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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Thursday August 25th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Reds vs. Phillies
The Reds take on the Phillies on Thursday, August 25th at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Cincinnati Reds (48-74) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (69-55)
- Date: Thursday August 25th, 2022
- Time: 7:05 ET
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Reds vs. Phillies
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Cincinnati Reds - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
Heading into today's game against Philadelphia, the Reds have a record of just 48-74. This places the team 4th in the NL Central division. Heading into play, the Reds are well below .500 at home, sitting at 22-38. The Reds will be looking to bounce back after falling to Philadelphia by a score of 7-5. To start the year, Cincinnati has picked up just 12 series wins, going 12-20-7.
Justin Dunn gets the start for the Reds with a below .500 record at 1-1. Against the Reds, Dunn is hoping to improve on his current ERA of 6.08. His batting average allowed of .288 is high compared to other pitchers. So far, home runs have been a problem for Dunn. Through 13 innings of work, he has already given up 3.46 deep shots. For the season, Justin Dunn has averaged 1.25 strikeouts for every walk. This has come on a K rate of 16.0%.
Cincinnati's offense comes into this game averaging 4.27 runs per game, placing them near the MLB average. So far, the team has struggled to score early, ranking 19th in runs scored through 4 innings. Together, the Reds offense has the 17th ranked batting average, at .241. Per game, the team is averaging 8.02 hits. In terms of home runs, Cincinnati ranks 19th, averaging 0.95 home runs per contest. Cincinnati's OBP of .309 places them 20th in the league. So far, the team has a walk rate of 7.6%.
Philadelphia Phillies - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Philadelphia Phillies enter play ranked 3rd in the NL East division, with an overall record of 69-55. In their 65 games at Citizens Bank Park, the Phillies have a strong record of 36-29. Philadelphia is hoping to add on another win, as they are coming off a 7-5 win over Cincinnati. Overall, the team has won over half of their 39 series played, going 19-17-3.
The Phillies will send Aaron Nola to the mound with an overall record of 8-10. So far, Nola has put together an ERA of 3.25 across his 24 outings. Currently, opponents are batting just .218 against the right-hander. In his 157 innings of work, Nola has given up 16 home runs. Aaron Nola takes the mound with a K/BB ratio of 7.91. This has come while striking out 28% of the batters he's faced.
Philadelphia comes into this game with a strong offensive unit, averaging 4.65 runs per game, good for 7th in the MLB. The team's total run differential sits at 71. The Phillies have enjoyed success at the plate, as their team batting average of .253 ranks 8th. For the season, 35.3% of the team's hits have been in the form of extra bases. The team has also been strong in the power department, averaging 1.29 home runs per game (6th). To date, Philadelphia has the MLB's 13th-rated OBP, sitting at .315, while the team's wOBA is one of the best in the league at 0.32.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Reds vs. Phillies
Heading into today's matchup between Cincinnati and Philadelphia, the Phillies are the heavy favorite at -335 on the moneyline. Philadelphia's implied win probability sits at 77.01%. The MLB predictive model shows Philadelphia have enough of an edge on offense and on the mound to take the Phillies on the runline (-1.5).
Recommended Betting Pick: Phillies Runline
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