KBO Betting Picks (6/3/2020) - Moneylines, Totals, and Runlines

Tuesday was a positive day record wise, but man I can't help but be a bit sick about the NC Dinos. It seems like every time they are in the "right spot" and I grab the runline, they blow up. That happened again on Tuesday. And maybe it was just poor analysis on my part, […]

2020 Starting Pitcher Breakouts - National League

Fantasy baseball players spent much of this unique offseason speculating about the game they love. When is baseball coming back? What rule changes will be implemented and how will they affect the fantasy production of players selected in preseason drafts? Some of you may have drafted a bunch of teams this past winter and might […]

KBO Betting Picks (5/31/20) - Moneylines, Totals, and Runlines

We had another cash day on Saturday but I can't help but feel like it should have been a sweep. NC really dropped the ball by getting smoked 9-1 by Samsung. No one can or should expect them to win every series, but everything lineup for them to take down that game. Luckily we had […]

KBO Betting Picks (5/30/20) - Moneylines, Runlines, and Totals

Nothing like some Friday morning gambling sweat. Every single piece of action came down to the wire, with Doosan winning by two and Samsung graciously walking off on NC and not letting the game go to extra plus cashing the under. However, the Kiwoom Heroes really let me down, not being able to push across […]

ERA Lie Detector: Finding 2019 ERA Underachievers With SIERA

Skills-Interactive ERA (or SIERA) has been around since 2011 when it was introduced at Baseball Prospectus by Matt Swartz and Eric Seidman before moving to its current home at Fangraphs. Much like xFIP, SIERA attempts to quantify the skills that underpin a pitcher's ERA, albeit in a different manner. Although technically a backward-looking evaluator,  SIERA […]

Starting Pitcher Draft Sleepers for Fantasy Baseball

Host Michael Florio of RotoBaller Radio discusses the 2020 fantasy baseball season. In this episode, he brings you his fantasy baseball draft sleepers at the catcher position. Like and subscribe to the RotoBaller channel on Youtube to get all our latest podcasts and catch us on iTunes and BlogTalkRadio as well! Be sure to also tune into […]

Hidden Gems to Watch - 2020 Pitching Prospects

As we continue through this window of uncertainty, the chances of having a “normal” season are getting far less likely. And while we still don’t have any concrete solutions for having a 2020 season, some ideas seem to be more likely than others. Whether implementing regular doubleheaders in a truncated season or a universal designated-hitter, […]

Justin Smoak (1B, MIL) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Sleeper

BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~ 300 CURRENT ADP: ~349 overall ANALYSIS: Justin Smoak's ADP is likely to start trending upward once the universal DH becomes a reality, but that doesn't change his sleeper status. There had initially been playing time concerns for Smoak with Ryan Braun likely going to see some playing time at first base against […]

KBO Betting Picks (5/15/20) - Moneylines, Totals, and Runlines

We go from and 0-fer to a sweep. It was a great day and I'm happy to get back to winning ways, but I just want to say that nothing really changed in my decision making from Wednesday to Thursday. I'm not a sharp and I certainly don't have some crazy algorithm that makes my […]

RotoBaller MLB Mock: Revising Draft Strategy for a Short Season

With rumors of a proposed plan to start the MLB season becoming more of a reality, it is time to start mock drafting again. I joined some writers from RotoBaller to take place in a 12-team mock draft (full draft results here) for a traditional 5x5 rotisserie league draft with a 24-player roster. It was […]

KBO Betting Picks (5/14/20) - Moneylines, Totals, and Runlines

Wednesday was not great and a nice little reality check. However, I don't look back at any of the bets with regret or see flaw in my analysis. An eight-run second inning for LG destroyed any hopes for SK. Samsung's David Buchanan threw arguably the best game of his entire professional career against a potent […]

Starting Pitchers Who Could Bust Your Season

Every season there are countless players who do not live up to expectations. This doesn’t necessarily mean that they had a bad season or that they were not an asset to their fantasy team. Simply, it means that they did not return the expected value based on how high they were drafted. For example, J.D. […]

ADP Comparison: Biggest Risers From March To May

A delayed start to the MLB season has allowed several relatively high-profile MLB players to heal from offseason and spring training injuries, but improved health isn’t the only cause for a rising ADP. Some players have benefited from adjusted roster projections, and some for unclear reasons. With that in mind, here is a list of […]

Milwaukee Brewers: Top 10 Dynasty Prospects

Today, we’re continuing our look at the Top 10 dynasty prospects in each organization with an eye to discovering which organizations are best positioned to succeed with their player development when games resume. Make sure to check out all of our prospect content, including Top 50 for 2020 and Top 250 for Dynasty Leagues. One important question […]

Starting Pitcher Breakouts Due For Negative Regression

As a fantasy baseball manager, there is nothing better than catching a player in their breakout season. Not a lot of people talk about the downside to owning a breakout player, though. We are all humans and a lot of us get attached to these players. That could certainly cloud your judgment because as we all […]

Hidden Gems to Watch - 2020 Outfield Prospects

As we continue through this window of uncertainty, the chances of having a “normal” season are getting far less likely. While we still don’t have any concrete solutions for having a 2020 season, some ideas seem to be more likely than others. One such idea of implementing regular double-headers into an already-truncated season, with three […]

KBO Betting Picks (5/8/2020) - Moneylines, Totals, and Runlines

When I woke up on Thursday morning, I got a little nervous about the two totals I took. Both games had five runs or less scored around the sixth inning, and Samsung hadn't even gotten on the board yet. The NC Dinos and Hanwha Eagles eventually saved the day putting up eight runs apiece and […]

KBO Betting Picks (5/7/2020): Moneylines, Totals, and Runlines

The Korean Baseball Organization (KBO) is saving not only baseball fans, but sports fans by returning to play during one of the weirdest times of my life. You know who they’re really saving? Sports bettors. Nothing against Belarusian soccer or eSports, but betting on a sport like baseball just hits different. Here’s something I never […]

Luis Urias (SS, MIL) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Sleepers

BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~270 CURRENT ADP: ~344 overall ANALYSIS: Luis Urias had a monster offensive 2019 season in AAA, with a stat line of .315-19-62-50-7, but could not quite get it going with the Padres once called up. He was only able to hit .223 with four home runs over his 71 games with […]

Fantasy Baseball Impact of the Universal DH

With each passing day, we are receiving more news that points to Major Leauge Baseball starting sooner rather than later. Most of the news hints at an 80-100 game season, with the locations of the games still up for debate. There are also some roster changes that are being proposed for this shortened season, one […]

Drafting First Overall In Rotisserie Formats

I really do believe there’s no such thing as too much draft strategy. There are a lot of factors that play into draft selections. I will be discussing topics ranging from positional scarcity to team construction and many things in between. The idea is to go into my strategy and targets through the first 10 […]

Caleb Smith (SP, MIA) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Sleeper

BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~215-225 CURRENT ADP: ~247 overall ANALYSIS: The Marlins aren't anybody's idea of a good team, and Caleb Smith's 4.52 ERA and 5.05 xFIP over 153 1/3 IP in 2019 aren't exciting. However, there is a lot of potential in this package. Smith's fastball combines an above-average spin rate (2,425 RPM) with elite […]

NL Players Who Could Benefit From Extended Rosters

Although we still don't have baseball, we're starting to get a lot of proposals on how we COULD have baseball this summer. The plans may wind up just being a fantasy, but, hey, this is a fantasy site, so it makes sense for us to take a look at it. One of the facets of […]

Introducing xPA to Project Plate Appearances

I like big rates and I cannot lie. You other readers can't deny. When a rate walks in with an itty PA and an integer in my face, I get sprung...Whoa! Wait just one second, Sir-Mix-A-Nick. Before I go full-Rhymenoceros on everyone, maybe we oughta back the track up a little bit. What I like […]

Dynasty League Buy/Sell

With the uncertainty of opening day, there is no better time to play in an MLB Fantasy Dynasty League. Due to the league format, it by far the most unaffected by the delay of Opening Day. Drafting and trading can proceed in full force as the value assigned to these players go long beyond this […]

Three Shortstops Set To Bust In 2020

Shortstop is a fairly deep fantasy position, with fifteen shortstops going before the 150th pick on average and plenty of value to be found even later in drafts. The top-end of the shortstop group is particularly strong, with three shortstops owning top-10 ADPs. No other infield position group has had as many different players drafted […]

How a Revamped MLB Season will Impact Fantasy Baseball

No matter how this MLB season plays out it will look like something we have never seen before. Not only is the start of the season already delayed, but there is no definitive end in sight. If we do see baseball this season, the game is going to look very different. First, there will be […]

Players Who Gain Value With The Universal DH - Bases Loaded Podcast

What's up RotoBallers! Mike Kurland (@Mike_Kurland), Jorge Montanez (@Roto_Nino) and Zach Braff (@braffz) are discussing all the players who could gain value if the universal DH is adopted by the league in 2020. Subscribe to the Bases Loaded podcast, part of RotoBaller Radio's Podcast Network. Like and Subscribe to the RotoBaller channel on Youtube to get all […]

OPS Overachievers: Using xOPS to Judge Performance

We've already dug into xOPS by looking at the biggest underachievers from last year. Now, it's time to examine the other side of the coin - the less shiny side. Many might believe that wOBA is the stat you should be looking for and people much smarter than I have been duking out this debate […]

Outfielder Busts Set to Bounce Back in 2020

Recency bias plays a large role in player valuation for many fantasy baseball owners and probably more than it should. Consequentially, a player's price will drop the following a down year, often creates a buying opportunity. As is the case with some of the names below, sometimes injuries are to blame for a decrease in […]