X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Stats & Leaders
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
24x7 News and Alerts

Brock Purdy - 2023 Fantasy Football Breakout Candidate

Brock Purdy - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

In Brock Purdy's five regular season starts last season, he finished as a top-12 quarterback three times. The final pick of the 2022 NFL Draft surprisingly emerged as a top-tier superflex QB and a borderline QB1, even in single quarterback leagues.

He also became one of the most debated quarterbacks on fantasy Twitter (or X) – and remains so to this day. Purdy's fans joke about him being the GOAT. (He did defeat the old GOAT in Brady's hometown in his first-ever start.) Purdy's detractors say he got lucky and that anyone – even Sam Darnoldcould look good in the Kyle Shanahan offense.

The latter point is mostly irrelevant when it comes to fantasy football. If Shanahan makes his offense easy and accessible for quarterbacks, that's a good thing for Purdy's production in 2023. Will Brock Purdy be a 2023 breakout? Will he be even better than he was in 2022? Let's take a look.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy football rankings for 2024:

 

Brock Purdy's Storybook 2022 Season

In 2022, Purdy stepped in for Jimmy Garoppolo, who hurt his foot in Week 13. He threw for 210 yards, two touchdowns, and an interception as the 49ers beat the Dolphins 33-17. I remember that week. I was in Cincinnati watching the Bengals beat the Chiefs, and I was disappointed I was going to miss that game.

At the time, the 49ers had not yet become a top-tier contender in the public's eyes. Pro Football Network ranked them #10 in their pre-Week 13 power rankings. When I saw the news that Jimmy G went down, I assumed the Niners would lose and stumble to the finish line. Instead, the score kept flashing across the jumbotron, with San Fran expanding its lead.

The next morning, I was sitting at the bar of a cafe when a 49ers fan sat down next to me. I asked him if Brock Purdy would lead the 49ers to a Super Bowl. He sadly shook his head. But Purdy almost did. He finished the season with a 67.1% completion percentage, 1,374 yards, 13 touchdown passes, and four interceptions in basically six games. His passing quality was getting better each game, too.

Pro Football Reference tracks "bad throws." In Week 12, Purdy threw five poor passes, 13.9% of his attempts. He let loose about the same number of bad passes in his next two games, but then in Week 16, he only threw one bad throw, a rate of 4.8%. In Week 18, he didn't throw any bad passes.

PFF's graders arrived at the same conclusion. His passing grade improved from 58.9 against Miami in Week 12 to 76.2 against Arizona in Week 18. In Weeks 14 and 15, his passing grade was in the 60s, but in the final three games of the regular season, it was in the 70s. Even when the competition got tougher in the playoffs, Purdy achieved a 70.3 passing grade against Dallas, and PFF's graders said he didn't throw a single "turnover-worthy" pass from Week 18 through the conference championship. (Somehow, that pass up the middle into Anthony Barr's arms and through Trevon Diggs' hands wasn't "turnover-worthy." So the numbers might not be perfect.

Unfortunately, Purdy joined Trey Lance and Jimmy Garoppolo on the sidelines when he tore his ulnar collateral ligament in the NFC Championship Game. He had to come out only to go back in when San Fran QB4 Josh Johnson left the game with a concussion, and the 49ers didn't have a QB5 to turn to. My friend at the cafe in Cincinnati was ultimately right.

 

Brock Purdy From a Fantasy Football Perspective

If you extrapolate Purdy's numbers over 17 games, he would have thrown for 3,893 yards, 36 touchdowns, and 8.5 interceptions. He would have ranked No. 9 for passing yards and No. 2 for passing touchdowns.

That level of production was better than what Garoppolo was doing in the same offense and also better than all but one rookie quarterback since 2016. The only quarterback to have had a better rookie season than Purdy? The guy he beat in the Divisional Round of the playoffs -- Dak Prescott.

Each of the other top-four quarterbacks on this list has had extremely productive fantasy seasons. But if you look deeper in the top ten, you see some who washed out (Wentz, Mayfield) or have yet to prove themselves (Jones, Pickett).

It is irrelevant whether Purdy's production was a result of the Shanahan system or reflects his decision-making and ability to make plays under pressure. If Shanahan can engineer production for Purdy, then he'll put up fantasy points in 2023 while under center. Dynasty managers might be right to devalue Purdy if he's a product of the system because his value could tank if he leaves San Francisco, and the team might not prioritize resigning him if either Shanahan is eventually fired or they think they can just do the same thing with another, cheaper quarterback.

The only thing that matters for redraft, however, is whether Purdy will be healthy and whether he can repeat his 2023 prowess.

 

Brock Purdy's Injury Status

Niners coaches have said all along that Purdy is the starter as long as he is healthy. Now it looks like he is healthy. Purdy played in the 49ers' second preseason game against the Broncos and completed 4-of-5 passes for 65 yards.

He didn't look limited at all. He even took a run towards the goalline and popped up A-OK. Everything is lining up for him to start Week 1.

All looks good now, but research has shown that UCL injuries may be more likely to occur in people who already suffered from one. There is no way to predict whether Purdy might suffer that fate in Week 2 or Week 12. But there's an inherent injury risk with anyone in football. Quarterbacks with much higher ADPs, like Lamar Jackson and Tua Tagovailoa, have even more injury risk than Purdy at this point.

 

Brock Purdy's 2023 Breakout Potential

What defines a breakout? Is it sustained success over a full season after showing flashes the year before? Is it improving from good to great? Already Purdy has shown he can play very well, but skeptics question whether he can keep it up. Maybe Purdy's rookie season was an outlier. He will fall back down to earth as an average-at-best signal caller.

Maybe Purdy benefited from teams having no ability to scout him. Unknown quarterbacks come out of nowhere a couple of times a year when opponents don't know what to expect. Usually, they get figured out if they aren't so good and crash down to earth before eight weeks as a starter.

I think Purdy has a good chance to maintain a high level of production, similar to what he did last season. The 49ers still have one of the most dynamic offenses, with Brandon Aiyuk, Deebo Samuel, George Kittle, and Christian McCaffrey catching passes from Purdy. Their offensive line, anchored by Trent Williams at left tackle and three young guys in the middle (Aaron Banks, Jake Brendel, and Spencer Burford) who were all first-year starters last season and now have a whole year of experience under their belts, is still one of the top ten or so despite the loss of right guard Mike McGlinchey.

Yet Purdy is going on average as the QB22, behind Kenny Pickett and Jordan Love in National Fantasy Football Championship drafts. Even the positive news about Purdy's health hardly boosted his ADP: he rose only a handful of spots since June.

QB22 is too low for the 49ers' starting quarterback. Yes, Brock Purdy should be discounted somewhat because of the potential for regression. but there are a lot of other quarterbacks in front of him who have bigger problems that call for discounts. If you can get Purdy beyond round 12, he should be a steal as a QB2.



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy football app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, rankings, starts/sits & more. All free!




Win More With RotoBaller

Be sure to also check out all of our other daily fantasy football articles and analysis to help you set those winning lineups, including this new RotoBaller YouTube video:




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Stats & Leaders
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Grayson Allen4 hours ago

Ruled Out Versus Kings
D'Angelo Russell4 hours ago

Suiting Up On Wednesday
Bradley Beal5 hours ago

Unavailable Wednesday
DK Metcalf6 hours ago

Puts In Full Practice On Wednesday
Henrik Norlander6 hours ago

Needs Strong Showing At Butterfield Bermuda Championship
Michael Kim6 hours ago

Playing Well Down The Stretch
Nick Taylor6 hours ago

Returns To Butterfield Bermuda Championship
Jhonattan Vegas6 hours ago

Playing Well Heading To Butterfield Bermuda Championship
Matthias Schmid6 hours ago

Looks To Bounce Back At Butterfield Bermuda Championship
Patrick Rodgers7 hours ago

Heads To Butterfield Bermuda Championship
Mackenzie Hughes7 hours ago

Debuts At Butterfield Bermuda Championship
Maverick McNealy7 hours ago

Seeking Back-To-Back Top-10 Finishes In Bermuda
Lucas Glover7 hours ago

In A Groove Ahead Of Bermuda Championship
Andrew Putnam7 hours ago

A Player To Watch In Bermuda
PGA7 hours ago

Nico Echavarria In Top Form Heading To Bermuda
Jusuf Nurkic7 hours ago

Back On Wednesday Night
Anfernee Simons7 hours ago

Won't Suit Up Against The Timberwolves
Robert Williams III7 hours ago

Resting In Rematch With Minnesota
Deandre Ayton7 hours ago

Out Again On Wednesday
Andre Drummond8 hours ago

Out Sick On Wednesday
Paul George8 hours ago

Won't Play Versus Cleveland
Joel Embiid8 hours ago

Sitting On Wednesday
Tage Thompson8 hours ago

Labeled As Day-To-Day
Mattias Samuelsson8 hours ago

Out Indefinitely
Gabriel Landeskog8 hours ago

Remains Without A Timeline
Jonas Brodin8 hours ago

Considered Questionable For Thursday
Tank Bigsby8 hours ago

Listed As DNP On Wednesday
Andre Drummond8 hours ago

Listed As Questionable On Wednesday
Tyreek Hill8 hours ago

Misses Wednesday's Practice
Hampus Lindholm8 hours ago

Expected To Miss "Weeks"
Jani Hakanpaa9 hours ago

Available On Wednesday
Tee Higgins9 hours ago

Officially Limited On Wednesday
Marcus Smart9 hours ago

Set To Play Wednesday
Seth Jarvis9 hours ago

Set To Miss A Second Consecutive Game
Michael Pittman Jr.9 hours ago

Practicing In Full
Brian Thomas Jr.9 hours ago

Limited On Wednesday
Josh Jacobs9 hours ago

Limited During Wednesday's Practice
Mike Conley9 hours ago

Resting Wednesday Versus Portland
Kirk Cousins9 hours ago

Limited On Wednesday
Najee Harris9 hours ago

Does Not Practice On Wednesday
Christian McCaffrey10 hours ago

Limited On Wednesday
George Kittle10 hours ago

Not Practicing On Wednesday
Brian Robinson Jr.10 hours ago

Off The Injury Report
DK Metcalf10 hours ago

To Be Limited In Wednesday's Practice
Sam LaPorta11 hours ago

Misses Practice, Remains Day-To-Day
J.J. McCarthy11 hours ago

Undergoes Second Knee Surgery
Gardner Minshew II12 hours ago

Will Start In Week 11
Tee Higgins12 hours ago

Won't Practice But Bengals Encouraged With His Progress
Isiah Pacheco13 hours ago

Unlikely To Return In Week 11
Younghoe Koo13 hours ago

Falcons Sticking With Younghoe Koo As Their Kicker
Dalton Kincaid13 hours ago

No Practice For Dalton Kincaid On Wednesday
Amari Cooper13 hours ago

To Be Limited On Wednesday
Nick Hardy16 hours ago

Looks To Find Consistency On The Greens In Bermuda
Carson Young16 hours ago

Hopes To Carry Recent Form To Bermuda
Brandon Clarke17 hours ago

Questionable For Wednesday's Action
Kevin Yu17 hours ago

A Name To Watch At Butterfield Bermuda Championship
Marcus Smart17 hours ago

Picks Up Questionable Tag Ahead Of Wednesday
Fred VanVleet17 hours ago

Tagged As Questionable For Wednesday
Steven Adams17 hours ago

Questionable For Meeting With Clippers
Dorian Finney-Smith17 hours ago

In Danger Of Missing Another Game
Obi Toppin18 hours ago

Questionable For Wednesday Night
Anthony Davis18 hours ago

Expected To Play Wednesday
Connor McDavid18 hours ago

Leads Oilers To Victory With Four-Point Effort
Neal Pionk18 hours ago

Records Three Assists In Historic Win
Linus Ullmark18 hours ago

Records First Shutout As Senator
Hampus Lindholm18 hours ago

Taken Out By A Lower-Body Injury
Sam Bennett18 hours ago

Battling An Upper-Body Injury
Lars Eller18 hours ago

Returns To Washington
Shohei Ohtani1 day ago

Among NL Silver Slugger Winners
Aaron Judge1 day ago

Headlines AL Silver Slugger Winners
Jose Alvarado1 day ago

Out Against OKC
Dante Fabbro1 day ago

Makes Blue Jackets Debut Tuesday
Wander Franco1 day ago

Now Facing Weapons Charges
Spencer Knight1 day ago

Set To Face Devils Tuesday
Travis d'Arnaud1 day ago

Agrees On Two-Year Deal With Angels
Logan Stanley1 day ago

Added To Injured Reserve
Philipp Grubauer1 day ago

Remains Out On Tuesday
Shane Pinto1 day ago

Returns To Senators Lineup
Cam Fowler1 day ago

Placed On Injured Reserve
Robby Fabbri1 day ago

Lands On Injured Reserve
Brendon Todd1 day ago

A Hard Sell At Butterfield Bermuda Championship
Greyson Sigg1 day ago

May Surprise In Bermuda
Jacob Bridgeman1 day ago

In For Adventure At Port Royal Golf Course
Mark Hubbard1 day ago

Plays Solid In Bermuda
Andrew Novak1 day ago

Tries To Build Off ZOZO Championship
Daniel Berger1 day ago

Looks To Continue His Consistent Run At Port Royal Golf Course
Justin Lower1 day ago

Looks To Continue His Hot Play At Butterfield Bermuda Championship
1 day ago

Blue Jays, Red Sox To Meet With Juan Soto
Dustin Wolf2 days ago

Cools Off Kings Monday
Jasson Domínguez2 days ago

Yankees Expect Jasson Dominguez To Have A Big Role In 2025
Carlos Correa2 days ago

Progressing
Carlos Prates3 days ago

Gets Higlight-Reel Knockout Win At UFC Vegas 100
Neil Magny3 days ago

Gets Knocked Out At UFC Vegas 100
Cortavious Romious3 days ago

Drops Decision At UFC Vegas 100
Gaston Bolaños3 days ago

Gaston Bolanos Wins Back-To-Back Fights
Joey Logano3 days ago

Holds On At Phoenix To Win His Third Cup Series Championship
Los Angeles Dodgers3 days ago

Dodgers Considered Favorites For Roki Sasaki
Ryan Blaney3 days ago

Falls Short Of The 2024 Cup Series Title At Phoenix
Dusko Todorovic3 days ago

Gets TKO'd At UFC Vegas 100
Wander Franco3 days ago

Arrested On Monday After Altercation
Tyler Reddick3 days ago

Lacks Speed Of Other Championship 4 Contenders But Drives Well
William Byron3 days ago

Finishes Third In Phoenix Race And Championship
Miami Marlins3 days ago

Marlins Hire Clayton McCullough As New Skipper
Mansur Abdul-Malik3 days ago

Gets First-Round Finish At UFC Vegas 100
Luana Pinheiro3 days ago

Falls Short At UFC Vegas 100
Gillian Robertson3 days ago

Extends Win Streak At UFC Vegas 100
Gerald Meerschaert3 days ago

Gets Finished At UFC Vegas 100
MMA3 days ago

Reinier de Ridder Gets Submission Win In UFC Debut
4 days ago

Rays Have Interest In Juan Soto
NASCAR4 days ago

Bubba Wallace Is A Top DFS Recommendation With Upside For Phoenix
Tyler Reddick4 days ago

Is Expected To Compete For The Title At Phoenix
Joey Logano4 days ago

Is One Of The Favorites To Win At Phoenix
Kyle Larson4 days ago

Could Be A Favorable DFS Option For Phoenix Lineups
Corey Lajoie4 days ago

Corey LaJoie Will Start 20th At Phoenix
Brad Keselowski4 days ago

Is A Solid Recommendation For Phoenix DFS Lineups
Erik Jones4 days ago

Will Start 19th At Phoenix This Week
Carson Hocevar4 days ago

Will Compete For A Top-10 Finish At Phoenix
Ty Gibbs4 days ago

Should DFS Players Fade Ty Gibbs At Phoenix?
Chase Elliott4 days ago

Is Chase Elliott A Solid DFS Pick For Phoenix Lineups?
Ryan Blaney4 days ago

The Championship Favorite Despite Qualifying Blunder
William Byron4 days ago

Will Be Strong In Fight For Championship
Austin Cindric4 days ago

Is Austin Cindric Worth Rostering For Phoenix DFS Lineups?
Ross Chastain4 days ago

Is Great At Phoenix
Christopher Bell4 days ago

Looking To Go Back-To-Back At Phoenix After Championship Snub
Chase Briscoe4 days ago

Can Be Worth Rostering In Tournaments At Phoenix
Denny Hamlin4 days ago

Could Contend At Phoenix
5 days ago

Nick Martinez Expected To Accept Qualifying Offer
MLB5 days ago

Roki Sasaki Will Be Posted, Opens Door For 2025 MLB Debut
Nolan Arenado5 days ago

Could Be On The Trade Block
Zach Neto5 days ago

Undergoes Shoulder Surgery, Could Miss Start Of 2025
Mason Miller6 days ago

To Stay In The Bullpen
Shohei Ohtani6 days ago

Shoulder Surgery Could Delay His Pitching
New York Yankees6 days ago

Yankees Exercise Aaron Boone's Option
Carlos Prates6 days ago

Looks For His Fourth Win In A Row
Neil Magny6 days ago

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
MMA6 days ago

Benardo Sopaj Looks For His First UFC Win
Ricky Turcios6 days ago

Returns At UFC Vegas 100
Dusko Todorovic6 days ago

An Underdog At UFC Vegas 100

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

MORE RECENT ARTICLES

 
David Montgomery - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

NFL Pick'em Pool Picks (Week 11) - Targets, Avoids, Predictions for Pick'em Contests (2024)

The Cardinals, Buccaneers, Panthers, and Giants will all be on a bye during Week 11. There are still some great matchups on the board, including when the Steelers host the Ravens. Each week of the NFL season, I’ll share my picks for each game and rank their selections for those who play in a format […]


Jauan Jennings - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 11

Week 10 of the 2024 season is in the books. That means another week of cold, hard data to analyze. We’ll try not to overreact, but instead, use logic and reasoning as the foundation for our decision-making in the weeks ahead. Each week, we’ll take a look back at the previous week to see if […]


Austin Ekeler - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL News

High-Value Touches and Opportunities - Fantasy Football Underperformers, Overperformers (Week 11)

Welcome back, RotoBallers, to my weekly series, "High-Value Touches and Opportunities" for Week 11 of the 2024 fantasy football season. We're nearly a month before the fantasy football playoffs begin, depending on if leagues go through Week 17 or 18. It's crunch time, and we'll want to pay attention to the news, noise, and trends, […]


Houston Texans Defense D/ST Streamers, Rankings, Waiver Wire - Derek Stingley Fantasy Football IDP

Week 11 Defense (DEF) Streamers and Starts - 2024 Fantasy Tiers, Rankings

Welcome back, RotoBallers, to our Week 11 fantasy football defense streamers and D/ST rankings for the 2024 fantasy football season. Every week, I'll go through the best and worst fantasy defenses. There are four more teams on bye this week (Cardinals, Panthers, Giants, and Buccaneers), so I'll be ranking defenses from No. 1 to No. 28.  There's […]


Tyreek Hill - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Picks

2024 Fantasy Football Rankings (Weekly Rankings)

Check out all of RotoBaller's fantasy football rankings. Staff rankings are updated regularly for all positions and include standard formats, PPR scoring, tiered rankings and dynasty leagues.


George Pickens - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL injury News

Fantasy Football Matchups We Love - Start 'Em, Sit 'Em Picks for Week 11 Include Drake London, Justin Herbert, Joe Mixon, George Pickens, Chase Brown

Joe Burrow and Lamar Jackson lit the world on fire on Thursday Night Football to send fantasy managers into a love/hate frenzy heading into the weekend. Unfortunately, the weekend did not deliver the same level of goodness that fantasy managers were hoping for. There were several duds from players fantasy managers have come to expect […]


Tampa Bay Bucs Defense D/ST Streamers, Rankings, Waiver Wire - Vita Vea Fantasy Football IDP

Top Fantasy Football D/ST Rankings (Weeks 11, 12, 13, 14) - Defense Streamers and Starts

Welcome, RotoBallers, to our fantasy football D/ST streamers and starts for Weeks 11, 12, 13, and 14 -- looking at the next four weeks and identifying the best D/ST matchups. Streaming defenses each week is a strategy that some fantasy managers have adopted over the years, and looking ahead weeks in advance could give you an […]


Mike Williams - Fantasy Football Waiver Wire, Rankings, Sleepers

Week 11 Waiver Wire Rankings (2024) - Fantasy Football Pickups Include Audric Estime, Quentin Johnston, Ricky Pearsall, Taysom Hill, Mike Williams

The fantasy football playoffs are rapidly approaching, as most leagues have four weeks left in the regular season. At RotoBaller HQ, we have more waiver wire advice with our Week 11 fantasy football waiver wire rankings for 2024 to help add those players for that playoff push. There were more crucial injuries in last week, […]


Christian McCaffrey - Fantasy Football Rankings, DFS and Betting Picks, NFL Injury News

Rest-of-Season Fantasy Football Rankings: Week 11 Updates for Top 200 (2024)

It's the thick of November with four games left before the playoffs for many of you, which means it's time for an updated rest-of-season rankings chart! We keep sifting through evolving developments, such as key players returning from injuries or dealing with fragile quarterback situations. Let's see who is rising and falling with our Week […]


Calvin Ridley - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Fantasy Football Trade Targets - Buy/Sell For Week 11 Including Najee Harris, Christian McCaffrey, Calvin Ridley, Brian Thomas Jr.

I'm not sure how we are at this point in the season already, but the end of Week 11 marks the trade deadline in most fantasy football leagues. The past 10 weeks have flown by, despite the countless ups and downs that have brought us immeasurable joy and pain. Fortunately, I avoided pain with my […]


Nick Chubb - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Fantasy Football Matchups to Target, Avoid (Week 11) - Offensive Line Champs and Chumps

Week 10 featured an excellent Thursday night game but plenty of struggles on Sunday and Monday. Some rough offensive performances from historically reliable players this season made fantasy scoring hard to come by for many. The injuries kept racking up along offensive lines across the league. In Week 10, 18 teams were missing at least […]


Jake Bates - Fantasy Football Rankings, Kicker Waiver Wire Pickups, Streamers

Week 11 Kicker Streamers and Starts - 2024 Fantasy Tiers, Rankings

As we head into Week 11, some essential kickers, including Chase McLaughlin of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, are on bye. McLaughlin currently sits fifth among fantasy kickers. If McLaughlin has been a staple in your lineup, you need a replacement this week. Eddy Pineiro (Carolina Panthers), Chad Ryland (Arizona Cardinals), and Graham Gano (New York […]


Derek Carr - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Fact or Fiction: Fantasy Football Outlooks for Derek Carr, Austin Ekeler, Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Tylan Wallace, Tanner Hudson

Week 10 of the NFL is behind us, and it's time to look ahead to next week's action. There were some surprising performances in the 10th week of the season, but were those surprising performances a sign of things to come for players? Every week, I'll examine five NFL players whose numbers from the previous […]