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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the New York Mets vs. Boston Red Sox, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Friday, July 21st 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Mets vs. Red Sox
The Mets take on the Red Sox on Friday, July 21st 2023 at Fenway Park, Boston. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: New York Mets (45-51) vs. Boston Red Sox (51-46)
- Date: Friday, July 21st 2023
- Time: 7:10 ET
- Venue: Fenway Park, Boston
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Mets vs. Red Sox
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New York Mets - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The New York Mets come into this road contest vs Boston with a below .500 record (45-51). In the NL East standings, the team ranks 4th. New York will be looking to move their record on the road to above .500, as they are currently 22-29 away from home.
New York's record against the runline stands at 37-59, even though they have been favored in 64 of their 96 games. The team has an over/under record of 39-51, with an average betting line of 9.
Starting for the Mets will be Kodai Senga, with an overall record of 7-5. So far, Kodai Senga has put together an ERA of 3.2 across his 17 outings. Opponents have had a tough time against the right-hander, as they are batting just .196 against him. Kodai Senga has given up 11 home runs leading to a WOBA allowed of .282. With a total of 49 walks, Senga has a WHIP of 1.26.
On offense, New York comes into the game averaging 4.4 runs per game, placing them in a group of teams near the league average. So far, the Mets have combined for a team batting average of .237, placing them 17th in the league. Currently, New York is one of the best power hitting lineups in the league, at 121 home runs (8th). New York's OBP of .318 places them 13th in the league.
Boston Red Sox - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
As the Boston Red Sox host the New York Mets, they have a record of 51-46, placing them 4th in the AL East. Through 48 home contests, the Red Sox come in with a mark of 26-22 at Fenway Park.
Boston currently has an above .500 (50-47) record against the runline. This mark has come while being favored 44 times in 97 games. With an average betting line of 9 runs, the team's over/under record stands at 52-43.
For Boston, Kutter Crawford will look to pick up a win over New York, as he has a record of 4-4. Kutter Crawford boasts an ERA of 3.74. Opponents have had a tough time against the right-hander, as they are batting just .227 against him. Opposing hitters have gone deep 10 times against Kutter Crawford, who has a WOBA allowed of .291. Crawford has a WHIP of 1.13, with 17 walks allowed.
Offensively, Boston has had no problem putting up runs, as their scoring average of 5 runs per game, ranks 5th in the MLB. Heading into play, the Red Sox are the 4th-ranked unit in team batting average. Combined, the team is batting .263. The team's lineup has gone deep at toal of 105 times this season, placing them 17th in the league. Boston's strong OBP of .331 is 5th best in the league.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Mets vs. Red Sox
Heading into today's matchup between Boston and New York, the Red Sox are the betting favorite at -121 on the moneyline. Boston's implied win probability sits at 54.75%. The MLB predictive model shows Boston picking up the win. For aggressive bettors, there is enough of an edge to take the Red Sox on the runline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Red Sox +1.5
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