate could signal the beginning of an extended hot or cold streak, leading to important waiver wire choices or start/sit decisions for fantasy baseball managers.

Each week we will look at a few players who are rising and falling in terms of contact and compare their previous week's contact rate with their season-long performance.

Here are some of the top contact rate risers and fallers for Week 20 of the fantasy baseball season.

Featured Promo: Save 50% the regular price with discount code SPRING, for a limited time. Exclusive access to our Team Sync platform, DFS cheat sheets, Lineup Optimizers, betting/prop picks, and exclusive content from Nick Mariano and Eric Cross! GAIN ACCESS NOW

 

Contact Rate Risers

Alex Bregman (3B, HOU) - 98% contact rate last seven days (+12%)

Bregman had his 14-game hitting streak snapped on Sunday, followed by another 0-for-4 game. He then picked right back up where he left off on Tuesday by knocking two base hits, including a triple and an RBI. Remarkably, he went 11 straight games without a strikeout and has an 8:3 BB:K in the month of August. This is reminiscent of last year's late-season surge when he hit safely in 13 of 14 games through almost the exact same time frame. Perhaps Bregman is just a second-half player. That would be unfortunate for his keeper value, but at least you can rest assured that he can keep this up through September and make up for some of his disappointing returns in the first half.

Tim Beckham (1B/2B/3B/SS, BAL) - 85% contact rate last seven days (+16%)

If Bregman is hot, then Beckham is a campfire on the sun's surface. In two weeks with Baltimore, Beckham is hitting .500 with four homers, 10 RBI and 16 runs scored. Even throughout this breakout season which he began with Tampa Bay, Beckham hasn't been a model of plate discipline. He strikes out 30% of the time, which hasn't slowed down during his hot streak. That's telling of how well he's hitting the ball every other time at the plate, but beware of a .397 BABIP that will eventually come down to Earth.

Brian Goodwin (OF, WAS) - 88% contact rate last seven days (+11%)

With Bryce Harper hitting the DL, the division-leading Nats now look to Brian Goodwin to carry the offensive load down the stretch. OK, that may be a bit far-fetched, but with the staggering number of injured players from Washington's opening day lineup unavailable, Goodwin is playing a much more prominent role than the team ever imagined. He's been holding his own in the power categories all year (13 HR, 30 RBI in 251 at-bats), but his average has mostly hovered around .240, which kept his ownership rates low. With a .409 average this past week, he's becoming less of a liability in that category as well. Goodwin isn't the sexiest name on the waiver wire compared to some other prospects, but he may outproduce the majority of them to close the season.

Keon Broxton (OF, MIL) - 74% contact rate last seven days (+11%)

Normally this section is reserved for players on the rise, hence the subtitle. Broxton has raised his contact rate 11 points this week, but it still remains several points below the league average. He's hitting .176 in the past week with six K in 17 at-bats. He previously allayed concerns of a low batting average by posting superior walk rates last year in Milwaukee and throughout the minors. That has gone away this year, as his 8.7% BB% isn't helping out his OBP enough to compensate for his .220 average. Until he corrects his ridiculous 37.7% K%, Broxton isn't trustworthy enough to start on a regular basis.

 

Contact Rate Fallers

Francisco Cervelli (C, PIT) -  56% contact rate last seven days (-21%)

There is a good reason for Cervelli's recent struggles. He is day-to-day with a wrist issue that has apparently hampered him for a while. He isn't on the disabled list at the moment, but he is out of the lineup. There should be concern since it's the same hand which Cervelli had surgery on last year for a broken hamate bone. Cervelli isn't worth owning outside of really deep two-catcher leagues anyway. He is batting .249 with five homers and 31 RBI this season.

Lucas Duda (1B, TB)  58% contact rate last seven days (-17%)

Moving to Tampa hasn't done anything to boost Duda's fantasy value. He's jacked three homers in 16 games, but has only four RBI to show for it. Despite a 55-point jump in BABIP, his batting average has actually gone down in the last two weeks while his strikeout rate is up to 33%. You know what you're getting from Duda at this point - homers, mostly of the solo variety, and not much else.

Jonathan Schoop (2B, BAL) - 62% contact rate last seven days (-11%)

Schoop has been residing in the risers category for a while, so it might be shocking to see him as a faller. Then again, regression is inevitable. Thanks to a huge second half performance, Schoop is batting a career-high .303 in spite of a 73% contact rate on the year. While Schoop already has established new high marks in the power categories and is on pace for .300-30-100, he will slow down at some point in September. His average hasn't suffered at all lately, but his low contact rate and high BABIP suggest it will eventually.

Jose Pirela (2B/OF, SD) -  65% contact rate last seven days (-11%)

One of the more surprising players to emerge as a .300 hitter and regular starter, Pirela has finally transferred his minor league success into Major League production. Pirela doesn't have overwhelming power or speed, so he'll need to keep up the average in order to maintain fantasy relevance. He does have 20 doubles to accompany eight homers, so points league owners may find him more appealing. Pirela failed hard in three previous auditions for a big-league roster spot, but he finished with an average over .300 in four of the last stops at Triple-A. He may be sacrificing some contact for power, but his all-fields approach has given him good results so far.

 

More Risers and Fallers




REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Ronald Acuña Jr.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Exits Early, X-Rays Come Back Negative
Jrue Holiday

Wants to Stay in Portland
Ayo Dosunmu

Timberwolves Hope to Bring Back Ayo Dosunmu
Dylan Harper

Considered Questionable for Friday Night
De'Aaron Fox

Listed as Questionable for Game 3
Jalen Williams

Questionable for Game 3 Against Spurs
Alex Tuch

Hopes to Remain in Buffalo
Sidney Crosby

Wants to Play for "as Many Years as Possible"
Troy Terry

Could Miss Start of Next Season Due to Hip Surgery
Arber Xhekaj

Scratched for Game 1 of Eastern Conference Finals
Jakub Dobes

Seeks More Success Against Hurricanes
Frederik Andersen

Looks to Stay Undefeated Thursday
Calvin Ridley

Not Taking Part in OTAs as Value Continues to Plummet
Carnell Tate

Receiving Early Buzz at OTAs
Ashton Jeanty

Bigger Role Could be Coming for Ashton Jeanty in Year 2
Robby Snelling

Will Undergo Tommy John Surgery
Malik Nabers

' Goal is to be Ready for Start of the Season
De'Von Achane

Dealing With Injury at OTAs?
Dalton Kincaid

Says he Feels "Really Good"
Keenan Allen

Door isn't Closed for Keenan Allen in Los Angeles
Ty Simpson

Does Ty Simpson Have First-Round Appeal in Rookie Drafts?
Fernando Mendoza

Working Behind Other QBs
Cam Ward

is "Perfectly Healthy"
James Cook III

Absent From OTA Practices This Week
Darnell Washington

Is it Time to Drop Darnell Washington in Dynasty Leagues?
Fernando Mendoza

a Top Dynasty Target Even if He Doesn't Start Week 1?
Tyreek Hill

Dynasty Outlook Dependent on Landing Spot
Mack Hollins

Should Managers Trade for Mack Hollins Amid Roster Questions?
Michael Wilson

a Prime Dynasty Sell Candidate
Jake Ferguson

Insurance Upside Makes Him a Borderline TE1 in Dynasty
Brock Bowers

One of the Most Valuable Assets in Dynasty
Devin Vassell

Contributes 22 Points in Wednesday's Loss
Mike Gesicki

Still Provides Some Dynasty Insurance as His Standalone Value Fades
Stephon Castle

Tallies Team-High 25 Points in Game 2 Loss
Victor Wembanyama

Records Eighth Postseason Double-Double
Philadelphia Eagles

Nolan Smith Arrested for Speeding and Reckless Driving
Isaiah Hartenstein

Bounces Back With Double-Double
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Leads Thunder to Game 2 Victory WIth 30 Points
Dylan Harper

Exits Game 2 Early Due to Right-Leg Injury
Jalen Williams

Suffers Another Hamstring Injury
Valeri Nichushkin

Ends Scoring Slump in Game 1 Loss
Nathan MacKinnon

Extends Point Streak With an Assist
Brett Howden

Pots Another Goal in Game 1 Win Against Avalanche
Tomas Hertl

Extends Point Streak to Four Games
Pavel Dorofeyev

Scores in Fourth Straight Outing
Carter Hart

Records Third Consecutive Win
Timothy Liljegren

Capitals Re-Sign Timothy Liljegren to Two-Year Extension
Jackson Merrill

Tweaks his Back on Wednesday, Pulled Early
New York Giants

Giants Offense to be a Run-First Unit?
Chicago Bulls

Jerry Stackhouse Emerges as Bulls Head-Coach Candidate
Cooper Flagg

Kon Knueppel Headline All-Rookie Team
De'Aaron Fox

is Ruled Out for Game 2 on Wednesday
Jiri Kulich

Aims to Return Next Season
Jeremy Lauzon

Not Expected to Play Wednesday
Mark Stone

Likely to Remain Out Wednesday
Scott Wedgewood

Starting Western Conference Finals for Avalanche
Sam Malinski

Set to Return Wednesday
Artturi Lehkonen

Expected to Play Wednesday Night
Cale Makar

Will Miss Game 1 Against Golden Knights
CFB

Lincoln Riley Believes USC is Ready for Playoff Run
CFB

Notre Dame-Stanford Rivalry Renewed Through 2028
CFB

Ahmad Hardy Says He's "Back to the Road to Success"
CFB

Texas Tech Graduate Judge Recuses Himself from Brendan Sorsby Case
CFB

UCLA Tackle Jordan Davis Officially Eligible for 2026 Season
CFB

Bret Bielema Supports Significant College Football Playoff Expansion
Michael Thorbjornsen

Brings High Upside to CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Luke List

Carrying Poor Form Into CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Tom Kim

Hoping to Build on Strong Myrtle Beach Finish
PGA

Sungjae Im Brings Upside to TPC Craig Ranch
Billy Horschel

Looking for Turnaround at CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Adam Hadwin

Difficult to Trust at TPC Craig Ranch
Tony Finau

Looking for Consistency at TPC Craig Ranch
Luke Clanton

Searching for Form at CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Aaron Rai

Withdraws From CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Wyndham Clark

Can Wyndham Clark Find Form at CJ Cup?
Si Woo Kim

Looks To Stay Hot at CJ Cup
James Harden

Struggles in Eastern Conference Finals Opener
Evan Mobley

Bags Second Consecutive Double-Double
Donovan Mitchell

Produces Top Two-Way Performance in Game 1 Loss
OG Anunoby

Plays Key Role in Comeback Win
Mikal Bridges

Remains Efficient in Game 1 Against Cavaliers
Karl-Anthony Towns

Extends Double-Double Streak to Four Games
Scottie Scheffler

to Defend CJ Cup Byron Nelson Title This Week
Jordan Spieth

Looking For Victory at TPC Craig Ranch
PGA

Matti Schmid Looks to Keep Recent Momentum Going at TPC Craig Ranch
Brooks Koepka

a High-Upside Play at CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Yandy Díaz

Yandy Diaz Exits Early on Tuesday After Being Hit By Pitch
Chris Kirk

Continues Search For Putting Form at TPC Craig Ranch
Rasmus Hojgaard

Looking to Shake Off Poor Major Showing at TPC Craig Ranch
Joel Dahmen

is of No DFS Consideration This Week in Dallas
Pierceson Coody

is Not The Fun DFS Play He Used to Be
Gerrit Cole

to Make Season Debut on Friday Against Rays
Drake Baldwin

Braves Place Drake Baldwin on Injured List With Oblique Strain
CFB

Ezavier Crowell has Immediate Opportunity at Alabama
CFB

Mark Bowman a Day 1 Impact Player for USC?
CFB

Bill Belichick Says Relationship with First North Carolina Team "Wasn't Great"
CFB

Kemario Taylor a Breakout Candidate at Quarterback
CFB

Trinidad Chambliss the Undisputed Top SEC Quarterback Entering 2026?
CFB

Rocco Becht The "Unifier" of Penn State's Roster
Mattias Samuelsson

Picks Up an Assist in Season-Ending Loss
Jackson Holliday

Orioles Reinstate Jackson Holliday From Injured List on Monday
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Braves Reinstate Ronald Acuna Jr. From Injured List on Monday
Jose Altuve

Astros Put Jose Altuve on Injured List With Oblique Strain
Corey Seager

Going on Injured List With Back Injury
Jeremy Peña

Jeremy Pena Reinstated and Starting on Monday Against Twins
Melquizael Costa

Drops Decision At UFC Vegas 117
Arnold Allen

Bounces Back
Daniel Santos

Suffers Second-Round TKO Loss
MMA

Dohoo Choi Wins His Third Consecutive Fight
Malcolm Wellmaker

Suffers His Second Loss In A Row
Juan Diaz

Scores Second-Round Submission
Christian Edwards

Defeated At UFC Vegas 117
CFB

Transfer Running Back Arnold Barnes Visiting Iowa State on Monday
Modestas Bukauskas

Gets Split-Decision Win
Jhostynxon Garcia

Expected to Join the Pirates on Tuesday
Colt Emerson

Mariners Promoting Top Prospect Colt Emerson to Major Leagues
Munetaka Murakami

Fantastic First Season Continues With Two More Homers
Cristopher Sánchez

Cristopher Sanchez Dazzles With 13-Strikeout Complete Game on Saturday
Blake Snell

to Undergo Elbow Surgery on Tuesday
Clay Holmes

Could Miss Around Three Months
Jose Altuve

Exits After Swing
Corey Seager

Absent With Back Spasms on Saturday
Trevor Story

Hits the Injured List With Groin Injury
Blake Snell

Likely to Need Elbow Surgery
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF