X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

2020 Fantasy Baseball Busts? Danny Santana

Texas Rangers outfielder Danny Santana could be a fantasy baseball bust and overvalued draft target for the 2020 season. Kipp Heisterman explains why Santana is not worth his current ADP at the OF position.

The Texas Rangers finished the 2019 season with a record 0f 78-84, which was good for a third-place finish in the American League West. The finish was actually above preseason expectations and now has the team looking to make a push forward in 2020. The Rangers have plenty of youth and have brought in the likes of Corey Kluber, Kyle Gibson, and Jordan Lyles to help bolster their starting rotation.

One major bright spot for the 2019 Texas Rangers was Danny Santana. Santana slashed .283/.324/.534 with 28 HR, 81 RBI, 81 R, and 21 SB in 2019. He set career highs in each of these stats and went over 400 at-bats for only the second time in his career.

The question for Santana entering 2020 is whether or not he will be able to provide value for fantasy owners at his current ADP of 150? A deeper dive into his metrics should help us with the answer to this question.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball lineup tools and resources:

 

Slamtana in 2020?

Danny Santana is one of those 2019 breakouts that pretty much no one saw coming. He also went from going undrafted in 2019 to now being a 12th-round pick in 12-team mixed leagues.  It was a tremendous season for the one-time Minnesota Twin and was good enough to rank him in the top 100 in most mixed leagues. In 2020, he is being drafted with hopes of him returning similar value in the way of power and speed. Whether or not he is likely to do this is another story.

First, his power metrics were way above his career norms. For instance, his exit velocity was four mph higher than his career average and his xSLG of .496 was nearly 100 points higher than his career average of .399. All this power translated into a career-high 28 home runs. Before 2019, Santana had never hit more than seven(!) in a season. He also added in a hard-hit rate of 43.6, which was a ridiculous 8.1% above his career average.

These power metrics seem unsustainable for a guy that has never shown this type of power over the parts of seven seasons. Also, keep in mind that the Rangers will be playing in a new ballpark that is expected to be neutral to hitters after playing at Globe Life Park, which was ranked third in park factors for runs scored and 12th for home runs in 2019.

Santana also provided value to fantasy owners via the stolen base as he managed to snag a career-high 21 bags. This number also seems unattainable in 2020 as he is averaging approximately 22 stolen bases per 162 games played throughout his career. If he played another 130 games in 2020, you could expect to get somewhere around 18 stolen bases, possibly less considering his 2019 sprint speed only ranked him in the top 70th percentile.

All of this information adds up to him being drafted too high for 2020. In this same area (round 12) you would be getting more value from a player like Tommy Edman, who should also provide a little pop and pairs it with tons of speed and on-base ability.

Aside from these factors, are the recent reports that his playing time could suffer. In spring training, the Rangers have been using Nick Solak in centerfield, which could relegate Santana to an everyday type of utility role. What this would do for his at-bats is not quite certain, but having your everyday position taken away is never a good sign.

 

Conclusion

Overall, buying into Danny Santana for 2020 is a risky proposition. He hit well above his career-averages in terms of power metrics, may lose playing time to young players like Nick Solak, and is moving to a ballpark that should not be nearly as friendly as his previous home. All these things add up to Santana being taken too high in 2020 fantasy drafts. As aforementioned, drafting someone like Tommy Edman in the 12th round would be much more advised as he provides similar tools and has similar position flexibility.

More Fantasy Baseball Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Eugenio Suárez3 hours ago

Eugenio Suarez Hits Go-Ahead Grand Slam Tuesday
A.J. Puk3 hours ago

Earns First Save Of Season Tuesday
Michael King3 hours ago

Fans 11 In Five Shutout Innings Tuesday
Christian Yelich3 hours ago

Hits First Homer Of Season, Steals Base Tuesday
Evan Engram3 hours ago

Sean Payton Excited About Evan Engram In Joker Role
Anthony Bender3 hours ago

Earns First Save Of Season Tuesday
Robert Hassell III3 hours ago

Has Three-Hit Day At Triple-A
Thomas Harrington3 hours ago

Hit Hard In MLB Debut Tuesday
Gunnar Henderson3 hours ago

Hits Solo Homer In Triple-A Rehab Game Tuesday
Marcelo Mayer4 hours ago

Hits First Home Run At Triple-A
Caleb Williams4 hours ago

To Spend More Time Working Under Center
Tom Hoge4 hours ago

Looking To Build Off Strong Performance At The PLAYERS Championship
Zebby Matthews4 hours ago

Twirls Five Shutout Innings At Triple-A
Daniel Jones4 hours ago

Anthony Richardson, Daniel Jones To Split First-Team Reps This Offseason
Terry McLaurin4 hours ago

Commanders Interested In Extending Terry McLaurin
Rashee Rice4 hours ago

Expected To Be Ready For Training Camp
Hurston Waldrep4 hours ago

Fans Seven In Win At Triple-A
Garrett Wilson4 hours ago

Jets Plan To Get Garrett Wilson The Ball "As Much As Possible"
Keaton Mitchell5 hours ago

Ravens Have High Hopes For Keaton Mitchell
Angel Genao5 hours ago

Dealing With Shoulder Injury
Derrick Henry5 hours ago

John Harbaugh Wants Ravens To Extend Derrick Henry
Christian McCaffrey5 hours ago

Is Healthy
Clarke Schmidt5 hours ago

To Return April 15 Or 16
Shane Baz6 hours ago

Strikes Out 10
Mike Tauchman6 hours ago

Begins Rehab Assignment
Wyatt Langford6 hours ago

Launches Another Homer
Nathan Eovaldi6 hours ago

Throws Complete Game Shutout
Michael Petersen6 hours ago

Traded To Atlanta
Matt Fitzpatrick6 hours ago

Looking For Consistency At Valero Texas Open
Corey Conners7 hours ago

Continues Strong Form Ahead Of Valero Texas Open
Patrick Cantlay7 hours ago

Eyeing Victory At Valero Texas Open
Reynaldo López7 hours ago

Reynaldo Lopez To Undergo Right-Shoulder Surgery
Gary Woodland7 hours ago

Showing Great Form Ahead Of Valero Texas Open
Akshay Bhatia7 hours ago

Aiming For Repeat At Valero Texas Open
Alejandro Tosti7 hours ago

A Volatile Choice At TPC San Antonio
NFL7 hours ago

Tush Push Unlikely To Be Banned For 2025 Season
Xavier Legette8 hours ago

Dave Canales Compares Xavier Legette To DK Metcalf
Brett de Geus8 hours ago

Phillies Claim Brett de Geus Off Waivers From Marlins
New York Giants8 hours ago

Ty Summers Re-Signs With New York
Nick Mears8 hours ago

Beginning Rehab Assignment At Triple-A
Sam Ehlinger8 hours ago

Signs One-Year Deal With Denver
Guerschon Yabusele8 hours ago

Out Against Knicks
Karl-Anthony Towns8 hours ago

Sits Out Tuesday's Game
Arizona Cardinals8 hours ago

Calais Campbell Returns To Arizona
Jevon Carter8 hours ago

Ruled Out Tuesday
Dalen Terry9 hours ago

Unavailable Against Raptors
Julian Phillips9 hours ago

Out On Tuesday
Jalen Smith9 hours ago

Available Against Raptors
Lonzo Ball9 hours ago

Still Out On Tuesday
Kevin Huerter9 hours ago

Cleared For Tuesday's Matchup
Josh Giddey9 hours ago

Will Play On Tuesday
Dalano Banton9 hours ago

Starting Against The Hawks
Royce O'Neale9 hours ago

Unavailable Against Bucks
Jerami Grant9 hours ago

Out Again On Tuesday
Bradley Beal9 hours ago

Out On Tuesday
Ron Holland II9 hours ago

Tagged With A One-Game Suspension Tuesday
Anfernee Simons9 hours ago

Ruled Out Versus The Hawks
Trae Young9 hours ago

Officially Available Tuesday
Marcus Sasser10 hours ago

Suspended For One Game On Tuesday
Giannis Antetokounmpo10 hours ago

Will Play On Tuesday
Jimmy Snuggerud10 hours ago

Ready For NHL Debut Tuesday
Isaiah Stewart10 hours ago

Suspended For Two Games On Tuesday
Jacob Trouba10 hours ago

Set To Rejoin Ducks Lineup Tuesday
Jonathan Kuminga10 hours ago

Ruled Out On Tuesday
Troy Terry10 hours ago

On Track To Play Tuesday
Jaylen Brown10 hours ago

Questionable Versus Miami
Jonathan Marchessault10 hours ago

Remains Out Against Blue Jackets
Alex Laferriere10 hours ago

Expected To Return On Tuesday
Luke Schenn10 hours ago

A Game-Time Decision Tuesday
Dante Fabbro10 hours ago

Returns Against Predators
Detroit Lions13 hours ago

Alim McNeill Could Miss Start Of Regular Season
Tennessee Titans13 hours ago

Justin Hardee Sr. Returning To Titans
Washington Commanders13 hours ago

Brandon Coleman Moving To Right Tackle For Commanders
Raheem Blackshear13 hours ago

Returning To Carolina
Kirk Cousins13 hours ago

Not Expected To Attend Voluntary Offseason Training
NFL13 hours ago

NFL Ownership Votes To Move Kickoff Touchbacks To 35-Yard Line
Olli Määttä13 hours ago

Olli Maatta A Game-Time Call On Tuesday
Jordan Greenway14 hours ago

Remains Sidelined On Tuesday
Dallas Cowboys14 hours ago

Cowboys Willing To Make Micah Parsons The Highest-Paid Non-QB
Jordan Staal14 hours ago

Doubtful For Wednesday
Matt Roy14 hours ago

Not Traveling With Team
Josh Norris14 hours ago

Not Traveling With The Team On Tuesday
Brady Tkachuk14 hours ago

Not Playing On Tuesday
Jordan Spieth16 hours ago

Needs To Find Consistency At TPC San Antonio
Jake Knapp16 hours ago

Making First Appearance At Valero Texas Open
Michael Kim16 hours ago

Looking To Find The Magic Again In San Antonio
Tommy Fleetwood16 hours ago

Is Nearly A Must-Play At Valero Texas Open
Tony Finau17 hours ago

Hoping For Better Approach Play In San Antonio
Eric Cole17 hours ago

Trending In Right Direction Ahead Of Valero
Casey DeSmith20 hours ago

Sharp In Monday's Victory
Mason Marchment20 hours ago

Tallies Two Helpers On Monday
Adam Klapka21 hours ago

Tallies Two Points In Shootout Victory
Ivan Fedotov21 hours ago

Sharp Against Nashville
Matvei Michkov21 hours ago

Continues Hot Stretch On Monday
Luke Hughes21 hours ago

Scores Goal, Adds Assist In Victory
Sam Stevens1 day ago

Enjoys Nice Result In Houston
PGA1 day ago

J.T. Poston Seeks To Contend At Valero Texas Open
Denny McCarthy1 day ago

Keeps Making Cuts But Needs To Make More Putts
Brian Harman1 day ago

Off To A Subpar 2025 So Far
Ilya Samsonov1 day ago

Nursing An Upper-Body Injury
Tomas Hertl1 day ago

To Sit Out At Least One More Week
Ryan Preece1 day ago

Has Three Straight Top-10 Finishes For First Time In His Career
NASCAR1 day ago

Bubba Wallace After Third-Place Finish At Martinsville: "What a Great Day"
Todd Gilliland1 day ago

Has Mistake-Free Day At Martinsville, Grabs Another Top-10 Finish
Brandon Moreno1 day ago

Wins Back-To-Back Fights
Steve Erceg1 day ago

Losses Third Consecutive Fight
Drew Dober1 day ago

Gets Knocked Out At UFC Mexico City
Manuel Torres1 day ago

Gets Back In The Win Column
Harry Hall1 day ago

Bounces Back In Houston Last Week
CJ Vergara1 day ago

Gets Submitted
Ryan Fox1 day ago

Showing Improvement Heading Into The Valero Texas Open
Édgar Cháirez1 day ago

Edgar Chairez Gets Submission Win At UFC Mexico City
Vince Morales1 day ago

Drops Decision At UFC Mexico City
Raul Rosas Jr.1 day ago

Gets Decision Win At UFC Mexico City
Saimon Oliveira1 day ago

Still Winless In The UFC
David Martinez2 days ago

Wins His UFC Debut
Kevin Borjas2 days ago

Earns His First UFC Win
Ronaldo Rodríguez2 days ago

Ronaldo Rodriguez Suffers His First UFC Loss
Joel Dahmen2 days ago

Scores Top-20 Finish At Texas Children's Houston Open
Jacob Bridgeman2 days ago

Had Some Rest Heading Into The Valero
Christopher Bell2 days ago

Powers His Way To A Second-Place Finish At Martinsville
Chase Elliott2 days ago

Strong Martinsville Performance Ends With A Top-Five Finish
Kyle Larson2 days ago

Collects A Top-Five Finish At Martinsville
William Byron2 days ago

Places 22nd After Struggles At Martinsville
Joey Logano2 days ago

Claims His First 2025 Top-10 Finish After Up-And-Down Performance
Tyler Reddick2 days ago

Fails To Place In The Top 10 At Martinsville
Denny Hamlin2 days ago

Silences Doubters After Crew-Chief Change
Ty Gibbs2 days ago

Earns Best 2025 Finish At Martinsville Despite Failing Cool Suit
Ross Chastain2 days ago

Has A Great Day At Martinsville
Chase Briscoe2 days ago

Has Solid Run At Martinsville
Erik Jones2 days ago

Disqualified At Martinsville For Weight Violation
Josh Berry3 days ago

Has Top-10 Upside At Martinsville
Joey Logano3 days ago

Don't Overlook Joey Logano This Weekend
Ryan Preece3 days ago

Could Get First Three-Race Top-10 Streak Of His Career
Chase Elliott3 days ago

Looking To Continue Great Runs At Martinsville
Christopher Bell3 days ago

Wins Pole At Martinsville, But Can He Stay Up There?
Ryan Blaney3 days ago

Fast In Practice But Skeptical About Car
Denny Hamlin3 days ago

New Crew Chief Has Terrible Martinsville Record
Steve Erceg5 days ago

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Brandon Moreno5 days ago

A Favorite At UFC Mexico City
Manuel Torres5 days ago

Set For Co-Main Event
Drew Dober5 days ago

An Underdog At UFC Mexico City
Joe Pyfer5 days ago

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Kelvin Gastelum5 days ago

Set For Middleweight Matchup
Vince Morales5 days ago

In Dire Need Of Victory
Raul Rosas Jr.5 days ago

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Saimon Oliveira5 days ago

Looks For His First UFC Win
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF