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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Los Angeles Lakers vs. Golden State Warriors, another article in our weekly series of free NBA betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NBA betting breakdown article is for Thursday, May 4th.
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Today's Betting Overview - Lakers @ Warriors
The Lakers take on the Warriors on Thursday, May 4th at Chase Center, San Francisco. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NBA games throughout the 2022-2023 season.
- Matchup: Los Angeles Lakers (43-39) vs. Golden State Warriors (44-38)
- Date: Thursday, May 4th
- Time: 9:00 PM ET
- Venue: Chase Center
Today's NBA Sportsbook Odds - Lakers @ Warriors
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Lakers & Warriors Key Injuries
Lakers
- Anthony Davis (Probable) Foot
- LeBron James (Probable) Foot
- Mo Bamba (Questionable) Ankle
Warriors
- Andre Iguodala (Out) Wrist
- Patrick Baldwin Jr. (Questionable) Toe
- Ryan Rollins (Out) Foot
Los Angeles Lakers - NBA Betting Analysis
After taking down the Warriors by a score of 117-112, the Lakers are riding a two-game win streak. Anthony Davis led the way in scoring with 30 points. Los Angeles was the 4.5-point underdog heading into the game, giving them an ATS win.
With the win, the team has moved to 43-39, placing them 7th in the Western Conference. So far this season, they have gone 23-18 at home and 20-21 on the road. The Lakers have a two-game win streak against the spread and have an overall ATS mark of 45-42.
This season, the Lakers' offense has been excellent, ranking 9th in the NBA at 117.2 points per game. Los Angeles has averaged 113 points per contest over their last five games. Los Angeles has used pace to their advantage this season, averaging 101.8 possessions per game, which is the 5th most in the league. This up-tempo style has made up for a three-point field goal percentage of 34.6% (35th). In terms of getting to the free-throw line, the Lakers are 3rd in the NBA in attempts while connecting at a rate of 77.5%.
Los Angeles' defense is currently ranked 19th in the league at 115.1 points allowed per game. Los Angeles is hovering around the league average despite forcing turnovers at a below-average rate of 13.5 per game. Also, the unit has struggled to clean up the defensive glass, ranking 24th in defensive rebounds per game. So far, opponents have hit 47.1% of their field goal attempts and 35.4% of their looks from deep.
Golden State Warriors - NBA Betting Analysis
In Golden State's most recent game, Stephen Curry led the team in scoring with 27 points, but the Warriors fell to the Lakers by a score of 117-112 to the Lakers. Going into the game, Golden State was a 4.5-point favorite, adding an ATS loss to their resume.
Now, the Warriors' overall record sits at 44-38, placing them 6th in the Western Conference. The team's current record at home is 33-8 and 11-30 on the road. Golden State's record against the spread is below .500 at 42-47.
So far this season, the Warriors' offense has been one of the top units in the NBA, sitting 3rd in the league with an average of 118.9 points per game. In their last five games, Golden State is averaging 116 points per contest. The key to the Warriors' offensive success is in their balance of pace and efficiency. This season, they are ranked 4th in the league in pace, while also hitting 38.5% of their three-point shots. Currently, the team's effective field goal percentage of 57.1% is ranked 4th in the NBA.
Golden State's defense will take the court ranked 19th in the league at 115.1 points per game. Despite their struggles on the defensive glass, ranking 35.6 in defensive rebounds per contest, and generating turnovers at a below-average rate of 15.7 per game, the unit has managed to maintain league-average numbers. So far, opponents have shot 47.1% from the field and 35.4% from beyond the arc.
Today's NBA Betting Pick - Lakers vs. Warriors
Today's matchup will be the 5th game of the season between the Lakers and Warriors. So far, the Lakers have the leg up in the series 4-1. The last time the teams met up, the Lakers won by a score of 117-112 as 4.5-point underdogs (117-112). Together the teams combined to score 229 points which was more than the over/under line of 227.0.
In the Lakers' previous five games as the favorite, they have a straight-up record of 4-1 while going 4-1 against the spread. Across their last three road games, they are 1-2 ATS and 1-2 straight up. Their previous ten games have an over/under mark of 5-5 with an average of 228 points per contest.
Across Golden State's last five games at home, they have an ATS mark of 3-2 while going 3-2 straight-up. As the favorite, the Warriors are 1-2 straight up on an average scoring differential of 3 points per game. This has led to an ATS mark of 1-2. Their previous ten games have ended in an average of 232 points per game and an over/under mark of 5-5.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: LAL +6.5
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Under 227.5
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