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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Minnesota Vikings, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Sunday, September 10th, 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Buccaneers @ Vikings
The Buccaneers take on the Vikings on Sunday, September 10th at U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0) vs. Minnesota Vikings (0-0)
- Date: Sunday, September 10th, 2023
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Venue: U.S. Bank Stadium
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - Buccaneers @ Vikings
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers - NFL Betting Analysis
Coming off a 8-9 season and a loss in the Wild Card round, the Buccaneers will be looking for a deeper playoff run this season. In the NFC-South, the Buccaneers were 4-2 and finished 1st in the standings. On the road, Tampa Bay was 3-5 compared to 5-5 at home.
Baker Mayfield comes into the season as the Buccaneers starting quarterback. Last season he threw for 2163 yards on a completion percentage of 60.0%. Overall he threw 10 touchdowns compared to 8 interceptions. The Buccaneers finished last season ranked 14th in yards per game on an average of 18.2 points per game (25th). In the passing game, Tampa Bay ranked 1st in passing attempts and 2nd in passing yards. Their ground game saw the Buccaneers average 75.6 yards per contest (32nd).
The Buccaneers are coming off a season in which they were 14th in points allowed. Opposing team's finished the year with an average of 21.6 points per game vs. the Buccaneers defense. Tampa Bay's run defense wrapped up the season 15th in the NFL, while opponents finished with a completion percentage of 63.9% vs. the Buccaneers and a passer rating of 90.25.
Tampa Bay ended last season with an over/under record of 6-12 and finished with an average scoring differential of -3.4. Against the spread, the Buccaneers went 4-13-1, including 2-7-1 ATS at home and 2-6 on the road. For the season, Tampa Bay was favored 14 times.
Minnesota Vikings - NFL Betting Analysis
Coming off a 13-4 season and a loss in the Wild Card round, the Vikings will be looking for a deeper playoff run this season. In the NFC-North, the Vikings were 4-2 and finished 1st in the standings. On the road, Minnesota was 5-3 compared to 8-2 at home.
Last season, Kirk Cousins completed 65.9% of his passes for a total of 4547 yards. For the season, he finished 4th among QB's in passing yards and 4th in touchdowns (29). Cousins' passer rating for the season was 92.5 (24th). The Vikings are coming off a season in which they were outgained in 10 of their games and finished 6th in yards per contest. In terms of scoring, the Vikings were 8th in the NFL at 24.9 points per game. On the ground, they averaged 4.1 and ended the season with a completion percentage of 66.7%.
The Vikings are coming off a season in which they were 28th in points allowed. Opposing team's finished the year with an average of 25.4 points per game vs. the Vikings defense. Minnesota's run defense wrapped up the season 21st in the NFL, while opponents finished with a completion percentage of 66.1% vs. the Vikings and a passer rating of 89.98.
Minnesota's over/under record last season wrapped up at 12-6 with their games averaging 50.3 points per contest. When looking at how they finished vs. the spread, they were 7-10-1 with an average scoring margin of -0.6 point per game.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - Buccaneers vs. Vikings
Last season, the Buccaneers and Vikings did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Vikings have the leg up at 2-1. The Vikings also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 40 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-2.
- Through their last three road games, Tampa Bay has an ATS record of just 0-3. However, their overall record was 1-2 while averaging 14 points per game.
- Through their last ten home contests, the Vikings offense has averaged 20 points per game while allowing an average of 24. Minnesota posted an overall record of 6-4 while going 4-5-1 ATS.
- In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Vikings have a straight up record of 0-3 and an ATS mark of 0-3.
- Against the spread, the Buccaneers have put together of 2-3 in their last five games as the betting favorite. In these same games, they went 4-1 straight up.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Buccaneers +6
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Under 45.5
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