KBO Betting Picks (5/29/20) - Moneylines, Totals, and Runlines
There was never a doubt for Thursday's slate. Casey Kelly was getting overlooked by Warwick Saupold but the numbers just didn't add up. Kelly was the guy to target and he showed that by spinning a gem against Hanwha. Then Kia and KT had an early offensive bout that saw the over cash in the […]
Starting Pitcher Draft Sleepers for Fantasy Baseball
Host Michael Florio of RotoBaller Radio discusses the 2020 fantasy baseball season. In this episode, he brings you his fantasy baseball draft sleepers at the catcher position. Like and subscribe to the RotoBaller channel on Youtube to get all our latest podcasts and catch us on iTunes and BlogTalkRadio as well! Be sure to also tune into […]
ADP Champ or Chump Spotlight: Bo Bichette
It's easy to joke that the 2020 Toronto Blue Jays will have the last names of a 1990's All-Star team, but the kids have a realistic shot at surpassing their fathers. This author isn't as high on Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as most, but Cavan Biggio looks like an advanced hitter with the potential to blend […]
Eliminating Park Factors: Which Hitters Will Benefit Most
As Major League Baseball seeks a way to open the season in early July, one proposal has teams starting or playing the entire season in warm-weather locations (Arizona and Florida) or hub cities. That leaves fantasy managers to re-evaluate hitters whose parks impact their performance and value. For hitters, it’s primarily a matter of considering […]
KBO Betting Picks (5/26/20) - Moneylines, Totals, and Runlines
We enter a new week of KBO action and things around the league are starting to take shape. NC is still in first place, while LG and Doosan are holding themselves to a high standard as well. We're getting plenty of offense through the early going and while there are certain pitchers who have stood […]
KBO Betting Picks (5/24/20) - Moneylines, Totals, and Runlines
Another day, another sweep. I'll say it again and again; I'm not a professional and to be honest, I can't say much other than I don't know what is happening right now but this is a fun ride to start the baseball season. Now we head into a busy Sunday before the league takes Monday […]
ERA Lie Detector: Finding 2019 Overachievers With SIERA (Part 1)
Skills-Interactive ERA (or SIERA) has been around since 2011 when it was introduced at Baseball Prospectus by Matt Swartz and Eric Seidman before moving to its current home at Fangraphs. Much like xFIP, SIERA attempts to quantify the skills that underpin a pitcher's ERA, albeit in a different manner. Although technically a backward-looking evaluator, SIERA […]
Later-Round WHIP Warriors
Every season, fantasy owners across head-to-head leagues are faced with a tough decision on draft day. Do they load up on crummy starting pitchers at the end of the draft to amass wins and strikeouts? Or do they opt to only roster good starters and spend late-round draft picks on relievers to help with ERA […]
KBO DFS Lineup Picks for 5/23/20 - DraftKings, FanDuel Daily Fantasy Baseball
Welcome back, RotoBallers, to another KBO DFS column. You may have seen me on Twitter as @DfsKbo, and I’m here today writing up my breakdown for tonight’s slate. We have a little bit of a funky lock here as KTW @ LG starts at 1:00 am EST, while the other four games start at 4:00 am […]
RotoBaller MLB Mock: Revising Draft Strategy for a Short Season
With rumors of a proposed plan to start the MLB season becoming more of a reality, it is time to start mock drafting again. I joined some writers from RotoBaller to take place in a 12-team mock draft (full draft results here) for a traditional 5x5 rotisserie league draft with a 24-player roster. It was […]
KBO Betting Picks (5/13/20) - Moneylines, Totals, and Runlines
Yesterday's slate had some exciting moments, like the NC Dinos pulling off a comeback win thanks to a ninth inning, game-tying two-run homer before a solo walk off home run in the 10th. Luckily we targeted the over in that game and it had already hit but for some, these are the moments us sports […]
KBO DFS Lineup Picks for 5/12/20 - DraftKings, FanDuel Daily Fantasy Baseball
Welcome back, RotoBallers, to another KBO DFS column. Have you caught KBO fever yet? It’s only been a week but I’ve been enjoying these games and digging in deep to research these teams and players for you! I hope you got a good night's rest because we've got another late/early slate tonight/today. DraftKings and FanDuel […]
KBO Betting Picks (5/12/2020) - Moneylines, Totals, and Runlines
Following the Monday off day, we're a full week down of KBO. It's been an exciting time being able to place bets on real baseball again, even if we're unable to watch parts of the game live. While there is still an acclimation period of knowing players, we can at least get a sense of […]
Outfielder Busts Who’ll Keep Junking It Up In 2020
The term “bust” in fantasy baseball has a number of different incarnations. In some instances, a bust is someone who adds no value to a roster whatsoever. He does nothing more than take up a roster spot, adds little-to-no counting stats, and hurts ratios such as batting average and on-base percentage. He is a net-negative […]
Hidden Gems to Watch - 2020 Outfield Prospects
As we continue through this window of uncertainty, the chances of having a “normal” season are getting far less likely. While we still don’t have any concrete solutions for having a 2020 season, some ideas seem to be more likely than others. One such idea of implementing regular double-headers into an already-truncated season, with three […]
KBO Betting Picks (5/8/2020) - Moneylines, Totals, and Runlines
When I woke up on Thursday morning, I got a little nervous about the two totals I took. Both games had five runs or less scored around the sixth inning, and Samsung hadn't even gotten on the board yet. The NC Dinos and Hanwha Eagles eventually saved the day putting up eight runs apiece and […]
KBO Betting Picks (5/7/2020): Moneylines, Totals, and Runlines
The Korean Baseball Organization (KBO) is saving not only baseball fans, but sports fans by returning to play during one of the weirdest times of my life. You know who they’re really saving? Sports bettors. Nothing against Belarusian soccer or eSports, but betting on a sport like baseball just hits different. Here’s something I never […]
Fantasy Baseball Impact of the Universal DH
With each passing day, we are receiving more news that points to Major Leauge Baseball starting sooner rather than later. Most of the news hints at an 80-100 game season, with the locations of the games still up for debate. There are also some roster changes that are being proposed for this shortened season, one […]
Eliminating Park Factors: Which Pitchers Will Suffer the Most
After weeks of half-baked proposals cribbed from rejected "BioDome" scripts, there now seems to be a scrape of light at the end of the no-baseball tunnel. MLB seems to be increasingly confident that a 2020 season will be played, whether it's playing all games in one location (the Arizona plan), playing in multiple warm-weather hubs (Arizona, […]
KBO DFS Lineup Picks for 5/6/20 - DraftKings, FanDuel Daily Fantasy Baseball
Welcome back, RotoBallers, to another KBO DFS column. Have you caught KBO fever yet? Our first slate went, well, as baseball slates tend to go! One chalky pitcher busted and one of my favorite stacks was ho-hum. But the process was solid, and that's what matters. It's only day two of KBO DFS and we […]
KBO DFS Lineup Picks for 5/5/20 - DraftKings, FanDuel Daily Fantasy Baseball
Welcome RotoBallers to my first KBO DFS column. Baseball is officially back! It's been more than a month since Spring Training was canceled and the KBO is finally here to cure your baseball blues. After a long hiatus, DraftKings and FanDuel finally have live baseball contests set to go. Tuesday is opening day for the […]
Caleb Smith (SP, MIA) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Sleeper
BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~215-225 CURRENT ADP: ~247 overall ANALYSIS: The Marlins aren't anybody's idea of a good team, and Caleb Smith's 4.52 ERA and 5.05 xFIP over 153 1/3 IP in 2019 aren't exciting. However, there is a lot of potential in this package. Smith's fastball combines an above-average spin rate (2,425 RPM) with elite […]
NL Players Who Could Benefit From Extended Rosters
Although we still don't have baseball, we're starting to get a lot of proposals on how we COULD have baseball this summer. The plans may wind up just being a fantasy, but, hey, this is a fantasy site, so it makes sense for us to take a look at it. One of the facets of […]
Introducing xPA to Project Plate Appearances
I like big rates and I cannot lie. You other readers can't deny. When a rate walks in with an itty PA and an integer in my face, I get sprung...Whoa! Wait just one second, Sir-Mix-A-Nick. Before I go full-Rhymenoceros on everyone, maybe we oughta back the track up a little bit. What I like […]
How a Revamped MLB Season will Impact Fantasy Baseball
No matter how this MLB season plays out it will look like something we have never seen before. Not only is the start of the season already delayed, but there is no definitive end in sight. If we do see baseball this season, the game is going to look very different. First, there will be […]
Players Who Gain Value With The Universal DH - Bases Loaded Podcast
What's up RotoBallers! Mike Kurland (@Mike_Kurland), Jorge Montanez (@Roto_Nino) and Zach Braff (@braffz) are discussing all the players who could gain value if the universal DH is adopted by the league in 2020. Subscribe to the Bases Loaded podcast, part of RotoBaller Radio's Podcast Network. Like and Subscribe to the RotoBaller channel on Youtube to get all […]
Second Basemen Likely to Return a Loss in 2020
As mentioned in my article covering 1B that we might be over-drafting, my goal in these articles is to point out players who might "bust" at their current ADP. The definition of a bust that I'm using is when you invest a large amount of draft capital in a player who doesn't hit the production […]
OPS Overachievers: Using xOPS to Judge Performance
We've already dug into xOPS by looking at the biggest underachievers from last year. Now, it's time to examine the other side of the coin - the less shiny side. Many might believe that wOBA is the stat you should be looking for and people much smarter than I have been duking out this debate […]
2020 Starting Pitcher Sleepers - September Surgers
September can be an overlooked month for Fantasy Baseball players, particularly those who are out of contention. It’s a month where we might miss strong performances from players who have fallen off of our radar due to previous struggles. However, if you dig deeper into September performances, you might find some potential gems to target […]
OPS Underachievers: Using Differences in xOPS to Judge Performance
Add a player's on-base-percentage to his slugging-percentage and you wind up with OPS. Easy-peasy, lemon squeezy. But some things don't need to be complicated to be useful and descriptive. There are a hundred ways to judge a baseball player's performance but OPS remains one of the best proxies for quickly judging a player's overall offensive […]