Year-In-Review: Diego Castillo and Nick Anderson
As I created my early 2021 Relief Pitcher rankings, I realized how wide open so many bullpens are right now due to free agency. But there is at least one team that can sleep well knowing the back end of their bullpen is solid as bedrock and that's the Tampa Bay Rays. Diego Castillo and […]
Early-Round Fades and Overvalued Studs
Entering 2021, there is a bit of recency bias in the early ADP as well as an overall sense of unknown entering 2021 as a whole in terms of what rules are in place, where players are going to hit in the lineup or even where many players will play and how that could affect […]
Year-In-Review: Framber Valdez
Houston Astros starting pitcher Framber Valdez has been one of the team's many intriguing prospects over the past several seasons. He first got consistent playing time (mostly in relief) in 2019 and put forth poor results with a 4-7 record, 5.86 ERA, 1.67 WHIP, and 20.7% strikeout rate over 70 2/3 inning pitched. He also pitched […]
MLB's Best Pitches by the Numbers
One of the most-often used algorithms in the data science world is called clustering. Clustering is defined, by Wikipedia, as: grouping a set of objects in such a way that objects in the same group (called a cluster) are more similar (in some sense) to each other than to those in other groups (clusters) In baseball […]
Biggest Fallers of 2020 – Relief Pitchers
In an abbreviated 60-game season, a large number of relievers previously considered to be lockdown closers or dominant set-up men struggled consistently, ultimately resulting in a negative impact on their fantasy value. As we previously did with RP risers, we will now look at the biggest fallers of the 2020 season as we gear up […]
Dodgers Add Brandon Morrow On Minor League Deal
The Los Angeles Dodgers agreed to a minor league deal with relief pitcher Brandon Morrow on Friday, according to sources. Morrow will be returning to the Blue after pitching for the team in 2017, when he had a nice 2.06 ERA in 45 games while appearing in all seven World Series games later that year. […]
Statcast Review - Hard Hit/Exit Velocity Pitching Leaders
Pitcher contact quality can be a tricky attribute for fantasy managers to incorporate into their analysis. On one hand, pitchers are more at the whim of hitters when it comes to contact quality than the other way around. On the other hand, it certainly seems as though pitchers can exert meaningful control over their contact […]
Projecting Power in 2021: Early ADP Air% Exit Velocity
Looking at average exit velocity to project future power is not very useful compared to looking only at balls hit in the air. Because who cares how hard ground balls are hit? However, it can be even more useful to parse out those velocities into more refined bins and cast a more critical eye to […]
Year-In-Review: Sixto Sanchez
The 2020 season presented numerous challenges and is one that most teams, Dodgers aside, are ready to move on from. In the case of the Miami Marlins, it represented a major step forward for a perennially-rebuilding franchise. The Marlins made the playoffs for the first time since their 2003 championship season, mostly on the strength […]
Top 250 Dynasty Prospects for 2021
The 2020 baseball season was unlike any year we’ve ever seen with its shortened season and schedule that can perhaps be best described as organized chaos. The absence of a minor league season played havoc with prospect prognosticators. The 2021 season — and perhaps beyond — will continue to present unique challenges as the pandemic […]
Biggest Risers of 2020 – Relief Pitchers
In 2020, we saw a large number of relief pitchers, previously not in the upper tier of fantasy rankings, breakout or bounce back from 2019 decrepitude. Below we will take a look at a few of the biggest relief pitcher risers of the 2020 season as we gear up for 2021 drafts in the spring. […]
Top 50 Fantasy Baseball Redraft Prospects for 2021
The abbreviated, wild-ride known as the 2020 MLB season has come to an end and the playoffs are in full swing. Sadly, that means fantasy baseball seasons are finished. And prospects watchers have turned their attention towards the 2021 season. The 2020 season saw a significant number of key contributions from rookies and, had you […]
Nick Mariano's Early 2021 Fantasy Baseball Relief Pitcher Rankings
The 2021 MLB season isn't guaranteed to be normal but I have hope that next spring will be much healthier. As such, I will approach ranks as if a traditional 162-game season is coming. Join me for my position-by-position ranking series for the 2021 fantasy baseball season. How much weight do we give 2020? How […]
Nick Mariano's Early 2021 Fantasy Baseball Starting Pitcher Rankings
The upcoming 2021 season may not be normal -- going from 2020 to 2021 doesn't wave a magic wand -- but there's still comfort in baseball. As such, I will approach ranks as if a traditional 162-game season is coming. Join me for my position-by-position ranking series for the 2021 fantasy baseball season. How much […]
Dodgers Acquire Reliever Corey Knebel
The Los Angeles Dodgers acquired relief pitcher Corey Knebel from the Milwaukee Brewers in exchange for a player to be named later on Wednesday, moments before the non-tender deadline. The 29-year-old former All-Star struggled in his return from Tommy John surgery (6.08 ER, 15 strikeouts, eight walks), but he had a 1.78 ERA and 126 […]
Dodgers Agree With Scott Alexander
The Los Angeles Dodgers and left-handed reliever Scott Alexander agreed to a one-year deal worth $1 million to avoid salary arbitration on Wednesday, according to a source. The 31-year-old had a 2.92 ERA in 13 outings for the Dodgers last season, which was his sixth in the majors and third with Los Angeles. He was […]
Projecting Power in 2021: Elite Levels of Air% Exit Velocity
Everyone wants more power, even more so when it comes relatively cheap. But even when pricey, you're going to need to draft a bomber or two. One of the best ways to see how a player's power is trending is to sift through their exit-velocities to see what they're saying. Most know by now that […]
Year-in-Review: Lance McCullers Jr.
It had been a while since we saw Lance McCullers Jr. on the mound. He has dealt with his fair share of injuries throughout his career, and he dealt with his most severe in 2019 when he lost the entire season to Tommy John surgery. The shutdown and the subsequent delayed start to the season […]
Nick Mariano's Early 2021 Fantasy Baseball Outfield Rankings
I think most of us would agree that looking forward to 2021 is a good idea. For me, that means immersing myself in the upcoming baseball season. While there's no guarantee COVID-19 won't affect the '21 season, I will approach ranks as if a traditional 162-game season is coming. Join me for my position-by-position ranking […]
Dodgers Interested In Brad Hand
The Los Angeles Dodgers are showing interest in free-agent left-handed reliever Brad Hand, according to a source. Hand could fit into the bullpen in Blake Treinen's role if he doesn't re-sign with the team. The southpaw converted all 16 of his save chances for the Indians in 2020, but he'd lose significant fantasy value with […]
Year-in-Review: Shane Bieber
2020 AL Cy Young winner Shane Bieber was just simply remarkable in every definition of the word this past season. He led the majors in a number of statistics such as ERA (1.63) and strikeouts (122) and tied for the major league lead in wins (8) and quality starts (10). The deeper you look into […]
Early 2021 Fantasy Baseball Mock Draft - ADP Surprises
Of course, there are many changes to be made throughout the offseason. It feels as if the dust is still settling on the 2020 World Series yet baseball fans are more ready for the upcoming season than ever. We have no idea whether a full schedule can be played, what games will look like, and […]
Nick Mariano's Early 2021 Fantasy Baseball Shortstop Rankings
As we begin to look towards the 2021 baseball season, we can only hope that COVID-19 will be handled well enough to let the season run as normal. Since this is a mere early ranking exercise and we have so much ahead of us, let's just close our eyes and chat as if a 162-game […]
Analyzing Fly Ball Metrics: Pitchers to Trust in 2021
Welcome back to some 2020-2021 offseason fantasy baseball analysis! I recently took a look at pitchers who could see a decrease in performance next season based on their fly-ball metrics from this season. Some of these metrics included home run-to-fly-ball ratio, fly-ball rate, and average launch angle. To reiterate the value of this type of […]
Nick Mariano's Early 2021 Fantasy Baseball Third Base Rankings
Hope springs eternal for the 2021 baseball season, but it's hard to imagine we'll be completely past COVID-19 by then. Plus, we could see opening salvos for the CBA debates to come. But for now, let's just close our eyes and dream of a perfect world and chat as if a 162-game season will come […]
Cody Bellinger Has Surgery On Shoulder
Los Angeles Dodgers outfielder Cody Bellinger (shoulder) underwent surgery on Tuesday to fix the right shoulder that he dislocated while celebrating a home run in Game 7 of the National League Championship Series against the Braves. Bellinger will start his rehab in Arizona next week and should be ready for spring training in 2021. The […]
Nick Mariano's Early 2021 Fantasy Baseball Second Base Rankings
As usual, I'll start by saying the 2021 baseball season may still be affected by COVID-19. Maybe even more labor disputes just for a curveball. But for now, let's just close our eyes and dream of a perfect world and chat as if a 162-game season will come next spring. Join me for my position-by-position […]
Analyzing Fly Ball Metrics: Pitchers Who Could Bust in 2021
Welcome to the 2021 offseason! This past season was different and exciting, offering a new flavor of baseball with definite impacts on fantasy baseball. The shortened season brought forth some new strategies from a fantasy perspective and smaller sample sizes from an analytics perspective. That being said, assuming a "regular" 2021 season, it makes sense […]
Starting Pitcher K-BB% Risers: Who to Believe In
The 2020 MLB season may have left starting pitchers with shorter starts and fewer total innings than usual, but arsenal adjustments and pitch improvements were still prevalent. As a result (and sometimes as a result of other factors), several pitchers saw significant changes in their strikeout and walk rates. K-BB% is one way to measure […]
2021 First Look Fantasy Values: Third Base
The baseball offseason may officially begin with the end of the World Series but the projections offseason began last Thursday night with the release of the first Steamer projections for 2021. Created and maintained by mathematics teacher Jared Cross and his former students, Steamer remains the industry standard for non-aggregated projection systems, as well as […]