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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Denver Nuggets vs. Phoenix Suns, another article in our weekly series of free NBA betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NBA betting breakdown article is for Thursday, May 11th.
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Today's Betting Overview - Nuggets @ Suns
The Nuggets take on the Suns on Thursday, May 11th at Footprint Center, Phoenix. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NBA games throughout the 2022-2023 season.
- Matchup: Denver Nuggets (53-29) vs. Phoenix Suns (45-37)
- Date: Thursday, May 11th
- Time: 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Footprint Center
Today's NBA Sportsbook Odds - Nuggets @ Suns
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Nuggets & Suns Key Injuries
Nuggets
- NONE
Suns
- Chris Paul (Out) Groin
- Deandre Ayton (Questionable) Rib
Denver Nuggets - NBA Betting Analysis
The Nuggets enter today's game looking to build some momentum after a 118-102 win over the Suns. Nikola Jokic and his 29 led the way for the Nuggets. Not only did Denver win the game, but they also covered the spread as 6.5-point favorites.
With the win, the team has moved to 53-29, placing them 1st in the Western Conference. So far this season, they have gone 34-7 at home and 19-22 on the road. This season, Denver's ATS record sits at 50-41.
Over their last five games, the Nuggets are averaging 115 points per game. For the season, Denver is ranked 16th at 115.8 points per contest. Denver's three-point shooting numbers are among the best in the NBA, as the team ranks 6th in the NBA, having hit 37.9% of their looks from deep. But given that they are just 30th in possessions per game, their overall scoring numbers are closer to the league average. Currently, the Nuggets are 1st in overall field goal percentage.
This season, the Denver defense ranks 8th in the league, giving up an average of 110.4 points per game. Opposing teams have a field goal percentage of 47.1% and have knocked down 34.4% of their three-point attempts. The Nuggets also rank 1st in the NBA for defensive rebounds. However, when it comes to forcing turnovers, Denver is only 18th, with 13.8 turnovers forced per game.
Phoenix Suns - NBA Betting Analysis
In Phoenix's most recent game, Devin Booker led the team in scoring with 28 points, but the Suns fell to the Nuggets by a score of 118-102 to the Nuggets. Going into the game, oddsmakers had Phoenix as the 6.5-point underdog, resulting in an ATS loss for the team.
Now, the Suns' overall record sits at 45-37, placing them 4th in the Western Conference. The team's current record at home is 28-13 and 17-24 on the road. This season, Phoenix's ATS record sits at 47-43.
Currently, the Suns are ranked 18th among all NBA teams with an average of 113.6 points per game. However, if their recent performance is any indication, they may drop in the rankings soon. Over their last five games, they have averaged just 109 points per contest. Phoenix's three-point shooting numbers have been impressive this year, ranking 11th in the NBA with a shooting percentage of 37.4%. However, their overall numbers have suffered from an average pace of 98.0 possessions per game, which is just 28th. Their current field goal percentage of 46.7% is 2nd in the league.
Defensively, the Suns are one of the top units in basketball in large part due to their ability to force turnovers. This season, Phoenix is generating an average of 12.9 turnovers per game which is 5th in the NBA. They have also done an excellent job cleaning up the boards, ranking 1st in the league. Overall, they are allowing 110.4 points per game (8th) while allowing teams to hit 34.4% of their three-point attempts.
Today's NBA Betting Pick - Nuggets vs. Suns
Today's matchup will be the 9th game of the season between the Nuggets and the Suns. So far, the Nuggets have the leg up in the series 5-4. The most recent game between the teams resulted in both a straight-up and ATS win for the Nuggets (118-102). Their combined 220 points fell below the over/under line of 227.0.
In the Nuggets' previous five games as the favorite, they have a straight-up record of 2-3 while going 3-2 against the spread. Across their last three road games, they are 0-3 ATS and 0-3 straight up. Their previous ten games have an over/under mark of 6-4 with an average of 228 points per contest.
Across Phoenix's last five games at home, they have an ATS mark of 1-4 while going 2-3 straight-up. As the favorite, the Suns are 3-0 straight up on an average scoring differential of -15 points per game. This has led to an ATS mark of 2-1. Their previous ten games have ended in an average of 231 points per game and an over/under mark of 6-4.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: DEN +3
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Under 226.5
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