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2016 Fantasy Baseball Rankings: Outfield (Part 1)

Welcome back to the first edition of RotoBaller’s 2016 fantasy baseball rankings. We went around the horn and finished the infield with a look at third base yesterday, so now our attention turns to the outfield. If you’re just joining us, this first round of rankings was compiled by Brad Johnson, Max Petrie, and Nick Mariano in addition to yours truly. As we draw closer to the start of the season, the rest of our deep stable of MLB writers will offer their input.

As with the infield rankings, there wasn’t much dissension on the elite options. Mike Trout and Bryce Harper, naturally, were unanimous choices for first and second, respectively. Three of us had Giancarlo Stanton at #3 followed by Andrew McCutchen, while Brad had the two flipped. Brad included J.D. Martinez in his top 10 at the expense of Ryan Braun, but otherwise we all had the same 10 players at the top. That’s all well and good, but it doesn’t make for terribly interesting analysis. So today, I’ll highlight the outfielders I’m bullish on compared to my fellow RotoBallers. Tomorrow, we’ll look at the other side of the coin and discuss those players about whom I’m more pessimistic. Programming reminder: These rankings were originally submitted on December 6. Transactions since that time may not be reflected in our valuations. However, we'll be releasing updates as the offseason progresses.

Editor's Note: Don't forget to read all of our 2016 fantasy baseball rankings columns. There's lots of great rankings analysis including redraft, dynasty/keeper, prospects and positional tiers.

 

David Peralta

My rank: 25 | Low: 41 | Overall: 32

I wrote about Peralta at length last month. Suffice it to say that I’m completely buying his 2015 breakout. He got the majority of his at-bats as Arizona’s cleanup hitter, hitting behind A.J. Pollock and Paul Goldschmidt. Given a full season in that spot, Peralta should rack up a good amount of RBI. The Arizona lineup is top heavy, but Peralta uses his gap power and speed to great effect in taking extra bases, which will help him score more runs than he otherwise would. He has untapped stolen base upside as well.

 

Joc Pederson

My rank: 26 | Low: 42 | Overall: 34

Despite a second-half collapse, Pederson still hit 26 home runs and posted a 15.7% walk rate in his rookie season. Yes, the contact issues will continue to suppress his batting average. The lack of stolen bases (just four in 11 attempts) was a disappointing development as well. However, Pederson averaged 29 steals in his four minor league seasons and posted much higher Speed scores than he did in his first MLB campaign. With Don Mattingly out of the picture, Pederson should have a longer leash during the inevitable slumps that come with being a three true outcomes hitter. Steamer projects another 26 homers, but also 14 steals and 87 runs. Even with a low batting average, that kind of category juice merits a top-30 ranking, especially factoring in Pederson’s growth potential.

 

Adam Eaton

My rank: 29 | Low: 47 | Overall: 43

Behold – a table!

BA R RBI HR SB ESPN OF Rank
Eaton .287 98 56 14 18 20
Player B .259 94 66 16 20 26
Player C .291 92 77 18 21 12

 

Player B is Brett Gardner. Player C? Mookie Betts. We all ranked Gardner in the top 30 and Betts in the top 10. Yet everyone else has Eaton in the mid-40s. Maybe they’re remembering his putrid April (.497 OPS, no homers, one steal) rather than his sexy second half (.904 OPS, eight homers, 13 steals). Maybe they’re skeptical of the power, despite the fact that just three of his 14 bombs were classified as “Just Enough” by ESPN’s home run tracker, and his average batted ball distance was higher than Gardner’s and essentially identical to Betts’. Maybe they’re jealous of his manly beard. Whatever the case, it seems like Eaton is being undervalued by my esteemed colleagues.

 

Randal Grichuk

My rank: 34 | Low: 50 | Overall: 44

Despite a strikeout rate north of 30 percent, Grichuk managed to hit .276 last season. Paired with 17 homers, 96 R+RBI, and four steals in just 350 plate appearances, that made him a pretty nifty in-season pickup for many fantasy owners. Normally, a middling walk rate and a high BABIP would give me pause. It certainly seems to have tempered the others’ expectations, but Grichuk’s batted ball data suggests that regression won’t hit as hard as we might otherwise expect. Simply put, he crushes the ball. Pick your metric – hard hit rate, line drive rate, exit velocity – and Grichuk grades out as excellent. He also posted much better whiff rates in the minors, so it’s not crazy to think he’ll improve there. Grichuk might have some SB upside as well; he stole 33 bases over his three full minor league seasons.

 

Outfield Rankings for 2016 Fantasy Baseball

Name Brad Max Kyle Nick Composite
Mike Trout 1 1 1 1 1
Bryce Harper 2 2 2 2 2
Giancarlo Stanton 4 3 3 3 3.25
Andrew McCutchen 3 4 4 4 3.75
Jose Bautista 7 5 6 5 5.75
George Springer 5 9 5 6 6.25
A.J. Pollock 6 6 8 7 6.75
Starling Marte 10 8 7 10 8.75
Ryan Braun 11 7 9 8 8.75
Mookie Betts 8 10 10 9 9.25
J.D. Martinez 9 13 11 11 11
Justin Upton 14 12 12 15 13.25
Charlie Blackmon 13 19 13 14 14.75
Nelson Cruz 15 16 15 16 15.5
Adam Jones 20 11 21 12 16
Kyle Schwarber 16 15 16 19 16.5
Lorenzo Cain 19 20 14 17 17.5
Carlos Gonzalez 17 18 19 18 18
Carlos Gomez 12 14 24 23 18.25
Yoenis Cespedes 25 21 17 13 19
Jason Heyward 18 17 20 24 19.75
Yasiel Puig 23 22 18 25 22
Corey Dickerson 22 26 22 21 22.75
Hunter Pence 28 28 23 20 24.75
Brett Gardner 27 27 27 28 27.25
Jacoby Ellsbury 24 24 32 29 27.25
Curtis Granderson 31 33 28 26 29.5
Kole Calhoun 29 30 33 32 31
Alex Gordon 26 32 35 33 31.5
Matt Holliday 38 29 30 31 32
Michael Brantley 46 23 37 22 32
David Peralta 36 41 25 27 32.25
Jorge Soler 40 36 31 30 34.25
Joc Pederson 34 42 26 38 35
Christian Yelich 30 37 39 34 35
Billy Hamilton 21 25 45 50 35.25
Josh Reddick 33 40 36 35 36
Shin-Soo Choo 35 34 38 37 36
Matt Kemp 39 31 42 43 38.75
Gregory Polanco 42 35 41 41 39.75
Michael Conforto 32 38 43 46 39.75
Stephen Piscotty 37 39 48 36 40
Adam Eaton 47 44 29 44 41
Randal Grichuk 41 50 34 42 41.75
Dexter Fowler 44 45 40 39 42
Hanley Ramirez 45 43 44 40 43
Steven Souza 53 47 47 47 48.5
Ender Inciarte 57 46 46 52 50.25
Khris Davis 63 49 52 45 52.25
Ben Revere 52 60 49 51 53
Ben Zobrist 51 51 57 53 53
Kevin Pillar 62 53 51 48 53.5
Jayson Werth 48 62 53 54 54.25
Delino Deshields 65 48 56 49 54.5
Melky Cabrera 54 52 58 56 55
Billy Burns 60 54 54 58 56.5
Marcell Ozuna 67 55 50 55 56.75
Wil Myers 68 56 55 57 59
Aaron Hicks 43 68 69 65 61.25
Brandon Moss 49 61 71 66 61.75
Aaron Altherr 59 69 60 60 62
Cameron Maybin 70 58 61 59 62
Odubel Herrera 55 66 59 71 62.75
Carlos Beltran 61 67 62 61 62.75
Eddie Rosario 58 64 66 63 62.75
Rusney Castillo 69 57 63 67 64
Jay Bruce 64 63 67 62 64
Colby Rasmus 56 74 65 64 64.75
Gerardo Parra 71 59 64 68 65.5
Danny Valencia 50 65 78 72 66.25
Mark Trumbo 76 75 68 69 72
Marlon Byrd 79 76 72 73 75
Byron Buxton 75 78 73 75 75.25
Denard Span 74 72 85 74 76.25
Brad Miller 66 70 70 ---
Anthony Gose 77 ---
Kevin Kiermaier 83 83 74 ---
Derek Dietrich 77 79 75 ---
Chris Colabello 82 76 70 ---
Andre Ethier 85 79 ---
Brock Holt 78 80 80 ---
Mark Canha 81 ---
Michael Taylor 86 81 82 ---
Domingo Santana 80 82 83 ---
Enrique Hernandez 84 ---
Nori Aoki 73 71 86 ---
Austin Jackson 72 88 87 ---
Eduardo Escobar 87 88 ---
Franklin Gutierrez 89 ---
Preston Tucker 84 90 ---
Jackie Bradley Jr. 86 ---
Chris Coghlan 84 85 ---
Nick Markakis 87 89 ---
Michael Cuddyer 81 ---
Alex Rios 88 90 ---
Yasmany Tomas 73 ---

 

MLB & Fantasy Baseball Chat Room

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Corey Seager

Expected to Return This Weekend
Bo Nix

Expected to Have More of a Role in Minicamp
Jaylen Waddle

Sean Payton has "Crystal Clear" Vision for Versatile Jaylen Waddle
Alvin Kamara

Hasn't Talked Pay Cut, "No Beef" With Saints
George Pickens

Brian Schottenheimer Expects George Pickens to Return for Mandatory Minicamp
Kendrick Law

Rookie Receiver Kendrick Law Suffers Torn ACL
Jahmyr Gibbs

Dan Campbell Expects Jahmyr Gibbs to be "Bellcow" in 2026
Ben Sinnott

Can Dynasty Managers Comfortably Drop Ben Sinnott?
Sam Darnold

Superstar Receiver Boosts Sam Darnold's Dynasty Value
Justin Fields

Has Short-Term Upside in Dynasty Fantasy Football
Dallas Goedert

New Opportunity to Buy Low on Dallas Goedert in Dynasty Leagues
Christian Watson

Packers Sign Christian Watson to a Four-Year Extension
Lucas Erceg

Royals to Mix and Match in Ninth With Lucas Erceg Struggling
Theo Johnson

Has Theo Johnson Become a Dynasty Steal After Market Overcorrection?
Kyle Monangai

Can Kyle Monangai Live Up to the Growing Dynasty Hype?
Amon-Ra St. Brown

Can Amon-Ra St. Brown Reach an Even Higher Ceiling?
Jerry Jeudy

Can Jerry Jeudy Provide Low-Cost Dynasty Depth?
Jonathan Toews

Expected to Retire
Skyler Bell

Is Skyler Bell One of the Safest Picks in the Later Rounds of Dynasty Rookie Drafts?
Anders Lee

Set to Hit Open Market
TB

Jon Cooper Wins First Jack Adams Trophy
De'Aaron Fox

Struggles Again Wednesday Night
Dylan Harper

Turns Heads in Finals Opener
Stephon Castle

Close to Double-Double in Game 1 Loss to Knicks
Victor Wembanyama

Notches 26 Points in Finals Debut
Josh Hart

Grabs 15 Rebounds in Game 1 Win Over Spurs
Karl-Anthony Towns

Opens Finals With Double-Double
Jalen Brunson

Scores Game-High 30 Points in Finals Opener
Josh Sweat

Cardinals Won't Trade Josh Sweat
Mac Jones

Not Throwing Due to "Soreness"
Aaron Judge

to Undergo Additional Imaging
Adonai Mitchell

Chemistry With New Jets QB is Growing
Darnell Washington

Steelers, Darnell Washington Agree to Four-Year Extension
Micah Parsons

Eyeing a Mid-October Return After Having Another Knee Surgery
Ketel Marte

Out on Wednesday With Back, Hamstring Injuries
Mitchell Robinson

is Available for Game 1 on Wednesday
Kawhi Leonard

Unlikely to be Traded
Chicago Bulls

Bulls Host Potential Lottery Picks for Workout
Washington Wizards

Wizards Considering Trading Down in Draft
Corbin Burnes

has Teres Major Strain, Unlikely to Return Until September
Rickie Fowler

Looks To Continue Resurgent Season At Memorial
CFB

Can Eric Singleton Jr. Fully Break Out at Third School?
CFB

Katin Houser Steps into QB1 Role for Illinois
CFB

Savion Hiter an Immediate Impact Freshman for Michigan
CFB

Isaiah Horton Set to Take Over KC Concepcion's Role
CFB

UCLA Transfer Karson Gordon Signs with Austin Peay
CFB

Will Muschamp Bringing New Intensity to Texas Practices
Gary Woodland

Brings Boom-or-Bust Potential to Memorial
Jordan Spieth

Still Searching for a Breakthrough
Alex Smalley

Brings Elite Form to Memorial Tournament
Justin Rose

Looks to Recapture Memorial Tournament Success
Cameron Young

Looks to Get Back to His Contending Ways at Murifield Village
Chris Gotterup

Needs to Find Fairways at Muirfield Village
Si Woo Kim

Looks to Stay Hot at Memorial Tournament
Matt Fitzpatrick

Positioned for Success at Muirfield Village
Jalen Chatfield

Records Two Assists in Tuesday's Loss
Keegan Bradley

Looking for Another Strong Finish at Muirfield
Nikolaj Ehlers

Nets Two Goals in Game 1 Loss to Golden Knights
Shea Theodore

Notches Three Points in Game 1 Win
Brayden McNabb

Sets Up Three Goals in Game 1 Win Over Hurricanes
Justin Thomas

is an Exciting Play This Week in Ohio
Brett Howden

Starts Finals With Multi-Point Effort
Scottie Scheffler

Looks to Win Memorial Tournament for Third Consecutive Year
Tomas Hertl

Scores Game-Winner in Finals Opener
Rory McIlroy

Looking for Better Performance at Muirfield Village
Drake Baldwin

Could Return During Braves Next Homestand
Garrett Crochet

Diagnosed With Low-Grade Lat Strain
Russell Henley

Coming to Ohio on the Heels of Latest Victory
Tommy Fleetwood

Looking for Better Iron Play at Memorial Tournament
Patrick Cantlay

Looks to Continue Dominance at Muirfield Village
Ludvig Aberg

a Great Fit for Muirfield Village
Isaiah Hartenstein

Hopeful to Stay with Oklahoma City
Luguentz Dort

Wants to Remain with Thunder
Mitchell Robinson

is Questionable for Game 1
Moussa Diabaté

Moussa Diabate Has Contract Guaranteed for 2026-2027 Season
Oso Ighodaro

Gets Guaranteed Contract for Next Season
NAS

Chris MacFarland Joins Predators as President and General Manager
VAN

Canucks Name Manny Malhotra as New Head Coach
Brendan Gallagher

to Leave Canadiens This Offseason
Patrik Laine

Looking Forward to Free Agency
Jeremy Lauzon

Returns to Action Tuesday
Zach Werenski

Wins 2025-26 Norris Trophy
Aaron Judge

Out on Tuesday With Rib/Shoulder Injury
Josh Hader

Set to Return from Injured List on Tuesday
CFB

SEC Coach Calls Buster Faulkner a "Home-Run Hire"
CFB

Auburn a Sleeper in the SEC Under Alex Golesh?
CFB

Noah Fifita Primed for Strong 2026 Campaign
CFB

Oregon Assistant Coach Charged with DUII, Reckless Driving
CFB

Tight End Nick Pollack Commits to Clemson
Akshay Bhatia

Needs the Driver to be True in Ohio
Aaron Rai

Primed to take on the Memorial Tournament
J.J. Spaun

Rebounded at Charles Schwab Challenge
Xander Schauffele

One to Watch This Week in Ohio
Elly De La Cruz

to Miss 2-4 Weeks of Action
Chase Burns

is Scratched Due to Illness
Deiveson Figueiredo

Suffers Second-Round Submission Loss
Song Yadong

Gets Second-Round Submission Win
Zhang Mingyang

Suffers Back-To-Back Losses
Alonzo Menifield

Gets Back In The Win Column
Tallison Teixeira

Suffers First-Round Knockout Loss
Sergei Pavlovich

Scores First-Round Knockout Win
Cameron Smotherman

Suffers Third Loss In A Row
Edwin Arroyo

Reds Promote Top Infield Prospect Edwin Arroyo, Viewed as Priority Pick Up Ahead of MLB Debut
Kai Asakura

Earns His First UFC Win
Elly De La Cruz

Placed on IL with Right Hamstring Tightness
Denny Hamlin

Earns the first Nashville Cup Series Victory of his Career on Sunday
Christopher Bell

Finishes as the Runner-Up at Nashville
Chase Briscoe

Earns First Career Podium Finish at Nashville
Ryan Blaney

Scores A Solid Top-10 Finish at Nashville
Kyle Larson

Top-10 Streak at Nashville Ends after Late Flat Tire Spin
Elly De La Cruz

Exits with Hamstring Tightness
Tyler Reddick

Is One of the Top Favorites to Win at Nashville
Kyle Larson

May Continue his Top-10 Consistency at Nashville this week
Christopher Bell

Is One of the Top Competitors for the Win at Nashville
Chase Briscoe

Is A Must Start for Nashville DFS Lineups
Chase Elliott

has Plenty of Upside for Nashville DFS Lineups
William Byron

Is William Byron A Playable DFS Option for Nashville Lineups?
Carson Hocevar

Is Likely to have Another Solid Result at Nashville
NASCAR

Should Fantasy Players Roster Bubba Wallace at Nashville?
Chris Buescher

Is A Decent All-Around DFS Option for Nashville Lineups
Daniel Suarez

is Likely to Drop Positions during the Cracker Barrel 400
Garrett Crochet

Suffers Setback, Likely to Undergo MRI for Lat Tightness
Denny Hamlin

Could Denny Hamlin Dominate at Nashville?
Ryan Blaney

Is a DFS Tournament Option at Nashville
Ty Gibbs

Don't Overlook Ty Gibbs at Nashville
Joey Logano

Could Show Life at Nashville
Ross Chastain

Needs a Good Run at Nashville
Chet Holmgren

Fails to Step Up in the Season Finale
Cason Wallace

Ends Postseason with Strong Showing
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Caps MVP Season with Game 7 Exit
Stephon Castle

Continues Postseason Run with 16 Points
Julian Champagnie

Shines in Series-Clinching Win
Lane Hutson

Posts a Power-Play Assist in Game 5 Loss
Cole Caufield

Nets a Power-Play Goal in Season-Ending Loss
Seth Jarvis

Closes Out East Finals With Multi-Point Game
Logan Stankoven

Notches Three Points in Big Game 5 Win
Taylor Hall

Racks Up Three Points in Series-Clinching Win
Frederik Andersen

Remains Stellar as Hurricanes Clinch Finals Berth
Jacob Gonzalez

is Heading to the Big Leagues
Munetaka Murakami

Exits with Hamstring Tightness
Eury Pérez

Eury Perez is Placed on 15-Day Injured List
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF