RADIO
The PGA RotoBaller staff digs into their One and Done selections for the Honda Classic. Here are some under the radar plays and picks for this week's event.
Here at RotoBaller, we are always searching for ways to give our readers the best fantasy sports content possible. With that goal in mind, we are very proud to announce the weekly PGA “One and Done” column will be back for a second season. In this feature, our golf staff of Joe Nicely, Spencer Aguiar and Josh Bennett will provide their weekly golf picks every Wednesday. The purpose of this article is to present you with alternative options to consider and hopefully make your selection a much easier process weekly. With that plan in mind, let's get started!
The trainwreck continued for me last week in Mexico (and Puerto Rico), as I burned a big bullet for a measly T48 out of Dustin Johnson. Spencer and Josh fared much better, with Justin Thomas earning over $300k for Spencer and Tommy Fleetwood cashing a respectable $125k check for Josh. Spencer also snuck in a nice little top-10 from Jhonattan Vegas in Puerto Rico, as Josh and I both swung and missed with Alex Noren. It has been a great run for Spencer after a sluggish start to the year and he's now neck and neck with Josh. Let's see who the guys are rolling with at the always-tough Honda Classic!
For an in-depth breakdown of the top DraftKings and FanDuel plays, check out Joe Nicely's weekly Horse For The Course that highlights the best fits for the week's course. And you can also find out who the smart money is on by checking out Spencer Aguiar's PGA DFS: Vegas Report every week. Be sure to also read all of our other top-notch weekly PGA DFS and betting articles to help you win big!
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One and Done Selections
Joe Nicely - Tommy Fleetwood
Alternate - Daniel Berger
The PGA Tour season is almost always a series of peaks and valleys when you play DFS or do OAD contests. I'm definitely down in the valley at the moment, as my attempt to get back on track with Dustin Johnson at the WGC-Mexico Championship fell extremely flat. It was a really disappointing outing from DJ, a two-time winner of the event, and a disaster for my OAD player pool availability going forward.
There's two options when you are struggling in OADs (or DFS), you can start swinging for the fences with out-of-the-box strategies or you can continue to grind down the path that you believe will ultimately lead to success. I'm gonna stay the course this week at the Honda Classic by selecting one of the most consistent golfers in the world. Tommy Fleetwood has yet to notch a victory on the PGA Tour, but he's been in sharp form in 2020, logging a runner-up finish in Abu Dhabi and top-20s in his other two starts. He recorded a T4 in his lone appearance at the Honda in 2018 and I like his chances if the weather becomes a factor this week. - Joe Nicely
Yearly Earnings - $1,398,218
Yearly Cuts Made - 6/8
Spencer Aguiar - Tommy Fleetwood
Alternate - Sungjae Im
It has been a strong run for me in this contest recently, but I can't help but feel as if I have left a ton of cash on the table. Three selections on Sunday have been within the top-five during their back-nine (Justin Thomas 1st, Dustin Johnson 2nd and Paul Casey 4th) but it has been all for naught after each man slipped down the leaderboard late in the event to provide me with an inferior payday.
In my opinion, PGA National is one of the most difficult tournaments to handicap yearly. It only takes one bad hole for your selection to be done for the week, and it should (at least in theory) open up the board for you to attack a little more aggressively if you believe the event could turn into a crapshoot.
With all that being said, I've decided to stick to my guns and play the golfer who I believe is the safest on the board this weekend in Florida. Tommy Fleetwood has made 45 consecutive worldwide cuts, a total that dates back to 2018. There aren't too many natural spots to use the Englishman with him spending the majority of his time over in Europe, and if I am not planning on utilizing him at a WGC, the Players Championship or the Open Championship, we aren't going to get too many better opportunities to deploy the 12th-ranked player in the world. -Spencer Aguiar
Yearly Earnings - $2,240,331
Yearly Cuts Made - 8/8
Josh Bennett - Louis Oosthuizen
Alternate - Billy Horschel
I find that a lot of times myself and many others have their best weeks when they’re the least confident in the players they pick for the week, so I’m banking on this week being one of those good weeks. There is not one player in this field that stands out to me and checks every box I’m looking for, which makes this choice hard, but exciting to see how it plays out. I can’t think of a better person to pick in a sketchy toss-up week than Mr. Sketchy himself: Louis Oosthuizen (credit me with that sick nickname, by the way).
I always look for course history and recent form when making my selections and Oosty happens to check off both of those boxes for the most part. His most recent two tries at this tournament have been top 25 finishes which is very good considering the difficulty of the course, and he’s been playing really well lately too. Aside from one bad round in Mexico, he’s racked up some solid recent finishes on both the PGA tour and the European Tour that includes a whole bunch of rounds in the 60’s and some top five finishes. He’s been competing pretty much everywhere and anywhere around the globe which I like and I think speaks to a piece of his game that will especially stand out this week. Louis statistically stands out with his short game and his putting, and that will be extremely important on this course. A good short game will keep bogey off the scorecard and will keep him in contention even if there aren’t a lot of birdies being made because there’s not a lot of scoring on this course. I had planned to pick someone in good ball-striking form, but I’ll let that slide for this pick knowing Louis will be able to make up for any lack in ball-striking with his short game this weekend, assuming he doesn’t decide to WD before finishing the first round. – Josh Bennett
Yearly Earnings - $2,275,112
Yearly Cuts Made - 7/8
Running Totals
| Joe Nicely | Spencer Aguiar | Josh Bennett | |
| Sony Open | Webb Simpson $455,400 | Abraham Ancer $27,390 | Webb Simpson $455,400 |
| American Express | Sungjae Im $162,475 | Paul Casey $63,399 | Sungjae Im $162,475 |
| Farmers Insurance | Tiger Woods $181,875 | Hideki Matsuyama $22,950 | Jon Rahm $817,500 |
| Waste Management | Jon Rahm $170,768 | Webb Simpson $1,314,000 | Hideki Matsuyama $97,212 |
| Pebble Beach | Jason Day $382,200 | Patrick Cantlay $181,350 | Jason Day $382,200 |
| Genesis Invitational | Bubba Watson $0 | Dustin Johnson $234,825 | Dustin Johnson $234,825 |
| WGC Mexico | Dustin Johnson $45,500 | Justin Thomas $320,667 | Tommy Fleetwood $125,500 |
| Puerto Rico Open | Alex Noren $0 | Jhonattan Vegas $75,750 | Alex Noren $0 |
