🦃 BLACK FRIDAY - TAP TO SAVE 50% WITH CODE THANKS
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

2017 Starting Pitcher Sleepers: National League

Ben Ruppert analyzes five MLB starting pitcher sleepers for the 2017 fantasy baseball season - National League pitchers who will provide excellent value in drafts.

The key to winning a championship in fantasy baseball is to find some gems in the late rounds of your fantasy baseball drafts. Anyone can draft a top-10 player, but only the good ones can find the diamonds in the rough.

Below are some NL starting pitcher sleepers for 2017. I analyze five starting pitchers from the National League who I think will break out in 2017 and provide great return based on their current draft stock. Also check out my piece on the five American League sleeper starters.

Editor's note: for even more draft prep, visit our awesome 2017 fantasy baseball rankings dashboard. It has lots of in-depth staff rankings and draft strategy columns. You will find tiered rankings for every position, 2017 impact rookie rankings, AL/NL only league ranks and lots more. Bookmark the page, and win your drafts.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball lineup tools and resources:

 

NL Starting Pitcher Sleepers

Lance Lynn (SP, STL)

Lynn had been a consistent and effective starter for the Cardinals for four straight seasons until 2016. From 2012-to-2015 Lynn held a 3.38 ERA, an 8.65 K/9, and for three straight seasons he was among the top-two starters in all of baseball for HR/FB rate. After the end of the 2015 season, it was announced he needed Tommy John surgery, and missed the entire 2016 season. He was able to make it back for a brief rehab stint in the minors, but ultimately never made it back onto the field. Heading into 2017, you should feel fine about taking Lynn at his reduced price.

Lynn will have no limitations on him this season, and has said his arm feels good right now after not throwing for the majority of last season. After taking the entire season to recover and not rushing himself back, he will now have a full offseason to work through some of the complications pitchers face when returning from this surgery. Regaining control will be huge for Lynn, who throws a heavy dose of fastballs every time he starts. He is fully capable of returning to his top-30 fantasy SP status, and is currently the 88th ranked SP on FanasyPros.

 

Mike Montgomery (SP, CHC)

Montgomery was acquired by the Cubs last season from the Mariners, and filled a very important role for them in their World Series run. He was mainly used out of the bullpen, and earned the save in Game Seven to clinch the series for Chicago. Throughout the minors he has been a starter, and he will be stretched out this offseason to help Chicago's rotation this season. He will need to compete with the oft-injured Brett Anderson for the fifth starting spot, but has a good chance to win the spot if he pitches like he is capable of.

Montgomery has an elite changeup that Baseball America ranked as the best in the Royals system for two straight seasons while he was coming up through the minors. This pitch helped him have an outside contact rate (o-contact %) of 56.3 percent, which was top-10 among qualified starters. He actually threw his cutter and curveball more than his changeup last season, and those two pitches held opposing hitters to a .080 and .081 average respectively. Montgomery's ability to mix his pitches and induce soft contact (25.5 percent Hard Hit %, fourth best among qualified starters) make him an interesting late round option even though he doesn't strike a ton of hitters out.

 

Tyler Anderson (SP, COL)

After sitting out all of 2015 to help his elbow fracture properly heal, Tyler Anderson became an afterthought in the Rockies organization. He went through a brief rehab assignment to begin the 2016 season, starting in High-A and and ending with three starts in Triple-A Albuquerque. Once he got the call-up to the majors he never went back, ending the year with Colorado and leading the team in ERA. Over 19 starts in the best hitters park in the majors Anderson held a 3.54 ERA, supported by a 3.59/3.3.64 FIP/xFIP. His ERA at home (3.00, 78 innings) was surprisingly better than on the road (4.71, 36.1 innings).

Anderson has been able to succeed by limiting hard contact. His 24.2 percent Soft Contact rate placed him second in the league among starters who qualified, and his 85.1mph exit velocity was the best mark in the majors last season. His 3.54 K/BB rate would have also placed him in the top-25 among starters last season. Not too shabby for a guy who didn't pitch in 2015. If Anderson can up his strikeouts a bit (7.79 K/9 last season) he can easily out-perform his current ADP. Jon Gray gets the most buzz in Colorado, but Anderson is the Rockies pitcher I want to own this season.

 

Vince Velasquez (SP, PHI)

The 24-year old righty flashed his huge upside early in the season in 2015 with a dominating, complete-game 16 strikeout performance against the Padres. Velasquez held a 10.44 K/9 rate last season, and a FIP/xFIP of 3.96/.3.67 that suggest he pitched better than his 4.12 ERA would indicate. His season was cut short by the Phillies after he reached his innings limit, ending the year with 131 innings.

The fatigue may have gotten to Velasquez; after holding a 3.32 ERA in the first half, he faded down the stretch with a 5.33 ERA over his final 52.1 innings. He should be able to reach 170 innings if he stays healthy, and should be more accustomed to a major-league workload this season. Velasquez has an elite fastball at 94 mph on average, topping out at 97.8mph. This pitch generated a SwStr% of 11.4 percent last season. Velasquez is also working to refine his curveball this offseason, something he feels he didn’t utilize enough last year. He may get shut down late in the year again, but has the raw stuff to dominate until that point.

 

Jerad Eickhoff (SP, PHI)

Eickhoff may not be the most exciting option on the Phillies, but was the most stable starter of the bunch last season. While the rotation was decimated with injuries, Eickhoff stayed healthy and threw a career-high 197.1 innings. With the lowly Phillies he held a 3.65 ERA and 1.16 WHIP, and was one of only 20 major league pitchers last season to throw at least 190 innings with a sub-3.70 ERA.

If you look at his season as a whole, he was as consitent as it gets; he never missed a single start, and pitched into the sixth inning in all but four outings.  Unlike most young pitchers, Eickhoff seemed to get stronger as the year went on. His September ERA sat at a pretty 2.52, which was the 12th best mark in the league for that month. He allowed three earned runs or less in his final eight starts, and held hitters to a .206 average over that span. Eickhoff has said he would like to get over 200 innings this season, and has been working on his changeup to help compliment his curveball, which hitters hit just .159 against last season. A guy that can give you 200 innings with a 3.50 ERA can be an extremely valuable fantasy asset.

 

More Potential Draft Values and Sleepers




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Tre Johnson

Out Indefinitely With Hip-Flexor Strain
Goga Bitadze

Active Tuesday in Philadelphia
Wendell Carter Jr.

Cleared To Play Against 76ers
Jalen Suggs

Ready to Return Tuesday in Philadelphia
Luke Kennard

Uncertain For Tuesday's Game Against Wizards
Adem Bona

Will Not Play Tuesday Against the Magic
Marvin Bagley III

Listed as Questionable vs. Hawks
Kyshawn George

Could Miss Tuesday's Game
Sam Reinhart

Extends Scoring Streak With Three-Point Effort
Adam Fox

Delivers Two Assists in Monday's Win
Brandon Hagel

Tallies Three Points Against Flyers
Andrei Vasilevskiy

Extends Winning Streak With Shutout Performance
Logan Cooley

Erupts for Five Points in Monday's Win
Mathieu Olivier

Sustains Upper-Body Injury Monday
Zach Werenski

Hurt Against Capitals
Paolo Banchero

Remains Out Tuesday
Deandre Ayton

Won't Play Tuesday
VJ Edgecombe

Misses Second Consecutive Game Tuesday
Paul George

Expected to Play Tuesday
Tyrese Maxey

Considered Probable Tuesday
Joel Embiid

Could Return Tuesday
Isiah Pacheco

Targeting a Return on Thursday
Shohei Ohtani

to Play for Team Japan in 2026 World Baseball Classic
Patrick Williams

Available Monday vs. Pelicans
Jaren Jackson Jr.

Cleared to Play Against Denver
Kevin Huerter

Ruled Out With Pelvis Soreness
Nicolas Claxton

Cleared to Face New York
Dean Wade

Sidelined Monday
Nikola Vučević

Nikola Vucevic Unavailable Against Pelicans
Landry Shamet

Sidelined Against Nets
Lamar Jackson

Now Dealing With a Toe Injury
Jake Walman

to Remain Out Tuesday
Ridly Greig

Still Out Monday
Baker Mayfield

Dealing With Low-Grade Shoulder Sprain
Thomas Chabot

Misses Monday's Matchup
Kirill Marchenko

Out Monday
J.T. Miller

Unavailable Monday
Brayden Point

Out Against Flyers
Nikita Kucherov

Good to Go Monday
Chris Godwin

Buccaneers Plan to "Ramp Up" Chris Godwin's Usage
Colorado Rockies

Warren Schaeffer to Stick Around as Rockies Manager in 2026
Ashton Jeanty

Ankle Injury isn't Severe
Jayden Daniels

to Practice This Week, Considered a Long Shot for Week 13
C.J. Stroud

Remains in Concussion Protocol
Mike Evans

Could Return Before End of Regular Season
J.J. McCarthy

in Concussion Protocol
Tyrod Taylor

to Remain the Jets' Starting QB
Shedeur Sanders

to Make Another Start for Browns in Week 13
Tee Higgins

Won't Play on Thanksgiving
Joe Burrow

Bengals Expect Joe Burrow to Play on Thursday
Baker Mayfield

Not Being Ruled Out for Week 13
CFB

Chris Bell Out for Rivalry Matchup Against Kentucky
New York Giants

Giants Fire Defensive Coordinator Shane Bowen
Tee Higgins

in the Concussion Protocol
Scott Wedgewood

Gives Avalanche Second Consecutive Shutout
Macklin Celebrini

Makes History During Multi-Point Performance
Joey Daccord

Posts Shutout in Losing Effort
David Rittich

Keeps Kraken Quiet
Jesper Wallstedt

Picks Up Third Shutout of the Season
Rasmus Andersson

Extends Point Streak With Three Assists
Davante Adams

Catches Two Touchdowns in Sunday Night Win
Baker Mayfield

has Sprained Shoulder, Will Undergo MRI Monday
Las Vegas Raiders

Raiders Fire Offensive Coordinator Chip Kelly
Ryan Helsley

Tigers Eyeing Ryan Helsley as a Starter
Quinshon Judkins

Salvages his Day With Two Trips to the End Zone
Alvin Kamara

Dealing With MCL Sprain, Timetable Unclear
Dan Hooker

Suffers Second-Round Submission Loss
Marcus Semien

Shipped to the Mets on Sunday
Arman Tsarukyan

Gets Submission Win
Brandon Nimmo

Traded to Texas
Belal Muhammad

Loses Back-to-Back Fights
Belal Muhammad

Ian Machado Garry Outpoints Belal Muhammad
Alonzo Menifield

Suffers First-Round Knockout Loss
Volkan Oezdemir

Gets Back In The Win Column
Jack Hermansson

Gets Knocked Out
Jack Hermansson

Myktybek Orolbai Knocks Out Jack Hermansson
Shamil Gaziev

Suffers First-Round Knockout Loss
Waldo Cortes-Acosta

Shines At UFC Qatar
Tagir Ulanbekov

Suffers Third-Round Submission Loss
Kyoji Horiguchi

Makes Triumphant UFC Return
MON

Alexandre Texier Joins Canadiens
Adolis García

Rangers Non-Tender Adolis Garcia on Friday
CFB

Beau Pribula Expected to Start Against Oklahoma
Dan Hooker

An Underdog At UFC Qatar
Arman Tsarukyan

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Ian Machado Garry

A Favorite At UFC Qatar
Belal Muhammad

Looks To Bounce Back
Alonzo Menifield

Looks For His Third Consecutive Win
Volkan Oezdemir

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Myktybek Orolbai

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Jack Hermansson

Makes His Welterweight Debut
Kyoji Horiguchi

Returns To The UFC
Elly De La Cruz

Played Through Partially Torn Quad to End 2025
Tarik Skubal

Tigers "Doubtful" to Trade Tarik Skubal
Raisel Iglesias

Returning to the Braves on One-Year Deal
Sahith Theegala

Looking to Continue Fall Run at RSM Classic
Stephan Jaeger

Looking to Bounce Back at RSM Classic
Tom Hoge

Looking to Regain Form at RSM Classic
Joe Highsmith

Searching for Turnaround at RSM Classic
Adam Hadwin

Looking to Build on T11 Finish in Bermuda
Austin Eckroat

Searching for Momentum at RSM Classic
Joel Dahmen

Trying to Find Form at the RSM Classic
CFB

Garrett Nussmeier Doubtful to Play Against Western Kentucky

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP