X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Fantasy Implications of the Jorge Soler, Wade Davis Trade

By mikelachance816 [CC BY 2.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0)], via Wikimedia Commons

Ed Sutelan takes a look at the Jorge Soler and Wade Davis trade, including whether they are viable 2017 fantasy baseball draft picks, values and sleepers.

On December 7, 2016, the Royals dealt away All-Star closer Wade Davis to the Chicago Cubs in exchange for 24-year-old outfielder Jorge Soler. Most believed the trade to be mutually beneficial for all parties involved as Soler appeared to be headed towards more playing time, Davis was headed to a team with a chance to win a World Series in 2017, the Royals acquired a young outfielder with many years of team control remaining and the Cubs acquired a closer to replace Aroldis Chapman.

Later this offseason the Royals officially dealt away outfielder Jarrod Dyson, leaving right field mostly open for Soler with only Paulo Orlando remaining to challenge him for starting playing time.

This article will examine the fantasy implications for the players involved in the deal and the value of any other players who might've been impacted by the deal.

Editor's note: Be sure to also check out our 2017 fantasy baseball rankings dashboard. It's already loaded up with tons of great rankings articles and draft analysis. Aside from our tiered staff rankings for every position, we also go deep on MLB prospect rankings, impact rookies for 2017, and dynasty/keeper rankings as well. Bookmark the page, and win your drafts.

 

Jorge Soler - 2017 Fantasy Outlook

In Chicago, Soler was blocked in right field by $184 million man Jason Heyward, in left field by Kyle Schwarber, Ben Zobrist, Kris Bryant, Willson Contreras (all of whom are better bats than Soler) and in center field by Albert Almora, Kris Bryant and possibly Jason Heyward depending on which direction the team wants to go in. The point is, the Cubs had a ton of people who can play outfield and it was clear Soler would primarily be used as a utility bat for the club.

Now in Kansas City, the only person to potentially stand in his way is Paulo Orlando, a 31-year-old outfielder who played in 128 games, slashing .302/.329/.405 with a 21.7% strikeout rate, measly 2.7% walk rate, only five home runs and 14 steals to go along with mediocre defensive grades. And in the direction the Royals are heading in, it appears far more likely they will play the much younger, more promising bat of Soler.

Though Soler's .238 average last season left plenty to be desired, most of his other numbers showed promise. He showed improvements in all categories outside of batting average. In 15 fewer games than 2015 and 150 fewer plate appearances, Soler bashed 12 home runs and increased his walk rate from 7.9% to 11.7% and decreased his strikeout rate from 30.0% to 25.0%. His on-base and slugging percentages also saw increases from .324 to .333 in on-base and .399 to .436 in slugging. The key to this success was a more selective approach to the plate, evidenced by his o-swing% going down from 32.8% to 25.5%.

The combination of his improved performance from 2015-2016 with the increase in playing time makes Soler a possible sleeper candidate entering 2017. With a more consistent role on the team, Soler should be expected to continue to increase his production. The only red flag owners should be wary of his the park factor. He is going from the seventh friendliest ballpark for right-handed home runs to the 25th friendliest. All told though, Soler's production can be expected to increase.

 

Wade Davis - 2017 Fantasy Outlook

Davis is one of those relievers where little can happen to drastically impact his value and this trade is one of them. In theory, it should help his value because he is going from a team that will hover around the .500 mark in 2017 to arguably the best on-paper team in baseball and the reigning World Champions, but who really knows. The Cubs won 103 games last season, eight more than any other team in baseball. Yet for all their wins, they only accumulated 38 saves (22nd most in baseball). Now on the bright side, the Cubs did accumulate 23 saves during the second half of the season, coinciding with the arrival of Aroldis Chapman.

On the bright side, owners can expect to receive elite production out of Davis, even if his performance has been declining as of late. Davis' K% has been on a steady decline from 2014 as it has gone from 39.1% to 31.1% to 26.7%. His walk rate has remained relatively consistent as has his home run tendencies in that both are very minimal. His walks did spike up to 9.1% last year, but the key in hitter friendly Wrigley Field is coming the ball out of the air, something Davis has experienced no troubles doing as evidenced by his 33.0% FB rate, down 8.1% from last season and his increased groundball rate from 38.4% in 2015 to 48.6% in 2016. Opponents' contact rates have also taken a dip from 74.7% to 72.8% between the two seasons despite a 1.8% increase in swing rate.

The only real prominent concern is the .8 mph decrease in fastball velocity. At 31 years old and coming off a right forearm strain that cost him a couple weeks during the season, Davis may not be able to bring back that velocity. But for fantasy owners, his production is not likely to plummet off a serious cliff given his history of success. Dynasty owners might want to try and sell him while his value is at his highest, but owners in 2017 redraft leagues should not be too scared away to avoid drafting him.

Who knows how many save opportunities Davis will have, but he will begin the season as the undisputed closer for Chicago. Hector Rondon is not going to challenge him in any way shape or form for the role of closer. Owners should count on 60-70 innings with 30-40 saves, 60-70 punchouts and an ERA around 2.00. Don't expect the trade to drastically alter his fantasy value.

 

Others Not Involved in the Trade

The notable players impacted by this deal are Paulo Orlando and any reliever for the Cubs not named Wade Davis. Had Soler stayed in Chicago, Orlando would've been able to count on a platoon option with Dyson (who likely would not have been traded away) like last year given the age of both players and skillset of both players. But with Soler now in KC, Orlando will be relegated to a bench role. He will have no value in 2017 unless traded away.

As for the relievers in Chicago, it is clear now that no one will have a shot at saves unless Davis is terrible (unlikely) or hurt. Once it was clear Chapman would not be returning, Rondon briefly appeared to be headed towards save chances until Davis came into town. Rondon is still a solid reliever and Carl Edwards Jr. might still have value given his propensity to strike out gaudy amounts of batters, but none will be given any opportunity for saves unless something crazy happens.




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

David Pastrnak

Out for Start of Training Camp
Matthew Tkachuk

Expected to Be Out Until December
NBA

Trevelin Queen Joins Chinese Team
Damian Lillard

Not Rushing His Return
NBA

Keon Johnson Waived by Nets
Justin Verlander

Plans to Pitch in 2026
Junior Caminero

Day-to-Day With Back Tightness
Will Smith

Won't Return When First Eligible
Tyler Soderstrom

Returns to A's Lineup
Tyler Warren

Sidelined on Wednesday with Toe Injury
Jaylen Waddle

Questionable for Week 3 Against Buffalo
Joe Burrow

Bengals Not Closing the Door on Joe Burrow Returning This Year
CFB

LaNorris Sellers to Play Against Missouri?
Kyle Tucker

Progress has "Plateaued"
Isaac Paredes

has "Outside Chance" to Return This Weekend
CFB

Kaidon Salter Expected To Start for Colorado on Saturday
Willson Contreras

Goes on 10-Day Injured List, Done for Season
Justin Fields

Ruled Out for Week 3 Due to Concussion
Jayden Reed

Out Indefinitely After Foot and Shoulder Surgery
Washington Commanders

Preston Smith Signs With Commanders
Trey Jemison III

Joins Knicks on Two-Way Contract
Kevin McCullar Jr.

Signs New Two-Way Deal With Knicks
Matt Ryan

Returns to Knicks on Exhibit 10 Contract
New York Knicks

Alex Len Signs Exhibit 9 Deal With Knicks
Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Expected to Take on Larger Offensive Role With Hawks
Thomas Sorber

Undergoes Surgery
Dominic Canzone

Has Five-Hit, Three-Homer Game Tuesday
Cal Raleigh

Sets Single-Season Home Run Record for a Switch-Hitter
Jayden Reed

Undergoes Clavicle and Foot Surgeries, Out for Foreseeable Future
Bo Bichette

to Miss Rest of Regular Season
Zach Neto

Placed on 10-Day Injured List With Hand Injury
Yordan Alvarez

Out on Tuesday, Dealing With "Significant" Ankle Sprain
Aaron Jones Sr.

Vikings Place Aaron Jones Sr. on Injured Reserve With Hamstring Injury
CFB

Diego Pavia Refutes Report of Seeking Seventh Collegiate Season
Christian Kirk

Expected to Return in Week 3
CFB

Diego Pavia Seeking Another Year of Eligibility
Tarik Skubal

on Track to Start Thursday
CFB

Kevorian Barnes Questionable Against SMU
Bo Bichette

has Short-Term Knee Injury, Could Return for Postseason
Tosan Evbuomwan

Joins Knicks
NBA

Kai Jones Links Up With EuroLeague Team
Bismack Biyombo

Returns to Spurs
Bones Hyland

Rejoins Timberwolves
Kobe Bufkin

Moves to Brooklyn
Trey Yesavage

Sets Franchise Strikeout Record On Monday
Yordan Alvarez

To Receive MRI For Sprained Left Ankle On Tuesday
Willson Contreras

Exits Early Monday With Right-Biceps Tightness
Yordan Alvarez

Exits With Ankle Sprain
Brock Bowers

Officially Active on Monday Night
Jauan Jennings

Day-to-Day With Ankle Injury
Logan O'Hoppe

Activated Off Seven-Day Injured List
CBJ

Denton Mateychuk Dealing With Groin Issue
Bo Horvat

Fine for Training Camp
Kirby Dach

on Track to Be Ready for Opening Night
Jose Altuve

Returns Against Rangers
J.J. McCarthy

Expected to Miss 2-4 Weeks With High-Ankle Sprain
J.J. McCarthy

Likely Out for Week 3 With High-Ankle Sprain
Jean Silva

Gets Finished For The First Time In His Career
Aaron Jones Sr.

Unlikely to Play in Week 3 Due to Hamstring Injury
Diego Lopes

Returns To The Win Column
Jayden Daniels

' Week 3 Status in Doubt
Rob Font

Outclassed In The Noche UFC 3 Co-Main Event
David Martinez

Wins His Second UFC Fight
Jared Gordon

Suffers Brutal TKO Loss At Noche UFC 3
Rafa Garcia

Wins Back-To-Back Fights
Brian Thomas Jr.

Dealing with Wrist Injury
Dustin Stoltzfus

Drops A Decision At Noche UFC 3
Kelvin Gastelum

Gets Back In The Win Column
Diego Ferreira

Suffers Second-Round TKO
Alexander Hernandez

Extends His Win Streak With A Brutal TKO
Quang Le

Suffers First-Round Knockout
Santiago Luna

Shines In His UFC Debut
Christopher Bell

Earns his First Bristol Cup Series Victory
Alex Bowman

Falls Short of Advancing Through Cup Series Playoffs
Chase Briscoe

Collects his Third Top-10 Finish at Bristol
Ryan Blaney

Strong Top-Five Bristol Performance Advances him to the Playoffs
Corey Heim

Earns his First Career Cup Series Top-10 Finish at Bristol
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Leads Greece to Bronze Medal
Alperen Sengün

Alperen Sengun Drops 28 Points in EuroBasket Finals
CFB

Indiana's Lee Beebe Jr. Out for Season with Knee Injury
Dennis Schröder

Dennis Schroder Named EuroBasket MVP
Bryce Eldridge

Giants to Promote Bryce Eldridge
Jaren Jackson Jr.

Progressing in Recovery
Jonathan Kuminga

Receives New Offer From Warriors
Kenneth Walker III

Bounces Back with Big Week 2 Performance
Bijan Robinson

Rushes for 143 Yards in Week 2
Justin Fields

Currently in Concussion Protocol
Cincinnati Bengals

Bengals Calling Around to Available Free-Agent Quarterbacks
Joe Burrow

to Undergo Surgery, Out at Least Three Months
Emil Heineman

Aiming to Take the "Next Step" This Season
Braeden Cootes

Good to Go for Camp
Ivan Fedotov

Blue Jackets Acquire Ivan Fedotov From Flyers
Quentin Grimes

Still Not Close to a New Contract Agreement
Joel Embiid

"Looking Slender, Spry and in Positive Spirits"
Ty Gibbs

Has Arguably his Best Career Drive, but Only Finishes 10th
Chase Elliott

Despite Crashing Out at Bristol, Chase Elliott Advances to Round of 12
Austin Dillon

Misses Round of 12 After Extremely Mediocre Bristol Run
Shane Van Gisbergen

Shane van Gisbergen Fails to Advance to Round of 12
Josh Berry

Finishes Last in All Three Round of 16 Races to Fail to Advance
CFB

Ryan Williams Explodes In Return To Field
CFB

Drew Allar Plays Mediocre Game In Blowout Win
CFB

LaNorris Sellers Exits Game In Blowout Loss
CFB

DJ Lagway Tosses Five Interceptions In Loss
CFB

Garrett Nussmeier Plays Game Manager in Saturday's Win
CFB

CJ Carr Remains Poised In Narrow Loss
CFB

John Mateer Leads Oklahoma In Rout
CFB

Arch Manning Struggles Against UTEP
CFB

Jeremiah Smith Impresses In Win
CFB

Sam Leavitt Shines As Arizona State Rebounds From Week 2 Loss
Ivan Demidov

Turning Heads in Rookie Camp
NHL

Calvin de Haan Signs With Swedish Team
Samuel Girard

Skates With Non-Contact Jersey
Mackenzie Blackwood

Dealing With Injury Ahead of Training Camp
Spencer Knight

Signs Three-Year Extension With Blackhawks
Chris Buescher

May have Another Solid Run at Bristol
Corey Perry

Out 6-8 Weeks Following Surgery
Kyle Busch

Should DFS Managers Roster Kyle Busch at Bristol?
Ricky Stenhouse Jr

Is Ricky Stenhouse Jr. Too Risky to Consider Rostering at Bristol?
Michael McDowell

Could be A Solid Value Option For Bristol DFS Lineups
Chase Elliott

Probably Won't Factor in for Bristol Win
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Not as Strong at Bristol as Other Short Tracks
Alex Bowman

Needs to Win to Make Round of 12
Ross Chastain

has Never Led at Bristol but Has Been Pretty Consistent
Austin Dillon

Richmond Speed Unlikely to Carry Over to Bristol
Josh Berry

Might Run Well at Bristol, but Almost Certainly Won't Win to Advance
Justin Haley

Bristol One of Justin Haley's Few Recent Bright Spots
CFB

Austin Simmons Listed As Game-Time Decision Against Arkansas
CFB

Nico Iamaleava Struggles In Fourth Straight Loss
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

Dealing With a "Tweak"
BUF

Alexandar Georgiev Joins Sabres on One-Year Deal
Corey Perry

Injured During Pre-Camp Skate
CFB

Antonio Williams Out Against Georgia Tech
CFB

CJ Bailey Flashes Again in Win Over Wake Forest
CFB

Jaxson Moi a Game-Time Decision for Tennessee on Saturday
Jean Silva

A Favorite At Noche UFC 3
Diego Lopes

Set For Noche UFC 3 Main Event
Rob Font

Looks For His Third Consecutive Win
David Martinez

Set For Noche UFC 3 Co-Main Event
Rafa Garcia

An Underdog At Noche UFC 3
Jared Gordon

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Dustin Stoltzfus

Looks To Return To The Win Column
Kelvin Gastelum

In Dire Need Of Victory
Diego Ferreira

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP