🖥 TAP TO SAVE 50% WITH CODE THANKS
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Fantasy Implications of the Jorge Soler, Wade Davis Trade

By mikelachance816 [CC BY 2.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0)], via Wikimedia Commons

Ed Sutelan takes a look at the Jorge Soler and Wade Davis trade, including whether they are viable 2017 fantasy baseball draft picks, values and sleepers.

On December 7, 2016, the Royals dealt away All-Star closer Wade Davis to the Chicago Cubs in exchange for 24-year-old outfielder Jorge Soler. Most believed the trade to be mutually beneficial for all parties involved as Soler appeared to be headed towards more playing time, Davis was headed to a team with a chance to win a World Series in 2017, the Royals acquired a young outfielder with many years of team control remaining and the Cubs acquired a closer to replace Aroldis Chapman.

Later this offseason the Royals officially dealt away outfielder Jarrod Dyson, leaving right field mostly open for Soler with only Paulo Orlando remaining to challenge him for starting playing time.

This article will examine the fantasy implications for the players involved in the deal and the value of any other players who might've been impacted by the deal.

Editor's note: Be sure to also check out our 2017 fantasy baseball rankings dashboard. It's already loaded up with tons of great rankings articles and draft analysis. Aside from our tiered staff rankings for every position, we also go deep on MLB prospect rankings, impact rookies for 2017, and dynasty/keeper rankings as well. Bookmark the page, and win your drafts.

 

Jorge Soler - 2017 Fantasy Outlook

In Chicago, Soler was blocked in right field by $184 million man Jason Heyward, in left field by Kyle Schwarber, Ben Zobrist, Kris Bryant, Willson Contreras (all of whom are better bats than Soler) and in center field by Albert Almora, Kris Bryant and possibly Jason Heyward depending on which direction the team wants to go in. The point is, the Cubs had a ton of people who can play outfield and it was clear Soler would primarily be used as a utility bat for the club.

Now in Kansas City, the only person to potentially stand in his way is Paulo Orlando, a 31-year-old outfielder who played in 128 games, slashing .302/.329/.405 with a 21.7% strikeout rate, measly 2.7% walk rate, only five home runs and 14 steals to go along with mediocre defensive grades. And in the direction the Royals are heading in, it appears far more likely they will play the much younger, more promising bat of Soler.

Though Soler's .238 average last season left plenty to be desired, most of his other numbers showed promise. He showed improvements in all categories outside of batting average. In 15 fewer games than 2015 and 150 fewer plate appearances, Soler bashed 12 home runs and increased his walk rate from 7.9% to 11.7% and decreased his strikeout rate from 30.0% to 25.0%. His on-base and slugging percentages also saw increases from .324 to .333 in on-base and .399 to .436 in slugging. The key to this success was a more selective approach to the plate, evidenced by his o-swing% going down from 32.8% to 25.5%.

The combination of his improved performance from 2015-2016 with the increase in playing time makes Soler a possible sleeper candidate entering 2017. With a more consistent role on the team, Soler should be expected to continue to increase his production. The only red flag owners should be wary of his the park factor. He is going from the seventh friendliest ballpark for right-handed home runs to the 25th friendliest. All told though, Soler's production can be expected to increase.

 

Wade Davis - 2017 Fantasy Outlook

Davis is one of those relievers where little can happen to drastically impact his value and this trade is one of them. In theory, it should help his value because he is going from a team that will hover around the .500 mark in 2017 to arguably the best on-paper team in baseball and the reigning World Champions, but who really knows. The Cubs won 103 games last season, eight more than any other team in baseball. Yet for all their wins, they only accumulated 38 saves (22nd most in baseball). Now on the bright side, the Cubs did accumulate 23 saves during the second half of the season, coinciding with the arrival of Aroldis Chapman.

On the bright side, owners can expect to receive elite production out of Davis, even if his performance has been declining as of late. Davis' K% has been on a steady decline from 2014 as it has gone from 39.1% to 31.1% to 26.7%. His walk rate has remained relatively consistent as has his home run tendencies in that both are very minimal. His walks did spike up to 9.1% last year, but the key in hitter friendly Wrigley Field is coming the ball out of the air, something Davis has experienced no troubles doing as evidenced by his 33.0% FB rate, down 8.1% from last season and his increased groundball rate from 38.4% in 2015 to 48.6% in 2016. Opponents' contact rates have also taken a dip from 74.7% to 72.8% between the two seasons despite a 1.8% increase in swing rate.

The only real prominent concern is the .8 mph decrease in fastball velocity. At 31 years old and coming off a right forearm strain that cost him a couple weeks during the season, Davis may not be able to bring back that velocity. But for fantasy owners, his production is not likely to plummet off a serious cliff given his history of success. Dynasty owners might want to try and sell him while his value is at his highest, but owners in 2017 redraft leagues should not be too scared away to avoid drafting him.

Who knows how many save opportunities Davis will have, but he will begin the season as the undisputed closer for Chicago. Hector Rondon is not going to challenge him in any way shape or form for the role of closer. Owners should count on 60-70 innings with 30-40 saves, 60-70 punchouts and an ERA around 2.00. Don't expect the trade to drastically alter his fantasy value.

 

Others Not Involved in the Trade

The notable players impacted by this deal are Paulo Orlando and any reliever for the Cubs not named Wade Davis. Had Soler stayed in Chicago, Orlando would've been able to count on a platoon option with Dyson (who likely would not have been traded away) like last year given the age of both players and skillset of both players. But with Soler now in KC, Orlando will be relegated to a bench role. He will have no value in 2017 unless traded away.

As for the relievers in Chicago, it is clear now that no one will have a shot at saves unless Davis is terrible (unlikely) or hurt. Once it was clear Chapman would not be returning, Rondon briefly appeared to be headed towards save chances until Davis came into town. Rondon is still a solid reliever and Carl Edwards Jr. might still have value given his propensity to strike out gaudy amounts of batters, but none will be given any opportunity for saves unless something crazy happens.




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Devin Booker

Won't Play Against OKC
Jordan Poole

Considered Questionable for Thursday
Maxi Kleber

Sidelined for Wednesday's Matchup With Spurs
Dakota Mermis

to Miss a Month
Jake Evans

to Miss Thursday's Matchup
Elias Pettersson

Unlikely to Play Thursday
Min Woo Lee

Breaks Through to Win in Texas This Year
Nick Bjugstad

to Miss at Least Three Games
PGA

Alex Noren Wins Twice on European Tour This Year
Connor Hellebuyck

Returns to Practice
Pelle Larsson

Sidelined at Least One Week
John Carlson

Could Return Thursday
Andrei Kuzmenko

Sits as Healthy Scratch Wednesday
Wyndham Clark

has Up-and-Down 2025 Golf Season
CFB

Michigan Fires Head Coach Sherrone Moore
Dereck Lively II

to Undergo Season-Ending Foot Surgery
Corey Conners

Comes Close to Winning Again in Very Good 2025
Justin Rose

Turns Back the Clock in 2025
Mike Evans

Officially Questionable for Thursday Night Game
Geno Smith

Unlikely to Play in Week 15
CFB

Jim Knowles Expected to be Hired as Tennessee's Defensive Coordinator
Tyrone Tracy Jr.

"Good to Go" for Week 15
Harris English

Enjoys Solid Finish at Hero World Challenge
CeeDee Lamb

has "One or Two" Things Left to the Clear Concussion Protocol
Jayden Daniels

Commanders Not Shutting Down Jayden Daniels for the Year
CFB

Defensive Coordinator Jim Knowles Not Being Retained at Penn State
CFB

Indiana's Stephen Daley Done for Season After Post-Game Injury
Kyle Pitts Sr.

Carries Momentum and a Questionable Tag into TNF
Drake London

Won't Play on Thursday Night
Tyrone Tracy Jr.

Practicing Coming Out of the Bye Week
Garrett Wilson

Practice Window Still Hasn't Opened
Breece Hall

Out on Wednesday With Knee Soreness
Pete Alonso

Orioles Finalizing Five-Year Deal
Jayden Daniels

Ruled Out for Week 15
Cade Otton

Considered Doubtful for Thursday Night
Trey Benson

Will Not Be Activated in Week 15, Will Not Return in 2025
Mike Evans

has "Shown Everything he Needed to Show" to Return in Week 15
Nick Bjugstad

Injured Tuesday
Zach Ertz

Officially Placed on Injured Reserve
Frank Vatrano

Makes Early Exit Against Penguins
Colten Ellis

Enters Concussion Protocol
George Pickens

Cowboys Not Worried About George Pickens' Effort Level
Scott Wedgewood

Hurt During Shootout
Victor Hedman

Suffers New Injury Blow
Bobby McMann

Suspended for One Game
Jordan McLaughlin

Listed as Questionable for Wednesday
Maxi Kleber

Questionable Wednesday
Marcus Smart

Ready to Face Spurs Wednesday
Luguentz Dort

Returns From Three-Game Absence Wednesday
Alex Caruso

Set to Return Wednesday
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Available Wednesday
Isaiah Joe

Out for Third Consecutive Game
Isaiah Hartenstein

Not Ready to Return Wednesday
Devin Booker

Listed as Questionable for Wednesday
Victor Wembanyama

Remains Out Wednesday
Kyle Finnegan

Tigers, Kyle Finnegan Agree on Two-Year Deal
Bo Bichette

Red Sox Out on Bo Bichette For Now
Karl-Anthony Towns

Back in Action Against Toronto
Philip Rivers

has a "Very Real Chance" to Start in Week 15
Jason Zucker

Added to Injured Reserve
David Pastrnak

Set to Return Tuesday
Scott Wedgewood

Back Between the Pipes Tuesday
Evgeni Malkin

Lands on Injured Reserve
Jamal Shead

Available on Tuesday, Entering the Starting Lineup
Jordan Kyrou

Out Week-to-Week
Immanuel Quickley

Ruled Out on Tuesday Night
Thomas Harley

Returns to Stars Lineup Tuesday
Martin Necas

a Game-Time Call Tuesday
Jean-Gabriel Pageau

Available Tuesday
Philadelphia Phillies

Phillies Extend Manager Rob Thomson Through 2027 Season
Paolo Banchero

Remaining on a Minutes Limit Tuesday
Michael King

the Mets' Top Rotation Target?
Dru Smith

Will Be Available Tuesday
Pelle Larsson

Will Be Available Against Orlando
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Could Move Back to Leadoff Spot
CFB

Florida, Wisconsin Among Suitors for QB Transfer Kenny Minchey
DK Metcalf

"Moving in the Right Direction" for Week 15
CFB

Bryan Harsin, Justin Wilcox Candidates for Washington State Head Coach Job?
Edwin Díaz

Edwin Diaz Agrees to Deal With the Dodgers
Kyle Schwarber

Returning to Phillies on Five-Year Deal
Riley Leonard

Diagnosed With Grade 1 PCL Sprain
CFB

Ole Miss Hiring John David Baker as Offensive Coordinator
CFB

Ty Howle the Top Target for Virginia Tech Offensive Coordinator Job
A.J. Brown

Continues Dominant Stretch With 100 Yards in Monday Night Loss
Saquon Barkley

Rips Off Long Touchdown Run in Monday Night Loss
Shohei Ohtani

to be Used More as Traditional Starting Pitcher Next Year
Yordan Alvarez

to Become Full-Time DH in 2026?
Mason Miller

Padres Plan to Keep Mason Miller in the Bullpen
Ranger Suárez

Orioles Interested in Signing Ranger Suarez
Anthony Volpe

Yankees Don't Expect Anthony Volpe to be Ready in April
Gerrit Cole

Targeting a Return in May/June
CFB

Heisman Trophy Finalists Announced on Monday
CFB

Anthony Hill Jr. Declaring for 2026 NFL Draft
CFB

Ryan Walters a Candidate for Tennessee Defensive Coordinator Job?
Rory McIlroy

Ends 2025 as the Year's Most Unburdened Player
Aaron Rai

Needs to Figure Out Putting Woes This Offseason
Jordan Spieth

Plays Better on Paper in 2025 Than Results Show
PGA

Chris Gotterup Needs to Find Better Touch and Consistency This Offseason
Hideki Matsuyama

Ends 2025 Season With a Bookend Victory
CFB

Tennessee Fires Defensive Coordinator Tim Banks
Scottie Scheffler

Comes Up Just Shy of Hero World Challenge Victory
Merab Dvalishvili

Drops A Decision At UFC 323
Petr Yan

Reclaims Bantamweight Title
Alexandre Pantoja

Era Ends With Gruesome Injury
Joshua Van

Becomes Second-Youngest UFC Champion
Brandon Moreno

Suffers His First TKO Loss
Brandon Moreno

Tatsuro Taira Becomes First Fighter To Finish Brandon Moreno
Henry Cejudo

Payton Talbott Retires Henry Cejudo
Henry Cejudo

Retires After UFC 323 Loss
Jan Blachowicz

Bogdan Guskov Vs. Jan Blachowicz Ends In A Majority Draw
Jan Blachowicz

And Bogdan Guskov Fight To Majority Draw
CFB

Texas RB CJ Baxter Entering Transfer Portal
San Francisco Giants

Jeff Kent Elected to Baseball Hall of Fame
Ketel Marte

Red Sox Interested in Trading for Ketel Marte
Kyle Schwarber

Pirates Make Four-Year Offer to Kyle Schwarber
CFB

Mississippi State, Rice Accept Bowl Bids as 5-7 Teams
CFB

Auburn, Florida State, Baylor Among Teams to Decline Bowl Bids
CFB

Rob Aurich Set to Become Nebraska's Defensive Coordinator
CFB

Notre Dame Opting Out of Postseason Amid College Football Playoff Exclusion
CFB

Kendal Briles a Candidate for South Carolina Offensive Coordinator Job
CFB

James Madison Playoff-Bound After Duke Wins ACC Title?
CFB

Notre Dame, Miami, Alabama on College Football Playoff Bubble
CFB

Brent Pry Could Return to Virginia Tech as Defensive Coordinator
Jose A. Ferrer

Mariners Acquire Jose A. Ferrer from the Nationals
Harry Ford

Traded to the Nationals
Cody Bellinger

Drawing Interest From the Phillies
MacKenzie Gore

Will the Nationals Trade MacKenzie Gore?
Petr Yan

Looks To Reclaim Bantamweight Belt
Merab Dvalishvili

Set For His Fourth Title Defense
Joshua Van

Can Become The New Flyweight Champion
Alexandre Pantoja

Set For Fifth Title Defense At UFC 323
Tatsuro Taira

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Brandon Moreno

Searches For His Third Win In A Row
Payton Talbott

A Favorite At UFC 323
Henry Cejudo

Set For His Retirement Fight
Jan Blachowicz

Set To Open Up UFC 323 Main Card
Bogdan Guskov

Looks To Extend His Win Streak

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP